HNK Hajduk Split’s strong home form - averaging 2.3 goals scored and conceding just 1.1 - makes them the clear favourite, reflected in the model’s 64 % home win probability and the pick of a home victory. The opponent’s away side, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, struggles on the road, scoring only 0.25 and conceding 1.5 against stronger teams, which further tilts the odds toward Hajduk. The expected total of 3.1 goals suggests a lively match, yet the most likely total is 2 goals at 23 %. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, with a 10.6 % chance. Home win 64 %, draw 22 %, away win 15 %. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.4 %, Under 7.5 at 98.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.5 % with a 6 % edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.4 % with a 6 % edge, Under 6.5 at 96.4 % with a 6 % edge, Home +2 handicap at 94.9 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.0 % with a 3 % edge, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.7 % with a 4 % edge.
Results analysis
HNK Hajduk Split’s unbeaten run extended as they secured a 2-0 home win over NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, matching the model’s predicted final score. The model had picked a Home win with a 64% probability, and the call proved correct. Every suggested selection performed as expected: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.4%, Under 6.5 hit at 96.4%, Home +2 handicap hit at 95.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 94.3%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 93.7%. The most likely scoreline of 2-0 appeared with a 10.7% chance, and the total goal expectation of 3.1 was reflected in the 2-goal outcome. The model’s predictions largely came through, underscoring its accuracy for this fixture.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
HNK Hajduk Split win✓ Hit
64.0%
Avg Implied 65.1% · @ 1.41
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Dafabet
1.46
William Hil
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Draw✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied 20.8% · @ 4.41
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.79
Dafabet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.60
1xBet
4.60
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win✗ Miss
14.4%
Avg Implied 14.1% · @ 6.51
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
7.25
Pinnacle
7.09
1xBet
6.78
Marathonbet
6.75
Dafabet
6.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
HNK Hajduk Split
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.23
2.20
1.07
1.73
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.64
1.55
2.00
1.00
1.33
2.00
vs Weaker (19)
2.16
1.05
2.30
1.10
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.60
1.50
1.50
0.88
1.69
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
2.11
0.60
2.60
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (21)
1.48
1.38
2.00
0.89
1.08
1.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
@ 1.17+2.4%
Under 1.5
18.2%
@ 4.51-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Under
BetVictor
4.80
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Pinnacle
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.9%
@ 1.57-0.1%
Under 2.5
41.1%
@ 2.26+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.34
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.5%
@ 2.47-1.3%
Under 3.5
63.5%
@ 1.50+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.56
Betano
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.52
BetVictor
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.2%
@ 1.73+0.9%
No
45.8%
@ 1.97-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.83
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.73
10Bet
1.73
No
William Hil
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
BetVictor
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
10.7%@ 6.76+4.2%
1-1
10.2%@ 7.84+4.6%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.11+3.7%
1-0
9.1%@ 6.97+2.8%
3-0
7.6%@ 9.18+2.8%
3-1
7.0%@ 9.74+2.5%
0-0
5.6%@ 12.85+2.2%
2-2
4.6%@ 14.63+1.6%
HNK Hajduk Split goals ↓
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
3.4%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
1
9.1%
10%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.9%
4.6%
1.4%
0.3%
3
7.6%
7.0%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
4
4.0%
3.7%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HNK Hajduk Split goals (down), columns = NK Lokomotiva Zagreb goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.39
HNK Hajduk Split
1.89
NK Varazdin
1.50
HNK Rijeka
1.47
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.22
Istra 1961
1.19
HNK Gorica
1.14
NK Slaven Belupo
1.14
Rudes
1.11
NK Osijek
0.97
HNK Hajduk Split is 0.67 points better than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in terms of average points per game (1.89 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.58
HNK Hajduk Split
1.69
HNK Rijeka
1.36
NK Varazdin
1.31
NK Slaven Belupo
1.28
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.11
HNK Gorica
1.11
Istra 1961
1.08
Rudes
1.08
NK Osijek
0.75
HNK Hajduk Split is 0.58 goals better than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Zagreb
0.78
HNK Hajduk Split
1.00
HNK Rijeka
1.00
NK Varazdin
1.28
HNK Gorica
1.33
NK Osijek
1.36
Istra 1961
1.39
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.44
Rudes
1.65
NK Slaven Belupo
1.69
HNK Hajduk Split is 0.44 goals better than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
HNK Hajduk Split
58%
Dinamo Zagreb
58%
HNK Rijeka
52%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
50%
Istra 1961
50%
NK Osijek
49%
NK Slaven Belupo
49%
HNK Gorica
46%
NK Varazdin
44%
HNK Hajduk Split is 8.0 percentage points better than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in terms of average possession (58% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
HNK Hajduk Split
For 5.5 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 12.5 · Total 28.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
For 5.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
HNK Hajduk Split
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.8
9.7
4.2
4.3
4.2
27.7
27.2
28.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
10.5
11.3
9.7
5.0
4.7
5.2
28.8
26.2
31.3
vs Weaker (35)
8.7
7.8
9.7
3.9
4.1
3.7
27.2
27.6
26.9
% over line
49%
48%
50%
60%
56%
64%
91%
91%
91%
% under line
51%
52%
50%
40%
44%
36%
9%
9%
9%
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.1
9.3
4.2
4.0
4.3
26.5
26.7
26.4
vs Stronger (15)
8.7
9.4
8.0
4.3
4.2
4.3
26.6
27.6
25.4
vs Similar (35)
9.4
8.9
9.8
4.1
3.9
4.3
26.5
26.2
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
44%
44%
66%
64%
68%
88%
92%
84%
% under line
56%
56%
56%
34%
36%
32%
12%
8%
16%
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rudes
9.8
NK Osijek
9.8
Dinamo Zagreb
9.6
Istra 1961
9.5
HNK Rijeka
9.4
NK Varazdin
9.4
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
9.2
HNK Hajduk Split
9.2
HNK Gorica
8.9
NK Slaven Belupo
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
NK Osijek
4.8
NK Varazdin
4.7
HNK Rijeka
4.6
HNK Hajduk Split
4.5
Istra 1961
4.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4.4
Dinamo Zagreb
4.3
HNK Gorica
4.2
NK Slaven Belupo
4.0
Rudes
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
HNK Hajduk Split
27.6
NK Osijek
27.0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
26.5
HNK Rijeka
25.7
HNK Gorica
25.4
Rudes
25.3
NK Slaven Belupo
25.0
NK Varazdin
24.7
Istra 1961
23.4
Dinamo Zagreb
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.0%
@ 1.80-6.6%
Under 9.5
55.0%
@ 1.92+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Under
Bet365
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.6%
@ 1.78+9.2%
Under 3.5
39.4%
@ 1.88-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
Under
Superbet
1.88
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.7%
Under 21.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw✓ Hit
85.6%
Avg Implied 85.4% · @ 1.09
Edge
+0.2%
64%
22%
14%
covers HNK Hajduk Split + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
HNK Hajduk Split or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb✓ Hit
78.4%
Avg Implied 80.0% · @ 1.16
Edge
-1.6%
64%
22%
14%
covers HNK Hajduk Split + NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Draw or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb✗ Miss
36.0%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.68
Edge
+1.3%
64%
22%
14%
covers Draw + NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Betano
2.77
Marathonbet
2.75
1xBet
2.75
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.1%
@ 1.08+1.5%
Under
11.9%
@ 6.95-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Under
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.20
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
62.8%
@ 1.46-0.9%
Under
37.2%
@ 2.55+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.45
BetVictor
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.67
Marathonbet
2.66
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
35.8%
@ 2.45-2.1%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.50+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.47
1xBet
2.45
Under
Marathonbet
1.53
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.7%
@ 4.77-2.8%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.16+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
60.4%
@ 1.58+1.7%
Under
39.6%
@ 2.24-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.38
BetVictor
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.28
Betano
2.27
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.7%
@ 3.90-0.1%
Under
76.3%
@ 1.22+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.98
Superbet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 10.70-2.1%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.04+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
11.20
Superbet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 28.50-1.9%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
32.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to HNK Hajduk Split, so a minus line means HNK Hajduk Split give that many goals of a start and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb receive them. At -1, HNK Hajduk Split must win by two or more to land; a one-goal HNK Hajduk Split win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.79
0.86
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
1.22
0.40
1.40
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.62
1.00
0.56
0.75
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.9%
@ 1.27+1.0%
Under 0.5
26.1%
@ 3.40-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.44
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.3%
@ 2.29-2.2%
Under 1.5
61.7%
@ 1.56+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
Pinnacle
2.41
Betfair
2.38
William Hil
2.38
Superbet
2.27
Under
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.5%
@ 5.23-3.2%
Under 2.5
85.5%
@ 1.13+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Betano
5.10
1xBet
5.05
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
60.4%
@ 1.50-1.5%
Under
39.6%
@ 2.43+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.55
10Bet
2.50
1xBet
2.43
Superbet
2.42
Unibet
2.38
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
25.8%
@ 3.37-1.7%
Under
74.2%
@ 1.28+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.55
Marathonbet
3.40
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Under
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 8.40-5.4%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.04+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
Superbet
8.40
10Bet
8.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.9%
@ 2.74+1.2%
Under
65.1%
@ 1.40-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.00
Betano
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.68
Under
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 10.19-2.9%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.03+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
Superbet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 45.00-99.3%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HNK Hajduk Split
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.67
1.20
0.40
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.09
0.91
1.60
0.20
0.67
1.50
vs Weaker (19)
1.05
0.53
1.00
0.50
1.11
0.56
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.71
0.64
0.31
0.94
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.89
0.20
1.20
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.76
1.00
0.33
0.33
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.5%
@ 1.16+1.3%
Under 0.5
18.5%
@ 4.71-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
Betano
4.70
Superbet
4.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.5%
@ 1.81-2.5%
Under 1.5
51.5%
@ 1.89+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.4%
@ 3.54-3.8%
Under 2.5
77.6%
@ 1.26+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.50
1xBet
3.36
Marathonbet
3.36
Under
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
67.2%
@ 1.34-1.7%
Under
32.8%
@ 2.99+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Under
Betano
3.05
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Superbet
2.92
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
31.1%
@ 2.59-4.7%
Under
68.9%
@ 1.44+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.67
10Bet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 6.09-6.2%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.09+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.30
10Bet
6.25
1xBet
6.20
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.9%
@ 2.28+0.2%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.56-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.26
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
10Bet
1.53
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 7.76-1.9%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.05+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.70
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Superbet
7.50
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 20.75-3.1%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.3%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.0%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.9%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.9%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
88.1%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
85.6%
1.09
Betano
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
85.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.5%
1.13
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
83.3%
1.16
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.8%
1.17
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.18
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.5%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.6%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.0%
1.32
Superbet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
78.4%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.6%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.5%
1.32
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
76.3%
1.22
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
74.2%
1.28
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.9%
1.27
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
HNK Hajduk Split
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rokas Pukštas75%
Marko Livaja50%
Michele Šego50%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba17%
Šimun Hrgović17%
Marin Šotiček17%
Dario Marešić0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Dalisson de Almeida0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Adrion Pajaziti0%
Toni Silić0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Niko Sigur0%
Luka Hodak0%
Anđelo Šutalo0%
Adam Huram0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrion Pajaziti40%
Mathieu Acapandié40%
Anđelo Šutalo40%
Niko Sigur33%
Luka Hodak33%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck20%
Dalisson de Almeida20%
Marko Livaja17%
Michele Šego17%
Marin Šotiček17%
Dario Marešić0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Toni Silić0%
Šimun Hrgović0%
Rokas Pukštas0%
Adam Huram0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dalisson de Almeida40%
Adrion Pajaziti40%
Šimun Hrgović33%
Marin Šotiček33%
Dario Melnjak25%
Rokas Pukštas25%
Adam Huram25%
Dario Marešić20%
Alberto del Moral20%
Marko Livaja0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Michele Šego0%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba0%
Toni Silić0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Niko Sigur0%
Luka Hodak0%
Anđelo Šutalo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rokas Pukštas50%
Adrion Pajaziti40%
Marko Livaja33%
Marin Šotiček33%
Dalisson de Almeida20%
Anđelo Šutalo20%
Šimun Hrgović17%
Dario Marešić0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Michele Šego0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Toni Silić0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Niko Sigur0%
Luka Hodak0%
Adam Huram0%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dušan Vuković50%
Ivan Katić33%
Noel Đurković33%
Athanasios Triantafyllou25%
Josip Posavec0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Leon Belcar0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Matija Subotić0%
Dominik Thaqi0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Katić100%
Leon Belcar33%
Athanasios Triantafyllou25%
Marcel Lorber25%
Dominik Thaqi25%
Josip Posavec0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Dušan Vuković0%
Matija Subotić0%
Noel Đurković0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dušan Vuković25%
Matija Subotić25%
Josip Posavec0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Leon Belcar0%
Athanasios Triantafyllou0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Ivan Katić0%
Dominik Thaqi0%
Noel Đurković0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dušan Vuković25%
Josip Posavec0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Leon Belcar0%
Athanasios Triantafyllou0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Ivan Katić0%
Matija Subotić0%
Dominik Thaqi0%
Noel Đurković0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
HNK Hajduk Split's squad is €23m more valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€34m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
HNK Hajduk Split's attack is €12m more valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€15m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
HNK Hajduk Split's midfield is €4m more valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€8m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
HNK Hajduk Split's defence is €7m more valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€11m vs €4m).
Croatia: HNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
Rudes
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica