This opponent (Sibenik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sibenik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.70
0.87
2.07
0.60
1.33
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.90
1.40
1.80
0.20
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
1.60
0.60
2.20
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.4%
Under 1.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.5%
Under 2.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.8%
No
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.3%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-0 ✓
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.7%
HNK Hajduk Split goals ↓
Sibenik goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
4.7%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
1
14%
11%
3.5%
0.8%
0.1%
2
14%
9.2%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
3
8.1%
5.5%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
4
3.6%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HNK Hajduk Split goals (down), columns = Sibenik goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.25
HNK Hajduk Split
1.97
NK Osijek
1.39
HNK Rijeka
1.36
NK Varazdin
1.28
Istra 1961
1.28
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.19
NK Slaven Belupo
1.19
HNK Gorica
0.89
Sibenik
0.75
HNK Hajduk Split is 1.22 points better than Sibenik in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.25
HNK Hajduk Split
1.81
NK Osijek
1.28
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.25
HNK Rijeka
1.22
NK Varazdin
1.14
HNK Gorica
1.00
Istra 1961
1.00
NK Slaven Belupo
0.75
Sibenik
0.67
HNK Hajduk Split is 1.14 goals better than Sibenik in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Zagreb
0.78
Istra 1961
1.06
HNK Hajduk Split
1.14
NK Osijek
1.14
HNK Rijeka
1.22
NK Slaven Belupo
1.28
HNK Gorica
1.39
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.39
NK Varazdin
1.42
Sibenik
1.56
HNK Hajduk Split is 0.42 goals better than Sibenik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dinamo Zagreb
63%
HNK Hajduk Split
53%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
52%
Istra 1961
52%
NK Varazdin
51%
HNK Rijeka
50%
NK Osijek
50%
HNK Gorica
44%
Sibenik
44%
NK Slaven Belupo
42%
HNK Hajduk Split is 8.9 percentage points better than Sibenik in terms of average possession (53% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
HNK Hajduk Split
For 4.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sibenik
For 4.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 10.5 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
HNK Hajduk Split
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
8.5
8.6
8.5
4.4
4.2
4.7
24.5
24.6
24.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
8.2
7.7
8.7
4.3
3.5
5.2
25.8
27.4
24.2
vs Weaker (27)
8.7
9.0
8.4
4.5
4.5
4.5
24.0
23.5
24.4
% over line
38%
47%
30%
56%
53%
60%
78%
83%
74%
% under line
62%
53%
70%
44%
47%
40%
22%
17%
26%
This opponent (Sibenik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sibenik
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (35)
9.0
7.5
10.5
4.5
4.6
4.3
23.7
24.9
22.3
vs Stronger (11)
9.1
7.8
10.6
4.3
5.2
3.2
20.5
23.2
17.2
vs Similar (24)
8.9
7.3
10.5
4.5
4.3
4.8
25.1
25.8
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
28%
65%
54%
56%
53%
69%
83%
53%
% under line
54%
72%
35%
46%
44%
47%
31%
17%
47%
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
NK Varazdin
9.1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
9.0
Sibenik
9.0
HNK Rijeka
8.8
HNK Gorica
8.7
HNK Hajduk Split
8.5
NK Slaven Belupo
8.4
NK Osijek
8.3
Istra 1961
8.0
Dinamo Zagreb
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
HNK Gorica
5.6
HNK Rijeka
5.4
Istra 1961
5.1
HNK Hajduk Split
4.8
Sibenik
4.7
NK Slaven Belupo
4.7
NK Osijek
4.6
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4.6
NK Varazdin
4.5
Dinamo Zagreb
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
HNK Rijeka
25.9
Istra 1961
25.7
HNK Gorica
25.1
NK Varazdin
25.1
NK Osijek
24.9
NK Slaven Belupo
24.6
HNK Hajduk Split
24.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
23.9
Sibenik
23.7
Dinamo Zagreb
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.1%
Under 9.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.4%
Under 3.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
60.2%
Under 21.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HNK Hajduk Split
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.62
0.50
0.43
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.14
0.57
0.25
0.00
0.00
1.33
vs Weaker (23)
0.65
0.39
0.75
0.67
0.55
0.09
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sibenik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.70
0.40
0.87
0.27
0.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.70
0.80
0.60
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.25
0.70
0.20
1.00
0.30
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HNK Hajduk Split
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.70
1.50
0.56
1.00
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.71
0.75
0.75
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (23)
1.48
0.70
1.75
0.50
1.18
0.91
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sibenik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.00
0.47
1.20
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.20
0.60
1.20
0.00
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.90
0.40
1.20
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
HNK Hajduk Split
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marko Livaja44%
Jan Mlakar29%
Yassine Benrahou24%
Roko Brajković20%
Chidozie Awaziem17%
Jani Atanasov17%
Nikola Kalinić16%
Rokas Pukštas14%
Emir Sahiti14%
Anthony Kalik12%
Stipe Biuk12%
Dario Melnjak11%
Ivan Ćubelić9%
David Čolina7%
Dino Mikanović4%
Lukas Grgić4%
Marco Fossati3%
Filip Krovinović3%
Ferro0%
Lovre Kalinić0%
Ivan Lučić0%
Karlo Sentić0%
Josip Elez0%
Gergő Lovrencsics0%
Stefan Simić0%
Toni Borevković0%
Josip Vuković0%
Elvis Letaj0%
Ivan Krolo0%
Agustin Anello0%
Dominik Prpić0%
Marko Capan0%
Luka Vušković0%
Niko Sigur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anthony Kalik50%
Dominik Prpić40%
Dino Mikanović31%
Chidozie Awaziem30%
Agustin Anello27%
Gergő Lovrencsics25%
Elvis Letaj25%
Emir Sahiti21%
Marko Livaja19%
Yassine Benrahou18%
Marco Fossati17%
Lukas Grgić14%
David Čolina13%
Stefan Simić12%
Toni Borevković12%
Luka Vušković12%
Ferro11%
Rokas Pukštas10%
Lovre Kalinić9%
Josip Vuković8%
Jani Atanasov8%
Filip Krovinović8%
Ivan Lučić8%
Josip Elez8%
Jan Mlakar6%
Nikola Kalinić5%
Karlo Sentić0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Ivan Ćubelić0%
Stipe Biuk0%
Ivan Krolo0%
Marko Capan0%
Roko Brajković0%
Niko Sigur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Capan50%
Marko Livaja33%
Yassine Benrahou24%
Josip Elez23%
Dario Melnjak16%
Rokas Pukštas14%
Stipe Biuk12%
Filip Krovinović11%
Emir Sahiti10%
Agustin Anello9%
Lukas Grgić7%
Gergő Lovrencsics5%
Dino Mikanović4%
Marco Fossati3%
Jan Mlakar3%
Nikola Kalinić0%
Ferro0%
Lovre Kalinić0%
Ivan Lučić0%
Anthony Kalik0%
Karlo Sentić0%
Stefan Simić0%
Toni Borevković0%
Josip Vuković0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Jani Atanasov0%
David Čolina0%
Ivan Ćubelić0%
Elvis Letaj0%
Ivan Krolo0%
Dominik Prpić0%
Roko Brajković0%
Luka Vušković0%
Niko Sigur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Livaja39%
Jan Mlakar14%
Rokas Pukštas14%
Anthony Kalik12%
Yassine Benrahou12%
Emir Sahiti10%
Chidozie Awaziem10%
Filip Krovinović8%
Stipe Biuk6%
Dario Melnjak3%
Nikola Kalinić0%
Ferro0%
Lovre Kalinić0%
Lukas Grgić0%
Ivan Lučić0%
Karlo Sentić0%
Josip Elez0%
Gergő Lovrencsics0%
Stefan Simić0%
Marco Fossati0%
Toni Borevković0%
Josip Vuković0%
Jani Atanasov0%
Dino Mikanović0%
David Čolina0%
Ivan Ćubelić0%
Elvis Letaj0%
Ivan Krolo0%
Agustin Anello0%
Dominik Prpić0%
Marko Capan0%
Roko Brajković0%
Luka Vušković0%
Niko Sigur0%
Sibenik
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Delić19%
Ivan Dolček17%
Duje Čop14%
Burgui12%
Patrick Salomon7%
Bernardo Matić7%
Amer Hiroš6%
Zoran Kvržić6%
Haruki Arai6%
Karlo Špeljak4%
Stefan Perić3%
Marcos Mina3%
Mislav Matić3%
Marko Đira0%
Marcel Čanadi0%
Josip Kvesić0%
Juan Mesa0%
Dejan Radonjić0%
Dario Čanađija0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Dino Skorup0%
Leon Kreković0%
Mario Ćurić0%
Josip Knežević0%
Nikola Đorić0%
Matija Rom0%
Doni Grdić0%
Iker Pozo0%
Sacha Marasović0%
Niko Rak0%
Ivica Vidović0%
Marko Soldo0%
Moses Barnabas0%
Josip Baturina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Doni Grdić33%
Nikola Đorić29%
Bernardo Matić27%
Amer Hiroš25%
Matija Rom25%
Marko Đira20%
Marcos Mina20%
Ivan Delić19%
Mislav Matić18%
Ivan Dolček17%
Stefan Perić17%
Mario Ćurić17%
Josip Knežević17%
Ivica Vidović17%
Dejan Radonjić15%
Duje Čop14%
Iker Pozo14%
Dino Skorup13%
Marko Soldo13%
Juan Mesa12%
Haruki Arai9%
Patrick Salomon7%
Josip Kvesić7%
Niko Rak7%
Zoran Kvržić6%
Lovre Rogić6%
Leon Kreković6%
Dario Čanađija6%
Karlo Špeljak4%
Marcel Čanadi0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Burgui0%
Sacha Marasović0%
Moses Barnabas0%
Josip Baturina0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Delić19%
Sacha Marasović12%
Duje Čop10%
Ivan Dolček7%
Marko Soldo7%
Amer Hiroš6%
Mislav Matić6%
Zoran Kvržić6%
Karlo Špeljak4%
Marcos Mina3%
Haruki Arai3%
Marko Đira0%
Marcel Čanadi0%
Stefan Perić0%
Patrick Salomon0%
Josip Kvesić0%
Juan Mesa0%
Dejan Radonjić0%
Dario Čanađija0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Dino Skorup0%
Leon Kreković0%
Mario Ćurić0%
Josip Knežević0%
Nikola Đorić0%
Burgui0%
Bernardo Matić0%
Matija Rom0%
Doni Grdić0%
Iker Pozo0%
Niko Rak0%
Ivica Vidović0%
Moses Barnabas0%
Josip Baturina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Duje Čop19%
Ivan Delić19%
Marcel Čanadi10%
Josip Knežević8%
Ivan Dolček7%
Zoran Kvržić6%
Karlo Špeljak4%
Haruki Arai3%
Marko Đira0%
Stefan Perić0%
Patrick Salomon0%
Josip Kvesić0%
Juan Mesa0%
Dejan Radonjić0%
Dario Čanađija0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Antonio Đaković0%
Dino Skorup0%
Leon Kreković0%
Mario Ćurić0%
Nikola Đorić0%
Burgui0%
Marcos Mina0%
Mislav Matić0%
Bernardo Matić0%
Amer Hiroš0%
Matija Rom0%
Doni Grdić0%
Iker Pozo0%
Sacha Marasović0%
Niko Rak0%
Ivica Vidović0%
Marko Soldo0%
Moses Barnabas0%
Josip Baturina0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Croatia: HNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →