Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HNK Rijeka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.43
0.80
0.40
0.67
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.11
0.44
0.00
0.50
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (19)
1.05
0.42
1.20
0.40
0.89
0.44
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Istra 1961
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.36
0.57
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.00
0.00
0.80
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.50
0.56
0.44
0.45
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HNK Rijeka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.57
1.67
0.60
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.75
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (19)
1.26
0.53
1.80
0.60
0.67
0.44
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Istra 1961
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.87
0.64
0.64
0.38
1.06
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.00
0.20
0.60
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.80
0.89
0.67
0.36
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 1.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
HNK Rijeka
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Niko JankoviÄ24%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ22%
Mirko MariÄ20%
NƤis Djouahra20%
Jorge Obregón19%
Marko Pjaca19%
Bruno Goda14%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ14%
Lindon Selahi12%
Franjo IvanoviÄ12%
Veldin Hodža9%
Alen GrgiÄ9%
Toni Fruk9%
Matej MitroviÄ7%
Bruno BogojeviÄ7%
Emmanuel Banda5%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ3%
Emir Dilaver0%
Momo Yansane0%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Adrian Liber0%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ0%
Marijan Äabraja0%
Nediljko LabroviÄ0%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ0%
Dejan PetroviÄ0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Lepinjica67%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ33%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ31%
Lindon Selahi25%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ23%
Marijan Äabraja22%
NƤis Djouahra20%
Veldin Hodža18%
Danilo Veiga18%
Bruno Goda18%
Emir Dilaver18%
Toni Fruk17%
Niko JankoviÄ15%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ14%
Emmanuel Banda14%
Bruno BogojeviÄ13%
Jorge Obregón12%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ12%
Franjo IvanoviÄ9%
Nediljko LabroviÄ8%
Marko Pjaca7%
Matej MitroviÄ7%
Dejan PetroviÄ5%
Alen GrgiÄ4%
Momo Yansane0%
Mirko MariÄ0%
Adrian Liber0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Toni Fruk37%
Ivan Lepinjica33%
NƤis Djouahra20%
Mirko MariÄ13%
Niko JankoviÄ12%
Momo Yansane11%
Marijan Äabraja11%
Marko Pjaca11%
Matej MitroviÄ11%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ6%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ6%
Veldin Hodža6%
Dejan PetroviÄ5%
Emmanuel Banda5%
Alen GrgiÄ4%
Bruno Goda4%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ3%
Lindon Selahi3%
Franjo IvanoviÄ3%
Nediljko LabroviÄ3%
Emir Dilaver0%
Jorge Obregón0%
Adrian Liber0%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ0%
Bruno BogojeviÄ0%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Franjo IvanoviÄ31%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ31%
Niko JankoviÄ27%
Marko Pjaca19%
Mirko MariÄ13%
Toni Fruk11%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ10%
Emmanuel Banda5%
Alen GrgiÄ4%
Bruno Goda4%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ3%
Veldin Hodža3%
Matej MitroviÄ0%
Emir Dilaver0%
Momo Yansane0%
Jorge Obregón0%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Adrian Liber0%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ0%
Marijan Äabraja0%
Bruno BogojeviÄ0%
Nediljko LabroviÄ0%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ0%
NƤis Djouahra0%
Lindon Selahi0%
Dejan PetroviÄ0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Istra 1961
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Erceg29%
Hamza Jaganjac20%
Matej Vuk18%
Salim Figo Lawal17%
Elias Filet15%
Emmanuel Ekong14%
Mateo Lisica12%
Frano Mlinar11%
SebastiƔn Nebyla10%
Mario ÄuiÄ7%
Darwin Matheus6%
Antonio MauriÄ5%
Moris ValinÄiÄ4%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ3%
Ante MajstoroviÄ3%
Luka Hujber0%
Lovro MajkiÄ0%
Terrence Douglas0%
Mladen Devetak0%
Eric Bjƶrkander0%
Zoran JosipoviÄ0%
Slavko BlagojeviÄ0%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ0%
Ville Koski0%
Ivan ÄaluÅ”iÄ0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Iurie Iovu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ante Erceg48%
Slavko BlagojeviÄ33%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ32%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ32%
Oleksandr Petrusenko28%
Zoran JosipoviÄ25%
Luka Hujber22%
SebastiƔn Nebyla20%
Hamza Jaganjac20%
Iurie Iovu18%
Ivan ÄaluÅ”iÄ18%
Moris ValinÄiÄ17%
Mladen Devetak17%
Terrence Douglas15%
Mario ÄuiÄ13%
Ante MajstoroviÄ12%
Matej Vuk11%
Frano Mlinar11%
Emmanuel Ekong10%
Salim Figo Lawal8%
Darwin Matheus6%
Lovro MajkiÄ6%
Elias Filet5%
Antonio MauriÄ5%
Eric Bjƶrkander0%
Ville Koski0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Darwin Matheus12%
Ante Erceg10%
Emmanuel Ekong10%
Moris ValinÄiÄ9%
Ville Koski8%
Slavko BlagojeviÄ7%
Matej Vuk7%
Oleksandr Petrusenko7%
Mladen Devetak7%
Frano Mlinar5%
Elias Filet5%
Antonio MauriÄ5%
Luka Hujber4%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ4%
Mateo Lisica4%
Ante MajstoroviÄ3%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Lovro MajkiÄ0%
Mario ÄuiÄ0%
Terrence Douglas0%
Eric Bjƶrkander0%
Zoran JosipoviÄ0%
Ivan ÄaluÅ”iÄ0%
SebastiƔn Nebyla0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Hamza Jaganjac0%
Salim Figo Lawal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ante Erceg24%
Elias Filet15%
Matej Vuk14%
Zoran JosipoviÄ12%
Emmanuel Ekong10%
Salim Figo Lawal8%
Mario ÄuiÄ7%
Darwin Matheus6%
Moris ValinÄiÄ4%
Slavko BlagojeviÄ4%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Luka Hujber0%
Ante MajstoroviÄ0%
Frano Mlinar0%
Lovro MajkiÄ0%
Terrence Douglas0%
Mladen Devetak0%
Eric Bjƶrkander0%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ0%
Ville Koski0%
Ivan ÄaluÅ”iÄ0%
SebastiƔn Nebyla0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Hamza Jaganjac0%
Antonio MauriÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
HNK Rijeka's squad is €23m more valuable than Istra 1961's (€34m vs €11m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
HNK Rijeka's attack is €17m more valuable than Istra 1961's (€21m vs €4m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
HNK Rijeka's midfield is €3m more valuable than Istra 1961's (€5m vs €2m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
HNK Rijeka's defence is €3m more valuable than Istra 1961's (€8m vs €5m).
Croatia: HNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →