PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg Result & Analysis

Date: 14/03/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 2-3
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Vs
44%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Nürnberg
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holstein Kiel win✗ Miss
44.4%
Avg Implied 39.8% · @ 2.33
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.52
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg win✓ Hit
27.2%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.73
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D21W20W22D12L13L12L13L11D02LA·1. 13/12H·DYN20/12H·SC 18/01A·ARM23/01H·SPV31/01A·HAN08/02H·FC 15/02A·KAR21/02H·SV 28/02A·SV 07/03
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.571.361.291.191.81
vs Stronger (3)0.672.001.002.000.502.00
vs Similar (26)1.351.501.381.231.311.77
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L21W32W02L11D12L51W11D12L01LA·FC 14/12H·HAN21/12H·SV 17/01A·SV 23/01H·PRE30/01A·SC 07/02H·KAR13/02A·VFL20/02A·HER01/03H·FOR07/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.571.501.441.291.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.381.651.501.571.251.75
vs Weaker (4)1.501.001.500.501.501.50
Clean sheet %7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.9%
@ 1.64-8.7%
Under 2.5
52.1%
@ 2.14+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 3.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
Holstein Kiel goals ↓
1. FC Nürnberg goals →
01234
08.7%7.1%4.6%1.7%0.5%
19.9%14%6.8%2.5%0.7%
28.2%9.1%5.1%1.9%0.5%
34.1%4.5%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.5%1.7%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Holstein Kiel goals (down), columns = 1. FC Nürnberg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Schalke 04
2.06
SV Elversberg
1.82
SC Paderborn 07
1.82
Hannover 96
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.50
Rot-Weiß Essen
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
Karlsruher SC
1.29
VfL Bochum
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
1. FC Magdeburg
1.15
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.11
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.09
Preußen Münster
0.88
Holstein Kiel is 0.15 points worse than 1. FC Nürnberg in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
SV Elversberg
1.88
Hannover 96
1.76
SC Paderborn 07
1.74
SV Darmstadt 98
1.68
Dynamo Dresden
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
FC Schalke 04
1.47
VfL Bochum
1.44
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
Hertha BSC
1.38
1. FC Nürnberg
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.29
Preußen Münster
1.12
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.97
Rot-Weiß Essen
0.50
Holstein Kiel is 0.09 goals worse than 1. FC Nürnberg in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Schalke 04
0.91
Rot-Weiß Essen
1.00
SV Elversberg
1.15
Hertha BSC
1.29
Hannover 96
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
SC Paderborn 07
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.41
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.56
Dynamo Dresden
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.59
1. FC Magdeburg
1.71
Preußen Münster
1.79
Karlsruher SC
1.88
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.92
Holstein Kiel is 0.09 goals worse than 1. FC Nürnberg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hannover 96
56%
1. FC Magdeburg
54%
SV Elversberg
53%
SC Paderborn 07
53%
Arminia Bielefeld
52%
Holstein Kiel
52%
Preußen Münster
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
51%
Dynamo Dresden
50%
1. FC Nürnberg
49%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
49%
Hertha BSC
49%
Karlsruher SC
48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
48%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
48%
FC Schalke 04
46%
VfL Bochum
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
44%
Rot-Weiß Essen
39%
Holstein Kiel is 2.4 percentage points better than 1. FC Nürnberg in terms of average possession (52% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

For 5.1 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

160515743964106265111794661271514811121610A·SV H·SV A·KARH·FC A·HANH·SPVA·ARMH·SC H·DYNA·1.
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

10034225531331413313274104345615A·SV H·SV A·KARH·FC A·HANH·SPVA·ARMH·SC H·DYNA·1.
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 13.9 · Total 27.8

⚠️ Fouls

3501212161612231912181213171610121878141124323531303026301525A·SV H·SV A·KARH·FC A·HANH·SPVA·ARMH·SC H·DYNA·1.
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg

For 5.1 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

11035633346567263733678961011991097H·FORA·HERA·VFLH·KARA·SC H·PREA·SV H·SV H·HANA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

601223113422414142333244661566H·FORA·HERA·VFLH·KARA·SC H·PREA·SV H·SV H·HANA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.6 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

340109131191311141416715781013149161819242225302215232334H·FORA·HERA·VFLH·KARA·SC H·PREA·SV H·SV H·HANA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.09.94.94.55.325.425.325.4
vs Stronger (11)9.68.511.03.84.23.420.922.319.2
vs Similar (38)10.010.59.65.14.65.526.426.326.4
vs Weaker (1)11.0-11.09.0-9.036.0-36.0
% over line50%46%54%74%75%73%76%79%73%
% under line50%54%46%26%25%27%24%21%27%
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.69.65.15.34.824.423.725.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)9.89.89.84.95.44.423.523.823.2
vs Weaker (9)11.615.08.85.74.86.428.423.032.8
% over line52%58%46%86%92%79%70%69%71%
% under line48%42%54%14%8%21%30%31%29%
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
VfL Bochum
11.1
Hertha BSC
10.8
Dynamo Dresden
10.7
SC Paderborn 07
10.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.4
SV Darmstadt 98
10.4
Hannover 96
10.3
Arminia Bielefeld
10.2
1. FC Magdeburg
10.2
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.1
1. FC Nürnberg
10.1
Holstein Kiel
10.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.0
SV Elversberg
9.8
Karlsruher SC
9.7
FC Schalke 04
9.5
Preußen Münster
9.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Preußen Münster
5.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.3
1. FC Nürnberg
5.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5.1
Karlsruher SC
5.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.9
Holstein Kiel
4.9
1. FC Magdeburg
4.9
Hannover 96
4.8
SC Paderborn 07
4.7
FC Schalke 04
4.7
SV Elversberg
4.7
VfL Bochum
4.6
SV Darmstadt 98
4.6
Hertha BSC
4.5
Dynamo Dresden
4.3
Arminia Bielefeld
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Preußen Münster
26.9
Hannover 96
26.7
1. FC Kaiserslautern
26.4
Holstein Kiel
25.4
Arminia Bielefeld
25.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
24.5
SV Elversberg
24.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.5
1. FC Nürnberg
24.4
SC Paderborn 07
24.3
Hertha BSC
24.2
SV Darmstadt 98
23.9
Dynamo Dresden
23.8
Karlsruher SC
23.7
FC Schalke 04
23.4
1. FC Magdeburg
23.4
VfL Bochum
23.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.9%
Under 3.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.4%
Under 21.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D10W20W00D02L02L01L00D00DA·1. 13/12H·DYN20/12H·SC 18/01A·ARM23/01H·SPV31/01A·HAN08/02H·FC 15/02A·KAR21/02H·SV 28/02A·SV 07/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.570.430.690.81
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.620.650.540.380.690.92
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L00D00D02L30W10W11D00DA·FC 14/12H·HAN21/12H·SV 17/01A·SV 23/01H·PRE30/01A·SC 07/02H·KAR13/02A·VFL20/02A·HER01/03H·FOR07/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.560.380.790.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.730.420.640.430.830.42
vs Weaker (4)0.250.750.000.000.501.50
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W10W02L12L11D10W12L11D02LA·1. 13/12H·DYN20/12H·SC 18/01A·ARM23/01H·SPV31/01A·HAN08/02H·FC 15/02A·KAR21/02H·SV 28/02A·SV 07/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.790.860.501.00
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.001.000.001.50
vs Similar (26)0.730.850.850.850.620.85
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W31W02L11D10W21W01L01L01LA·FC 14/12H·HAN21/12H·SV 17/01A·SV 23/01H·PRE30/01A·SC 07/02H·KAR13/02A·VFL20/02A·HER01/03H·FOR07/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.100.941.060.501.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.651.230.861.140.421.33
vs Weaker (4)1.250.251.500.501.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls90.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards86.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls81.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards70.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Holstein Kiel
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Phil Harres27%
Louis Köster20%
Alexander Bernhardsson18%
David Zec14%
Ivan Nekić13%
Adrián Kaprálik12%
Jonas Therkelsen11%
Kasper Davidsen10%
Steven Skrzybski10%
Carl Johansson8%
Umut Tohumcu7%
John Tolkin6%
Jonas Meffert6%
Marcus Müller4%
Niklas Niehoff3%
Lasse Rosenboom3%
Stefan Schwab0%
Timon Weiner0%
Marco Komenda0%
Finn Porath0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Andu Yobel Kelati0%
Robert Wagner0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Marko Ivezić0%
Aldin Jakupovic0%
Frederik Roslyng0%
Ikem Ugoh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andu Yobel Kelati43%
David Zec40%
Aldin Jakupovic33%
Carl Johansson31%
Ivan Nekić30%
Umut Tohumcu29%
Marko Ivezić27%
Kasper Davidsen26%
Magnus Knudsen25%
Frederik Roslyng22%
Adrián Kaprálik21%
Louis Köster20%
Lasse Rosenboom19%
Robert Wagner19%
Stefan Schwab18%
Jonas Meffert17%
Ikem Ugoh17%
Marcus Müller16%
Marco Komenda14%
John Tolkin13%
Timon Weiner12%
Steven Skrzybski10%
Alexander Bernhardsson9%
Jonas Therkelsen8%
Phil Harres5%
Jonas Krumrey4%
Finn Porath0%
Niklas Niehoff0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander Bernhardsson36%
Ikem Ugoh17%
Umut Tohumcu14%
Steven Skrzybski10%
Adrián Kaprálik9%
Phil Harres8%
Niklas Niehoff7%
John Tolkin6%
Jonas Meffert6%
Jonas Therkelsen5%
Jonas Krumrey4%
Marcus Müller4%
Stefan Schwab4%
Marko Ivezić3%
Kasper Davidsen3%
Lasse Rosenboom3%
Ivan Nekić0%
Timon Weiner0%
Marco Komenda0%
Finn Porath0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
David Zec0%
Carl Johansson0%
Andu Yobel Kelati0%
Robert Wagner0%
Louis Köster0%
Aldin Jakupovic0%
Frederik Roslyng0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steven Skrzybski24%
Phil Harres19%
Alexander Bernhardsson18%
Adrián Kaprálik9%
Jonas Therkelsen8%
Carl Johansson8%
Kasper Davidsen6%
Marcus Müller4%
Niklas Niehoff3%
Lasse Rosenboom3%
Stefan Schwab0%
Ivan Nekić0%
Timon Weiner0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Marco Komenda0%
Finn Porath0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
David Zec0%
John Tolkin0%
Andu Yobel Kelati0%
Umut Tohumcu0%
Robert Wagner0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Marko Ivezić0%
Louis Köster0%
Aldin Jakupovic0%
Frederik Roslyng0%
Ikem Ugoh0%
1. FC Nürnberg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Ali Zoma38%
Rafael Lubach20%
Artem Stepanov17%
Julian Justvan15%
Henri Koudossou13%
Luka Lochoshvili12%
Semir Telalović11%
Finn Ole Becker10%
Robin Knoche8%
Rabby Nzingoula7%
Tom Baack5%
Tim Janisch5%
Piet Scobel5%
Adriano Grimaldi4%
Adam Markhiev4%
Fabio Gruber3%
Berkay Yılmaz3%
Danilo Soares0%
Jan Reichert0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Mickaël Biron0%
Styopa Mkrtchyan0%
Tim Drexler0%
Pape Diop0%
Noah Le Bret Maboulou0%
Justin von der Hitz0%
Ayoub Chaikhoun0%
Eric Porstner0%
Artem Stepanov0%
Javier Fernandez0%
Marko Soldic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adam Markhiev46%
Javier Fernandez38%
Danilo Soares33%
Finn Ole Becker30%
Ondrej Karafiat25%
Fabio Gruber24%
Rafael Lubach23%
Semir Telalović22%
Berkay Yılmaz21%
Pape Diop20%
Tim Janisch20%
Rabby Nzingoula20%
Luka Lochoshvili18%
Tom Baack15%
Mohamed Ali Zoma10%
Julian Justvan9%
Noah Le Bret Maboulou8%
Mickaël Biron8%
Tim Drexler8%
Henri Koudossou7%
Piet Scobel5%
Jan Reichert3%
Robin Knoche0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Styopa Mkrtchyan0%
Justin von der Hitz0%
Ayoub Chaikhoun0%
Artem Stepanov0%
Eric Porstner0%
Artem Stepanov0%
Marko Soldic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julian Justvan21%
Berkay Yılmaz21%
Justin von der Hitz17%
Mohamed Ali Zoma14%
Artem Stepanov12%
Javier Fernandez12%
Finn Ole Becker10%
Adriano Grimaldi8%
Tim Drexler8%
Henri Koudossou7%
Rabby Nzingoula7%
Tom Baack5%
Adam Markhiev4%
Rafael Lubach3%
Fabio Gruber3%
Danilo Soares0%
Robin Knoche0%
Jan Reichert0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Mickaël Biron0%
Styopa Mkrtchyan0%
Semir Telalović0%
Pape Diop0%
Noah Le Bret Maboulou0%
Tim Janisch0%
Ayoub Chaikhoun0%
Artem Stepanov0%
Eric Porstner0%
Piet Scobel0%
Marko Soldic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Danilo Soares33%
Artem Stepanov33%
Julian Justvan24%
Mohamed Ali Zoma21%
Pape Diop20%
Semir Telalović11%
Piet Scobel10%
Luka Lochoshvili9%
Noah Le Bret Maboulou8%
Rafael Lubach7%
Finn Ole Becker3%
Tom Baack0%
Robin Knoche0%
Jan Reichert0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Mickaël Biron0%
Fabio Gruber0%
Styopa Mkrtchyan0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Tim Drexler0%
Berkay Yılmaz0%
Tim Janisch0%
Rabby Nzingoula0%
Adam Markhiev0%
Justin von der Hitz0%
Ayoub Chaikhoun0%
Eric Porstner0%
Artem Stepanov0%
Javier Fernandez0%
Marko Soldic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS0 (29)
€67m
SE (27)
€52m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
1FK (26)
€28m
HB (24)
€25m
SD9 (28)
€24m
1FM (26)
€21m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
FD (26)
€10m
PM (26)
€9m
RE (23)
€9m
Holstein Kiel's squad is €6m less valuable than 1. FC Nürnberg's (€34m vs €40m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (12)
€33m
FS0 (8)
€17m
KS (7)
€16m
1FN (9)
€14m
SP0 (11)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
1FK (9)
€12m
1FM (9)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
HB (8)
€8m
EB (8)
€7m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
SGF (6)
€4m
RE (8)
€4m
PM (8)
€3m
FD (8)
€3m
Holstein Kiel's attack is €2m less valuable than 1. FC Nürnberg's (€12m vs €14m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS0 (8)
€24m
SP0 (13)
€18m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
1FK (6)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
KS (6)
€4m
SE (3)
€4m
1FM (4)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
HB (6)
€3m
PM (6)
€3m
FD (5)
€2m
RE (4)
€1m
Holstein Kiel's midfield is €7m less valuable than 1. FC Nürnberg's (€7m vs €13m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS0 (13)
€26m
HK (15)
€16m
SE (12)
€14m
HB (10)
€13m
1FN (13)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
1FK (11)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
1FM (13)
€7m
FD (13)
€5m
PM (12)
€3m
RE (11)
€3m
Holstein Kiel's defence is €4m more valuable than 1. FC Nürnberg's (€16m vs €12m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
HK wins
2
Draws
2
1FN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg · H/A from HK
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/25A1. FC Nürnberg Vs HK1-1
06/04/24A1. FC Nürnberg Vs HK0-4
29/10/23HHK Vs 1. FC Nürnberg0-2
15/04/23HHK Vs 1. FC Nürnberg2-1
09/10/22A1. FC Nürnberg Vs HK2-3
08/05/22HHK Vs 1. FC Nürnberg3-0
04/12/21A1. FC Nürnberg Vs HK2-1
27/04/21A1. FC Nürnberg Vs HK1-1

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26ASV Darmstadt 98 Vs HK2-0
28/02/26HHK Vs SV Elversberg1-1
21/02/26AKarlsruher SC Vs HK3-1
15/02/26HHK Vs FC Schalke 041-2
08/02/26AHannover 96 Vs HK3-1
31/01/26HHK Vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-2
23/01/26AArminia Bielefeld Vs HK2-2
18/01/26HHK Vs SC Paderborn 072-0
20/12/25HHK Vs Dynamo Dresden2-1
13/12/25A1. FC Magdeburg Vs HK3-3

1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26H1FN Vs Fortuna Düsseldorf0-1
01/03/26AHertha BSC Vs 1FN2-1
20/02/26AVfL Bochum Vs 1FN1-1
13/02/26H1FN Vs Karlsruher SC5-1
07/02/26ASC Paderborn 07 Vs 1FN2-1
30/01/26H1FN Vs Preußen Münster1-1
23/01/26ASV Darmstadt 98 Vs 1FN2-0
17/01/26H1FN Vs SV Elversberg3-2
21/12/25H1FN Vs Hannover 962-1
14/12/25AFC Schalke 04 Vs 1FN1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.90
HomeWWLLD1.08
AwayDDLLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%29%15%
AVG goals3.223.083.35
Over 1.5 %90%92%88%
Over 2.5 %64%62%65%
Over 3.5 %38%25%50%
Scored1.341.421.27
Conceded1.881.672.08
BTTS70%62%77%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners9.9610.009.92
Cards4.904.505.27
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Nürnberg
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL1.28
HomeWWDWL1.62
AwayLLLDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.882.653.12
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %64%58%71%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.401.461.33
Conceded1.481.191.79
BTTS64%54%75%
Clean Sheet20%31%8%
Corners10.1210.589.62
Cards5.165.315.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 043470
62%
2.1
5031+19
2.4
62%
47%
18%
9.3
38%
4.5
65%
24.6
71%
67
1724261.50.9
46%
2SV ElversbergSV Elversberg3462
53%
1.8
6439+25
3.0
82%
59%
38%
10.3
62%
4.8
70%
24.4
71%
52
334141.91.1
53%
3SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 073462
53%
1.8
5945+14
3.1
88%
62%
26%
9.7
56%
4.7
79%
24.1
71%
43
1418111.71.3
53%
4Hannover 96Hannover 963460
47%
1.8
6044+16
3.1
85%
68%
41%
10.3
47%
4.7
68%
26.1
79%
33
1011121.81.3
56%
5SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 983452
38%
1.5
5745+12
3.0
82%
56%
41%
10.4
56%
3.8
55%
23.4
65%
24
9681.71.3
51%
61. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern3452
47%
1.5
5247+5
2.9
76%
59%
38%
9.6
62%
5.2
76%
25.5
76%
28
125111.51.4
48%
7Hertha BSCHertha BSC3451
41%
1.5
4744+3
2.7
68%
47%
24%
10.3
56%
4.9
73%
23.9
68%
25
83131.41.3
49%
81. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg3446
35%
1.4
4745+2
2.7
82%
53%
18%
9.7
47%
4.9
79%
25.1
74%
40
1413121.41.3
49%
9VfL BochumVfL Bochum3444
32%
1.3
4947+2
2.8
85%
50%
26%
10.8
62%
5.2
75%
23.2
56%
19
6581.41.4
46%
10Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC3444
35%
1.3
5364-11
3.4
85%
76%
53%
9.4
41%
4.8
59%
22.4
47%
31
164121.61.9
48%
11Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden3441
32%
1.2
5453+1
3.1
88%
71%
35%
10.8
59%
4.2
62%
23.1
56%
19
6481.61.6
50%
12Holstein KielHolstein Kiel3441
32%
1.2
4448-4
2.7
82%
53%
24%
10.1
56%
5.8
85%
27.6
91%
34
127161.31.4
52%
13SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth3640
31%
1.1
5169-18
3.3
83%
64%
36%
10.2
47%
4.8
74%
24.2
69%
19
4591.41.9
48%
14Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld3439
29%
1.1
5351+2
3.1
85%
53%
38%
10.4
59%
4.8
64%
26.4
82%
18
7471.61.5
52%
151. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg3439
35%
1.1
5258-6
3.2
76%
53%
35%
10.0
50%
4.9
74%
23.8
68%
21
10471.51.7
54%
16Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig3437
29%
1.1
3654-18
2.6
79%
50%
24%
10.5
65%
5.4
76%
25.4
71%
21
7591.11.6
44%
17Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf3437
32%
1.1
3353-20
2.5
71%
56%
15%
8.9
41%
5.2
77%
23.2
68%
10
3251.01.6
49%
18Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster3430
18%
0.9
3861-23
2.9
82%
62%
32%
10.0
56%
5.6
88%
26.5
71%
9
3331.11.8
52%
19Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
3.5
50%
24.5
50%
9
4130.51.0
39%
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches