This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.93
1.12
0.88
1.21
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.25
1.00
1.15
1.00
1.36
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ibiza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.8%
Under 1.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.0%
@ 2.39+1.5%
Under 2.5
59.0%
@ 1.56-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.4%
1-0 ✓
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.3%
Ibiza goals ↓
Tenerife goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
10%
7.0%
2.8%
0.8%
1
9.8%
15%
7.9%
3.1%
0.9%
2
6.3%
7.5%
4.5%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.4%
2.8%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ibiza goals (down), columns = Tenerife goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Granada CF
1.79
Levante
1.72
Alaves
1.72
Las Palmas
1.71
Eibar
1.64
Albacete
1.52
FC Andorra
1.40
Oviedo
1.40
FC Cartagena
1.38
Tenerife
1.36
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.29
Leganes
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Huesca
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Villarreal II
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.19
Malaga
1.05
Ponferradina
1.05
Ibiza
0.81
Lugo
0.74
Ibiza is 0.55 points worse than Tenerife in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 1.36).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Albacete
1.34
Granada CF
1.31
Villarreal II
1.17
Las Palmas
1.17
Mirandes
1.14
Levante
1.13
FC Andorra
1.12
FC Cartagena
1.12
Alaves
1.11
Eibar
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Tenerife
1.00
Ponferradina
0.95
Zaragoza
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Malaga
0.88
Leganes
0.88
Huesca
0.86
Oviedo
0.81
Burgos
0.79
Ibiza
0.79
Lugo
0.64
Ibiza is 0.21 goals worse than Tenerife in terms of goals scored per game (0.79 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Las Palmas
0.69
Levante
0.70
Granada CF
0.71
Alaves
0.74
Burgos
0.83
Oviedo
0.83
Huesca
0.86
Tenerife
0.88
FC Andorra
0.88
Eibar
0.89
Zaragoza
0.93
Racing Santander
0.95
Leganes
1.00
Malaga
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.17
Albacete
1.20
Ponferradina
1.26
Mirandes
1.29
Villarreal II
1.31
Lugo
1.36
Ibiza
1.57
Ibiza is 0.69 goals worse than Tenerife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ibiza
For 5.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.8 · Against 10.0 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tenerife
For 4.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 14.3 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ibiza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
9.7
9.5
9.9
3.8
4.0
3.6
28.1
29.5
26.7
vs Stronger (31)
9.4
9.2
9.6
4.1
4.3
3.8
27.9
29.3
26.4
vs Similar (15)
10.2
10.1
10.3
3.3
3.4
3.1
28.6
30.0
27.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
48%
57%
54%
61%
48%
90%
100%
81%
% under line
48%
52%
43%
46%
39%
52%
10%
0%
19%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.7
8.3
4.8
5.0
4.7
27.9
27.9
27.9
vs Stronger (7)
8.2
5.0
10.3
4.7
2.7
6.2
28.8
25.5
31.0
vs Similar (39)
8.5
8.8
8.1
4.9
5.2
4.6
28.1
28.4
27.7
vs Weaker (4)
9.8
12.0
7.5
4.0
5.5
2.5
25.2
25.5
25.0
% over line
28%
30%
26%
68%
68%
68%
91%
91%
91%
% under line
72%
70%
74%
32%
32%
32%
9%
9%
9%
This opponent (Ibiza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
9.9
Huesca
9.9
Alaves
9.9
Ibiza
9.7
Zaragoza
9.6
Granada CF
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Eibar
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Burgos
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Levante
9.0
Racing Santander
8.8
Oviedo
8.8
Tenerife
8.7
Las Palmas
8.7
Leganes
8.6
FC Cartagena
8.5
Albacete
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.0
Granada CF
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Albacete
5.5
Las Palmas
5.4
Levante
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Zaragoza
5.1
Oviedo
5.0
FC Cartagena
4.9
Mirandes
4.9
Leganes
4.9
Huesca
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Alaves
4.7
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Lugo
4.6
Eibar
4.3
Ibiza
4.2
Burgos
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
33.9
Las Palmas
30.7
Leganes
30.0
Albacete
29.4
FC Cartagena
28.9
Ibiza
28.1
Huesca
28.1
Malaga
28.0
Tenerife
28.0
Lugo
27.7
Oviedo
27.2
Alaves
26.7
Zaragoza
26.6
Granada CF
25.9
Mirandes
25.6
Levante
25.3
Burgos
24.6
Eibar
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Sporting Gijon
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.8%
Under 9.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.5%
Under 3.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
89.5%
Under 21.5
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ibiza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.87
0.40
0.87
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (20)
0.20
0.85
0.20
0.70
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.90
0.80
1.20
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.62
0.31
0.50
0.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.38
0.62
0.38
0.45
0.36
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Ibiza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ibiza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ibiza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ibiza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ibiza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
1.07
0.47
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (20)
0.85
0.85
0.90
0.60
0.80
1.10
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.50
1.40
0.20
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.50
0.56
0.71
0.57
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.62
0.54
0.62
0.91
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ibiza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ibiza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ibiza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ibiza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ibiza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alejandro Sanchez33%
Cristian Herrera20%
Ekain Zenitagoia13%
Juan Fernández10%
Mateusz Bogusz9%
Coke9%
Papakouli Diop8%
Lukáš Juliš8%
Kaxe8%
Miguel Villar Miki7%
Fausto Grillo6%
Darío Poveda6%
Suleiman Camara5%
Nolito4%
Iván Morante3%
Daniel Fuzato0%
Javi Vázquez0%
Gonzalo Escobar0%
Kevin Appin0%
Williams Alarcón0%
Marcos Mauro0%
Alejandro Gálvez0%
Martín Pascual0%
German Parreño Boix0%
Sergio Castel Martínez0%
David Goldar0%
Armando Shashoua0%
Miguel Azeez0%
Zé Carlos0%
José Menargues0%
Francisco Grima0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Álvaro García0%
Javier Serrano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Goldar46%
German Parreño Boix40%
Alejandro Gálvez38%
Fausto Grillo35%
Álvaro García33%
Isma Ruiz31%
Miguel Azeez30%
Martín Pascual29%
Juan Fernández29%
Iván Morante28%
Javier Serrano27%
Gonzalo Escobar26%
Marcos Mauro25%
Javi Vázquez24%
Papakouli Diop23%
Cristian Herrera23%
Suleiman Camara22%
Sergio Castel Martínez19%
Nolito19%
José Menargues18%
Ekain Zenitagoia18%
Coke17%
Zé Carlos17%
Francisco Grima16%
Lukáš Juliš15%
Kevin Appin14%
Daniel Fuzato11%
Armando Shashoua10%
Kaxe8%
Miguel Villar Miki7%
Williams Alarcón0%
Mateusz Bogusz0%
Darío Poveda0%
Alejandro Sanchez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Williams Alarcón17%
Ekain Zenitagoia10%
José Menargues9%
Kevin Appin9%
Lukáš Juliš8%
Miguel Villar Miki7%
Sergio Castel Martínez6%
Javi Vázquez6%
Darío Poveda6%
Suleiman Camara5%
Nolito4%
Iván Morante3%
Cristian Herrera3%
Daniel Fuzato0%
Gonzalo Escobar0%
Mateusz Bogusz0%
Marcos Mauro0%
Juan Fernández0%
Papakouli Diop0%
Coke0%
Alejandro Gálvez0%
Martín Pascual0%
Fausto Grillo0%
German Parreño Boix0%
David Goldar0%
Kaxe0%
Armando Shashoua0%
Miguel Azeez0%
Zé Carlos0%
Francisco Grima0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Álvaro García0%
Javier Serrano0%
Alejandro Sanchez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cristian Herrera23%
Mateusz Bogusz18%
Ekain Zenitagoia13%
Suleiman Camara8%
Lukáš Juliš8%
Kaxe8%
Sergio Castel Martínez6%
Darío Poveda6%
Coke4%
Daniel Fuzato0%
Javi Vázquez0%
Nolito0%
Gonzalo Escobar0%
Kevin Appin0%
Williams Alarcón0%
Marcos Mauro0%
Juan Fernández0%
Papakouli Diop0%
Alejandro Gálvez0%
Martín Pascual0%
Fausto Grillo0%
German Parreño Boix0%
David Goldar0%
Miguel Villar Miki0%
Armando Shashoua0%
Miguel Azeez0%
Zé Carlos0%
José Menargues0%
Francisco Grima0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Álvaro García0%
Iván Morante0%
Javier Serrano0%
Alejandro Sanchez0%
Tenerife
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enric Gallego22%
Waldo Rubio Marín19%
Dauda Mohammed15%
Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez14%
Iván Romero12%
Borja Garcés11%
Teto8%
Samuel Shashoua8%
Nacho Martínez6%
José Ángel Jurado de la Torre4%
Nikola Šipčić3%
Aitor Sanz3%
Jeremy Mellot2%
Juan Soriano0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Sergio González0%
Carlos Ruiz0%
Javier Alonso0%
José León0%
Aitor Buñuel0%
Pablo Larrea0%
Álex Corredera0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Daniel Selma0%
Kike Salas0%
Alassán Gutiérrez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aitor Sanz43%
Nacho Martínez36%
José Ángel Jurado de la Torre33%
Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez33%
Sergio González30%
Kike Salas29%
Nikola Šipčić27%
David Rodríguez Ramos25%
Carlos Ruiz23%
Enric Gallego22%
Waldo Rubio Marín19%
José León18%
Iván Romero18%
Álex Corredera16%
Dauda Mohammed15%
Aitor Buñuel12%
Borja Garcés11%
Teto11%
Juan Soriano10%
Samuel Shashoua8%
Jeremy Mellot7%
Javier Alonso6%
Arvin Appiah0%
Pablo Larrea0%
Daniel Selma0%
Alassán Gutiérrez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Martínez14%
Arvin Appiah9%
Iván Romero9%
Samuel Shashoua8%
Enric Gallego8%
Dauda Mohammed7%
Waldo Rubio Marín6%
Álex Corredera4%
Sergio González4%
José Ángel Jurado de la Torre4%
Borja Garcés3%
Juan Soriano2%
Jeremy Mellot0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Carlos Ruiz0%
Javier Alonso0%
Aitor Sanz0%
José León0%
Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez0%
Aitor Buñuel0%
Pablo Larrea0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Daniel Selma0%
Kike Salas0%
Teto0%
Alassán Gutiérrez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enric Gallego38%
Iván Romero21%
Waldo Rubio Marín19%
Borja Garcés8%
Samuel Shashoua8%
Dauda Mohammed7%
Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez5%
Álex Corredera4%
José Ángel Jurado de la Torre4%
Juan Soriano0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Jeremy Mellot0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Sergio González0%
Carlos Ruiz0%
Javier Alonso0%
Aitor Sanz0%
Nacho Martínez0%
José León0%
Aitor Buñuel0%
Pablo Larrea0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Daniel Selma0%
Kike Salas0%
Teto0%
Alassán Gutiérrez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Levante
Alaves
Granada CF
Las Palmas
Eibar
Albacete
FC Andorra
Oviedo
FC Cartagena
Racing Santander
Burgos
Zaragoza
Leganes
Huesca
Mirandes
Sporting Gijon
Villarreal II
Malaga
Ponferradina
Lugo