Ilirija vs Beltinci Result & Analysis

Ilirija’s recent three-game winning streak gives them a glimmer of confidence, yet the odds still favor Beltinci to lift the trophy. The model assigns a 52 % chance to an away victory, 27 % to a draw and 21 % to a home win, making the away win the clear favourite. With an expected total of 2.6 goals, the most likely final tally is two goals, and the single scoreline the model deems most probable is a 1-1 draw, carrying a 12.8 % probability. Ilirija, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.36 goals scored and 1.82 conceded, while Beltinci, on the road, nets 1.44 and concedes only 0.89 against the same tier. The model’s selections include an 74.9 % chance of Over 1.5 goals, and an 73.1 % chance of Under 3.5, with the latter marked as a miss. The final outcome, a 1-3 away win for Beltinci, confirms the model’s prediction.

The match finished 1-3 in favour of Beltinci, extending their three-game winning run. The model had tipped an away win with a 52 % probability, and this call proved correct. The predicted 2.6 goals fell short of the actual total, but the most likely scoreline of 1-1 was not achieved. The model’s suggested picks performed unevenly: Over 1.5, with a 74.9 % chance, hit as the game produced four goals, while Under 3.5, at 73.1 %, missed. Ilirija’s home form had been mixed, and Beltinci’s away form remained strong, reflected in their 1.44 average goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Overall, the model’s favourite was right, but its over-under selections were mixed.