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Inverness CT vs ST Johnstone Result & Analysis

Date: 19/07/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Vs
22%
23%
55%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Inverness CT win✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone win✓ Hit
55.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W01L11D14L30W02L11D30W20W20WH·STE11/03H·ANN15/03H·ALL22/03A·QUE29/03A·COV05/04H·KEL12/04A·STE19/04H·ARB26/04A·MON03/05H·ELG15/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.131.290.931.441.31
vs Stronger (17)1.411.291.001.121.781.44
vs Similar (4)0.751.501.501.000.002.00
vs Weaker (9)1.560.671.750.501.400.80
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L10W01L05L23L02L21W12L02L31WA·HIB29/03H·CEL06/04A·DUN12/04H·CEL20/04A·MOT26/04H·KIL03/05H·ROS10/05A·HEA14/05H·DUN18/05A·EAS12/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.570.881.351.001.85
vs Stronger (12)0.582.000.501.500.672.50
vs Similar (18)1.171.281.091.271.291.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.7%
Under 2.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.6%
No
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1 ✓
6.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.4%
Inverness CT goals ↓
ST Johnstone goals →
01234
04.7%6.8%7.9%5.4%2.8%
13.7%10%9.7%6.6%3.4%
22.9%5.8%6.0%4.1%2.1%
31.2%2.4%2.5%1.7%0.9%
40.4%0.7%0.8%0.5%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inverness CT goals (down), columns = ST Johnstone goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Dundee Utd
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Airdrie United
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
ST Johnstone
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Partick
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Inverness CT is 0.80 points worse than ST Johnstone in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Airdrie United
3.20
Queen's Park
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Falkirk
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ayr Utd
2.25
Clyde
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Dundee Utd
2.00
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Livingston
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Inverness CT
0.75
Morton
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Inverness CT is 1.45 goals worse than ST Johnstone in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 2.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Falkirk
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Ayr Utd
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Peterhead
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
East Kilbride
4.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Inverness CT is 0.35 goals worse than ST Johnstone in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 5.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

140861364854417539375831441013888121211A·MONH·ARBA·STEH·KELA·COVA·QUEH·ALLH·ANNH·STEA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

501111123211131311231225224425A·MONH·ARBA·STEH·KELA·COVA·QUEH·ALLH·ANNH·STEA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.6

⚠️ Fouls

32012917151013127910101411124910571021322319192423131517A·MONH·ARBA·STEH·KELA·COVA·QUEH·ALLH·ANNH·STEA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

For 4.2 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

150197844529556411251644101587141115778H·DUNA·HEAH·ROSH·KILA·MOTA·DUNH·CELA·HIBH·ABEA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

603121132114214231224343536422H·DUNA·HEAH·ROSH·KILA·MOTA·DUNH·CELA·HIBA·DUNH·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

3201089712171216171514151310101051691118162928322923202120H·DUNA·HEAH·ROSH·KILA·MOTA·DUNH·CELA·HIBH·ABEA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.08.92.62.72.421.221.620.8
vs Stronger (28)9.39.19.62.93.22.621.020.921.1
vs Similar (9)6.87.56.01.00.81.323.028.018.0
vs Weaker (13)9.19.38.83.03.52.620.920.721.2
% over line43%47%39%32%38%25%49%58%39%
% under line57%53%61%68%62%75%51%42%61%
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.511.49.63.13.23.022.521.923.1
vs Stronger (18)11.812.810.93.23.23.221.220.921.5
vs Similar (31)9.610.58.83.23.23.123.322.524.2
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line52%55%50%44%56%32%57%55%60%
% under line48%45%50%56%44%68%43%45%40%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
Aberdeen
11.6
Ross County
11.5
Falkirk
11.4
Hibernian
11.3
Morton
11.2
Motherwell
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.1
Kilmarnock
10.7
Dumbarton
10.7
ST Johnstone
10.7
Dunfermline
10.6
Rangers
10.6
Airdrie United
10.6
Dundee
10.5
Heart Of Midlothian
10.5
Stirling
10.4
Arbroath
10.3
Kelty Hearts
10.1
ST Mirren
10.1
Partick
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Cove Rangers
10.0
Clyde
9.8
Forfar
9.6
East Fife
9.6
Stenhousemuir
9.5
Montrose
9.4
Stranraer
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Elgin
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Livingston
9.0
Inverness CT
8.9
Peterhead
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Ayr Utd
9.0
Peterhead
5.1
Morton
4.7
Aberdeen
4.6
Elgin
4.6
Forfar
4.6
Edinburgh City
4.5
Dundee Utd
4.4
Clyde
4.3
ST Mirren
4.3
Stirling
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Motherwell
4.1
Hibernian
4.1
Partick
4.0
Stranraer
4.0
ST Johnstone
4.0
Spartans
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
3.9
East Fife
3.9
Kilmarnock
3.9
Dundee
3.8
Livingston
3.7
Annan Athletic
3.7
Stenhousemuir
3.7
Dumbarton
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Montrose
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Celtic
3.5
Airdrie United
3.5
Inverness CT
3.4
Ross County
3.3
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Cove Rangers
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.8
Peterhead
24.6
Elgin
23.8
Edinburgh City
23.8
Livingston
23.5
Aberdeen
23.3
East Fife
23.1
Clyde
22.6
Morton
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.1
Motherwell
22.0
Spartans
22.0
Falkirk
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.8
Kilmarnock
21.7
ST Mirren
21.7
Stirling
21.5
Rangers
21.4
Heart Of Midlothian
21.4
Dundee Utd
21.0
Inverness CT
20.8
Ross County
20.7
Airdrie United
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Montrose
20.1
Partick
20.0
Dunfermline
20.0
Hibernian
19.9
Annan Athletic
19.8
Dundee
19.7
Arbroath
19.7
Kelty Hearts
19.7
Stranraer
19.6
Dumbarton
18.9
Celtic
18.4
Cove Rangers
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.1%
Under 9.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
1.8%
Under 3.5
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.3%
Under 21.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Inverness CT or Draw✗ Miss
44.7%
Avg Implied -
22%
23%
55%
covers Inverness CT + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT or ST Johnstone✓ Hit
76.9%
Avg Implied -
22%
23%
55%
covers Inverness CT + ST Johnstone
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or ST Johnstone✓ Hit
78.4%
Avg Implied -
22%
23%
55%
covers Draw + ST Johnstone
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.8%
Under
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.9%
Under
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.8%
Under
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.1%
Under
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
60.7%
Under
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
33.6%
Under
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.2%
Under
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Inverness CT, so a minus line means Inverness CT give that many goals of a start and ST Johnstone receive them. At -1, Inverness CT must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Inverness CT win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Inverness CT)Actual: ST Johnstone
Inverness CT -2
2.9%
Draw -2
6.2%
ST Johnstone +2
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Inverness CT)Actual: ST Johnstone
Inverness CT -1
9.0%
Draw -1
12.6%
ST Johnstone +1
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Inverness CT)Actual: Draw
Inverness CT +1
44.7%
Draw +1
21.5%
ST Johnstone -1
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Inverness CT)Actual: Inverness CT
Inverness CT +2
66.3%
Draw +2
17.0%
ST Johnstone -2
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Inverness CTInverness CT

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L10W11D20W00D00D20W10W20WH·STE11/03H·ANN15/03H·ALL22/03A·QUE29/03A·COV05/04H·KEL12/04A·STE19/04H·ARB26/04A·MON03/05H·ELG15/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.860.430.560.50
vs Stronger (17)0.760.530.750.500.780.56
vs Similar (4)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (9)0.670.331.000.500.400.20
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W01L04L12L01L11D02L01L01LA·HIB29/03H·CEL06/04A·DUN12/04H·CEL20/04A·MOT26/04H·KIL03/05H·ROS10/05A·HEA14/05H·DUN18/05A·EAS12/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.930.290.760.231.15
vs Stronger (12)0.251.170.330.830.171.50
vs Similar (18)0.280.780.270.730.290.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Inverness CTInverness CT

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L03L10W02L11D10W10W00DH·STE11/03H·ANN15/03H·ALL22/03A·QUE29/03A·COV05/04H·KEL12/04A·STE19/04H·ARB26/04A·MON03/05H·ELG15/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.430.500.880.81
vs Stronger (17)0.650.760.250.621.000.89
vs Similar (4)0.251.000.501.000.001.00
vs Weaker (9)0.890.330.750.001.000.60
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D01L11D01L10W10W01L30WA·HIB29/03H·CEL06/04A·DUN12/04H·CEL20/04A·MOT26/04H·KIL03/05H·ROS10/05A·HEA14/05H·DUN18/05A·EAS12/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.590.590.770.69
vs Stronger (12)0.330.830.170.670.501.00
vs Similar (18)0.890.500.820.551.000.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards99.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards99.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards98.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.598.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.595.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 cards92.2%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap91.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.588.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals87.2%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals87.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls86.0%--------
Over 1.584.9%-------✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals84.8%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away78.4%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap78.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners78.1%--------
Home or Away76.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls74.3%--------
Home over 0.5 goals70.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

ST Johnstone · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ruari Paton33%
Cheick Diabate33%
Kai Fotheringham33%
Josh Fowler33%
Jason Holt0%
Sam Stanton0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Liam Smith0%
Jamie Gullan0%
Reece McAlear0%
Toby Steward0%
Zach Mitchell0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Liam Smith33%
Jamie Gullan33%
Cheick Diabate33%
Jason Holt0%
Sam Stanton0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Ruari Paton0%
Reece McAlear0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Toby Steward0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Josh Fowler0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sam Stanton33%
Jamie Gullan33%
Josh Fowler33%
Jason Holt0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Liam Smith0%
Ruari Paton0%
Reece McAlear0%
Cheick Diabate0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Toby Steward0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamie Gullan33%
Jason Holt0%
Sam Stanton0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Liam Smith0%
Ruari Paton0%
Reece McAlear0%
Cheick Diabate0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Toby Steward0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Josh Fowler0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Inverness CT's squad is €5m less valuable than ST Johnstone's (€1m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Inverness CT's attack is €2m less valuable than ST Johnstone's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Inverness CT and ST Johnstone have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Inverness CT's defence is €2m less valuable than ST Johnstone's (€0m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
IC wins
1
Draws
4
SJ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Inverness CT vs ST Johnstone · H/A from IC
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/17HIC Vs ST Johnstone0-3
03/12/16AST Johnstone Vs IC3-0
27/08/16HIC Vs ST Johnstone2-1
09/03/16AST Johnstone Vs IC1-0
24/10/15HIC Vs ST Johnstone0-1
08/08/15AST Johnstone Vs IC1-1

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/07/25HIC Vs Elgin2-0
03/05/25AMontrose Vs IC0-2
26/04/25HIC Vs Arbroath3-0
19/04/25AStenhousemuir Vs IC1-1
12/04/25HIC Vs Kelty Hearts0-2
05/04/25ACove Rangers Vs IC0-3
29/03/25AQueen of Sth Vs IC4-1
22/03/25HIC Vs Alloa1-1
15/03/25HIC Vs Annan Athletic0-1
11/03/25HIC Vs Stenhousemuir4-1

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/07/25AEast Kilbride Vs SJ1-3
18/05/25HSJ Vs Dundee0-2
14/05/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs SJ2-1
10/05/25HSJ Vs Ross County2-1
03/05/25HSJ Vs Kilmarnock0-2
26/04/25AMotherwell Vs SJ3-2
20/04/25HSJ Vs Celtic0-5
12/04/25ADundee Utd Vs SJ1-0
06/04/25HSJ Vs Celtic1-0
29/03/25AHibernian Vs SJ3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.46
HomeLDLWW1.58
AwayWLWDW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.282.042.54
Over 1.5 %64%62%67%
Over 2.5 %36%23%50%
Over 3.5 %20%15%25%
Scored1.161.191.12
Conceded1.120.851.42
BTTS40%38%42%
Clean Sheet38%42%33%
Corners8.979.008.94
Cards3.493.743.22
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.14
HomeWLLWL1.32
AwayLLLLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.822.643.00
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %26%20%32%
Scored1.161.161.16
Conceded1.661.481.84
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners10.5011.409.60
Cards4.134.264.00

🏆 17. League Table

Inverness CT plays in Scotland - League One
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inverness CTInverness CT3674
58%
2.1
6024+36
2.3
72%
39%
25%
9.1
39%
3.5
47%
22.2
53%
1
0001.70.7
-
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3667
50%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
64%
33%
22%
8.6
39%
5.2
81%
27.0
81%
0
0001.40.8
-
3
H
Hamilton		3655
44%
1.5
5442+12
2.7
75%
58%
33%
9.7
44%
3.2
42%
20.4
39%
0
0001.51.2
-
4
QO
Queen of Sth		3654
39%
1.5
5847+11
2.9
92%
53%
33%
8.9
33%
5.2
75%
24.3
67%
0
0001.61.3
-
5
A
Alloa		3653
42%
1.5
5038+12
2.4
67%
44%
22%
9.4
42%
4.5
61%
23.4
64%
0
0001.41.1
-
6PeterheadPeterhead3643
33%
1.2
4864-16
3.1
92%
67%
42%
9.5
44%
5.0
78%
27.9
86%
0
0001.31.8
-
7MontroseMontrose3642
31%
1.2
4867-19
3.2
89%
61%
39%
8.6
31%
3.7
61%
23.7
69%
0
0001.31.9
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers3638
25%
1.1
4144-3
2.4
69%
39%
22%
9.4
44%
3.5
47%
22.3
53%
0
0001.11.2
-
9East FifeEast Fife3636
25%
1.0
3461-27
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.6
47%
3.4
50%
22.8
56%
0
0000.91.7
-
10Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3629
17%
0.8
3362-29
2.6
86%
50%
22%
9.4
42%
4.7
75%
23.8
61%
1
1000.91.7
-
11Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical410
75%
2.5
106+4
4.0
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.51.5
-
12ClydeClyde45
25%
1.2
76+1
3.2
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
13SpartansSpartans21
0%
0.5
13-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
14ForfarForfar20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
Scotland: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
ST Johnstone plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ST JohnstoneST Johnstone48103
60%
2.1
8734+53
2.5
67%
44%
29%
10.0
50%
4.8
83%
22.5
67%
5
2121.80.7
-
2PartickPartick4889
48%
1.9
7246+26
2.5
75%
44%
27%
10.7
67%
4.6
58%
20.2
33%
3
1111.51.0
-
3DunfermlineDunfermline4874
44%
1.5
6949+20
2.5
73%
44%
25%
7.0
8%
4.8
83%
23.9
67%
4
2021.41.0
-
4ArbroathArbroath4871
38%
1.5
6055+5
2.4
69%
46%
21%
8.2
33%
4.2
67%
23.8
67%
1
0001.21.1
-
5MortonMorton4850
21%
1.0
4866-18
2.4
71%
44%
25%
10.2
58%
4.5
50%
23.4
58%
1
0001.01.4
-
6Ross CountyRoss County4849
25%
1.0
5075-25
2.6
69%
50%
29%
8.0
25%
3.9
58%
22.8
67%
1
0011.01.6
-
7Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United5047
20%
0.9
4667-21
2.3
64%
46%
22%
10.6
67%
3.3
50%
18.3
25%
0
0000.91.3
-
8Raith RoversRaith Rovers3645
33%
1.2
4342+1
2.4
75%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.21.2
-
9
RR
Raith Rvs		3645
33%
1.2
4342+1
2.4
75%
42%
19%
9.6
47%
4.3
56%
21.0
53%
0
0001.21.2
-
10Queens ParkQueens Park3641
25%
1.1
3548-13
2.3
67%
39%
19%
8.7
39%
4.1
69%
21.8
56%
0
0001.01.3
-
11QueenQueen's Park3641
25%
1.1
3548-13
2.3
67%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
12
A
Ayr		3639
22%
1.1
3847-9
2.4
69%
42%
17%
10.0
50%
4.5
69%
22.4
58%
0
0001.11.3
-
13Ayr UtdAyr Utd3639
22%
1.1
3847-9
2.4
69%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
14Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic49
75%
2.2
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
15StenhousemuirStenhousemuir45
25%
1.2
54+1
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
16Queen of the SouthQueen of the South22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Scotland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches