Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.64
0.64
0.81
0.69
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.60
1.00
0.75
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.70
0.50
0.60
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Gorica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.62
0.69
0.50
0.64
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
0.46
0.14
0.57
0.50
0.33
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.82
1.00
0.78
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.64
0.29
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.00
0.25
0.75
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.35
0.80
0.10
0.70
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Gorica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.80
0.50
0.75
0.36
0.86
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.85
0.57
0.86
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.76
0.44
0.67
0.38
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Istra 1961
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Salim Fago Lawal36%
Smail Prevljak31%
Saydou Bangura20%
Saydou Bangura17%
Emil Frederiksen12%
Vinko RoziÄ12%
Charles Adah Agada8%
Antonio MauriÄ7%
Israel Ayuma7%
Stjepan LonÄar6%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ5%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ3%
Marcel Heister3%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ3%
Leo Å tulac0%
Ville Koski0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Danijel Dejan Djuric0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dario MareÅ”iÄ37%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn25%
Marcel Heister23%
Vinko RoziÄ23%
Mohamed Nasraoui21%
Raul Kumar19%
Stjepan LonÄar19%
Samuli Miettinen18%
Antonio MauriÄ18%
Ville Koski18%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ17%
Allen Obando17%
Niko Å epiÄ15%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ13%
Smail Prevljak12%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Alejandro Jay11%
Dukan Ahmeti8%
Israel Ayuma7%
Emil Frederiksen6%
Franko KoliÄ6%
Filip Taraba5%
Leo Å tulac0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rene Hrvatin20%
Salim Fago Lawal18%
Stjepan LonÄar16%
Emil Frederiksen16%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Silvio GoriÄan9%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ7%
Marcel Heister7%
Smail Prevljak6%
Vinko RoziÄ4%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Leo Å tulac0%
Ville Koski0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Antonio MauriÄ0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Israel Ayuma0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Saydou Bangura20%
Salim Fago Lawal20%
Smail Prevljak12%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Vinko RoziÄ8%
Israel Ayuma7%
Stjepan LonÄar6%
Antonio MauriÄ4%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ3%
Emil Frederiksen3%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Marcel Heister0%
Leo Å tulac0%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ0%
Ville Koski0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
HNK Gorica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Erceg32%
Jurica PrŔir22%
Filip ÄuiÄ19%
Iker Pozo13%
Bruno BogojeviÄ12%
Žan Trontelj9%
Ante Kavelj9%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ6%
Jakov FilipoviÄ6%
Ognjen BakiÄ4%
Marijan Äabraja3%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Theo Epailly0%
Elvir DurakoviÄ0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Vanja Pelko0%
Medin Gashi0%
Wisdom Sule0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Iker Pozo32%
Jurica PrŔir25%
Marijan Äabraja23%
Filip ÄuiÄ20%
Ognjen BakiÄ19%
Filip ÄuiÄ19%
Stefan PeriÄ17%
Ante Erceg16%
Wisdom Sule15%
Mateo LeŔ14%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ13%
Bruno BogojeviÄ12%
Žan Trontelj12%
Vanja Pelko12%
Jakov FilipoviÄ9%
Davor MatijaŔ9%
Ante Kavelj9%
Elvir DurakoviÄ6%
Luka VrziÄ4%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Theo Epailly0%
Medin Gashi0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filip ÄuiÄ20%
Bruno BogojeviÄ19%
Iker Pozo16%
Marijan Äabraja13%
Medin Gashi13%
Žan Trontelj12%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Wisdom Sule8%
Theo Epailly7%
Ante Kavelj6%
Ognjen BakiÄ4%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ3%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Jakov FilipoviÄ0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Ante Erceg0%
Elvir DurakoviÄ0%
Vanja Pelko0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Filip ÄuiÄ44%
Ante Erceg21%
Bruno BogojeviÄ12%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Wisdom Sule8%
Elvir DurakoviÄ6%
Ognjen BakiÄ4%
Luka VrziÄ4%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Jakov FilipoviÄ0%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ0%
Marijan Äabraja0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Žan Trontelj0%
Iker Pozo0%
Theo Epailly0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Vanja Pelko0%
Medin Gashi0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
VUK (13)
€2m
Istra 1961's squad is €3m more valuable than HNK Gorica's (€11m vs €9m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
Istra 1961 and HNK Gorica have a similar attack value (both €4m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
VUK (2)
€0m
Istra 1961 and HNK Gorica have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
VUK (5)
€1m
Istra 1961's defence is €2m more valuable than HNK Gorica's (€5m vs €3m).
Croatia: HNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →