Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.36
0.79
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.70
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.75
0.20
0.70
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vukovar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.87
0.38
0.75
0.21
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
1.00
0.17
0.83
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.80
0.50
0.70
0.30
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.71
0.57
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.20
0.25
1.25
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.45
0.90
0.30
0.70
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Vukovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vukovar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.03
0.94
0.94
0.36
1.14
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.50
0.67
1.50
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.80
1.10
0.60
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vukovar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 1.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Istra 1961
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Salim Fago Lawal36%
Smail Prevljak31%
Saydou Bangura20%
Saydou Bangura17%
Emil Frederiksen12%
Vinko RoziÄ12%
Charles Adah Agada8%
Antonio MauriÄ7%
Israel Ayuma7%
Stjepan LonÄar6%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ5%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ3%
Marcel Heister3%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ3%
Leo Å tulac0%
Ville Koski0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Danijel Dejan Djuric0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dario MareÅ”iÄ37%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn25%
Marcel Heister23%
Vinko RoziÄ23%
Mohamed Nasraoui21%
Raul Kumar19%
Stjepan LonÄar19%
Samuli Miettinen18%
Antonio MauriÄ18%
Ville Koski18%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ17%
Allen Obando17%
Niko Å epiÄ15%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ13%
Smail Prevljak12%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Alejandro Jay11%
Dukan Ahmeti8%
Israel Ayuma7%
Emil Frederiksen6%
Franko KoliÄ6%
Filip Taraba5%
Leo Å tulac0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rene Hrvatin20%
Salim Fago Lawal18%
Stjepan LonÄar16%
Emil Frederiksen16%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Silvio GoriÄan9%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ7%
Marcel Heister7%
Smail Prevljak6%
Vinko RoziÄ4%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Leo Å tulac0%
Ville Koski0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Antonio MauriÄ0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Israel Ayuma0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Saydou Bangura20%
Salim Fago Lawal20%
Smail Prevljak12%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Vinko RoziÄ8%
Israel Ayuma7%
Stjepan LonÄar6%
Antonio MauriÄ4%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ3%
Emil Frederiksen3%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Marcel Heister0%
Leo Å tulac0%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ0%
Ville Koski0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
Vukovar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jakov PuljiÄ48%
Robin GonzƔlez14%
Lovro Banovec12%
Å imun ButiÄ6%
Jakov Gurlica6%
Mario TadiÄ5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim ĆalhanoÄlu5%
Vito ÄaiÄ4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan PaviÄiÄ0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno ŽivkoviÄ0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David MejĆa0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Kristijan ÄabrajiÄ0%
Lovre KuluÅ”iÄ0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario TiÄinoviÄ0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Niko PajvanÄiÄ0%
Danijel VinkoviÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marin Pilj80%
Lovre KuluÅ”iÄ43%
David MejĆa30%
Moreno ŽivkoviÄ29%
Jakov Biljan27%
Jakov PuljiÄ22%
Rafael Camacho20%
Josip Elez20%
Lovro Banovec20%
Luka Klanac20%
Eniss Shabani18%
Robin GonzƔlez17%
Kristijan PaviÄiÄ17%
Vito ÄaiÄ17%
Jakov Gurlica17%
Mario TadiÄ16%
Mario TiÄinoviÄ15%
Marino Bulat13%
Antonio Bosec10%
Alen Jurilj10%
Kerim ĆalhanoÄlu10%
Kristijan ÄabrajiÄ10%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Å imun ButiÄ0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Niko PajvanÄiÄ0%
Danijel VinkoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Banovec16%
Robin GonzƔlez14%
Kerim ĆalhanoÄlu10%
Mario TiÄinoviÄ10%
Eniss Shabani9%
Moreno ŽivkoviÄ7%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kristijan ÄabrajiÄ5%
Rafael Camacho0%
Jakov PuljiÄ0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan PaviÄiÄ0%
Mario TadiÄ0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Marino Bulat0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David MejĆa0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito ÄaiÄ0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Lovre KuluÅ”iÄ0%
Å imun ButiÄ0%
Luka Klanac0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Niko PajvanÄiÄ0%
Danijel VinkoviÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakov PuljiÄ30%
Robin GonzƔlez7%
Å imun ButiÄ6%
Mario TadiÄ5%
Alen Jurilj5%
Kerim ĆalhanoÄlu5%
Lovro Banovec4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Marin Pilj0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Josip Elez0%
Jakov Biljan0%
Kristijan PaviÄiÄ0%
Denis Pintol0%
Dominik Mulac0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Marino Bulat0%
Moreno ŽivkoviÄ0%
Paul Bismarck Tabinas0%
David MejĆa0%
Pocholo Bugas0%
Vito ÄaiÄ0%
Jakov Gurlica0%
Kristijan ÄabrajiÄ0%
Lovre KuluÅ”iÄ0%
Luka Klanac0%
Mario TiÄinoviÄ0%
Josip Å poljariÄ0%
Niko PajvanÄiÄ0%
Danijel VinkoviÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
VUK (13)
€2m
Istra 1961's squad is €9m more valuable than Vukovar's (€11m vs €2m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
Istra 1961's attack is €3m more valuable than Vukovar's (€4m vs €1m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
VUK (2)
€0m
Istra 1961's midfield is €2m more valuable than Vukovar's (€2m vs €0m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
VUK (5)
€1m
Istra 1961's defence is €4m more valuable than Vukovar's (€5m vs €1m).
Croatia: HNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →