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Jarun vs Orijent 1919 Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2023
Time: 15:30
Final 4-2
Jarun
Jarun
Vs
47%
25%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Jarun win✓ Hit
46.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 win✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

JarunJarun

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L21W21W32W01L10W22D21W02LA·ORI08/04A·CRO16/04H·KUS24/04A·BSK29/04H·HRV06/05A·DUG12/05H·DUB21/05A·SOL28/05H·HNK02/06A·ZRI14/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.671.861.430.751.88
vs Stronger (2)1.504.002.004.001.004.00
vs Similar (25)1.121.601.731.360.641.79
vs Weaker (3)2.330.672.500.502.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W30W20W33D20W23L01L02L22D11DH·JAR08/04A·DUB17/04H·CRO22/04A·SOL01/05H·KUS05/05A·HNK13/05H·BSK20/05A·VUK27/05H·HRV03/06H·DUB12/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.371.710.791.061.88
vs Stronger (3)0.002.000.000.000.003.00
vs Similar (24)1.581.461.911.001.311.85
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.500.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Jarun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.6%
Under 1.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.2%
Under 2.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.0%
Under 3.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.7%
No
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
4.8%
Jarun goals ↓
Orijent 1919 goals →
01234
04.8%4.4%3.9%1.8%0.6%
16.1%11%7.1%3.4%1.2%
26.5%9.2%6.5%3.1%1.1%
34.0%5.7%4.0%1.9%0.7%
41.8%2.6%1.9%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jarun goals (down), columns = Orijent 1919 goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sibenik
2.48
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.45
Vukovar
1.76
Sesvete
1.27
Jarun
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Dugopolje
1.12
Orijent 1919
1.11
Croatia Zmijavci
1.09
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.03
Solin
0.73
Kustosija
0.00
Jarun is 0.10 points better than Orijent 1919 in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sibenik
2.06
Vukovar
1.70
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.61
Croatia Zmijavci
1.18
Dugopolje
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
Orijent 1919
1.09
Jarun
1.06
Solin
1.00
Kustosija
1.00
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Jarun is 0.03 goals worse than Orijent 1919 in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.09).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sibenik
0.55
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.55
Vukovar
1.09
Sesvete
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Dugopolje
1.36
Jarun
1.39
Orijent 1919
1.43
Croatia Zmijavci
1.45
Solin
1.52
HNK Cibalia
1.73
Kustosija
2.00
Jarun is 0.03 goals better than Orijent 1919 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.43).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JarunJarun

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L10W21W00D00D00D00D00DA·ORI08/04A·CRO16/04H·KUS24/04A·BSK29/04H·HRV06/05A·DUG12/05H·DUB21/05A·SOL28/05H·HNK02/06A·ZRI14/08
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.570.790.380.25
vs Stronger (2)1.002.002.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.400.400.450.730.360.14
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.500.501.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D10W00D01L01L01L11D11DH·JAR08/04A·DUB17/04H·CRO22/04A·SOL01/05H·KUS05/05A·HNK13/05H·BSK20/05A·VUK27/05H·HRV03/06H·DUB12/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.570.430.311.06
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.000.000.002.50
vs Similar (24)0.500.750.640.550.380.92
vs Weaker (3)0.330.000.500.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Jarun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jarun over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jarun over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jarun over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JarunJarun

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L20W11D11D01L10W22D21W02LA·ORI08/04A·CRO16/04H·KUS24/04A·BSK29/04H·HRV06/05A·DUG12/05H·DUB21/05A·SOL28/05H·HNK02/06A·ZRI14/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.171.290.640.381.62
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.721.201.270.640.291.64
vs Weaker (3)1.670.332.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W20W23L20W22D00D01L11D00DH·JAR08/04A·DUB17/04H·CRO22/04A·SOL01/05H·KUS05/05A·HNK13/05H·BSK20/05A·VUK27/05H·HRV03/06H·DUB12/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.601.140.360.750.81
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (24)1.080.711.270.450.920.92
vs Weaker (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Jarun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jarun over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jarun over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jarun over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
JAR wins
1
Draws
2
O1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Jarun vs Orijent 1919 · H/A from JAR
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/23AOrijent 1919 Vs JAR4-0
12/11/22AOrijent 1919 Vs JAR4-3
28/08/22HJAR Vs Orijent 19192-2

JarunJarun

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/23AZrinski Jurjevac Vs JAR2-0
02/06/23HJAR Vs HNK Cibalia2-1
28/05/23ASolin Vs JAR2-2
21/05/23HJAR Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-0
12/05/23ADugopolje Vs JAR1-0
06/05/23HJAR Vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac3-2
29/04/23ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs JAR1-2
24/04/23HJAR Vs Kustosija2-1
16/04/23ACroatia Zmijavci Vs JAR1-0
08/04/23AOrijent 1919 Vs JAR4-0

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/23HO1 Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-1
03/06/23HO1 Vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac2-2
27/05/23AVukovar Vs O12-0
20/05/23HO1 Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo0-1
13/05/23AHNK Cibalia Vs O13-2
05/05/23HO1 Vs Kustosija2-0
01/05/23ASolin Vs O13-3
22/04/23HO1 Vs Croatia Zmijavci2-0
17/04/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs O10-3
08/04/23HO1 Vs Jarun4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Jarun
Jarun
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.29
HomeLWWWW2.00
AwayLWLDL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%62%17%
AVG goals3.003.382.67
Over 1.5 %74%81%67%
Over 2.5 %65%75%56%
Over 3.5 %35%44%28%
Scored1.261.810.78
Conceded1.741.561.89
BTTS56%69%44%
Clean Sheet21%25%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD1.29
HomeWWLDD1.82
AwayDWDLL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%47%12%
AVG goals2.712.413.00
Over 1.5 %74%71%76%
Over 2.5 %53%41%65%
Over 3.5 %38%29%47%
Scored1.351.591.12
Conceded1.350.821.88
BTTS50%47%53%
Clean Sheet32%47%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SibenikSibenik3382
79%
2.5
6818+50
2.6
73%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.5
-
2Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac3381
79%
2.5
5318+35
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.5
-
3VukovarVukovar3358
48%
1.8
5636+20
2.8
79%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
4SesveteSesvete3342
36%
1.3
3641-5
2.3
67%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.2
-
5JarunJarun3340
33%
1.2
3546-11
2.5
70%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193539
26%
1.1
3850-12
2.5
60%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.4
-
7Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3338
30%
1.2
3644-8
2.4
73%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.3
-
8DugopoljeDugopolje3337
24%
1.1
3845-7
2.5
82%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.4
-
9HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3337
33%
1.1
3757-20
2.8
76%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
10Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3336
24%
1.1
3948-9
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3334
21%
1.0
3044-14
2.2
64%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.3
-
12SolinSolin3324
12%
0.7
3350-17
2.5
73%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
13KustosijaKustosija20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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