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Jesenice vs Krka Result & Analysis

Date: 08/11/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 0-3
Jesenice
Jesenice
Vs
30%
27%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jesenice win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Krka win✓ Hit
42.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

JeseniceJesenice

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D01L12L15L12L15L24L06L23L11DH·DEK30/08A·TAB06/09H·BIS14/09A·NAF20/09H·BIL28/09A·BEL04/10H·BRI11/10A·TRI17/10H·SLO25/10A·RUD31/10
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.152.621.142.291.173.00
vs Stronger (12)0.922.831.142.290.603.60
vs Similar (1)4.000.00--4.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %15% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L03L22D21W00D11D22D31W12LH·BIL31/08A·BEL07/09H·BRI12/09A·TRI20/09H·SLO28/09A·RUD05/10A·ILI12/10H·DRA18/10A·GOR24/10H·KRŠ31/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.371.071.570.811.19
vs Stronger (8)1.381.880.801.602.332.33
vs Similar (22)0.771.181.221.560.460.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Jesenice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
Jesenice goals ↓
Krka goals →
01234
07.4%8.4%7.3%3.7%1.4%
16.6%13%9.1%4.6%1.8%
24.8%7.4%5.7%2.9%1.1%
32.0%3.1%2.3%1.2%0.5%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jesenice goals (down), columns = Krka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Jesenice is 0.37 points worse than Krka in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Jesenice is 0.20 goals worse than Krka in terms of goals scored per game (0.87 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Jesenice is 0.57 goals worse than Krka in terms of goals conceded per game (2.27 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JeseniceJesenice

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L11D01L03L11D01L10W00DH·DEK30/08A·TAB06/09H·BIS14/09A·NAF20/09H·BIL28/09A·BEL04/10H·BRI11/10A·TRI17/10H·SLO25/10A·RUD31/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.850.290.860.500.83
vs Stronger (12)0.250.920.290.860.201.00
vs Similar (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L01L12L20W00D10W02L20W11DH·BIL31/08A·BEL07/09H·BRI12/09A·TRI20/09H·SLO28/09A·RUD05/10A·ILI12/10H·DRA18/10A·GOR24/10H·KRŠ31/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.670.500.790.500.56
vs Stronger (8)0.750.880.400.601.331.33
vs Similar (22)0.410.590.560.890.310.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Jesenice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jesenice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JeseniceJesenice

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W01L11D04L11D12L13L05L13L11DH·DEK30/08A·TAB06/09H·BIS14/09A·NAF20/09H·BIL28/09A·BEL04/10H·BRI11/10A·TRI17/10H·SLO25/10A·RUD31/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.770.861.430.672.17
vs Stronger (12)0.671.920.861.430.402.60
vs Similar (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L02L10W01L00D01L20W11D01LH·BIL31/08A·BEL07/09H·BRI12/09A·TRI20/09H·SLO28/09A·RUD05/10A·ILI12/10H·DRA18/10A·GOR24/10H·KRŠ31/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.570.790.310.62
vs Stronger (8)0.621.000.401.001.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.360.590.670.670.150.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Jesenice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jesenice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jesenice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Jesenice and Krka have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Jesenice and Krka have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Jesenice and Krka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Jesenice and Krka have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
JES wins
0
Draws
0
KRK wins

Head-to-head

Jesenice vs Krka · H/A from JES
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

JeseniceJesenice

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/25ARudar Vs JES1-1
25/10/25HJES Vs Slovan Ljubljana2-3
17/10/25ATriglav Vs JES6-0
11/10/25HJES Vs Brinje-Grosuplje2-4
04/10/25ABeltinci Vs JES5-1
28/09/25HJES Vs Bilje1-2
20/09/25ANafta Vs JES5-1
14/09/25HJES Vs Bistrica1-2
06/09/25ATabor Sežana Vs JES1-0
30/08/25HJES Vs Dekani2-2

KrkaKrka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/25HKRK Vs Krško1-2
24/10/25AGorica Vs KRK1-3
18/10/25HKRK Vs Dravinja2-2
12/10/25AIlirija Vs KRK1-1
05/10/25ARudar Vs KRK0-0
28/09/25HKRK Vs Slovan Ljubljana2-1
20/09/25ATriglav Vs KRK2-2
12/09/25HKRK Vs Brinje-Grosuplje0-3
07/09/25ABeltinci Vs KRK4-0
31/08/25HKRK Vs Bilje0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Jesenice
Jesenice
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.46
HomeDLLLL0.29
AwayLLLLD0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %8%0%17%
AVG goals3.773.434.17
Over 1.5 %85%86%83%
Over 2.5 %77%86%67%
Over 3.5 %54%43%67%
Scored1.151.141.17
Conceded2.622.293.00
BTTS62%71%50%
Clean Sheet15%14%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWL1.18
HomeLLWDL1.29
AwayLDDDW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%23%
AVG goals2.402.582.23
Over 1.5 %68%75%62%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored1.041.041.04
Conceded1.361.541.19
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet32%29%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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