This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beerschot VA
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.20
1.31
0.81
1.36
1.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.26
1.30
1.15
0.92
1.36
1.64
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.33
2.00
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.0%
Under 2.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.7%
No
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
K. Lierse S.K. goals ↓
Beerschot VA goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
5.4%
5.1%
2.7%
1.1%
1
5.6%
11%
8.3%
4.3%
1.7%
2
5.3%
8.4%
6.7%
3.5%
1.4%
3
2.9%
4.6%
3.6%
1.9%
0.7%
4
1.2%
1.8%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = K. Lierse S.K. goals (down), columns = Beerschot VA goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
K. Lierse S.K. is 0.70 points worse than Beerschot VA in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
K. Lierse S.K. is 0.07 goals worse than Beerschot VA in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
K. Lierse S.K. is 1.00 goals worse than Beerschot VA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 0.97).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
K. Lierse S.K. is 12.4 percentage points worse than Beerschot VA in terms of average possession (49% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
K. Lierse S.K.
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Beerschot VA
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
K. Lierse S.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beerschot VA
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.8
11.3
1.2
0.9
1.4
23.3
23.7
23.0
vs Stronger (5)
9.2
7.5
11.0
4.0
3.5
4.3
22.2
22.5
22.0
vs Similar (39)
10.9
11.0
10.8
0.9
0.8
1.0
24.5
24.2
24.8
vs Weaker (6)
14.0
-
14.0
0.5
0.0
1.0
18.0
-
18.0
% over line
69%
50%
86%
16%
16%
16%
62%
67%
57%
% under line
31%
50%
14%
84%
84%
84%
38%
33%
43%
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Standard Liège II
15.0
Club Brugge II
15.0
Beerschot VA
11.0
KRC Genk II
11.0
Oostende
10.4
Zulte Waregem
9.8
SK Beveren
9.8
Seraing United
9.0
Dender
9.0
Patro Eisden
9.0
RSC Anderlecht II
9.0
Deinze
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Seraing United
7.0
RSC Anderlecht II
7.0
Standard Liège II
5.0
Club Brugge II
5.0
Dender
5.0
Patro Eisden
5.0
Beerschot VA
4.6
Oostende
4.3
SK Beveren
4.1
Zulte Waregem
4.0
Deinze
4.0
KRC Genk II
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dender
29.0
Patro Eisden
29.0
Seraing United
27.0
RSC Anderlecht II
27.0
SK Beveren
25.9
KRC Genk II
25.0
Beerschot VA
24.0
Deinze
24.0
Oostende
23.0
Zulte Waregem
22.3
Standard Liège II
17.0
Club Brugge II
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.9%
Under 9.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.2%
Under 3.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.7%
Under 21.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
K. Lierse S.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.70
1.00
0.60
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
0.67
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.78
0.82
0.64
0.50
0.92
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.25
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beerschot VA
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.50
0.38
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.70
0.54
0.46
0.50
0.93
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
K. Lierse S.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.00
0.60
1.07
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
1.13
0.64
1.18
0.67
1.08
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beerschot VA
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.81
0.44
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.59
0.62
0.46
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.67
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
K. Lierse S.K.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Obbi Oulare24%
Ousmane Sow23%
Eric Ocansey23%
Thibaut Van Acker21%
Maxim Kireev17%
Stan Van Dessel11%
Joeri Poelmans10%
Nils Schouterden9%
Viktor Boone8%
Luc Marijnissen7%
Alexandre De Bruyn6%
Jens Cools6%
Sebastiaan Brebels4%
Jens Teunckens0%
Aristote Nkaka0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Jarno Libert0%
Glenn Claes0%
Daan Vekemans0%
Mehdi Tarfi0%
Aske Sampers0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Samih El Touile0%
Senda Mukandila0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mickael Tirpan36%
Aristote Nkaka33%
Sebastiaan Brebels30%
Joeri Poelmans25%
Ousmane Sow23%
Nils Schouterden22%
Luc Marijnissen21%
Stan Van Dessel21%
Viktor Boone21%
Obbi Oulare18%
Jens Cools17%
Sam Vanderhallen14%
Thibaut Van Acker12%
Alexandre De Bruyn11%
Aske Sampers11%
Jarno Libert9%
Mehdi Tarfi9%
Jens Teunckens9%
Maxim Kireev6%
Eric Ocansey0%
Glenn Claes0%
Daan Vekemans0%
Samih El Touile0%
Senda Mukandila0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Obbi Oulare24%
Nils Schouterden22%
Jarno Libert18%
Sebastiaan Brebels17%
Ousmane Sow15%
Thibaut Van Acker12%
Samih El Touile12%
Alexandre De Bruyn6%
Stan Van Dessel5%
Eric Ocansey5%
Jens Teunckens0%
Aristote Nkaka0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Glenn Claes0%
Jens Cools0%
Joeri Poelmans0%
Daan Vekemans0%
Mehdi Tarfi0%
Viktor Boone0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Aske Sampers0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Maxim Kireev0%
Senda Mukandila0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Obbi Oulare41%
Ousmane Sow38%
Thibaut Van Acker21%
Stan Van Dessel5%
Nils Schouterden4%
Sebastiaan Brebels4%
Jens Teunckens0%
Alexandre De Bruyn0%
Eric Ocansey0%
Aristote Nkaka0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Jarno Libert0%
Glenn Claes0%
Jens Cools0%
Joeri Poelmans0%
Daan Vekemans0%
Mehdi Tarfi0%
Viktor Boone0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Aske Sampers0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Maxim Kireev0%
Samih El Touile0%
Senda Mukandila0%
Beerschot VA
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D'Margio Wright-Phillips36%
Tom Reyners35%
Mardochee Nzita22%
Simion Michez20%
Thibaud Verlinden17%
Sekou Diawara17%
Charly Keita12%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos12%
Marco Weymans11%
Ryan Sanusi5%
Welat Cagro4%
Luca Meisl0%
Katuku Derrick Tshimanga0%
Davor Matijaš0%
Robin Simovic0%
Herve Matthys0%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi0%
Dean Huiberts0%
Félix Nzouango Bikien0%
Jerrel Hak0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Benjamin Pauwels0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mardochee Nzita39%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips27%
Ryan Sanusi26%
Welat Cagro22%
Thibaud Verlinden21%
Herve Matthys17%
Charly Keita16%
Marco Weymans16%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos12%
Simion Michez12%
Davor Matijaš12%
Dean Huiberts10%
Katuku Derrick Tshimanga8%
Axl Van Himbeeck7%
Tom Reyners4%
Luca Meisl0%
Robin Simovic0%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi0%
Sekou Diawara0%
Félix Nzouango Bikien0%
Jerrel Hak0%
Benjamin Pauwels0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thibaud Verlinden33%
Tom Reyners15%
Mardochee Nzita13%
Charly Keita12%
Simion Michez12%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips9%
Herve Matthys9%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos8%
Ryan Sanusi5%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi5%
Welat Cagro4%
Luca Meisl0%
Katuku Derrick Tshimanga0%
Davor Matijaš0%
Robin Simovic0%
Marco Weymans0%
Dean Huiberts0%
Sekou Diawara0%
Félix Nzouango Bikien0%
Jerrel Hak0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Benjamin Pauwels0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thibaud Verlinden38%
Sekou Diawara33%
Simion Michez24%
Tom Reyners23%
Ryan Sanusi11%
Charly Keita8%
Benjamin Pauwels7%
Marco Weymans5%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi5%
Mardochee Nzita4%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos4%
Luca Meisl0%
Katuku Derrick Tshimanga0%
Davor Matijaš0%
Robin Simovic0%
Herve Matthys0%
Welat Cagro0%
Dean Huiberts0%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips0%
Félix Nzouango Bikien0%
Jerrel Hak0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
ZW (27)
€20m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
K. Lierse S.K.'s squad is €4m less valuable than Beerschot VA's (€5m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
K. Lierse S.K.'s attack is €2m less valuable than Beerschot VA's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
ZW (4)
€4m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
FB (5)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
K. Lierse S.K. and Beerschot VA have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (13)
€9m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
K. Lierse S.K.'s defence is €2m less valuable than Beerschot VA's (€3m vs €5m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lommel United
Deinze
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
Liège
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II