This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruh Lviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.90
1.27
0.93
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
1.17
0.83
1.17
0.67
1.17
vs Similar (18)
1.33
0.72
1.56
0.78
1.11
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Karpaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.4%
Under 1.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.2%
Under 2.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
14.2%
Under 3.5
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
36.6%
No
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
17.1%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
Karpaty goals ↓
Ruh Lviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
7.7%
2.9%
0.6%
0.1%
1
17%
13%
3.9%
0.8%
0.1%
2
12%
8.0%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
3
5.5%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
4
1.8%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karpaty goals (down), columns = Ruh Lviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2.33
Oleksandria
2.23
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.07
Polessya
1.60
Kryvbas KR
1.57
Karpaty
1.53
Kudrivka
1.50
Zorya Luhansk
1.33
Ruh Lviv
1.27
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Veres Rivne
1.20
Obolon'-Brovar
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
0.94
Livyi Bereh
0.88
Inhulets
0.80
Chornomorets
0.77
Minai
0.50
Karpaty is 0.27 points better than Ruh Lviv in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.27).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Dynamo Kyiv
2.03
Oleksandria
1.53
Minai
1.50
Karpaty
1.40
Polessya
1.27
Zorya Luhansk
1.13
Kryvbas KR
1.13
Veres Rivne
1.10
Kudrivka
1.00
Ruh Lviv
1.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
0.83
Vorskla Poltava
0.81
Inhulets
0.70
Chornomorets
0.67
Livyi Bereh
0.65
Obolon'-Brovar
0.63
Karpaty is 0.40 goals better than Ruh Lviv in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.33
Dynamo Kyiv
0.63
Oleksandria
0.73
Kolos Kovalivka
0.83
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.87
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Ruh Lviv
0.90
Polessya
0.93
Kudrivka
1.00
Karpaty
1.20
LNZ Cherkasy
1.23
Livyi Bereh
1.24
Vorskla Poltava
1.25
Zorya Luhansk
1.30
Obolon'-Brovar
1.43
Veres Rivne
1.47
Chornomorets
1.50
Inhulets
1.57
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Minai
3.00
Karpaty is 0.30 goals worse than Ruh Lviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 0.90).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Minai
66%
Shakhtar Donetsk
63%
Dynamo Kyiv
60%
LNZ Cherkasy
56%
Karpaty
54%
Oleksandria
51%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Polessya
51%
Vorskla Poltava
51%
Zorya Luhansk
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
46%
Veres Rivne
45%
Ruh Lviv
44%
Obolon'-Brovar
43%
Livyi Bereh
38%
Karpaty is 9.8 percentage points better than Ruh Lviv in terms of average possession (54% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Karpaty
For 3.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ruh Lviv
For 3.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 10.7 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Karpaty
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
8.2
7.8
0.9
0.8
1.0
23.3
21.8
24.3
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
6.3
6.5
6.2
2.9
3.0
2.9
24.7
23.0
25.5
vs Weaker (37)
10.5
10.0
11.0
0.3
0.3
0.3
21.2
20.5
22.0
% over line
30%
25%
33%
10%
8%
12%
70%
50%
83%
% under line
70%
75%
67%
90%
92%
88%
30%
50%
17%
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruh Lviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.2
9.4
2.2
2.3
2.1
23.6
23.8
23.4
vs Stronger (25)
9.9
9.5
10.4
1.8
2.4
1.2
22.6
22.7
22.6
vs Similar (25)
8.1
7.2
8.8
2.7
2.2
3.1
24.2
24.6
23.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
36%
50%
34%
33%
35%
68%
71%
64%
% under line
57%
64%
50%
66%
67%
65%
32%
29%
36%
This opponent (Karpaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Polessya
10.2
Zorya Luhansk
10.1
Veres Rivne
10.1
Vorskla Poltava
9.9
Dynamo Kyiv
9.7
Kolos Kovalivka
9.7
LNZ Cherkasy
9.7
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.5
Ruh Lviv
9.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.2
Minai
9.2
Obolon'-Brovar
9.2
Oleksandria
9.1
Kryvbas KR
9.1
Inhulets
9.0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.0
Chornomorets
8.8
Livyi Bereh
8.5
Karpaty
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Polessya
5.6
Vorskla Poltava
5.3
Dynamo Kyiv
5.0
Obolon'-Brovar
5.0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.8
LNZ Cherkasy
4.8
Ruh Lviv
4.7
Veres Rivne
4.7
Oleksandria
4.4
Shakhtar Donetsk
4.4
Minai
4.4
Zorya Luhansk
4.4
Karpaty
4.4
Chornomorets
4.4
Livyi Bereh
4.2
Inhulets
4.2
Kolos Kovalivka
4.2
Kryvbas KR
4.1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.8
Vorskla Poltava
26.5
Kryvbas KR
25.1
Livyi Bereh
25.0
Inhulets
25.0
Minai
24.6
LNZ Cherkasy
23.9
Ruh Lviv
23.7
Karpaty
23.3
Kolos Kovalivka
23.1
Oleksandria
23.1
Dynamo Kyiv
22.9
Polessya
22.5
Chornomorets
22.5
Zorya Luhansk
22.4
Veres Rivne
21.8
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.4
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.1%
Under 9.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.8%
Under 3.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.1%
Under 21.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Karpaty
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.37
1.00
0.29
0.50
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.50
1.00
0.75
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.11
1.11
0.11
0.56
0.11
Clean sheet %
77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruh Lviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.40
0.27
0.47
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
0.50
0.17
0.67
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Karpaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karpaty over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Karpaty
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.79
0.57
0.31
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.30
1.30
0.50
0.75
0.17
1.67
vs Weaker (18)
0.67
0.44
1.00
0.56
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruh Lviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.47
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (18)
1.00
0.39
1.22
0.44
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Karpaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karpaty over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpaty over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Karpaty
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ambrosiy Chachua31%
Bruninho23%
Shakh Artur18%
Pavlo Polehenko15%
Vladyslav Babohlo14%
Igor Neves12%
Jean Pedroso12%
Igor Krasnopir10%
Yan Kostenko8%
Tymur Stetskov0%
Denys Ustymenko0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Orest Kuzyk0%
Vladislav Klimenko0%
Yevhen Pidlepenets0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Pablo Alvarez0%
Stênio0%
Patricio Tanda0%
Illia Kvasnytsya0%
Yakiv Kinareykin0%
Oleg Fedor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denys Miroshnichenko43%
Yan Kostenko31%
Vladyslav Babohlo29%
Pablo Alvarez27%
Yakiv Kinareykin22%
Vladislav Klimenko17%
Tymur Stetskov14%
Ambrosiy Chachua12%
Igor Neves12%
Jean Pedroso12%
Igor Krasnopir10%
Shakh Artur9%
Bruninho8%
Pavlo Polehenko8%
Oleg Ocheretko7%
Denys Ustymenko0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Orest Kuzyk0%
Yevhen Pidlepenets0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Stênio0%
Patricio Tanda0%
Illia Kvasnytsya0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vladislav Klimenko17%
Illia Kvasnytsya17%
Bruninho15%
Pavlo Polehenko8%
Yan Kostenko8%
Denys Miroshnichenko7%
Oleg Ocheretko7%
Ambrosiy Chachua6%
Igor Neves6%
Vladyslav Babohlo0%
Tymur Stetskov0%
Denys Ustymenko0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Orest Kuzyk0%
Yevhen Pidlepenets0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Pablo Alvarez0%
Stênio0%
Patricio Tanda0%
Yakiv Kinareykin0%
Igor Krasnopir0%
Shakh Artur0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Jean Pedroso0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruninho23%
Igor Krasnopir10%
Yan Kostenko8%
Yevhen Pidlepenets7%
Ambrosiy Chachua6%
Igor Neves6%
Vladyslav Babohlo0%
Tymur Stetskov0%
Denys Ustymenko0%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Orest Kuzyk0%
Vladislav Klimenko0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Pablo Alvarez0%
Stênio0%
Patricio Tanda0%
Illia Kvasnytsya0%
Yakiv Kinareykin0%
Shakh Artur0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Jean Pedroso0%
Ruh Lviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Igor Krasnopir60%
Illia Kvasnytsya40%
Klayver Gabriel dos Santos Chrispim33%
Baboucarr Faal33%
Oleg Horin14%
Yaroslav Karabin13%
Yurii Klymchuk12%
Artur Ryabov11%
Ostap Prytula11%
Yevhenii Pastukh8%
Vitaliy Kholod8%
Roman Didyk7%
Rostyslav Liakh0%
Edson Fernando0%
Oleksii Sych0%
Vasyl Runich0%
Denys Sliusar0%
Vitalii Roman0%
Denys Pidgurskyi0%
Yuriy-Volodymyr Gereta0%
Bohdan Slyubyk0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Beknaz Almazbekov0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Andriy Kitela0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oleg Horin43%
Artur Ryabov33%
Andriy Kitela33%
Edson Fernando25%
Denys Sliusar25%
Oleksii Sych20%
Vasyl Runich20%
Illia Kvasnytsya20%
Denys Pidgurskyi15%
Roman Didyk14%
Yaroslav Karabin13%
Yurii Klymchuk12%
Rostyslav Liakh10%
Vitalii Roman8%
Ostap Prytula0%
Yuriy-Volodymyr Gereta0%
Bohdan Slyubyk0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Beknaz Almazbekov0%
Klayver Gabriel dos Santos Chrispim0%
Vitaliy Kholod0%
Igor Krasnopir0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Yevhenii Pastukh0%
Baboucarr Faal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yaroslav Karabin40%
Edson Fernando25%
Oleksii Sych20%
Illia Kvasnytsya20%
Ostap Prytula11%
Baboucarr Faal11%
Denys Pidgurskyi8%
Vitaliy Kholod8%
Rostyslav Liakh0%
Artur Ryabov0%
Yurii Klymchuk0%
Oleg Horin0%
Roman Didyk0%
Vasyl Runich0%
Denys Sliusar0%
Vitalii Roman0%
Yuriy-Volodymyr Gereta0%
Bohdan Slyubyk0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Beknaz Almazbekov0%
Klayver Gabriel dos Santos Chrispim0%
Igor Krasnopir0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Andriy Kitela0%
Yevhenii Pastukh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Illia Kvasnytsya20%
Yaroslav Karabin13%
Yurii Klymchuk12%
Artur Ryabov11%
Denys Pidgurskyi8%
Rostyslav Liakh0%
Edson Fernando0%
Oleg Horin0%
Roman Didyk0%
Ostap Prytula0%
Oleksii Sych0%
Vasyl Runich0%
Denys Sliusar0%
Vitalii Roman0%
Yuriy-Volodymyr Gereta0%
Bohdan Slyubyk0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Beknaz Almazbekov0%
Klayver Gabriel dos Santos Chrispim0%
Vitaliy Kholod0%
Igor Krasnopir0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Andriy Kitela0%
Yevhenii Pastukh0%
Baboucarr Faal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →