Kortrijk vs Anderlecht Result & Analysis

The model sees Anderlecht as the clear favourite, assigning a 63% chance of victory against Kortrijk. That high rating comes from Anderlecht’s strong away form - averaging 2.5 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded against weaker opponents - while Kortrijk struggles at home, having been outscored 1.5 to 0.75 against stronger teams. The predicted outcome is an away win, and the expected total of 2.9 goals points to a fairly open game. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a 11.5% probability, a tidy result that matches the model’s expectation of a decisive away performance.

Home win probability stands at 14%, draw at 23%, and away win at 63%. The suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals (78.9%), Over 2.5 cards (78.9%), Under 5.5 cards (75.4%), Under 25.5 fouls (74.5%), Under 11.5 corners (73.1%), and Over 19.5 fouls (72.7%). These selections reflect the anticipated attacking output and the likelihood of a high-scoring, card-heavy encounter.

After a run of three straight defeats, Kortrijk’s home form has been fragile, while Anderlecht’s away form remains solid, coming off a loss but still strong. The match finished 2-3, an away win that matched the model’s favourite and probability of 63%. The total of five goals far exceeded the expected 2.9 and the most likely 2-goal outcome. The model’s selections performed as follows: Over 1.5 hit at 78.9%, Over 2.5 cards missed at 78.9%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 75.4%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 74.5%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 73.1%, and Over 19.5 fouls missed at 72.7%. All figures are reported exactly as provided.