Charleroi are tipped to win as the model favours an away triumph, with a 42% chance of victory, 28% for a draw and 31% for a Kortrijk win. The expected total is 2.7 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 26% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.3% chance. Kortrijk, playing at home against a similar-strength side, averages 2.64 goals scored and 1.18 conceded, while Charleroi on the road averages 1.1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.7%), Under 5.5 with a 3% edge (95.4%) and Away under 3.5 goals with a 6% edge (93.8%). Kortrijk have lost two straight games after a 0-3 defeat to Antwerp, whereas Charleroi are on a four-game winning streak, beating KV Mechelen 2-0.
Results analysis
The win extends Charleroi’s five-game winning run, while Kortrijk’s recent three-straight defeats left them struggling at home. The final score of 1-3 confirmed the model’s pick of an away win, which had a 42% pre-match probability. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Under 6.5 at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.2%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.2%, Under 5.5 at 95.5%, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.4%. All eight picks were settled as hits, underscoring the model’s accurate assessment of the match.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kortrijk win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.68
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.92
1xBet
3.85
Bet365
3.80
Marathonbet
3.76
Unibet
3.75
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.49
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.73
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Betano
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
Charleroi win✓ Hit
42.1%
Avg Implied 48.0% · @ 1.94
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
SBO
1.99
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.97
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kortrijk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.30
2.27
1.13
0.87
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.68
1.12
2.50
1.08
0.92
1.15
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.67
2.00
0.50
1.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.13
1.50
1.25
1.21
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
1.33
1.22
1.33
0.83
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.35
1.05
1.60
1.50
1.10
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
@ 1.25+0.5%
Under 1.5
24.4%
@ 3.77-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
4.01
Superbet
3.90
BetVictor
3.80
Betano
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.7%
@ 1.81-2.5%
Under 2.5
50.3%
@ 1.98+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
2.05
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
SBO
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.7%
@ 3.02-3.4%
Under 3.5
72.3%
@ 1.36+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.25
BetVictor
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Pinnacle
3.06
Betano
3.05
Under
Superbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.9%
@ 1.68-0.4%
No
45.1%
@ 2.08+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.71
Bet365
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Betano
1.67
No
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
BetVictor
2.10
10Bet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 6.26+6.4%
0-1
9.0%@ 7.22+2.9%
1-2
9.0%@ 7.64+3.2%
0-0
8.2%@ 10.08+3.8%
0-2
7.5%@ 9.08+2.6%
2-1
7.3%@ 11.16+3.4%
1-0
7.1%@ 10.66+3.0%
2-2
5.4%@ 12.20+1.8%
Kortrijk goals ↓
Charleroi goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
9.0%
7.5%
3.7%
1.3%
1
7.1%
13%
9.0%
4.4%
1.6%
2
5.0%
7.3%
5.4%
2.6%
1.0%
3
2.0%
2.9%
2.1%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kortrijk goals (down), columns = Charleroi goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Kortrijk is 0.11 points worse than Charleroi in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.27).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Kortrijk is 0.05 goals worse than Charleroi in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Kortrijk is 0.34 goals worse than Charleroi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kortrijk
For 6.1 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Charleroi
For 6.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 11.1 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kortrijk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.7
9.4
3.1
3.4
2.8
25.1
25.9
24.3
vs Stronger (6)
9.0
12.5
7.2
3.2
2.5
3.5
19.3
18.0
20.0
vs Similar (38)
10.1
10.4
9.9
3.3
3.6
2.9
26.2
27.1
25.4
vs Weaker (6)
11.0
10.5
12.0
1.7
2.3
1.0
25.3
25.5
25.0
% over line
51%
56%
47%
42%
44%
40%
65%
67%
63%
% under line
49%
44%
53%
58%
56%
60%
35%
33%
37%
This opponent (Charleroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.8
10.3
3.2
3.0
3.5
21.9
22.6
21.2
vs Stronger (13)
9.6
9.4
9.8
2.5
2.6
2.5
20.7
21.2
20.2
vs Similar (34)
10.7
11.4
9.9
3.7
3.3
4.1
22.2
22.8
21.7
vs Weaker (3)
13.5
9.0
18.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
23.5
27.0
20.0
% over line
56%
50%
62%
44%
42%
46%
53%
50%
57%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
56%
58%
54%
47%
50%
43%
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Charleroi
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Anderlecht
10.4
Kortrijk
10.2
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.1
Standard Liege
10.1
Zulte Waregem
9.9
St. Truiden
9.9
SK Beveren
9.7
Lommel United
9.7
Genk
9.6
Union St. Gilloise
9.3
Antwerp
9.2
RAAL La Louvière
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.7
SK Beveren
4.4
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.3
Antwerp
4.1
Lommel United
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Genk
3.7
Gent
3.6
Club Brugge KV
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
25.2
RAAL La Louvière
25.0
Anderlecht
24.9
Lommel United
24.2
Antwerp
24.0
Kortrijk
23.3
SK Beveren
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Standard Liege
22.4
Genk
22.2
KV Mechelen
22.0
Charleroi
21.8
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
St. Truiden
21.2
Gent
21.1
Club Brugge KV
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.2%
@ 1.96+17.7%
Under 9.5
34.8%
@ 1.77-17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.94
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.75
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.0%
@ 1.67-5.5%
Under 3.5
50.0%
@ 2.09+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.68
Unibet
1.56
Under
Unibet
2.23
Superbet
2.05
Betano
1.98
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
47.6%
Under 21.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kortrijk or Draw✗ Miss
54.8%
Avg Implied 51.7% · @ 1.81
Edge
+3.1%
30%
28%
42%
covers Kortrijk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.85
Unibet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Kortrijk or Charleroi✓ Hit
71.4%
Avg Implied 73.7% · @ 1.27
Edge
-2.3%
30%
28%
42%
covers Kortrijk + Charleroi
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Draw or Charleroi✓ Hit
73.8%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.26
Edge
-0.8%
30%
28%
42%
covers Draw + Charleroi
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kortrijk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.6%
@ 1.39-1.1%
Under
34.4%
@ 2.79+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.43
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.96
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.85
10Bet
2.80
Betano
2.80
Kortrijk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.9%
@ 2.90-3.2%
Under
71.1%
@ 1.37+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.08
Unibet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Under
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Kortrijk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 7.23-3.5%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.07+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.50
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.30
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Kortrijk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 17.75-3.1%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Charleroi over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.0%
@ 1.17-2.0%
Under
23.0%
@ 4.42+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Charleroi over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
43.2%
@ 1.89-6.1%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.84+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Unibet
1.92
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Charleroi over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
18.4%
@ 3.79-6.1%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.23+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.95
Pinnacle
3.95
Superbet
3.85
BetVictor
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Under
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Charleroi over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 8.43-4.8%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.04+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
8.50
1xBet
8.50
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kortrijk, so a minus line means Kortrijk give that many goals of a start and Charleroi receive them. At -1, Kortrijk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kortrijk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kortrijk)Actual: Charleroi
Kortrijk -2
3.1%
@ 20.00-1.6%
Draw -2
7.4%
@ 11.00-1.1%
Charleroi +2
89.6%
@ 1.07+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
10.00
Away
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Handicap -1 (Kortrijk)Actual: Charleroi
Kortrijk -1
10.4%
@ 8.12-0.6%
Draw -1
15.8%
@ 5.22-1.4%
Charleroi +1
73.8%
@ 1.25+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Unibet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Away
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Handicap +1 (Kortrijk)Actual: Charleroi
Kortrijk +1
54.8%
@ 1.81+5.3%
Draw +1
22.2%
@ 3.70-2.1%
Charleroi -1
22.9%
@ 3.44-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Unibet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.64
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Away
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Handicap +2 (Kortrijk)Actual: Draw
Kortrijk +2
77.1%
@ 1.27+6.0%
Draw +2
14.0%
@ 5.48-2.5%
Charleroi -2
9.0%
@ 7.24-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Draw
Superbet
5.65
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
Unibet
5.30
Away
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Superbet
7.30
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.40
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kortrijk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.80
0.53
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.48
0.92
0.58
0.46
0.38
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.62
0.50
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
0.44
0.67
0.33
1.33
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.50
0.60
0.60
0.30
0.40
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.9%
@ 1.34+0.6%
Under 0.5
30.1%
@ 3.04-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.2%
@ 2.61-1.5%
Under 1.5
65.8%
@ 1.45+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.62
Under
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
BetVictor
1.45
Betano
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 6.14-3.1%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.09+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Betano
6.20
William Hil
6.00
Under
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kortrijk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.3%
@ 2.34-4.5%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.54+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.48
Unibet
2.40
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Under
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Kortrijk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 7.67-4.9%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.05+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
8.10
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Kortrijk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 29.00-99.1%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.3%
@ 1.80-1.5%
Under
49.7%
@ 1.93+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Unibet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Charleroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.5%
@ 4.89-1.4%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.14+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.10
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Charleroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 12.92-3.5%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kortrijk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.80
1.47
0.60
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.64
1.58
0.50
0.46
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
1.50
0.50
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.88
0.75
0.64
0.43
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.78
0.67
0.50
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.55
1.00
0.90
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.8%
@ 1.21+1.8%
Under 0.5
21.2%
@ 4.03-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Unibet
3.95
1xBet
3.94
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.6%
@ 2.01+2.2%
Under 1.5
51.4%
@ 1.74-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.04
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Under
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.2%
@ 4.13-4.3%
Under 2.5
81.8%
@ 1.20+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.30
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.10
1xBet
4.05
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Unibet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kortrijk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.1%
@ 1.95-5.4%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.77+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Kortrijk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 5.74-4.5%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.10+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.00
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Kortrijk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 17.08-3.8%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Charleroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.7%
@ 1.55+2.8%
Under
37.3%
@ 2.32-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.34
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Charleroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
25.2%
@ 3.58-0.5%
Under
74.8%
@ 1.24+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.56
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Charleroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 9.32-4.4%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.03+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Superbet
9.90
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.4%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.8%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.7%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
10Bet
1.07
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
89.6%
1.07
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.6%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
88.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.09
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.4%
1.25
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
-
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
82.5%
1.14
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.8%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Unibet
1.18
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.6%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+6.1%
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.21
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
77.1%
1.27
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
+6.0%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
77.0%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.2%
1.57
Superbet
1.63
Unibet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.51
+17.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.6%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
10Bet
1.25
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
74.8%
1.24
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
+0.5%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
73.8%
1.26
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
73.8%
1.25
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.3%
1.36
Superbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
71.4%
1.27
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
71.1%
1.37
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.0%
1.31
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.27
-
-
-
+1.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kortrijk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Shandre Campbell33%
Brecht Dejaegere0%
J. Van Landschoot0%
Thierry Ambrose0%
Goduine Koyalipou0%
M. Ilić0%
G. Ruyssen0%
K. Masui0%
N. Mehssatou0%
Rudy Kohon0%
J. Ndjeungoue0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rudy Kohon67%
G. Ruyssen33%
J. Ndjeungoue33%
Brecht Dejaegere0%
J. Van Landschoot0%
Thierry Ambrose0%
Goduine Koyalipou0%
M. Ilić0%
K. Masui0%
N. Mehssatou0%
Shandre Campbell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thierry Ambrose33%
Brecht Dejaegere0%
J. Van Landschoot0%
Goduine Koyalipou0%
M. Ilić0%
G. Ruyssen0%
K. Masui0%
N. Mehssatou0%
Rudy Kohon0%
J. Ndjeungoue0%
Shandre Campbell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Goduine Koyalipou67%
Shandre Campbell33%
Brecht Dejaegere0%
J. Van Landschoot0%
Thierry Ambrose0%
M. Ilić0%
G. Ruyssen0%
K. Masui0%
N. Mehssatou0%
Rudy Kohon0%
J. Ndjeungoue0%
Charleroi
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof50%
Aurélien Scheidler33%
Aiham Ousou33%
Cheick Keita33%
Antoine Colassin25%
Freddy Mbemba25%
Amine Boukamir25%
Patrick Pflücke0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aiham Ousou33%
Antoine Bernier25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Patrick Pflücke0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrick Pflücke25%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof25%
Antoine Colassin25%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Adama Bojang25%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Pflücke75%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Kortrijk's squad is €13m less valuable than Charleroi's (€18m vs €31m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Kortrijk's attack is €4m less valuable than Charleroi's (€9m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Kortrijk and Charleroi have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Kortrijk's defence is €9m less valuable than Charleroi's (€5m vs €14m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven