This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oostende
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.50
0.69
1.75
1.21
1.21
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.40
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.90
1.29
0.55
1.45
1.30
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
KRC Genk II goals ↓
Oostende goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
9.6%
8.5%
4.5%
1.8%
1
6.3%
13%
9.4%
5.0%
2.0%
2
4.1%
6.6%
5.2%
2.8%
1.1%
3
1.5%
2.4%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KRC Genk II goals (down), columns = Oostende goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
KRC Genk II is 0.03 points worse than Oostende in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.27).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
KRC Genk II is 0.47 goals better than Oostende in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
KRC Genk II is 0.43 goals worse than Oostende in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.30).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
KRC Genk II is 6.1 percentage points better than Oostende in terms of average possession (50% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
KRC Genk II
For 5.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oostende
For 3.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.8 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KRC Genk II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.6
10.6
2.5
2.2
2.7
26.9
24.6
28.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (41)
10.0
10.0
10.0
2.5
2.4
2.6
26.0
24.8
27.1
vs Weaker (9)
14.0
15.0
13.5
2.6
1.5
3.4
31.7
23.0
36.0
% over line
70%
67%
73%
34%
33%
35%
85%
67%
100%
% under line
30%
33%
27%
66%
67%
65%
15%
33%
0%
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oostende
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.0
10.0
2.4
2.4
2.4
27.9
28.7
27.0
vs Stronger (23)
8.3
5.0
10.0
0.6
0.3
0.9
24.3
28.0
22.5
vs Similar (27)
9.0
8.3
10.0
3.9
4.1
3.6
28.5
28.7
28.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
17%
60%
38%
35%
42%
86%
92%
80%
% under line
64%
83%
40%
62%
65%
58%
14%
8%
20%
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
12.8
Standard Liège II
12.1
Seraing United
11.7
Beerschot VA
11.6
Deinze
11.5
Francs Borains
11.2
K. Lierse S.K.
11.2
SK Beveren
10.8
KRC Genk II
10.6
Lommel United
10.3
Club Brugge II
10.3
RSC Anderlecht II
10.2
Zulte Waregem
10.2
Oostende
9.4
Dender
9.3
Patro Eisden
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KRC Genk II
6.2
Francs Borains
5.6
Liège
5.5
RSC Anderlecht II
5.5
Standard Liège II
5.4
Seraing United
5.4
Patro Eisden
5.4
K. Lierse S.K.
5.3
Dender
5.3
Beerschot VA
5.3
Lommel United
5.2
Deinze
5.0
Oostende
4.6
SK Beveren
4.3
Club Brugge II
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dender
28.4
Francs Borains
27.4
KRC Genk II
26.9
Patro Eisden
26.8
Deinze
26.8
Seraing United
26.5
Standard Liège II
26.1
RSC Anderlecht II
25.8
K. Lierse S.K.
25.6
Beerschot VA
25.5
Oostende
24.8
SK Beveren
24.5
Liège
24.5
Club Brugge II
23.3
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Lommel United
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.3%
Under 9.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.3%
Under 3.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.8%
Under 21.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
KRC Genk II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.67
0.73
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.76
0.64
0.79
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oostende
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.38
0.94
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.00
0.60
1.40
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.33
0.62
0.27
0.73
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KRC Genk II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
KRC Genk II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.13
0.60
1.27
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.88
1.16
0.64
1.29
1.18
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oostende
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.31
0.81
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.67
0.27
0.73
0.90
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KRC Genk II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
KRC Genk II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Konstantinos Karetsas33%
Victory Beniangba30%
Thomas Claes26%
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg20%
Robin Mirisola17%
Nolan Martens12%
Naoki Kumata11%
Faissal Al Mazyani10%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura10%
Wilson Da Costa8%
Cedric Nuozzi6%
Christian Akpan5%
Kelvin John0%
Alfred Caicedo0%
Mike Penders0%
Kamiel Van De Perre0%
Deniz Arabaci0%
Adnane Abid0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Saidou Toure0%
Zaid Bafdili0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Juwensley Onstein0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Kenan Haroun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kenan Haroun75%
Alfred Caicedo45%
Thomas Claes35%
Kamiel Van De Perre33%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura29%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo27%
Saidou Toure25%
Juwensley Onstein25%
Zaid Bafdili20%
Faissal Al Mazyani19%
Wilson Da Costa15%
Konstantinos Karetsas13%
Cedric Nuozzi12%
Deniz Arabaci10%
Victory Beniangba10%
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg10%
Christian Akpan10%
Adnane Abid7%
Brad Manguelle7%
Kelvin John0%
Mike Penders0%
Nolan Martens0%
Naoki Kumata0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Robin Mirisola0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kelvin John25%
Konstantinos Karetsas20%
Kamiel Van De Perre14%
Robin Mirisola11%
Wilson Da Costa8%
Adnane Abid7%
Cedric Nuozzi6%
Nolan Martens6%
Alfred Caicedo5%
Victory Beniangba5%
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg5%
Faissal Al Mazyani5%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura5%
Mike Penders0%
Deniz Arabaci0%
Thomas Claes0%
Naoki Kumata0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Saidou Toure0%
Zaid Bafdili0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Christian Akpan0%
Juwensley Onstein0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Kenan Haroun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Konstantinos Karetsas27%
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg25%
Kelvin John12%
Robin Mirisola11%
Deniz Arabaci10%
Victory Beniangba10%
Faissal Al Mazyani10%
Thomas Claes9%
Wilson Da Costa8%
Adnane Abid7%
Cedric Nuozzi6%
Kamiel Van De Perre5%
Alfred Caicedo0%
Mike Penders0%
Nolan Martens0%
Naoki Kumata0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Saidou Toure0%
Zaid Bafdili0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Christian Akpan0%
Juwensley Onstein0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Kenan Haroun0%
Oostende
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Berte25%
Ewan Henderson17%
Daniel Pérez17%
Maxime D'Arpino14%
Thomas Basila11%
Anton Tanghe9%
Juan Fuentes9%
Luis Hartwig6%
David Atanga6%
Robbie D'Haese6%
Brent Laes5%
Siebe Wylin5%
Sieben Dewaele4%
Zech Medley4%
Alfons Amade0%
Johanna Ochieng Omolo0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Liam Bossin0%
Cederick Van Daele0%
Manuel Osifo0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Andy Musayev0%
Paco Avoki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jonas Vinck35%
Thomas Basila33%
Ewan Henderson30%
Sieben Dewaele26%
Johanna Ochieng Omolo25%
Manuel Osifo25%
Brent Laes21%
Liam Bossin21%
Mohamed Berte21%
Daniel Pérez17%
Alfons Amade14%
Maxime D'Arpino14%
Siebe Wylin11%
Anton Tanghe9%
Cederick Van Daele6%
Zech Medley4%
Robbie D'Haese0%
David Atanga0%
Luis Hartwig0%
Juan Fuentes0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Andy Musayev0%
Paco Avoki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Berte17%
Brent Laes11%
Siebe Wylin11%
Daniel Pérez8%
Luis Hartwig6%
David Atanga6%
Cederick Van Daele6%
Robbie D'Haese6%
Massimo Decoene5%
Sieben Dewaele4%
Alfons Amade0%
Ewan Henderson0%
Zech Medley0%
Johanna Ochieng Omolo0%
Maxime D'Arpino0%
Thomas Basila0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Anton Tanghe0%
Liam Bossin0%
Manuel Osifo0%
Juan Fuentes0%
Andy Musayev0%
Paco Avoki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
David Atanga18%
Ewan Henderson17%
Mohamed Berte17%
Anton Tanghe9%
Robbie D'Haese6%
Brent Laes5%
Siebe Wylin5%
Zech Medley4%
Daniel Pérez4%
Alfons Amade0%
Johanna Ochieng Omolo0%
Maxime D'Arpino0%
Thomas Basila0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Liam Bossin0%
Luis Hartwig0%
Cederick Van Daele0%
Manuel Osifo0%
Juan Fuentes0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Andy Musayev0%
Paco Avoki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Lommel United
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
Liège
SK Beveren
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II