PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Krka vs Bilje Result & Analysis

Date: 23/05/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 2-2
Krka
Krka
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krka win✗ Miss
46.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bilje win✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KrkaKrka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D13L11D10W00D02L12L20W10WH·ALU22/03A·ILI29/03H·GOR06/04A·BEL12/04H·BRI19/04A·RUD25/04H·TRI04/05A·BIS08/05H·NŠ 11/05A·TAB18/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.001.071.071.000.94
vs Stronger (8)0.751.501.001.250.501.75
vs Similar (22)1.140.821.101.001.170.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W02L42W01L01L47L00D22D13L00DH·ILI23/03A·GOR29/03H·BEL06/04A·BRI12/04H·RUD19/04A·TRI27/04H·BIS03/05A·NŠ 07/05H·TAB11/05H·SLO17/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.431.311.001.071.93
vs Stronger (10)1.402.401.801.801.003.00
vs Similar (20)1.100.951.090.641.111.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.2%
Under 2.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.9%
Under 3.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
5.9%
2-2 ✓
5.7%
Krka goals ↓
Bilje goals →
01234
06.9%5.9%4.2%1.7%0.5%
18.3%13%6.9%2.8%0.8%
27.8%9.4%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.3%5.1%3.1%1.3%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Krka goals (down), columns = Bilje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aluminij
2.13
Triglav
2.10
Gorica
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.83
Tabor Sežana
1.80
Bistrica
1.70
Dravinja
1.50
Krka
1.27
Beltinci
1.10
Bilje
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.10
Dekani
1.07
Rudar
1.07
Ilirija
0.87
Tolmin
0.73
NŠ Drava
0.67
Krka is 0.17 points better than Bilje in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Gorica
2.00
Bistrica
2.00
Aluminij
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.93
Tabor Sežana
1.90
Beltinci
1.33
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.17
Slovan Ljubljana
1.13
Dekani
1.07
Ilirija
0.93
Krka
0.93
Rudar
0.90
Tolmin
0.87
NŠ Drava
0.73
Krka is 0.23 goals worse than Bilje in terms of goals scored per game (0.93 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aluminij
0.93
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.03
Krka
1.07
Triglav
1.10
Gorica
1.13
Tabor Sežana
1.17
Dravinja
1.20
Bistrica
1.27
Slovan Ljubljana
1.30
Rudar
1.47
Bilje
1.50
Beltinci
1.60
Ilirija
1.63
Dekani
1.87
Tolmin
2.07
NŠ Drava
2.17
Krka is 0.43 goals better than Bilje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KrkaKrka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L11D10W00D00D11D00D10WH·ALU22/03A·ILI29/03H·GOR06/04A·BEL12/04H·BRI19/04A·RUD25/04H·TRI04/05A·BIS08/05H·NŠ 11/05A·TAB18/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.430.360.570.500.31
vs Stronger (8)0.380.380.500.500.250.25
vs Similar (22)0.450.450.300.600.580.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L11D01L01L25L00D10W03L00DH·ILI23/03A·GOR29/03H·BEL06/04A·BRI12/04H·RUD19/04A·TRI27/04H·BIS03/05A·NŠ 07/05H·TAB11/05H·SLO17/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.560.750.571.00
vs Stronger (10)0.701.600.801.200.602.00
vs Similar (20)0.500.500.450.550.560.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Krka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KrkaKrka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D11D00D00D00D02L01L20W00DH·ALU22/03A·ILI29/03H·GOR06/04A·BEL12/04H·BRI19/04A·RUD25/04H·TRI04/05A·BIS08/05H·NŠ 11/05A·TAB18/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.710.500.500.62
vs Stronger (8)0.381.120.500.750.251.50
vs Similar (22)0.680.360.800.400.580.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L31W00D00D22D00D12L10W00DH·ILI23/03A·GOR29/03H·BEL06/04A·BRI12/04H·RUD19/04A·TRI27/04H·BIS03/05A·NŠ 07/05H·TAB11/05H·SLO17/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.750.250.500.93
vs Stronger (10)0.700.801.000.600.401.00
vs Similar (20)0.600.450.640.090.560.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Krka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
Krka and Bilje have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Krka and Bilje have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
Krka and Bilje have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Krka and Bilje have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
KRK wins
2
Draws
0
BIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Krka vs Bilje · H/A from KRK
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/24ABilje Vs KRK0-0
10/05/24HKRK Vs Bilje1-0
20/10/23ABilje Vs KRK0-2
08/04/23ABilje Vs KRK1-1
23/09/22HKRK Vs Bilje3-1

KrkaKrka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/25ATabor Sežana Vs KRK0-1
11/05/25HKRK Vs NŠ Drava2-0
08/05/25ABistrica Vs KRK2-1
04/05/25HKRK Vs Triglav0-2
25/04/25ARudar Vs KRK0-0
19/04/25HKRK Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-0
12/04/25ABeltinci Vs KRK1-1
06/04/25HKRK Vs Gorica1-3
29/03/25AIlirija Vs KRK1-1
22/03/25HKRK Vs Aluminij2-0

BiljeBilje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/25HBIL Vs Slovan Ljubljana0-0
11/05/25HBIL Vs Tabor Sežana1-3
07/05/25ANŠ Drava Vs BIL2-2
03/05/25HBIL Vs Bistrica0-0
27/04/25ATriglav Vs BIL7-4
19/04/25HBIL Vs Rudar0-1
12/04/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs BIL1-0
06/04/25HBIL Vs Beltinci4-2
29/03/25AGorica Vs BIL2-0
23/03/25HBIL Vs Ilirija1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW1.24
HomeWLWLW1.40
AwayDDDLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.402.522.28
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %18%20%16%
Scored1.101.161.04
Conceded1.301.361.24
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD1.08
HomeWLDLD1.28
AwayLLLLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.782.483.08
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.221.201.24
Conceded1.561.281.84
BTTS40%32%48%
Clean Sheet30%44%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AluminijAluminij3064
67%
2.1
5928+31
2.9
83%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.00.9
-
2TriglavTriglav3063
67%
2.1
7233+39
3.5
80%
60%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.1
-
3GoricaGorica3059
57%
2.0
6034+26
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
4Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3055
53%
1.8
5831+27
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3054
47%
1.8
5735+22
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.2
-
6BistricaBistrica3051
43%
1.7
6038+22
3.3
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.3
-
7DravinjaDravinja3045
43%
1.5
3736+1
2.4
63%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.2
-
8KrkaKrka3038
33%
1.3
2832-4
2.0
63%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.1
-
9Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
80%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10BeltinciBeltinci3033
30%
1.1
4048-8
2.9
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.6
-
11BiljeBilje3033
27%
1.1
3545-10
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
12RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
2744-17
2.4
70%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.91.5
-
13DekaniDekani3032
30%
1.1
3256-24
2.9
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.9
-
14IlirijaIlirija3026
17%
0.9
2849-21
2.6
67%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.6
-
15TolminTolmin3022
20%
0.7
2662-36
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
16NŠ DravaNŠ Drava3020
17%
0.7
2265-43
2.9
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

← all matches