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Krka vs NŠ Drava Result & Analysis

Date: 11/05/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 2-0
Krka
Krka
Vs
55%
27%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
NŠ Drava
NŠ Drava
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krka win✓ Hit
54.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NŠ Drava win✗ Miss
17.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KrkaKrka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D20W11D13L11D10W00D02L12LH·DEK08/03A·DRA15/03H·ALU22/03A·ILI29/03H·GOR06/04A·BEL12/04H·BRI19/04A·RUD25/04H·TRI04/05A·BIS08/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.071.001.071.001.06
vs Stronger (9)0.781.561.001.250.601.80
vs Similar (21)1.100.861.001.001.180.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (NŠ Drava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NŠ DravaNŠ Drava

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L03L21W04L10W04L04L11D02L22DH·ILI08/03A·GOR16/03H·BEL23/03A·BRI29/03H·RUD06/04A·TRI13/04H·BIS19/04H·SLO26/04A·TAB04/05H·BIL07/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.742.150.862.360.621.92
vs Stronger (8)0.383.380.753.750.003.00
vs Similar (19)0.891.630.901.800.891.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %19% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.3%
Under 1.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.0%
Under 2.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.4%
No
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0 ✓
11.4%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
Krka goals ↓
NŠ Drava goals →
01234
010%6.2%3.0%0.8%0.2%
113%13%4.8%1.3%0.3%
211%9.3%3.8%1.0%0.2%
36.1%4.9%2.0%0.5%0.1%
42.4%2.0%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Krka goals (down), columns = NŠ Drava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aluminij
2.13
Triglav
2.10
Gorica
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.83
Tabor Sežana
1.80
Bistrica
1.70
Dravinja
1.50
Krka
1.27
Beltinci
1.10
Bilje
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.10
Dekani
1.07
Rudar
1.07
Ilirija
0.87
Tolmin
0.73
NŠ Drava
0.67
Krka is 0.60 points better than NŠ Drava in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Gorica
2.00
Bistrica
2.00
Aluminij
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.93
Tabor Sežana
1.90
Beltinci
1.33
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.17
Slovan Ljubljana
1.13
Dekani
1.07
Ilirija
0.93
Krka
0.93
Rudar
0.90
Tolmin
0.87
NŠ Drava
0.73
Krka is 0.20 goals better than NŠ Drava in terms of goals scored per game (0.93 vs 0.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aluminij
0.93
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.03
Krka
1.07
Triglav
1.10
Gorica
1.13
Tabor Sežana
1.17
Dravinja
1.20
Bistrica
1.27
Slovan Ljubljana
1.30
Rudar
1.47
Bilje
1.50
Beltinci
1.60
Ilirija
1.63
Dekani
1.87
Tolmin
2.07
NŠ Drava
2.17
Krka is 1.10 goals better than NŠ Drava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 2.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KrkaKrka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W00D02L11D10W00D00D11DH·DEK08/03A·DRA15/03H·ALU22/03A·ILI29/03H·GOR06/04A·BEL12/04H·BRI19/04A·RUD25/04H·TRI04/05A·BIS08/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.470.360.570.500.38
vs Stronger (9)0.440.440.500.500.400.40
vs Similar (21)0.430.480.300.600.550.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (NŠ Drava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NŠ DravaNŠ Drava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W02L00D01L02L00D00D01LH·ILI08/03A·GOR16/03H·BEL23/03A·BRI29/03H·RUD06/04A·TRI13/04H·BIS19/04H·SLO26/04A·TAB04/05H·BIL07/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.850.211.000.380.69
vs Stronger (8)0.251.380.501.750.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.320.630.100.700.560.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Krka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NŠ Drava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NŠ Drava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NŠ Drava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KrkaKrka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W11D11D00D00D00D02L01LH·DEK08/03A·DRA15/03H·ALU22/03A·ILI29/03H·GOR06/04A·BEL12/04H·BRI19/04A·RUD25/04H·TRI04/05A·BIS08/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.640.500.500.69
vs Stronger (9)0.331.110.500.750.201.40
vs Similar (21)0.670.380.700.400.640.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (NŠ Drava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NŠ DravaNŠ Drava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L11D02L10W03L02L11D02L21WH·ILI08/03A·GOR16/03H·BEL23/03A·BRI29/03H·RUD06/04A·TRI13/04H·BIS19/04H·SLO26/04A·TAB04/05H·BIL07/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.441.300.641.360.231.23
vs Stronger (8)0.122.000.252.000.002.00
vs Similar (19)0.581.000.801.100.330.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Krka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NŠ Drava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NŠ Drava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NŠ Drava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
KRK wins
0
Draws
0
ND wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Krka vs NŠ Drava · H/A from KRK
DateH/AGameScore
03/11/24ANŠ Drava Vs KRK0-1

KrkaKrka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/25ABistrica Vs KRK2-1
04/05/25HKRK Vs Triglav0-2
25/04/25ARudar Vs KRK0-0
19/04/25HKRK Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-0
12/04/25ABeltinci Vs KRK1-1
06/04/25HKRK Vs Gorica1-3
29/03/25AIlirija Vs KRK1-1
22/03/25HKRK Vs Aluminij2-0
15/03/25ADravinja Vs KRK0-0
08/03/25HKRK Vs Dekani2-1

NŠ DravaNŠ Drava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/25HND Vs Bilje2-2
04/05/25ATabor Sežana Vs ND2-0
26/04/25HND Vs Slovan Ljubljana1-1
19/04/25HND Vs Bistrica0-4
13/04/25ATriglav Vs ND4-0
06/04/25HND Vs Rudar1-0
29/03/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs ND4-0
23/03/25HND Vs Beltinci2-1
16/03/25AGorica Vs ND3-0
08/03/25HND Vs Ilirija0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL1.18
HomeWWLWL1.28
AwayDDDDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.482.642.32
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored1.121.161.08
Conceded1.361.481.24
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---
NŠ Drava
NŠ Drava
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD0.74
HomeWWLDD0.79
AwayLLLLL0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%21%15%
AVG goals2.893.212.54
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %59%57%62%
Over 3.5 %37%50%23%
Scored0.740.860.62
Conceded2.152.361.92
BTTS33%43%23%
Clean Sheet19%14%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AluminijAluminij3064
67%
2.1
5928+31
2.9
83%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.00.9
-
2TriglavTriglav3063
67%
2.1
7233+39
3.5
80%
60%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.1
-
3GoricaGorica3059
57%
2.0
6034+26
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
4Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3055
53%
1.8
5831+27
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3054
47%
1.8
5735+22
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.2
-
6BistricaBistrica3051
43%
1.7
6038+22
3.3
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.3
-
7DravinjaDravinja3045
43%
1.5
3736+1
2.4
63%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.2
-
8KrkaKrka3038
33%
1.3
2832-4
2.0
63%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.1
-
9Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
80%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10BeltinciBeltinci3033
30%
1.1
4048-8
2.9
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.6
-
11BiljeBilje3033
27%
1.1
3545-10
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
12RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
2744-17
2.4
70%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.91.5
-
13DekaniDekani3032
30%
1.1
3256-24
2.9
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.9
-
14IlirijaIlirija3026
17%
0.9
2849-21
2.6
67%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.6
-
15TolminTolmin3022
20%
0.7
2662-36
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
16NŠ DravaNŠ Drava3020
17%
0.7
2265-43
2.9
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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