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Krka vs Rudar Result & Analysis

Date: 17/04/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 0-0
Krka
Krka
Vs
30%
30%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krka win✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar win✗ Miss
40.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KrkaKrka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W03L03L11D00D00D00D02L22DA·JES08/11H·DEK14/11H·TAB21/11A·BIS28/02H·NAF08/03A·BIL14/03H·BEL20/03A·BRI27/03H·TRI03/04A·SLO12/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.400.801.531.001.27
vs Stronger (9)1.001.670.401.601.751.75
vs Similar (20)0.751.351.001.500.501.20
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W51W00D11D50W12L23L02L40W00DA·DEK09/11H·TAB16/11H·BIS21/11A·NAF27/02H·BIL07/03A·BEL15/03H·BRI21/03A·TRI27/03H·SLO03/04H·ILI11/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.131.401.001.531.27
vs Stronger (8)0.882.250.802.201.002.33
vs Similar (21)1.710.711.780.331.671.00
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.3%
Under 1.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.6%
0-0 ✓
10.4%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
Krka goals ↓
Rudar goals →
01234
010%11%7.8%3.4%1.1%
18.6%14%8.5%3.7%1.2%
25.4%7.0%4.6%2.0%0.7%
31.9%2.5%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Krka goals (down), columns = Rudar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Krka is 0.27 points worse than Rudar in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Krka is 0.47 goals worse than Rudar in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Krka is 0.40 goals worse than Rudar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KrkaKrka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W00D01L10W00D00D00D01L10WA·JES08/11H·DEK14/11H·TAB21/11A·BIS28/02H·NAF08/03A·BIL14/03H·BEL20/03A·BRI27/03H·TRI03/04A·SLO12/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.470.530.600.53
vs Stronger (9)0.670.670.400.401.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.450.500.500.600.400.40
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W31W00D00D30W10W21W00D00D00DA·DEK09/11H·TAB16/11H·BIS21/11A·NAF27/02H·BIL07/03A·BEL15/03H·BRI21/03A·TRI27/03H·SLO03/04H·ILI11/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.430.670.601.000.27
vs Stronger (8)0.621.120.801.400.330.67
vs Similar (21)0.950.190.670.221.170.17
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Krka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KrkaKrka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D03L02L01L00D00D00D01L12LA·JES08/11H·DEK14/11H·TAB21/11A·BIS28/02H·NAF08/03A·BIL14/03H·BEL20/03A·BRI27/03H·TRI03/04A·SLO12/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.870.331.000.400.73
vs Stronger (9)0.331.000.001.200.750.75
vs Similar (20)0.300.850.500.900.100.80
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L20W00D11D20W02L02L02L40W00DA·DEK09/11H·TAB16/11H·BIS21/11A·NAF27/02H·BIL07/03A·BEL15/03H·BRI21/03A·TRI27/03H·SLO03/04H·ILI11/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.730.400.531.00
vs Stronger (8)0.251.120.000.800.671.67
vs Similar (21)0.760.521.110.110.500.83
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Krka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Krka and Rudar have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Krka and Rudar have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Krka and Rudar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Krka and Rudar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
KRK wins
4
Draws
1
RUD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Krka vs Rudar · H/A from KRK
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25ARudar Vs KRK0-0
25/04/25ARudar Vs KRK0-0
13/10/24HKRK Vs Rudar3-0
19/05/24ARudar Vs KRK0-5
29/10/23HKRK Vs Rudar4-5
23/04/23ARudar Vs KRK1-1
09/10/22HKRK Vs Rudar1-1

KrkaKrka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26ASlovan Ljubljana Vs KRK2-2
03/04/26HKRK Vs Triglav0-2
27/03/26ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs KRK0-0
20/03/26HKRK Vs Beltinci0-0
14/03/26ABilje Vs KRK0-0
08/03/26HKRK Vs Nafta1-1
28/02/26ABistrica Vs KRK3-0
21/11/25HKRK Vs Tabor Sežana0-3
14/11/25HKRK Vs Dekani1-0
08/11/25AJesenice Vs KRK0-3

RudarRudar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HRUD Vs Ilirija0-0
03/04/26HRUD Vs Slovan Ljubljana4-0
27/03/26ATriglav Vs RUD2-0
21/03/26HRUD Vs Brinje-Grosuplje2-3
15/03/26ABeltinci Vs RUD2-1
07/03/26HRUD Vs Bilje5-0
27/02/26ANafta Vs RUD1-1
21/11/25HRUD Vs Bistrica0-0
16/11/25HRUD Vs Tabor Sežana5-1
09/11/25ADekani Vs RUD1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLD1.12
HomeWLDDL1.29
AwayWLDDD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%38%15%
AVG goals2.142.292.00
Over 1.5 %64%71%58%
Over 2.5 %44%46%42%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored0.860.920.81
Conceded1.281.381.19
BTTS36%29%42%
Clean Sheet36%33%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.18
HomeDWLWD1.27
AwayWWDLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%27%29%
AVG goals2.482.382.58
Over 1.5 %72%65%79%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %26%31%21%
Scored1.201.311.08
Conceded1.281.081.50
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet34%42%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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