This opponent (Chornomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chornomorets
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.20
1.07
1.07
1.93
1.33
vs Stronger (6)
1.83
1.50
1.50
1.75
2.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.40
1.35
0.89
1.00
1.82
1.64
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
1-0 ✓
5.8%
Kryvbas KR goals ↓
Chornomorets goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
6.7%
6.3%
3.4%
1.4%
1
5.8%
12%
8.9%
4.8%
1.9%
2
4.9%
7.8%
6.3%
3.4%
1.4%
3
2.3%
3.7%
3.0%
1.6%
0.6%
4
0.8%
1.3%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kryvbas KR goals (down), columns = Chornomorets goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.30
Kryvbas KR
1.90
Dnipro-1
1.73
Polessya
1.67
Ruh Lviv
1.63
LNZ Cherkasy
1.37
Oleksandria
1.13
Vorskla Poltava
1.10
Kolos Kovalivka
1.07
Zorya Luhansk
1.07
Chornomorets
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.94
Minai
0.83
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.50
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Kryvbas KR is 0.83 points better than Chornomorets in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.40
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.10
Kryvbas KR
1.70
Ruh Lviv
1.47
Dnipro-1
1.33
Polessya
1.30
Chornomorets
1.27
Veres Rivne
1.09
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Oleksandria
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.97
Minai
0.90
Kolos Kovalivka
0.73
Obolon'-Brovar
0.62
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Kryvbas KR is 0.43 goals better than Chornomorets in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 1.27).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.80
Dnipro-1
0.90
Dynamo Kyiv
0.93
Polessya
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
1.03
Ruh Lviv
1.03
LNZ Cherkasy
1.13
Zorya Luhansk
1.23
Oleksandria
1.27
Obolon'-Brovar
1.31
Veres Rivne
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.53
Chornomorets
1.57
Minai
1.67
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.90
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.00
Kryvbas KR is 0.57 goals better than Chornomorets in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
59%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
55%
Livyi Bereh
54%
Chornomorets
52%
Dnipro-1
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
LNZ Cherkasy
51%
Polessya
51%
Oleksandria
51%
Ruh Lviv
50%
Vorskla Poltava
50%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
49%
Zorya Luhansk
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Obolon'-Brovar
44%
Minai
44%
Veres Rivne
44%
Kryvbas KR is 1.4 percentage points worse than Chornomorets in terms of average possession (51% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kryvbas KR
For 5.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 11.6 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chornomorets
For 4.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kryvbas KR
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
8.6
7.9
9.2
3.2
2.8
3.5
23.3
20.8
25.7
vs Stronger (5)
7.0
7.0
-
3.0
5.0
0.0
22.0
22.0
-
vs Similar (16)
9.2
8.4
10.2
3.2
3.4
3.1
21.6
20.0
23.5
vs Weaker (18)
8.2
7.8
8.4
3.1
1.6
4.7
25.8
21.7
27.6
% over line
44%
43%
46%
44%
37%
50%
62%
54%
69%
% under line
56%
57%
54%
56%
63%
50%
38%
46%
31%
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chornomorets
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
8.9
8.4
9.3
3.7
3.2
4.2
22.9
20.3
25.2
vs Stronger (7)
7.0
5.2
10.5
4.9
6.0
3.3
20.6
17.7
25.0
vs Similar (28)
9.5
10.4
8.8
3.5
2.6
4.3
23.9
21.8
25.5
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
7.0
11.0
2.8
1.5
4.0
21.2
18.5
24.0
% over line
48%
36%
60%
59%
47%
70%
46%
38%
53%
% under line
52%
64%
40%
41%
53%
30%
54%
62%
47%
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Polessya
11.1
Veres Rivne
10.4
LNZ Cherkasy
10.2
Kolos Kovalivka
10.2
Vorskla Poltava
9.9
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.9
Zorya Luhansk
9.9
Oleksandria
9.8
Minai
9.7
Dynamo Kyiv
9.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.5
Ruh Lviv
9.4
Obolon'-Brovar
9.4
Dnipro-1
9.2
Chornomorets
8.9
Kryvbas KR
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Polessya
6.0
Ruh Lviv
6.0
Obolon'-Brovar
5.8
Dynamo Kyiv
5.4
Vorskla Poltava
5.1
Veres Rivne
5.0
Chornomorets
5.0
Kolos Kovalivka
4.8
Oleksandria
4.6
Kryvbas KR
4.6
LNZ Cherkasy
4.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.4
Zorya Luhansk
4.4
Minai
4.3
Dnipro-1
4.2
Shakhtar Donetsk
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vorskla Poltava
26.6
Obolon'-Brovar
26.1
Dynamo Kyiv
24.8
Kolos Kovalivka
24.2
Ruh Lviv
24.0
Dnipro-1
23.7
Minai
23.4
Kryvbas KR
23.3
Chornomorets
22.9
LNZ Cherkasy
22.6
Polessya
22.4
Oleksandria
22.4
Zorya Luhansk
22.2
Veres Rivne
21.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.0%
Under 9.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
73.4%
Under 3.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.5%
Under 21.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kryvbas KR
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.40
0.47
0.53
0.40
0.27
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.67
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.46
0.29
0.57
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (14)
0.43
0.21
0.60
0.20
0.33
0.22
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chornomorets
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
0.53
0.47
1.20
0.40
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
0.50
1.00
0.75
1.50
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.50
0.44
0.44
1.27
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kryvbas KR over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kryvbas KR over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kryvbas KR over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kryvbas KR
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
0.87
0.67
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.33
1.33
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.08
0.31
1.14
0.43
1.00
0.17
vs Weaker (14)
0.79
0.64
0.80
0.60
0.78
0.67
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chornomorets
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.53
0.60
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.85
0.44
0.56
0.55
1.09
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kryvbas KR over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kryvbas KR over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kryvbas KR over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kryvbas KR
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oleh Kozhushko40%
Denys Kuzyk33%
Yehor Tverdokhlib33%
Djihad Bizimana20%
Maksym Zaderaka20%
Prince Kwabena Adu20%
Andriy Poniedielnik17%
Mikita Tatarkov0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Rafael Fonseca0%
Danylo Beskorovaynyi0%
Tymur Stetskov0%
Dmytro Khomchenovskyi0%
Yurii Vakulko0%
Andriy Klishchuk0%
Daniel Sosah0%
Yvan Dibango0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nathanaël Saintini33%
Yehor Tverdokhlib33%
Daniel Sosah25%
Djihad Bizimana20%
Tymur Stetskov17%
Andriy Poniedielnik17%
Mikita Tatarkov0%
Rafael Fonseca0%
Danylo Beskorovaynyi0%
Maksym Zaderaka0%
Dmytro Khomchenovskyi0%
Yurii Vakulko0%
Andriy Klishchuk0%
Oleh Kozhushko0%
Denys Kuzyk0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Prince Kwabena Adu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Fonseca33%
Dmytro Khomchenovskyi25%
Daniel Sosah25%
Mikita Tatarkov20%
Tymur Stetskov17%
Djihad Bizimana0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Danylo Beskorovaynyi0%
Maksym Zaderaka0%
Yurii Vakulko0%
Andriy Klishchuk0%
Oleh Kozhushko0%
Andriy Poniedielnik0%
Denys Kuzyk0%
Yehor Tverdokhlib0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Prince Kwabena Adu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oleh Kozhushko40%
Prince Kwabena Adu40%
Andriy Poniedielnik33%
Djihad Bizimana20%
Maksym Zaderaka20%
Mikita Tatarkov0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Rafael Fonseca0%
Danylo Beskorovaynyi0%
Tymur Stetskov0%
Dmytro Khomchenovskyi0%
Yurii Vakulko0%
Andriy Klishchuk0%
Denys Kuzyk0%
Yehor Tverdokhlib0%
Daniel Sosah0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Chornomorets
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andriy Shtohrin38%
Orest Kuzyk38%
Guy Hadida33%
Vitaliy Yermakov17%
Bohdan Boichuk14%
Ziguy Badibanga12%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Samson Iyede0%
Vladyslav Vakula0%
Artur Avagimian0%
Luka Guček0%
Jon Šporn0%
Illia Putria0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Maksym Bragaru0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artur Avagimian29%
Oleksandr Vasyliev25%
Jon Šporn14%
Illia Putria14%
Andriy Shtohrin12%
Ziguy Badibanga12%
Maksym Bragaru12%
Volodymyr Salyuk12%
Samson Iyede0%
Vladyslav Vakula0%
Orest Kuzyk0%
Vitaliy Yermakov0%
Bohdan Boichuk0%
Guy Hadida0%
Luka Guček0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Artur Avagimian29%
Ziguy Badibanga25%
Samson Iyede17%
Illia Putria14%
Andriy Shtohrin12%
Maksym Bragaru12%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Vladyslav Vakula0%
Orest Kuzyk0%
Vitaliy Yermakov0%
Bohdan Boichuk0%
Guy Hadida0%
Luka Guček0%
Jon Šporn0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samson Iyede50%
Guy Hadida33%
Maksym Bragaru25%
Oleksandr Vasyliev12%
Andriy Shtohrin12%
Orest Kuzyk12%
Vladyslav Vakula0%
Artur Avagimian0%
Vitaliy Yermakov0%
Bohdan Boichuk0%
Ziguy Badibanga0%
Luka Guček0%
Jon Šporn0%
Illia Putria0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
POL (32)
€34m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
CHO (21)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
Kryvbas KR's squad is €5m more valuable than Chornomorets's (€11m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
POL (9)
€12m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
OBO (9)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
Kryvbas KR and Chornomorets have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
POL (9)
€8m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OBO (5)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
Kryvbas KR and Chornomorets have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
POL (14)
€14m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
Kryvbas KR's defence is €4m more valuable than Chornomorets's (€6m vs €2m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →