This opponent (Polessya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polessya
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.97
1.50
1.06
1.21
0.86
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
1.25
1.25
1.40
1.20
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (21)
1.48
0.90
1.55
1.00
1.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.1%
Under 1.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.1%
Under 2.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.1%
Under 3.5
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.1%
No
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.8%
0-1 ✓
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
Kryvbas KR goals ↓
Polessya goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.8%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.3%
2.0%
0.5%
2
8.8%
8.4%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
3
3.8%
3.6%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kryvbas KR goals (down), columns = Polessya goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.30
Kryvbas KR
1.90
Dnipro-1
1.73
Polessya
1.67
Ruh Lviv
1.63
LNZ Cherkasy
1.37
Oleksandria
1.13
Vorskla Poltava
1.10
Kolos Kovalivka
1.07
Zorya Luhansk
1.07
Chornomorets
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.94
Minai
0.83
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.50
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Kryvbas KR is 0.23 points better than Polessya in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.40
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.10
Kryvbas KR
1.70
Ruh Lviv
1.47
Dnipro-1
1.33
Polessya
1.30
Chornomorets
1.27
Veres Rivne
1.09
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Oleksandria
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.97
Minai
0.90
Kolos Kovalivka
0.73
Obolon'-Brovar
0.62
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Kryvbas KR is 0.40 goals better than Polessya in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 1.30).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.80
Dnipro-1
0.90
Dynamo Kyiv
0.93
Polessya
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
1.03
Ruh Lviv
1.03
LNZ Cherkasy
1.13
Zorya Luhansk
1.23
Oleksandria
1.27
Obolon'-Brovar
1.31
Veres Rivne
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.53
Chornomorets
1.57
Minai
1.67
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.90
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.00
Kryvbas KR and Polessya are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
59%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
55%
Livyi Bereh
54%
Chornomorets
52%
Dnipro-1
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
LNZ Cherkasy
51%
Polessya
51%
Oleksandria
51%
Ruh Lviv
50%
Vorskla Poltava
50%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
49%
Zorya Luhansk
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Obolon'-Brovar
44%
Minai
44%
Veres Rivne
44%
Kryvbas KR is 0.3 percentage points better than Polessya in terms of average possession (51% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kryvbas KR
For 5.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Polessya
For 5.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kryvbas KR
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.3
9.7
3.2
2.9
3.5
23.4
20.9
25.7
vs Stronger (6)
9.4
8.8
12.0
3.5
4.5
1.5
22.4
22.5
22.0
vs Similar (24)
9.5
9.0
10.0
3.1
2.8
3.4
21.8
20.1
23.7
vs Weaker (20)
8.1
6.6
9.0
3.3
2.2
4.0
26.7
21.7
28.6
% over line
54%
50%
58%
44%
40%
48%
62%
56%
68%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
56%
60%
52%
38%
44%
32%
This opponent (Polessya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polessya
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (49)
10.0
10.1
9.9
2.4
2.6
2.2
22.4
20.4
24.6
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
-
10.0
6.0
-
6.0
21.0
-
21.0
vs Similar (11)
12.2
12.5
11.0
2.6
4.0
1.0
17.4
18.0
15.0
vs Weaker (37)
9.2
8.7
9.7
2.2
2.2
2.3
24.4
22.0
26.4
% over line
55%
64%
44%
39%
40%
38%
47%
40%
56%
% under line
45%
36%
56%
61%
60%
62%
53%
60%
44%
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
10.3
LNZ Cherkasy
10.2
Polessya
10.0
Zorya Luhansk
10.0
Kolos Kovalivka
10.0
Vorskla Poltava
10.0
Ruh Lviv
9.5
Oleksandria
9.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.3
Dynamo Kyiv
9.3
Minai
9.3
Obolon'-Brovar
9.2
Dnipro-1
9.1
Kryvbas KR
9.0
Chornomorets
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Polessya
5.9
Obolon'-Brovar
5.8
Ruh Lviv
5.4
Vorskla Poltava
5.3
Dynamo Kyiv
5.0
Veres Rivne
5.0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.8
LNZ Cherkasy
4.8
Chornomorets
4.6
Oleksandria
4.6
Kolos Kovalivka
4.6
Zorya Luhansk
4.6
Minai
4.4
Shakhtar Donetsk
4.3
Kryvbas KR
4.1
Dnipro-1
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
27.1
Vorskla Poltava
26.5
LNZ Cherkasy
24.4
Minai
24.1
Dynamo Kyiv
23.8
Ruh Lviv
23.6
Kryvbas KR
23.4
Dnipro-1
23.2
Kolos Kovalivka
23.1
Oleksandria
23.0
Veres Rivne
22.4
Polessya
22.4
Chornomorets
22.3
Zorya Luhansk
22.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
22.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.2%
Under 9.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.7%
Under 3.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
59.6%
Under 21.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kryvbas KR
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
1.00
0.64
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.33
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.35
1.14
0.29
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.30
0.80
0.40
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Polessya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polessya
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.30
0.44
0.31
0.57
0.29
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.38
0.80
0.40
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (21)
0.48
0.29
0.27
0.27
0.70
0.30
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kryvbas KR over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kryvbas KR over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kryvbas KR over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kryvbas KR
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.37
0.71
0.29
1.06
0.44
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (17)
1.00
0.24
0.86
0.14
1.10
0.30
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.40
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Polessya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polessya
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
1.06
0.75
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.88
0.60
0.80
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.00
0.62
1.27
0.73
0.70
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kryvbas KR over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kryvbas KR over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kryvbas KR over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kryvbas KR
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oleh Kozhushko40%
Denys Kuzyk33%
Yehor Tverdokhlib33%
Djihad Bizimana20%
Maksym Zaderaka20%
Prince Kwabena Adu20%
Andriy Poniedielnik17%
Mikita Tatarkov0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Rafael Fonseca0%
Danylo Beskorovaynyi0%
Tymur Stetskov0%
Dmytro Khomchenovskyi0%
Yurii Vakulko0%
Andriy Klishchuk0%
Daniel Sosah0%
Yvan Dibango0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nathanaël Saintini33%
Yehor Tverdokhlib33%
Daniel Sosah25%
Djihad Bizimana20%
Tymur Stetskov17%
Andriy Poniedielnik17%
Mikita Tatarkov0%
Rafael Fonseca0%
Danylo Beskorovaynyi0%
Maksym Zaderaka0%
Dmytro Khomchenovskyi0%
Yurii Vakulko0%
Andriy Klishchuk0%
Oleh Kozhushko0%
Denys Kuzyk0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Prince Kwabena Adu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Fonseca33%
Dmytro Khomchenovskyi25%
Daniel Sosah25%
Mikita Tatarkov20%
Tymur Stetskov17%
Djihad Bizimana0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Danylo Beskorovaynyi0%
Maksym Zaderaka0%
Yurii Vakulko0%
Andriy Klishchuk0%
Oleh Kozhushko0%
Andriy Poniedielnik0%
Denys Kuzyk0%
Yehor Tverdokhlib0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Prince Kwabena Adu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oleh Kozhushko40%
Prince Kwabena Adu40%
Andriy Poniedielnik33%
Djihad Bizimana20%
Maksym Zaderaka20%
Mikita Tatarkov0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Rafael Fonseca0%
Danylo Beskorovaynyi0%
Tymur Stetskov0%
Dmytro Khomchenovskyi0%
Yurii Vakulko0%
Andriy Klishchuk0%
Denys Kuzyk0%
Yehor Tverdokhlib0%
Daniel Sosah0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Polessya
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luifer Hernández67%
Oleksandr Nazarenko50%
Bohdan Kushnirenko33%
Denys Ndukve25%
Emil Mustafayev20%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Artem Shabanov0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Yassin Fortune0%
Vasyl Hrytsuk0%
Serhii Chobotenko0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Artem Kozak0%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi0%
Talles Costa0%
Artem Smoliakov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yassin Fortune67%
Artem Smoliakov50%
Ivan Petriak33%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi33%
Bohdan Kushnirenko33%
Talles Costa25%
Denys Ndukve25%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Artem Shabanov0%
Luifer Hernández0%
Vasyl Hrytsuk0%
Serhii Chobotenko0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Artem Kozak0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Emil Mustafayev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko25%
Talles Costa25%
Artem Smoliakov25%
Emil Mustafayev20%
Serhii Chobotenko17%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Artem Shabanov0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Yassin Fortune0%
Luifer Hernández0%
Vasyl Hrytsuk0%
Artem Kozak0%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Bohdan Kushnirenko0%
Denys Ndukve0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oleksandr Nazarenko50%
Emil Mustafayev40%
Yassin Fortune33%
Luifer Hernández33%
Denys Ndukve25%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Artem Shabanov0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Vasyl Hrytsuk0%
Serhii Chobotenko0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Artem Kozak0%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi0%
Bohdan Kushnirenko0%
Talles Costa0%
Artem Smoliakov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
POL (32)
€34m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
CHO (21)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
Kryvbas KR's squad is €23m less valuable than Polessya's (€11m vs €34m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
POL (9)
€12m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
OBO (9)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
Kryvbas KR's attack is €9m less valuable than Polessya's (€3m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
POL (9)
€8m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OBO (5)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
Kryvbas KR's midfield is €6m less valuable than Polessya's (€2m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
POL (14)
€14m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
Kryvbas KR's defence is €8m less valuable than Polessya's (€6m vs €14m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Dnipro-1
Ruh Lviv
LNZ Cherkasy
Oleksandria
Vorskla Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
Chornomorets
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
Obolon'-Brovar
Minai
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Livyi Bereh
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi