The clash between KVC Westerlo and Zulte Waregem is a tight one, with the model picking a home win as the most likely outcome. Home advantage gives Westerlo a 37% chance, a draw 27%, and an away win 36%. The expected total goals sit at three, yet the most probable total is two, with a 23% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.3% probability. Westerlo, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.86 conceded, while Waregem, on the road, averages 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. The model’s selections include Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.5% with a 5% edge), Under 7.5 (98.4% with a 2% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.6% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (95.7% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.2% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.0% with a 5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (93.6% with a 6% edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (90.9%). Westerlo has endured five straight defeats, losing 0-4 to Lommel United, while Waregem has gone unbeaten in five matches, winning 4-0 over SK Beveren.
Results analysis
The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, the away win, failed to materialise, ending in a 2-2 draw. The model had tipped the away side with a 38% chance, but the result was a draw. The match saw a host of low-goal selections hit: Under 7.5 (98.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.7%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.4%), Under 6.5 (95.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.6%) and Home under 3.5 goals (90.9%). The home team, KVC Westerlo, had been coming off a draw, while Zulte Waregem had gone unbeaten in their last five, a form that helped keep the scoreline balanced.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
KVC Westerlo win✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied 31.6% · @ 2.96
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.12
1xBet
3.09
Dafabet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.02
Betano
3.00
Draw✓ Hit
26.6%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.65
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.80
Dafabet
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Betano
3.70
Zulte Waregem win✗ Miss
37.7%
Avg Implied 42.8% · @ 2.19
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.22
Pinnacle
2.22
1xBet
2.21
Dafabet
2.21
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
KVC Westerlo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.57
1.36
1.86
0.94
1.31
vs Stronger (13)
1.08
1.85
1.29
1.86
0.83
1.83
vs Similar (17)
1.18
1.35
1.43
1.86
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.43
1.71
1.29
1.44
1.56
vs Stronger (10)
1.20
2.20
1.75
2.50
0.83
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.75
1.05
1.70
0.80
1.80
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.0%
@ 1.16-0.3%
Under 1.5
19.0%
@ 5.01+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.45
Superbet
5.20
Unibet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.3%
@ 1.53-3.7%
Under 2.5
42.7%
@ 2.40+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Unibet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.51
Betano
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.45
Unibet
2.43
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.9%
@ 2.33-5.7%
Under 3.5
65.1%
@ 1.59+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.39
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.35
Unibet
2.35
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.2%
@ 1.45-2.7%
No
38.8%
@ 2.57+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
No
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
William Hil
2.60
Superbet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 6.96+6.0%
1-2
8.5%@ 8.20+3.1%
2-1
8.3%@ 9.66+3.6%
0-1
6.5%@ 10.36+2.2%
1-0
6.3%@ 12.10+2.6%
2-2 ✓
6.3%@ 10.18+1.9%
0-0
6.2%@ 14.88+3.2%
0-2
5.8%@ 12.05+2.1%
KVC Westerlo goals ↓
Zulte Waregem goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
6.5%
5.8%
2.9%
1.1%
1
6.3%
12%
8.5%
4.3%
1.6%
2
5.5%
8.3%
6.3%
3.2%
1.2%
3
2.7%
4.1%
3.1%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.0%
1.5%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KVC Westerlo goals (down), columns = Zulte Waregem goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
KVC Westerlo is 0.03 points worse than Zulte Waregem in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
KVC Westerlo is 0.22 goals worse than Zulte Waregem in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
KVC Westerlo is 0.05 goals better than Zulte Waregem in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
KVC Westerlo is 1.0 percentage points better than Zulte Waregem in terms of average possession (49% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
KVC Westerlo
For 4.2 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zulte Waregem
For 5.0 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 14.0 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KVC Westerlo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.1
11.0
3.9
3.8
3.9
23.0
22.5
23.5
vs Stronger (18)
10.2
10.1
10.3
4.4
4.3
4.4
24.8
23.0
26.6
vs Similar (32)
10.8
10.1
11.4
3.6
3.5
3.6
22.0
22.2
21.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
50%
68%
58%
62%
54%
61%
62%
60%
% under line
41%
50%
32%
42%
38%
46%
39%
38%
40%
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.9
9.9
3.5
4.0
3.1
22.8
23.0
22.6
vs Stronger (15)
9.4
9.3
9.6
3.1
3.1
3.1
23.4
23.4
23.4
vs Similar (33)
10.1
10.1
10.1
3.7
4.3
3.1
22.9
22.8
22.9
vs Weaker (2)
9.5
-
9.5
3.0
-
3.0
17.0
-
17.0
% over line
50%
58%
42%
42%
50%
35%
56%
54%
58%
% under line
50%
42%
58%
58%
50%
65%
44%
46%
42%
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Charleroi
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Anderlecht
10.4
Gent
10.1
Kortrijk
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.0
Standard Liege
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.9
St. Truiden
9.9
Lommel United
9.8
SK Beveren
9.7
Genk
9.6
Union St. Gilloise
9.3
Antwerp
9.2
RAAL La Louvière
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.8
SK Beveren
4.4
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.3
Lommel United
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
Antwerp
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Genk
3.7
Gent
3.6
Club Brugge KV
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
25.0
Anderlecht
24.9
RAAL La Louvière
24.6
Antwerp
24.0
Lommel United
23.9
Kortrijk
23.4
SK Beveren
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Genk
22.2
Standard Liege
22.1
Charleroi
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.9
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
St. Truiden
21.2
Gent
21.1
Club Brugge KV
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.8%
@ 1.61-2.6%
Under 9.5
45.2%
@ 2.17+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.61
1xBet
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Unibet
2.14
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.0%
@ 1.79-4.0%
Under 3.5
52.0%
@ 1.94+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
Unibet
1.74
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.05
Unibet
1.94
Superbet
1.82
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.0%
Under 21.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
KVC Westerlo or Draw✓ Hit
67.1%
Avg Implied 56.8% · @ 1.65
Edge
+10.2%
36%
27%
38%
covers KVC Westerlo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.67
SBO
1.67
KVC Westerlo or Zulte Waregem✗ Miss
74.5%
Avg Implied 74.7% · @ 1.26
Edge
-0.3%
36%
27%
38%
covers KVC Westerlo + Zulte Waregem
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Draw or Zulte Waregem✓ Hit
58.5%
Avg Implied 68.4% · @ 1.37
Edge
-10.0%
36%
27%
38%
covers Draw + Zulte Waregem
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.37
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
KVC Westerlo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.4%
@ 1.23+5.7%
Under
18.6%
@ 3.83-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.03
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
BetVictor
3.80
10Bet
3.80
KVC Westerlo over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
50.2%
@ 2.14+6.5%
Under
49.8%
@ 1.66-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.17
BetVictor
2.15
Betano
2.12
Under
Superbet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
KVC Westerlo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.9%
@ 4.56+3.5%
Under
76.1%
@ 1.17-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Unibet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
10Bet
4.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
KVC Westerlo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 10.32-0.0%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.03+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.01
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.3%
@ 1.15-3.3%
Under
22.7%
@ 4.80+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
43.7%
@ 1.81-8.0%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.93+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Betfair
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.99
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 3.49-7.9%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.27+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.55
Superbet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Zulte Waregem over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 7.61-5.8%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.06+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to KVC Westerlo, so a minus line means KVC Westerlo give that many goals of a start and Zulte Waregem receive them. At -1, KVC Westerlo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal KVC Westerlo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (KVC Westerlo)Actual: Zulte Waregem
KVC Westerlo -2
9.3%
@ 11.37+1.4%
Draw -2
12.8%
@ 7.63+1.1%
Zulte Waregem +2
77.9%
@ 1.11-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Unibet
12.00
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Betfair
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
8.00
Marathonbet
5.15
Away
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (KVC Westerlo)Actual: Zulte Waregem
KVC Westerlo -1
22.1%
@ 5.61+6.1%
Draw -1
19.5%
@ 4.68+0.4%
Zulte Waregem +1
58.5%
@ 1.38-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Unibet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Away
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Handicap +1 (KVC Westerlo)Actual: KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo +1
67.1%
@ 1.64+12.3%
Draw +1
17.0%
@ 4.13-4.7%
Zulte Waregem -1
15.9%
@ 3.82-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Unibet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
10Bet
3.95
Away
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.75
Handicap +2 (KVC Westerlo)Actual: KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo +2
84.1%
@ 1.22+9.9%
Draw +2
9.9%
@ 6.21-4.6%
Zulte Waregem -2
6.0%
@ 8.01-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.05
10Bet
6.00
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
9.00
Superbet
8.10
10Bet
7.50
Unibet
7.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
KVC Westerlo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.57
1.21
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
0.85
0.57
0.86
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.88
0.57
1.57
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.64
0.71
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.50
0.90
0.40
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.5%
@ 1.26-1.3%
Under 0.5
27.5%
@ 3.54+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Unibet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Unibet
3.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
37.2%
@ 2.24-4.5%
Under 1.5
62.8%
@ 1.61+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
SBO
2.33
Pinnacle
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Unibet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
Superbet
1.63
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.7%
@ 4.91-6.2%
Under 2.5
87.3%
@ 1.15+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Betano
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KVC Westerlo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.6%
@ 1.94-5.3%
Under
57.4%
@ 1.79+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
KVC Westerlo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 5.62-5.4%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.10+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.85
Unibet
5.80
Betano
5.60
Superbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
KVC Westerlo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 16.17-4.3%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.6%
@ 1.74-2.8%
Under
49.4%
@ 1.99+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Unibet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
Unibet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.9%
@ 4.62-4.1%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.16+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.65
Unibet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Superbet
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 12.42-4.3%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
KVC Westerlo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.79
0.64
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.00
0.71
1.00
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.47
0.86
0.29
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.77
1.07
0.57
0.69
0.94
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.20
1.75
1.00
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.55
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (KVC Westerlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.3%
@ 1.14-2.0%
Under 0.5
20.7%
@ 4.97+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.10
Betano
5.00
Superbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.1%
@ 1.74-4.5%
Under 1.5
50.9%
@ 2.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
William Hil
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betano
2.07
Unibet
2.02
William Hil
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.7%
@ 3.26-7.8%
Under 2.5
79.3%
@ 1.30+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Unibet
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
Under
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KVC Westerlo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
51.3%
@ 1.64-5.4%
Under
48.7%
@ 2.14+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Under
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
KVC Westerlo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.6%
@ 4.09-6.1%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.20+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
KVC Westerlo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 10.33-5.5%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.03+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.2%
@ 1.50-2.6%
Under
40.8%
@ 2.42+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Under
Betano
2.50
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.35
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.2%
@ 3.34-7.5%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.28+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 8.60-6.1%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.04+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Superbet
9.10
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.7%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.6%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.01
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.07
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.7%
1.27
Betano
1.27
-
-
-
-
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.1%
1.16
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
+9.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.4%
1.20
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
81.4%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.3%
1.27
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.0%
1.16
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.28
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.30
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
78.6%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
77.9%
1.11
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
77.3%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
76.1%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.5%
1.26
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
-0.3%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.5%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Unibet
1.25
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.1%
1.45
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.46
Superbet
1.37
-
-
+7.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
KVC Westerlo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Norman Bassette67%
Shunsuke Saito33%
Seiji Kimura0%
Cisse Sandra0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Isa Sakamoto0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Dylan Ourega0%
Amando Lapage0%
Lucas Mbamba0%
Reda Laalaoui0%
Lasse Flø0%
David Amegnaglo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cisse Sandra33%
Lasse Flø33%
Seiji Kimura0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Isa Sakamoto0%
Norman Bassette0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Dylan Ourega0%
Amando Lapage0%
Lucas Mbamba0%
Reda Laalaoui0%
Shunsuke Saito0%
David Amegnaglo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isa Sakamoto33%
Seiji Kimura0%
Cisse Sandra0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Norman Bassette0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Dylan Ourega0%
Amando Lapage0%
Lucas Mbamba0%
Reda Laalaoui0%
Lasse Flø0%
Shunsuke Saito0%
David Amegnaglo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norman Bassette33%
Seiji Kimura0%
Cisse Sandra0%
Andreas Jungdal0%
Isa Sakamoto0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Dylan Ourega0%
Amando Lapage0%
Lucas Mbamba0%
Reda Laalaoui0%
Lasse Flø0%
Shunsuke Saito0%
David Amegnaglo0%
Zulte Waregem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Serxho Ujka33%
Marley Aké33%
Tobias Hedl33%
Anosike Ementa33%
Thomas Claes33%
István Átrok33%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Franz Tangala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anosike Ementa33%
Serxho Ujka0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Marley Aké0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Tobias Hedl0%
Thomas Claes0%
István Átrok0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Franz Tangala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anosike Ementa67%
Tobias Hedl33%
Yannick Cappelle33%
Serxho Ujka0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Marley Aké0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Thomas Claes0%
István Átrok0%
Franz Tangala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marley Aké33%
Tobias Hedl33%
István Átrok33%
Serxho Ujka0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Anosike Ementa0%
Thomas Claes0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Franz Tangala0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
KVC Westerlo's squad is €17m more valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€38m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
KVC Westerlo's attack is €8m more valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€16m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
KVC Westerlo's midfield is €6m more valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€9m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
KVC Westerlo's defence is €4m more valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€12m vs €9m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Standard Liege
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
OH Leuven
Kortrijk