This opponent (Metz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.87
1.67
0.87
1.20
0.87
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (12)
1.00
1.00
0.83
1.17
1.17
0.83
vs Weaker (15)
1.87
0.73
2.25
0.75
1.43
0.71
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Havre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.4%
Under 1.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.1%
Under 2.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.2%
Under 3.5
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.7%
No
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.8%
Le Havre goals ↓
Metz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
13%
9.0%
3.6%
1.1%
1
9.6%
15%
8.0%
3.2%
1.0%
2
4.8%
5.9%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
3
1.4%
1.7%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Le Havre goals (down), columns = Metz goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Metz
2.13
Stade Brestois 29
1.95
Estac Troyes
1.87
Paris FC
1.71
Lens
1.66
Lorient
1.66
Le Havre
1.42
Orleans
1.37
Grenoble
1.32
Clermont Foot
1.26
Chateauroux
1.26
Niort
1.24
Valenciennes
1.13
Nancy
1.11
Auxerre
1.08
Sochaux
1.08
Ajaccio
1.04
Beziers
1.00
Red Star
0.79
Le Havre is 0.71 points worse than Metz in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 2.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stade Brestois 29
1.68
Metz
1.58
Valenciennes
1.37
Orleans
1.34
Estac Troyes
1.34
Lorient
1.34
Lens
1.29
Le Havre
1.18
Clermont Foot
1.16
Grenoble
1.13
Chateauroux
0.97
Paris FC
0.95
Nancy
0.95
Auxerre
0.89
Niort
0.89
Beziers
0.87
Ajaccio
0.78
Red Star
0.74
Sochaux
0.71
Le Havre is 0.39 goals worse than Metz in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Paris FC
0.58
Metz
0.61
Lens
0.74
Estac Troyes
0.74
Stade Brestois 29
0.92
Auxerre
0.95
Clermont Foot
0.97
Le Havre
1.05
Niort
1.08
Lorient
1.08
Chateauroux
1.11
Sochaux
1.13
Grenoble
1.24
Ajaccio
1.30
Beziers
1.32
Nancy
1.32
Orleans
1.39
Red Star
1.53
Valenciennes
1.61
Le Havre is 0.45 goals worse than Metz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 0.61).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Le Havre
For 3.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 14.6 · Total 29.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metz
For 6.0 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 10.0 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Le Havre
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.2
10.5
3.6
3.7
3.5
29.2
27.4
31.1
vs Stronger (3)
10.3
9.0
13.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
15.0
15.0
-
vs Similar (16)
11.1
11.4
10.9
2.9
3.1
2.7
30.7
25.8
34.0
vs Weaker (31)
10.0
9.8
10.1
4.1
4.1
4.1
29.2
29.8
28.6
% over line
54%
60%
48%
46%
56%
36%
88%
85%
92%
% under line
46%
40%
52%
54%
44%
64%
12%
15%
8%
This opponent (Metz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
10.3
8.5
3.9
4.2
3.5
25.9
26.5
25.3
vs Stronger (12)
9.7
11.2
8.6
3.8
3.4
4.1
26.6
27.2
26.1
vs Similar (21)
9.2
11.0
7.3
3.7
4.2
3.1
25.6
26.1
25.0
vs Weaker (17)
9.4
9.0
9.9
4.1
4.8
3.4
25.9
26.7
25.0
% over line
46%
52%
40%
42%
52%
32%
82%
80%
84%
% under line
54%
48%
60%
58%
48%
68%
18%
20%
16%
This opponent (Le Havre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Chateauroux
10.6
Le Havre
10.4
Stade Brestois 29
10.3
Estac Troyes
10.0
Lens
9.8
Niort
9.5
Auxerre
9.5
Clermont Foot
9.4
Sochaux
9.4
Metz
9.4
Grenoble
9.3
Lorient
9.0
Orleans
8.9
Valenciennes
8.8
Ajaccio
8.6
Red Star
8.6
Nancy
8.2
Paris FC
8.2
Beziers
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beziers
4.9
Ajaccio
4.7
Lorient
4.6
Niort
4.2
Paris FC
4.2
Orleans
4.2
Valenciennes
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Lens
4.0
Metz
3.9
Stade Brestois 29
3.8
Sochaux
3.8
Estac Troyes
3.8
Grenoble
3.7
Clermont Foot
3.7
Red Star
3.7
Le Havre
3.6
Chateauroux
3.4
Auxerre
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sochaux
30.7
Lorient
30.5
Beziers
30.1
Ajaccio
29.6
Paris FC
29.4
Nancy
29.3
Le Havre
29.2
Valenciennes
29.2
Chateauroux
28.8
Lens
28.3
Niort
28.1
Stade Brestois 29
27.7
Red Star
27.4
Grenoble
27.3
Orleans
26.9
Metz
25.9
Estac Troyes
25.7
Auxerre
25.2
Clermont Foot
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.1%
Under 9.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.1%
Under 3.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.4%
Under 21.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Le Havre
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.93
0.60
0.40
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.18
0.75
0.25
0.14
0.14
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.80
0.62
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.43
0.60
0.33
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (15)
0.53
0.33
0.75
0.38
0.29
0.29
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Havre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Le Havre over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Havre over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Havre over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Le Havre
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.43
0.73
0.53
0.27
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.18
0.45
0.00
0.50
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (18)
0.67
0.39
1.00
0.50
0.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.43
1.07
0.53
0.87
0.33
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.83
0.67
0.17
vs Weaker (15)
1.33
0.40
1.50
0.38
1.14
0.43
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Havre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Le Havre over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Havre over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Havre over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Le Havre · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Issa Soumaré20%
Abdoulaye Touré18%
Noam Obougou Jacquet17%
Stephan Zagadou12%
Rassoul Ndiaye12%
Fodé Doucouré12%
Kenny Quetant10%
Mbwana Ally Samatta7%
Godson Kyeremeh7%
Yassine Kechta6%
Felix Mambimbi6%
Sofiane Boufal6%
Arouna Sangante3%
Yanis Zouaoui3%
Gautier Lloris3%
Simon Ebonog3%
Loic Négo0%
Thomas Delaine0%
Lionel Mpasi Nzau0%
Ayumu Seko0%
Younes Namli0%
Mory Diaw0%
Reda Khadra0%
Timothee Pembele0%
Étienne Youte Kinkoue0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Enzo Koffi0%
Daren Nbenbege Mosengo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lionel Mpasi Nzau50%
Lucas Gourna-Douath27%
Simon Ebonog26%
Yanis Zouaoui23%
Étienne Youte Kinkoue22%
Ayumu Seko20%
Abdoulaye Touré18%
Thomas Delaine17%
Younes Namli15%
Mbwana Ally Samatta15%
Timothee Pembele14%
Arouna Sangante14%
Enzo Koffi13%
Yassine Kechta13%
Sofiane Boufal12%
Kenny Quetant10%
Loic Négo10%
Fodé Doucouré8%
Felix Mambimbi6%
Rassoul Ndiaye6%
Issa Soumaré6%
Gautier Lloris3%
Mory Diaw3%
Godson Kyeremeh0%
Reda Khadra0%
Noam Obougou Jacquet0%
Daren Nbenbege Mosengo0%
Stephan Zagadou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sofiane Boufal24%
Issa Soumaré14%
Rassoul Ndiaye9%
Younes Namli8%
Godson Kyeremeh7%
Fodé Doucouré4%
Mbwana Ally Samatta4%
Arouna Sangante3%
Yanis Zouaoui3%
Gautier Lloris3%
Mory Diaw3%
Yassine Kechta3%
Felix Mambimbi0%
Loic Négo0%
Thomas Delaine0%
Abdoulaye Touré0%
Lionel Mpasi Nzau0%
Ayumu Seko0%
Reda Khadra0%
Timothee Pembele0%
Étienne Youte Kinkoue0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Simon Ebonog0%
Enzo Koffi0%
Noam Obougou Jacquet0%
Daren Nbenbege Mosengo0%
Stephan Zagadou0%
Kenny Quetant0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Issa Soumaré40%
Mbwana Ally Samatta15%
Timothee Pembele7%
Sofiane Boufal6%
Rassoul Ndiaye6%
Fodé Doucouré4%
Loic Négo3%
Simon Ebonog3%
Felix Mambimbi0%
Thomas Delaine0%
Abdoulaye Touré0%
Godson Kyeremeh0%
Yanis Zouaoui0%
Lionel Mpasi Nzau0%
Ayumu Seko0%
Younes Namli0%
Gautier Lloris0%
Mory Diaw0%
Reda Khadra0%
Étienne Youte Kinkoue0%
Arouna Sangante0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Enzo Koffi0%
Noam Obougou Jacquet0%
Daren Nbenbege Mosengo0%
Stephan Zagadou0%
Kenny Quetant0%
Metz · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pape Moussa Fall50%
Giorgi Abuashvili25%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Florian Miguel0%
Jessy Deminguet0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Idris Mohamed0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Idris Mohamed67%
Nampalys Mendy25%
Florian Miguel25%
Jessy Deminguet25%
Pape Moussa Fall25%
Jean Ruiz0%
Giorgi Abuashvili0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jessy Deminguet25%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Florian Miguel0%
Giorgi Abuashvili0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Pape Moussa Fall0%
Idris Mohamed0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pape Moussa Fall50%
Giorgi Abuashvili25%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Florian Miguel0%
Jessy Deminguet0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Idris Mohamed0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ET (23)
€36m
CF (21)
€15m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
SOC (20)
€7m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
CHA (5)
€1m
Le Havre's squad is €12m more valuable than Metz's (€55m vs €43m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
CHA (1)
€0m
Le Havre's attack is €8m less valuable than Metz's (€9m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LOR (5)
€32m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
ET (6)
€11m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
CHA (2)
€0m
Le Havre's midfield is €5m more valuable than Metz's (€23m vs €18m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (14)
€112m
PF (17)
€62m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
NAN (11)
€6m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
CHA (2)
€0m
Le Havre's defence is €16m more valuable than Metz's (€23m vs €8m).
France: Ligue 2 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ajaccio
Stade Brestois 29
Estac Troyes
Paris FC
Lens
Lorient
Orleans
Grenoble
Clermont Foot
Chateauroux
Niort
Valenciennes
Nancy
Auxerre
Sochaux