This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.00
1.19
0.62
0.86
1.43
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
0.90
1.00
0.67
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (20)
1.10
1.05
1.30
0.60
0.90
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.4%
Under 1.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.4%
@ 2.14-4.7%
Under 2.5
60.6%
@ 1.69+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.3%
Under 3.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.3%
Le Mans goals ↓
Nancy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.2%
5.3%
1.8%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.6%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.2%
8.3%
4.2%
1.4%
0.4%
3
3.4%
3.4%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Le Mans goals (down), columns = Nancy goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
1.93
Lens
1.89
Ajaccio
1.86
Estac Troyes
1.82
Clermont Foot
1.79
Le Havre
1.57
Valenciennes
1.50
Guingamp
1.39
Grenoble
1.25
Chambly
1.25
Auxerre
1.21
Caen
1.21
Nancy
1.21
Sochaux
1.21
Chateauroux
1.21
Rodez
1.14
Paris FC
1.00
Le Mans
0.93
Niort
0.93
Orleans
0.68
Le Mans is 0.29 points worse than Nancy in terms of average points per game (0.93 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
1.61
Guingamp
1.43
Lens
1.39
Le Havre
1.36
Ajaccio
1.36
Clermont Foot
1.25
Estac Troyes
1.21
Caen
1.18
Auxerre
1.11
Rodez
1.11
Le Mans
1.07
Niort
1.07
Sochaux
1.00
Grenoble
0.96
Nancy
0.96
Chambly
0.93
Valenciennes
0.86
Paris FC
0.79
Chateauroux
0.79
Orleans
0.75
Le Mans is 0.11 goals better than Nancy in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 0.96).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Valenciennes
0.71
Ajaccio
0.79
Lens
0.86
Le Havre
0.89
Clermont Foot
0.89
Estac Troyes
0.89
Lorient
0.89
Nancy
0.93
Grenoble
1.04
Auxerre
1.07
Sochaux
1.07
Chambly
1.14
Guingamp
1.18
Caen
1.21
Rodez
1.21
Chateauroux
1.36
Paris FC
1.43
Niort
1.46
Orleans
1.54
Le Mans
1.61
Le Mans is 0.68 goals worse than Nancy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 0.93).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Le Mans
For 3.0 · Against 4.1 · Total 7.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 16.7 · Total 31.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nancy
For 6.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 14.1 · Total 29.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Le Mans
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
7.8
8.1
7.5
4.2
3.3
5.2
31.2
32.3
30.0
vs Stronger (3)
9.7
11.5
6.0
3.7
2.0
7.0
31.3
31.0
32.0
vs Similar (14)
7.8
8.0
7.7
4.6
3.8
5.0
32.1
36.2
29.8
vs Weaker (4)
6.5
6.5
-
3.2
3.2
-
28.0
28.0
-
% over line
24%
27%
20%
62%
45%
80%
90%
100%
80%
% under line
76%
73%
80%
38%
55%
20%
10%
0%
20%
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.8
9.9
4.3
4.4
4.2
28.5
30.2
26.9
vs Stronger (19)
9.1
8.1
10.2
4.6
4.5
4.8
29.3
32.1
26.2
vs Similar (31)
9.5
9.3
9.8
4.1
4.3
3.9
28.0
28.9
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
36%
48%
64%
68%
60%
90%
96%
84%
% under line
58%
64%
52%
36%
32%
40%
10%
4%
16%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Le Havre
10.3
Chateauroux
9.8
Guingamp
9.7
Estac Troyes
9.5
Niort
9.5
Rodez
9.4
Orleans
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Lens
9.3
Auxerre
9.3
Grenoble
9.3
Caen
9.2
Lorient
9.2
Sochaux
9.2
Valenciennes
9.1
Ajaccio
8.9
Clermont Foot
8.8
Paris FC
8.4
Chambly
7.9
Le Mans
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lens
4.8
Rodez
4.8
Lorient
4.6
Chambly
4.5
Estac Troyes
4.5
Le Havre
4.5
Sochaux
4.4
Valenciennes
4.4
Paris FC
4.3
Nancy
4.3
Le Mans
4.2
Ajaccio
4.2
Caen
4.2
Niort
4.1
Clermont Foot
4.1
Chateauroux
4.0
Orleans
3.8
Guingamp
3.7
Grenoble
3.7
Auxerre
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
31.2
Caen
29.2
Paris FC
29.2
Lens
28.8
Nancy
28.5
Estac Troyes
28.4
Ajaccio
28.2
Sochaux
28.1
Chambly
27.8
Grenoble
27.7
Lorient
27.2
Rodez
27.0
Valenciennes
26.8
Niort
26.7
Orleans
26.7
Le Havre
26.3
Guingamp
26.0
Chateauroux
25.7
Auxerre
25.6
Clermont Foot
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.5%
Under 9.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.0%
Under 3.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.7%
Under 21.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Le Mans
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.67
0.36
0.45
0.30
0.90
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.71
0.20
0.20
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
52% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.60
0.38
0.31
0.36
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.17
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.70
0.30
0.40
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Le Mans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Mans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Mans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Le Mans
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.76
0.95
0.82
0.91
0.70
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.57
1.14
0.80
1.20
0.44
1.11
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
48% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.81
0.31
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.35
1.00
0.20
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Le Mans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Mans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Mans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Le Mans · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dame Gueye25%
Antoine Rabillard21%
Erwan Colas20%
William Harhouz18%
Lucas Bretelle15%
Samuel Yohou12%
Jean Vercruysse11%
Lucas Buades10%
Taylor Luvambo8%
Milan Robin7%
Théo Eyoum7%
Lucas Calodat6%
Edwin Quarshie6%
Anthony Ribelin5%
Isaac Cossier4%
Harold Voyer4%
Martin Rossignol4%
Alexandre Lauray0%
Baptiste Guillaume0%
Nicolas Kocik0%
Leroy Abanda0%
Ewan Hatfout0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Brice Oggad0%
Mathis Hamdi0%
Malang Gomes0%
Noa Boissé0%
Adil Bourabaa0%
Izhak Hammoudi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mathis Hamdi50%
Malang Gomes50%
Alexandre Lauray40%
Samuel Yohou26%
Martin Rossignol22%
Izhak Hammoudi20%
Anthony Ribelin19%
Harold Voyer19%
Lucas Buades17%
Nicolas Kocik16%
Noa Boissé15%
Isaac Cossier15%
Leroy Abanda14%
Edwin Quarshie11%
Jean Vercruysse11%
Milan Robin10%
Théo Eyoum9%
Brice Oggad9%
William Harhouz9%
Lucas Calodat9%
Taylor Luvambo8%
Lucas Bretelle8%
Adil Bourabaa7%
Erwan Colas7%
Antoine Rabillard6%
Dame Gueye6%
Baptiste Guillaume0%
Ewan Hatfout0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brice Oggad18%
Leroy Abanda14%
Antoine Rabillard12%
Lucas Calodat12%
Dame Gueye11%
Lucas Buades10%
Erwan Colas10%
Milan Robin10%
Lucas Bretelle8%
Adil Bourabaa7%
Alexandre Lauray6%
William Harhouz5%
Martin Rossignol4%
Edwin Quarshie3%
Samuel Yohou0%
Baptiste Guillaume0%
Nicolas Kocik0%
Anthony Ribelin0%
Jean Vercruysse0%
Harold Voyer0%
Taylor Luvambo0%
Ewan Hatfout0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Mathis Hamdi0%
Malang Gomes0%
Noa Boissé0%
Isaac Cossier0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Izhak Hammoudi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dame Gueye14%
Erwan Colas10%
Antoine Rabillard9%
Taylor Luvambo8%
Lucas Bretelle8%
Adil Bourabaa7%
Martin Rossignol4%
Milan Robin3%
Lucas Calodat3%
Alexandre Lauray0%
Samuel Yohou0%
Lucas Buades0%
Baptiste Guillaume0%
Nicolas Kocik0%
Edwin Quarshie0%
Anthony Ribelin0%
Jean Vercruysse0%
Leroy Abanda0%
Harold Voyer0%
Ewan Hatfout0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Brice Oggad0%
Mathis Hamdi0%
William Harhouz0%
Malang Gomes0%
Noa Boissé0%
Isaac Cossier0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Izhak Hammoudi0%
Nancy · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brandon Bokangu50%
Nehemiah Fernandez25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nehemiah Fernandez50%
Héliohdino Tavares33%
Enzo Tacafred25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Brandon Bokangu0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilyes Housni50%
Zakaria Fdaouch25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Brandon Bokangu0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brandon Bokangu50%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
LM (26)
€24m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
SOC (20)
€7m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
CHA (5)
€1m
Le Mans's squad is €11m more valuable than Nancy's (€24m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
LM (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
CHA (1)
€0m
Le Mans and Nancy have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LOR (5)
€32m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
ET (6)
€11m
LM (8)
€5m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
CHA (2)
€0m
Le Mans's midfield is €3m more valuable than Nancy's (€5m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (14)
€112m
PF (17)
€62m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
ET (10)
€17m
LM (12)
€15m
CF (12)
€10m
ROD (10)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
CHA (2)
€0m
Le Mans's defence is €9m more valuable than Nancy's (€15m vs €6m).
France: Ligue 2 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Lorient
Lens
Ajaccio
Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Valenciennes
Guingamp
Grenoble
Auxerre
Caen
Sochaux
Chateauroux
Rodez
Paris FC
Niort
Orleans