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Lecce vs Atalanta Prediction & Stats

Date: 29/11/2026
Time: 17:30
Lecce
Lecce
Vs
16%
26%
58%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Atalanta
Atalanta
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 55% chance, a 27% chance of a draw and a 17% chance of a home victory. The expected total goals hover around 2.4, and the most likely total is two goals, a 27% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 0-1 for Atalanta, with a 13.6% chance. Lecce, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages just 0.12 goals scored and concedes two goals per match. Atalanta, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.67 goals scored and concedes one goal. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Home under 2.5 goals (96.4%), Away +2 handicap (96.3%), Under 5.5 (95.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (88.2%), and Under 4.5 (88.1%). Lecce’s recent form shows a win streak broken by a 0-4 loss to AS Roma, while Atalanta is riding a three-game winning run, having beaten Bologna 1-0.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lecce win
16.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atalanta win
57.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LecceLecce

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L02L11D00D21W01L32W10W20W04LH·ATA06/04A·BOL12/04H·FIO20/04A·HEL25/04A·PIS01/05H·JUV09/05A·SAS17/05H·GEN24/05A·VEN23/08H·AS 31/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.330.671.400.801.27
vs Stronger (15)0.271.800.122.000.431.57
vs Similar (15)1.200.871.290.711.121.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtalantaAtalanta

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D23L00D32W01L11D00D21W10W10WA·AS 18/04A·CAG27/04H·GEN02/05A·AC 10/05H·BOL17/05A·FIO22/05H·HAP20/08H·SAS23/08A·HAP27/08H·BOL31/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.171.531.131.271.20
vs Stronger (2)1.005.001.006.001.004.00
vs Similar (12)1.331.172.001.501.001.00
vs Weaker (16)1.500.691.400.501.671.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
Lecce goals ↓
Atalanta goals →
01234
09.2%13%12%6.7%2.9%
15.4%12%9.5%5.4%2.3%
22.6%4.5%3.8%2.2%0.9%
30.7%1.2%1.0%0.6%0.2%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lecce goals (down), columns = Atalanta goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Parma
1.18
Torino
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Venezia
1.12
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Frosinone
1.03
Monza
1.01
Lecce
1.00
Lecce is 0.55 points worse than Atalanta in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.55).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Lazio
1.08
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Venezia
1.00
Frosinone
0.91
Monza
0.90
Parma
0.74
Lecce
0.74
Lecce is 0.61 goals worse than Atalanta in terms of goals scored per game (0.74 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
AC Milan
0.92
Inter
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Parma
1.21
Bologna
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Venezia
1.48
Frosinone
1.62
Monza
1.64
Torino
1.66
Lecce is 0.37 goals worse than Atalanta in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 0.95).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Lecce is 13.5 percentage points worse than Atalanta in terms of average possession (42% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LecceLecce

For 3.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 7.7

🚩 Corners

14021351682171642526825387108767147H·AS A·VENH·GENA·SASH·JUVA·PISA·HELH·FIOA·BOLH·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

70113124111245224222425267622H·AS A·VENH·GENA·SASH·JUVA·PISA·HELH·FIOA·BOLH·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.4

⚠️ Fouls

34098128116137718131519158131915101817201720252834213428H·AS A·VENH·GENA·SASH·JUVA·PISA·HELH·FIOA·BOLH·ATA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AtalantaAtalanta

For 3.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.6

🚩 Corners

130126744313325226264673138467481013H·BOLA·HAPH·SASH·HAPA·FIOH·BOLA·AC H·GENA·CAGA·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

6013122113321211321332263342H·BOLA·HAPH·HAPA·FIOH·BOLA·AC H·GENA·AS H·JUVA·LEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 9.4 · Total 22.1

⚠️ Fouls

250101311991010151411176178141011814423201925252325241918H·BOLA·HAPH·SASH·HAPA·FIOH·BOLA·AC H·GENA·CAGA·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LecceLecce

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.48.410.42.83.22.526.226.925.6
vs Stronger (22)8.97.310.82.42.91.923.523.723.2
vs Similar (28)9.99.510.23.13.52.928.830.027.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line55%35%75%38%42%35%70%75%65%
% under line45%65%25%62%58%65%30%25%35%
This opponent (Atalanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtalantaAtalanta

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.19.12.22.02.422.823.322.1
vs Stronger (2)9.09.09.02.04.00.017.022.012.0
vs Similar (21)8.19.37.03.03.12.922.322.721.9
vs Weaker (27)9.98.911.61.61.41.923.823.823.9
% over line37%32%44%24%15%35%60%68%50%
% under line63%68%56%76%85%65%40%32%50%
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Frosinone
10.2
Lecce
9.8
Juventus
9.7
Inter
9.3
Bologna
9.3
Atalanta
9.2
Udinese
9.2
Venezia
9.0
Monza
9.0
Cagliari
9.0
Fiorentina
8.9
Sassuolo
8.8
Lazio
8.7
AS Roma
8.6
AC Milan
8.6
Genoa
8.6
Parma
8.5
Torino
8.4
Napoli
8.4
Como
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.3
Fiorentina
4.9
Frosinone
4.8
Como
4.5
Genoa
4.4
Sassuolo
4.4
Monza
4.3
Venezia
4.3
AS Roma
4.2
Bologna
4.0
Cagliari
3.9
Parma
3.8
Lecce
3.8
AC Milan
3.7
Udinese
3.7
Juventus
3.7
Atalanta
3.6
Napoli
3.4
Torino
3.4
Inter
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Frosinone
30.3
Venezia
29.6
Bologna
28.4
Fiorentina
28.3
AS Roma
28.0
Genoa
27.1
Monza
27.0
Cagliari
26.8
Como
26.1
Lecce
25.4
Udinese
25.1
Lazio
24.9
Sassuolo
24.6
Parma
24.4
Torino
24.2
Inter
23.9
Juventus
23.5
Napoli
23.3
Atalanta
22.0
AC Milan
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.0%
Under 9.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
49.4%
Under 3.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.9%
Under 21.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lecce or Draw
36.9%
Avg Implied -
16%
26%
58%
covers Lecce + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lecce or Atalanta
76.0%
Avg Implied -
16%
26%
58%
covers Lecce + Atalanta
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Atalanta
87.0%
Avg Implied -
16%
26%
58%
covers Draw + Atalanta
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lecce over/under 0.5
Over
51.3%
Under
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5
Over
16.3%
Under
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 0.5
Over
84.1%
Under
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5
Over
54.9%
Under
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5
Over
28.0%
Under
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 3.5
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Lecce, so a minus line means Lecce give that many goals of a start and Atalanta receive them. At -1, Lecce must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lecce win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lecce)
Lecce -2
0.8%
Draw -2
3.0%
Atalanta +2
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lecce)
Lecce -1
3.8%
Draw -1
9.1%
Atalanta +1
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lecce)
Lecce +1
36.9%
Draw +1
24.9%
Atalanta -1
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lecce)
Lecce +2
61.9%
Draw +2
19.9%
Atalanta -2
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LecceLecce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L00D00D01L21W10W00D03LH·ATA06/04A·BOL12/04H·FIO20/04A·HEL25/04A·PIS01/05H·JUV09/05A·SAS17/05H·GEN24/05A·VEN23/08H·AS 31/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.470.600.330.47
vs Stronger (15)0.200.800.001.000.430.57
vs Similar (15)0.600.271.000.140.250.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtalantaAtalanta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D22D00D20W00D01L00D10W00D00DA·AS 18/04A·CAG27/04H·GEN02/05A·AC 10/05H·BOL17/05A·FIO22/05H·HAP20/08H·SAS23/08A·HAP27/08H·BOL31/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.670.330.530.60
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.580.500.750.250.500.62
vs Weaker (16)0.690.250.700.100.670.50
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lecce over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LecceLecce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L10W00D21W00D11D00D20W01LH·ATA06/04A·BOL12/04H·FIO20/04A·HEL25/04A·PIS01/05H·JUV09/05A·SAS17/05H·GEN24/05A·VEN23/08H·AS 31/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.800.200.800.470.80
vs Stronger (15)0.071.000.121.000.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.600.600.290.570.880.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Atalanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtalantaAtalanta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D12L01L10W00D11D10W10WA·AS 18/04A·CAG27/04H·GEN02/05A·AC 10/05H·BOL17/05A·FIO22/05H·HAP20/08H·SAS23/08A·HAP27/08H·BOL31/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.870.800.730.60
vs Stronger (2)1.003.001.003.001.003.00
vs Similar (12)0.750.671.251.250.500.38
vs Weaker (16)0.810.440.700.401.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lecce over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atalanta over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals99.4%-------
Under 6.598.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals96.3%-------
Away +2 handicap96.2%-------
Under 5.595.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals88.5%-------
Under 4.588.3%-------
Draw or Away87.0%-------
Away +1 handicap87.0%-------
Under 11.5 corners85.3%-------
Away over 0.5 goals84.1%-------
Under 5.5 cards83.8%-------
Home under 1.5 goals83.7%-------
Over 19.5 fouls79.9%-------
Under 10.5 corners76.9%-------
Home or Away76.0%-------
Under 3.575.5%-------
Over 1.572.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals72.0%-------
Over 2.5 cards70.5%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lecce
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Olaf Gorter33%
Tiago Gabriel33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lassana Coulibaly33%
Danilo Veiga33%
Kialonda Gaspar33%
Oumar Ngom33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lassana Coulibaly33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Willem Geubbels33%
Nikola Štulić33%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Atalanta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Giacomo Raspadori25%
Gianluca Scamacca25%
Nikola Krstović25%
Lazar Samardžić25%
Gianluca Gaetano0%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Mario Pašalić0%
Éderson0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Raoul Bellanova0%
Charles De Ketelaere0%
Nicola Zalewski0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi0%
Giorgio Scalvini0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giacomo Raspadori25%
Nikola Krstović25%
Gianluca Gaetano0%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Mario Pašalić0%
Éderson0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Gianluca Scamacca0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Raoul Bellanova0%
Charles De Ketelaere0%
Lazar Samardžić0%
Nicola Zalewski0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi0%
Giorgio Scalvini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gianluca Gaetano25%
Nicola Zalewski25%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Mario Pašalić0%
Éderson0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Giacomo Raspadori0%
Gianluca Scamacca0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Nikola Krstović0%
Raoul Bellanova0%
Charles De Ketelaere0%
Lazar Samardžić0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi0%
Giorgio Scalvini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Krstović50%
Lazar Samardžić25%
Gianluca Gaetano0%
Sead Kolašinac0%
Mario Pašalić0%
Éderson0%
Marco Carnesecchi0%
Giacomo Raspadori0%
Gianluca Scamacca0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Raoul Bellanova0%
Charles De Ketelaere0%
Nicola Zalewski0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi0%
Giorgio Scalvini0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
Lecce's squad is €366m less valuable than Atalanta's (€72m vs €438m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
Lecce's attack is €138m less valuable than Atalanta's (€20m vs €158m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
Lecce's midfield is €112m less valuable than Atalanta's (€16m vs €128m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
Lecce's defence is €116m less valuable than Atalanta's (€37m vs €153m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
LEC wins
1
Draws
5
ATA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lecce vs Atalanta · H/A from LEC
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/26HLEC Vs Atalanta0-3
14/09/25AAtalanta Vs LEC4-1
27/04/25AAtalanta Vs LEC1-1
19/08/24HLEC Vs Atalanta0-4
18/05/24HLEC Vs Atalanta0-2
30/12/23AAtalanta Vs LEC1-0
19/02/23AAtalanta Vs LEC1-2
09/11/22HLEC Vs Atalanta2-1

LecceLecce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HLEC Vs AS Roma0-4
23/08/26AVenezia Vs LEC0-2
24/05/26HLEC Vs Genoa1-0
17/05/26ASassuolo Vs LEC2-3
09/05/26HLEC Vs Juventus0-1
01/05/26APisa Vs LEC1-2
25/04/26AHellas Verona Vs LEC0-0
20/04/26HLEC Vs Fiorentina1-1
12/04/26ABologna Vs LEC2-0
06/04/26HLEC Vs Atalanta0-3

AtalantaAtalanta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HATA Vs Bologna1-0
27/08/26AHapoel Tel Aviv Vs ATA0-1
23/08/26HATA Vs Sassuolo2-1
20/08/26HATA Vs Hapoel Tel Aviv0-0
22/05/26AFiorentina Vs ATA1-1
17/05/26HATA Vs Bologna0-1
10/05/26AAC Milan Vs ATA2-3
02/05/26HATA Vs Genoa0-0
27/04/26ACagliari Vs ATA3-2
18/04/26AAS Roma Vs ATA1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lecce
Lecce
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.00
HomeLDLWL0.96
AwayLDWWW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%24%28%
AVG goals2.061.962.16
Over 1.5 %62%60%64%
Over 2.5 %36%40%32%
Over 3.5 %12%8%16%
Scored0.740.600.88
Conceded1.321.361.28
BTTS38%32%44%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners9.768.7210.80
Cards3.793.923.65
Atalanta
Atalanta
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.60
HomeDLDWW1.77
AwayDLWDW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%38%
AVG goals2.362.312.42
Over 1.5 %68%62%75%
Over 2.5 %42%46%38%
Over 3.5 %20%19%21%
Scored1.301.311.29
Conceded1.061.001.12
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners9.209.049.38
Cards3.573.164.11

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AS RomaAS Roma26
100%
3.0
80+8
4.0
100%
100%
100%
4.0
0%
3.0
50%
21.0
50%
471
1381182154.00.0
56%
2InterInter26
100%
3.0
51+4
3.0
50%
50%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
15.0
0%
694
2202322422.50.5
60%
3AC MilanAC Milan26
100%
3.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
5.0
0%
2.5
50%
19.0
0%
585
2231532092.00.5
52%
4JuventusJuventus26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
13.5
100%
4.0
100%
33.5
100%
569
2401401891.50.0
58%
5AtalantaAtalanta26
100%
3.0
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
5.5
0%
1.0
0%
21.0
50%
438
1581281531.50.5
55%
6LazioLazio26
100%
3.0
20+2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
10.0
50%
4.5
50%
30.0
100%
240
6086931.00.0
50%
7UdineseUdinese24
50%
2.0
43+1
3.5
100%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
2.0
0%
23.0
100%
157
4639722.01.5
46%
8ComoComo24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.0
50%
2.0
0%
19.0
50%
488
261831441.51.0
62%
9FrosinoneFrosinone23
50%
1.5
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
5.0
100%
34.0
100%
84
3427241.50.5
-
10NapoliNapoli23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
8.0
0%
1.0
0%
14.0
0%
459
2061011521.51.0
59%
11SassuoloSassuolo23
50%
1.5
33+0
3.0
100%
100%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
100%
20.0
0%
194
9053521.51.5
46%
12CagliariCagliari23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
2.5
0%
14.0
0%
134
5131520.50.5
46%
13LecceLecce23
50%
1.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
5.5
0%
3.0
50%
18.5
0%
72
2016371.02.0
42%
14TorinoTorino20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
6.5
0%
2.5
50%
20.0
0%
144
4346541.02.0
44%
15BolognaBologna20
0%
0.0
02-2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
8.5
50%
4.5
50%
30.0
100%
218
10434790.01.0
55%
16ParmaParma20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.0
50%
3.0
50%
25.5
50%
142
3560460.01.5
44%
17GenoaGenoa20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
6.5
0%
1.0
0%
18.5
50%
182
5444840.01.5
49%
18MonzaMonza20
0%
0.0
37-4
5.0
100%
100%
100%
6.0
0%
2.5
50%
20.5
50%
70
2624201.53.5
-
19VeneziaVenezia20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
100%
0%
0%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.5
0%
117
3931470.02.0
-
20FiorentinaFiorentina20
0%
0.0
07-7
3.5
100%
100%
50%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
30.0
100%
330
125107980.03.5
51%
Italy: Serie A 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

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