Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom Result & Analysis

Lech Poznan are the clear favourites, with the model predicting a home win and a 55% chance of victory, a 27% draw probability and 18% for Radomiak Radom. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13.3% chance. Lech’s home form is strong against weaker opponents, averaging 2.57 goals scored and only 0.71 conceded, while Radomiak’s away record against stronger sides shows zero goals scored and 2.25 conceded. The suggested picks cover a range of match-events: Over 19.5 fouls at 91.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.3%, Under 3.5 goals at 78.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 71.4%, Over 23.5 fouls at 70.9%, and Over 1.5 goals at 70.1%. The only pick with a lower edge is Under 5.5 cards at 73.7%. Lech’s recent unbeaten run of five games, including a 3-2 win over Widzew Łódź, and Radomiak’s two-game winning streak, set the stage for a likely 1-0 victory for the home side.

Lech Poznan’s unbeaten run of five games continued as they edged Radomiak Radom 2-0, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 55% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.7%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 83.1%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 80.3%, Under 3.5 hit at 78.1%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 71.4%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 70.9%, and Over 1.5 hit at 70.1%. The only miss was Under 5.5 cards at 73.7%. The final score of 2-0 matched the most likely 1-0 or 2-0 outcome, with Lech’s strong home form and Radomiak’s weaker away performance delivering a straightforward victory.