Leganes vs Granada CF Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will shape this low-scoring encounter, as both sides have conceded more than they score against similar opposition. Leganes, at home, averages 1.23 goals for and 1.23 against, while Granada CF on the road averages 1.29 for and 2.00 against. The model therefore favours a home win, with a 51% chance of Leganes taking the victory, a 33% chance of a draw and a 17% chance of Granada winning. The expected total goals sit at 1.8, with the most likely total being two goals at a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Leganes, with an 18.6% chance.

The model’s selections highlight a busy match: over 19.5 fouls at 94.5%, over 2.5 cards at 88.8%, under 3.5 goals at 88.6% (hit), over 21.5 fouls at 88.2%, over 23.5 fouls at 78.1%, over 3.5 cards at 75.6%, under 11.5 corners at 75.0%, and under 2.5 goals at 72.3% with a 7% edge (hit). The recent form shows both teams on a two-game winning run, with Leganes’ last match a 1-0 win over Eldense and Granada’s last a 3-1 victory over Cordoba.

The win extends Leganes’ two-game winning run, while Granada also finished on a two-game streak. The model’s pre-match favourite was a Home win at 51 percent, and it proved correct as the final score was 1-0 in favour of Leganes. The predicted most likely total of 2 goals came through a 1-0 result, matching the actual outcome. The model’s selections also performed well: Under 3.5, with an 88.6 percent probability, hit; Under 2.5, at 72.3 percent, also hit. All figures are reported once, and the match ended with a 1-0 home victory as forecast.