This opponent (Lorient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lorient
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.63
1.73
1.27
1.13
2.00
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
2.67
1.00
3.00
1.25
2.50
vs Similar (14)
1.43
1.64
1.86
1.00
1.00
2.29
vs Weaker (10)
1.60
1.00
1.83
1.00
1.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Lens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.5%
Under 1.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.6%
Under 2.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.7%
No
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
11.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.3%
Lens goals ↓
Lorient goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
13%
9.5%
4.3%
1.5%
1
8.1%
14%
8.7%
3.9%
1.3%
2
4.3%
5.8%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
3
1.3%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lens goals (down), columns = Lorient goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Reims
2.32
Nimes
1.92
Le Havre
1.74
Stade Brestois 29
1.71
Clermont Foot
1.66
Lorient
1.63
Paris FC
1.61
Chateauroux
1.58
Ajaccio
1.43
Sochaux
1.39
Auxerre
1.24
Orleans
1.21
Valenciennes
1.18
Lens
1.13
Niort
1.11
Nancy
1.00
Bourg Peronnas
0.95
Rouen
0.87
Tours
0.61
Lens is 0.50 points worse than Lorient in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nimes
1.97
Reims
1.95
Lorient
1.61
Stade Brestois 29
1.53
Clermont Foot
1.42
Le Havre
1.39
Orleans
1.37
Auxerre
1.34
Sochaux
1.34
Bourg Peronnas
1.32
Valenciennes
1.32
Chateauroux
1.32
Ajaccio
1.28
Lens
1.26
Niort
1.24
Paris FC
1.21
Rouen
1.18
Nancy
1.03
Tours
0.89
Lens is 0.34 goals worse than Lorient in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.61).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Reims
0.63
Le Havre
0.89
Paris FC
0.95
Clermont Foot
0.95
Nimes
0.97
Stade Brestois 29
1.13
Lorient
1.21
Lens
1.29
Chateauroux
1.32
Ajaccio
1.36
Nancy
1.42
Auxerre
1.45
Niort
1.58
Orleans
1.61
Sochaux
1.63
Valenciennes
1.68
Rouen
1.74
Tours
1.79
Bourg Peronnas
2.29
Lens is 0.08 goals worse than Lorient in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lens
For 3.4 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Lorient
For 7.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 12.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.4
8.0
7.0
0.4
0.3
0.5
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
10.0
10.0
-
0.1
0.2
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (42)
6.8
6.0
7.0
0.5
0.3
0.6
-
-
-
% over line
20%
50%
0%
6%
4%
8%
-
-
-
% under line
80%
50%
100%
94%
96%
92%
-
-
-
This opponent (Lorient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lorient
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.5
10.5
3.3
3.7
2.9
22.5
23.4
21.6
vs Stronger (12)
9.8
9.7
9.8
2.3
2.4
2.2
23.2
22.7
23.8
vs Similar (19)
9.3
9.0
9.7
3.3
3.9
2.7
22.0
23.4
20.6
vs Weaker (19)
10.7
9.8
11.6
3.9
4.6
3.4
22.7
24.0
21.5
% over line
56%
50%
62%
38%
46%
29%
62%
65%
59%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
62%
54%
71%
38%
35%
41%
This opponent (Lens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Chateauroux
13.7
Stade Brestois 29
11.6
Sochaux
11.5
Rouen
11.3
Clermont Foot
11.2
Le Havre
10.8
Valenciennes
10.7
Tours
10.5
Paris FC
10.0
Bourg Peronnas
10.0
Lorient
10.0
Nancy
9.8
Niort
9.5
Reims
9.5
Orleans
9.2
Auxerre
8.8
Ajaccio
8.6
Nimes
8.5
Lens
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nimes
5.0
Auxerre
4.8
Reims
4.3
Niort
4.3
Bourg Peronnas
4.3
Tours
4.3
Stade Brestois 29
4.2
Le Havre
4.2
Ajaccio
4.2
Orleans
4.0
Lens
4.0
Sochaux
3.8
Nancy
3.8
Chateauroux
3.7
Paris FC
3.7
Clermont Foot
3.3
Lorient
3.3
Rouen
3.2
Valenciennes
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reims
27.4
Ajaccio
26.1
Nancy
25.9
Lorient
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.7%
Under 9.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.8%
Under 3.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.33
0.40
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.80
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.64
0.48
0.33
0.33
0.92
0.62
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Lorient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lorient
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.97
0.33
0.80
0.27
1.13
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (14)
0.50
1.00
0.57
0.71
0.43
1.29
vs Weaker (10)
0.10
0.60
0.17
0.67
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.80
1.07
0.80
0.87
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
1.20
0.67
1.67
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
0.96
0.72
1.17
0.58
0.77
0.85
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lorient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lorient
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.67
1.40
0.47
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.17
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.64
1.29
0.29
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
1.50
0.40
1.67
0.33
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Lens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lens · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Odsonne Édouard35%
Florian Thauvin35%
Allan Saint-Maximin31%
Wesley Saïd26%
Abdallah Sima22%
Rayan Fofana17%
Adrien Thomasson11%
Ismaelo Ganiou10%
Amadou Haidara10%
Saud Abdulhamid10%
Mamadou Sangare9%
Andrija Bulatovic9%
Samson Baidoo8%
Matthieu Udol8%
Ruben Aguilar7%
Florian Sotoca7%
Morgan Guilavogui6%
Deiver Machado0%
Arthur Masuaku0%
Jonathan Gradit0%
Malang Sarr0%
Robin Risser0%
Nidal Čelik0%
Fode Sylla0%
Anthony Bermont0%
Kyllian Antonio0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nidal Čelik33%
Adrien Thomasson31%
Deiver Machado20%
Jonathan Gradit20%
Ruben Aguilar17%
Arthur Masuaku17%
Morgan Guilavogui17%
Florian Thauvin16%
Saud Abdulhamid16%
Allan Saint-Maximin15%
Mamadou Sangare15%
Kyllian Antonio14%
Abdallah Sima11%
Ismaelo Ganiou10%
Malang Sarr10%
Matthieu Udol10%
Andrija Bulatovic9%
Anthony Bermont9%
Wesley Saïd9%
Robin Risser8%
Samson Baidoo8%
Florian Sotoca7%
Odsonne Édouard6%
Amadou Haidara0%
Fode Sylla0%
Rayan Fofana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Florian Thauvin22%
Matthieu Udol20%
Adrien Thomasson19%
Saud Abdulhamid19%
Andrija Bulatovic18%
Allan Saint-Maximin15%
Kyllian Antonio14%
Mamadou Sangare12%
Abdallah Sima11%
Amadou Haidara10%
Odsonne Édouard9%
Samson Baidoo8%
Ruben Aguilar7%
Wesley Saïd6%
Florian Sotoca3%
Robin Risser3%
Malang Sarr3%
Deiver Machado0%
Arthur Masuaku0%
Jonathan Gradit0%
Morgan Guilavogui0%
Ismaelo Ganiou0%
Nidal Čelik0%
Fode Sylla0%
Anthony Bermont0%
Rayan Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Wesley Saïd32%
Allan Saint-Maximin23%
Florian Thauvin22%
Deiver Machado20%
Odsonne Édouard18%
Matthieu Udol15%
Abdallah Sima11%
Rayan Fofana10%
Mamadou Sangare9%
Adrien Thomasson8%
Ismaelo Ganiou7%
Florian Sotoca7%
Morgan Guilavogui6%
Malang Sarr5%
Andrija Bulatovic5%
Samson Baidoo4%
Saud Abdulhamid3%
Amadou Haidara0%
Arthur Masuaku0%
Ruben Aguilar0%
Jonathan Gradit0%
Robin Risser0%
Nidal Čelik0%
Fode Sylla0%
Anthony Bermont0%
Kyllian Antonio0%
Lorient · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng44%
Pablo Pagis28%
Aiyegun Tosin18%
Noah Cadiou13%
Jean-Victor Makengo11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Sambou Soumano9%
Théo Le Bris6%
Karim Dermane6%
Arthur Avom Ebong6%
Arsène Kouassi6%
Panos Katseris6%
Igor Silva5%
Laurent Abergel3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Montassar Talbi0%
Darlin Yongwa0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Bamo Meïté0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoulaye Faye42%
Laurent Abergel27%
Bamo Meïté21%
Panos Katseris17%
Darlin Yongwa16%
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng16%
Mohamed Bamba16%
Arsène Kouassi15%
Bingourou Kamara14%
Montassar Talbi13%
Arthur Avom Ebong12%
Noah Cadiou6%
Sambou Soumano6%
Karim Dermane6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Igor Silva5%
Aiyegun Tosin4%
Pablo Pagis3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Théo Le Bris0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arsène Kouassi18%
Pablo Pagis12%
Panos Katseris11%
Igor Silva11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Bamo Meïté10%
Théo Le Bris9%
Sambou Soumano6%
Karim Dermane6%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Darlin Yongwa4%
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng4%
Noah Cadiou3%
Montassar Talbi3%
Arthur Avom Ebong3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Laurent Abergel0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Aiyegun Tosin0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng32%
Pablo Pagis25%
Aiyegun Tosin11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Arthur Avom Ebong6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Nathaniel Adjei6%
Noah Cadiou3%
Sambou Soumano3%
Igor Silva0%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Laurent Abergel0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Montassar Talbi0%
Darlin Yongwa0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Théo Le Bris0%
Bamo Meïté0%
Karim Dermane0%
Panos Katseris0%
Arsène Kouassi0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
REI (30)
€72m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
CF (21)
€15m
NAN (26)
€13m
SOC (20)
€7m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
ROU (14)
€3m
BP (8)
€1m
CHA (5)
€1m
Lens's squad is €100m more valuable than Lorient's (€187m vs €87m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
REI (12)
€38m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
LH (10)
€9m
NAN (9)
€5m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
BP (2)
€0m
CHA (1)
€0m
Lens's attack is €32m more valuable than Lorient's (€52m vs €20m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LOR (5)
€32m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
REI (6)
€13m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
CHA (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
BP (0)
€0m
Lens's midfield is €8m less valuable than Lorient's (€24m vs €32m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (14)
€112m
PF (17)
€62m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
REI (12)
€21m
SB2 (8)
€19m
CF (12)
€10m
NAN (11)
€6m
SOC (9)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
ROU (6)
€1m
BP (6)
€0m
CHA (2)
€0m
Lens's defence is €77m more valuable than Lorient's (€112m vs €35m).
France: Ligue 2 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Ajaccio
Reims
Nimes
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Clermont Foot
Paris FC
Chateauroux
Sochaux
Auxerre
Orleans
Valenciennes
Niort
Nancy
Bourg Peronnas
Rouen
Tours