The contest between Levadiakos and Panathinaikos is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home advantage offers Levadiakos a 35% chance to triumph, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 39% chance for the visitors to lift the trophy. The expected total of 3.1 goals suggests a moderately high-scoring affair, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, a 22% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.7% chance. Levadiakos, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded, while Panathinaikos, on the road against a weaker side, averages 2.0 goals scored and only 0.57 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals (98.5%), Over 19.5 fouls (98.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.5% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (95.9%), Over 21.5 fouls (95.7%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.1% with a 3% edge), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.9% with a 6% edge). The recent form shows Levadiakos returning from a 0-4 loss to PAOK, while Panathinaikos remains unbeaten in five matches, winning 2-1 over Hradec Králové.
Results analysis
The final score of 0-2 confirmed the model’s prediction that Panathinaikos would win, a result that matched the pre-match favourite with a 39% probability. The win extends Panathinaikos’s unbeaten run and ends Levadiakos’s two-game losing streak. The model’s selections performed strongly: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 98.5%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.6%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 96.1%, Under 6.5 hit at 95.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.9%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.4%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and every pick’s outcome was noted.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Levadiakos win✗ Miss
34.8%
Avg Implied 17.4% · @ 5.36
Edge
+17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
5.75
Pinnacle
5.72
Dafabet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 24.2% · @ 3.85
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.10
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Dafabet
3.90
Panathinaikos win✓ Hit
39.4%
Avg Implied 58.4% · @ 1.60
Edge
-19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Superbet
1.63
Dafabet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Levadiakos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.60
2.07
1.21
1.19
1.94
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
2.67
1.00
2.00
0.40
3.20
vs Similar (20)
2.00
1.20
2.50
0.90
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.03
1.62
1.06
1.07
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.91
1.36
1.33
1.00
0.40
1.80
vs Weaker (15)
1.93
0.80
2.12
1.00
1.71
0.57
Clean sheet %
30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
@ 1.26+8.9%
Under 1.5
16.9%
@ 3.62-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.67
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.7%
@ 1.86+9.9%
Under 2.5
39.3%
@ 1.92-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Under
SBO
1.97
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Unibet
1.93
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.4%
@ 3.13+8.5%
Under 3.5
61.6%
@ 1.33-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.27
Betfair
3.25
Betano
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Under
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Unibet
1.35
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.7%
@ 1.84+13.4%
No
36.3%
@ 1.87-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
No
Unibet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.88
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 6.86+5.2%
1-2
8.6%@ 7.43+2.7%
2-1
8.1%@ 15.03+5.1%
2-2
6.6%@ 14.90+3.6%
0-1
6.0%@ 6.27-1.1%
0-2 ✓
5.7%@ 7.01-0.7%
1-0
5.5%@ 13.00+2.1%
0-0
5.4%@ 10.19+1.0%
Levadiakos goals ↓
Panathinaikos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
6.0%
5.7%
3.1%
1.2%
1
5.5%
12%
8.6%
4.7%
1.9%
2
5.0%
8.1%
6.6%
3.5%
1.4%
3
2.5%
4.1%
3.3%
1.8%
0.7%
4
1.0%
1.6%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Levadiakos goals (down), columns = Panathinaikos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
Iraklis 1908
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Kalamata
1.03
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Levadiakos is 0.09 points worse than Panathinaikos in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kalamata
0.99
Levadiakos is 0.44 goals better than Panathinaikos in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Iraklis 1908
1.48
Levadiakos
1.50
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI
1.72
Kalamata
1.75
Levadiakos is 0.50 goals worse than Panathinaikos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Levadiakos is 3.8 percentage points better than Panathinaikos in terms of average possession (56% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Levadiakos
For 2.4 · Against 3.7 · Total 6.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 7.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 18.9 · Total 34.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panathinaikos
For 5.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levadiakos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.7
8.6
4.6
4.8
4.4
30.5
30.9
30.1
vs Stronger (14)
9.4
8.7
10.0
4.5
3.6
5.4
30.9
30.3
31.4
vs Similar (32)
8.2
8.6
7.7
4.7
5.3
3.9
31.3
32.1
30.4
vs Weaker (4)
8.8
10.0
8.3
4.5
5.0
4.3
24.0
17.0
26.3
% over line
43%
48%
38%
68%
73%
62%
95%
90%
100%
% under line
57%
52%
62%
32%
27%
38%
5%
10%
0%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
9.1
7.6
4.6
5.1
4.1
28.1
27.6
28.6
vs Stronger (5)
6.0
7.0
5.3
4.8
5.5
4.3
28.4
27.5
29.0
vs Similar (21)
8.2
9.2
7.1
5.0
5.8
4.0
28.1
28.2
27.9
vs Weaker (24)
9.1
9.5
8.7
4.3
4.4
4.2
28.0
27.1
29.1
% over line
34%
50%
18%
70%
76%
64%
86%
86%
86%
% under line
66%
50%
82%
30%
24%
36%
14%
14%
14%
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Kifisia
9.2
Aris Thessalonikis
9.1
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
OFI
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.5
Volos NFC
8.5
Levadiakos
8.5
Kalamata
8.3
Iraklis 1908
4.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.6
Kalamata
6.3
Volos NFC
5.6
Panetolikos
5.5
Levadiakos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
OFI
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
Iraklis 1908
4.7
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
38.0
Kalamata
37.5
Kifisia
32.3
Atromitos
30.8
Volos NFC
30.5
Levadiakos
30.5
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.8
Aris Thessalonikis
28.7
Panathinaikos
28.3
Asteras Tripolis
27.8
Panetolikos
27.1
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
28.6%
@ 2.49-8.4%
Under 9.5
71.4%
@ 1.46+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.58
Unibet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Marathonbet
2.47
1xBet
2.47
Under
Superbet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.8%
@ 1.27+9.2%
Under 3.5
17.2%
@ 3.55-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Under
Betano
3.55
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.1%
Under 21.5
3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Levadiakos or Draw✗ Miss
60.6%
Avg Implied 41.4% · @ 2.26
Edge
+19.2%
35%
26%
39%
covers Levadiakos + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.40
1xBet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.33
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.30
Levadiakos or Panathinaikos✓ Hit
74.2%
Avg Implied 76.2% · @ 1.23
Edge
-2.0%
35%
26%
39%
covers Levadiakos + Panathinaikos
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Draw or Panathinaikos✓ Hit
65.2%
Avg Implied 82.4% · @ 1.13
Edge
-17.3%
35%
26%
39%
covers Draw + Panathinaikos
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
BetVictor
1.15
Unibet
1.14
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Levadiakos over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.1%
@ 1.59+19.7%
Under
21.9%
@ 2.23-19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.61
BetVictor
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Under
Unibet
2.32
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
Levadiakos over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.8%
@ 3.99+21.4%
Under
55.2%
@ 1.22-21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.38
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Under
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Levadiakos over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.5%
@ 11.16+11.0%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.04-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
12.25
1xBet
12.20
Superbet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Levadiakos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 29.83+3.5%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.01-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
36.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.2%
@ 1.12-2.0%
Under
19.8%
@ 5.22+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
48.2%
@ 1.71-6.3%
Under
51.8%
@ 2.05+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Betano
2.05
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.2%
@ 3.21-6.7%
Under
77.8%
@ 1.31+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.35
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
3.22
BetVictor
3.20
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Panathinaikos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 6.86-5.4%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.08+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.30
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Levadiakos, so a minus line means Levadiakos give that many goals of a start and Panathinaikos receive them. At -1, Levadiakos must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Levadiakos win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Levadiakos)Actual: Panathinaikos
Levadiakos -2
6.6%
@ 40.33+4.3%
Draw -2
10.6%
@ 16.33+4.8%
Panathinaikos +2
82.8%
@ 1.02-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
56.00
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
31.00
Draw
Betfair
18.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Away
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Handicap -1 (Levadiakos)Actual: Panathinaikos
Levadiakos -1
17.2%
@ 11.88+9.7%
Draw -1
17.7%
@ 6.24+3.5%
Panathinaikos +1
65.2%
@ 1.13-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
15.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
7.50
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.00
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Handicap +1 (Levadiakos)Actual: Panathinaikos
Levadiakos +1
60.6%
@ 2.25+20.9%
Draw +1
19.0%
@ 3.41-7.2%
Panathinaikos -1
20.4%
@ 2.62-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.33
Betfair
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Unibet
3.30
Away
10Bet
2.70
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.57
Handicap +2 (Levadiakos)Actual: Draw
Levadiakos +2
79.6%
@ 1.41+16.2%
Draw +2
12.1%
@ 4.57-7.5%
Panathinaikos -2
8.3%
@ 5.23-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Away
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.15
Unibet
5.10
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Levadiakos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.64
0.64
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.70
0.80
0.50
0.80
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.40
0.56
0.56
0.57
0.21
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.27
0.45
0.33
0.50
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (15)
0.87
0.27
0.88
0.50
0.86
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.4%
@ 1.36+4.8%
Under 0.5
26.6%
@ 2.97-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.08
Superbet
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.1%
@ 2.69+4.5%
Under 1.5
60.9%
@ 1.42-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.84
Betano
2.82
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Under
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Unibet
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Betano
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.9%
@ 6.71+1.0%
Under 2.5
85.1%
@ 1.08-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.90
William Hil
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Levadiakos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.9%
@ 2.83+16.1%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.38-16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.14
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.84
Betano
2.80
Superbet
2.80
Under
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.36
Levadiakos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 10.00+5.3%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.03-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Levadiakos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 50.00-97.8%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
47.2%
@ 1.66-8.9%
Under
52.8%
@ 2.12+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.66
Unibet
1.64
Under
1xBet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.10
Unibet
2.07
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.0%
@ 4.33-7.4%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.18+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.40
Superbet
4.15
10Bet
4.00
Under
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 10.67-5.4%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.03+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Under
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Levadiakos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.83
1.43
0.57
0.69
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.67
0.75
1.00
0.40
2.20
vs Similar (20)
1.20
0.50
1.70
0.40
0.70
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
1.06
0.50
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.91
1.00
0.50
0.20
1.40
vs Weaker (15)
1.07
0.53
1.25
0.50
0.86
0.57
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.1%
@ 1.22+3.9%
Under 0.5
19.9%
@ 3.91-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Under
Betano
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.96
Marathonbet
3.96
10Bet
3.95
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.7%
@ 2.05+2.2%
Under 1.5
52.3%
@ 1.71-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.1%
@ 4.42+2.0%
Under 2.5
76.9%
@ 1.18-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.75
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Levadiakos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
58.9%
@ 2.29+18.6%
Under
41.1%
@ 1.55-18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.35
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.27
10Bet
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
Levadiakos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.6%
@ 8.02+10.1%
Under
78.4%
@ 1.05-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
9.30
Superbet
7.70
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Levadiakos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 21.25+0.1%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.01-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.9%
@ 1.47-8.3%
Under
45.1%
@ 2.52+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Under
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.4%
@ 3.22-13.4%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.30+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.26
Superbet
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 8.10-7.3%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.05+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
Superbet
8.10
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.6%
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.7%
1.11
Betano
1.11
-
-
-
-
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.8%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.04
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.1%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
88.7%
1.13
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.0%
1.18
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.07
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.6%
1.30
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
+13.4%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.1%
1.26
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-9.1%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.8%
1.27
Betano
1.27
-
-
-
-
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
81.4%
1.26
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
-11.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
80.2%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
79.6%
1.41
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+16.2%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
79.1%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-10.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.1%
1.59
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.61
BetVictor
1.60
1xBet
1.60
+19.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
77.8%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.30
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.9%
1.18
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.2%
1.23
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.4%
1.36
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.35
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
71.4%
1.46
Superbet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.42
+8.4%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Levadiakos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fabricio Pedrozo37%
Alen Ožbolt33%
Benjamin Verbič25%
Sebastián Palacios21%
Stipe Jurić20%
Giannis Kosti19%
Ognjen Ožegović18%
Hisham Layous18%
Panagiotis Symelidis14%
Guillermo Balzi12%
Giorgos Nikas9%
Panagiotis Liagas8%
Konstantinos Goumas8%
Marios Vichos6%
Georgios Manthatis5%
Triantafyllos Tsapras3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Joel Abu Hanna0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Giannis Tsivelekidis0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Lamarana Jallow0%
Taxiarchis Filon0%
Georgios Katris0%
Christos Papadopoulos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christos Papadopoulos40%
Giannis Kosti27%
Enis Çokaj26%
Panagiotis Symelidis24%
Konstantinos Goumas23%
Benjamin Verbič20%
Georgios Kornezos20%
Guillermo Balzi19%
Lamarana Jallow18%
Sebastián Palacios17%
Alen Ožbolt17%
Fabricio Pedrozo17%
Joel Abu Hanna15%
Panagiotis Liagas12%
Hörður Magnússon11%
Giannis Tsivelekidis11%
Georgios Manthatis11%
Taxiarchis Filon9%
Yury Lodygin7%
Triantafyllos Tsapras6%
Marios Vichos3%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Ognjen Ožegović0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Hisham Layous0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Georgios Katris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Triantafyllos Tsapras32%
Sebastián Palacios24%
Guillermo Balzi23%
Alen Ožbolt17%
Giannis Tsivelekidis11%
Georgios Manthatis11%
Hisham Layous9%
Konstantinos Goumas8%
Benjamin Verbič5%
Panagiotis Symelidis5%
Panagiotis Liagas4%
Enis Çokaj3%
Marios Vichos3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Giannis Kosti0%
Joel Abu Hanna0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Ognjen Ožegović0%
Fabricio Pedrozo0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Lamarana Jallow0%
Taxiarchis Filon0%
Georgios Katris0%
Christos Papadopoulos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alen Ožbolt21%
Sebastián Palacios10%
Fabricio Pedrozo10%
Giannis Kosti8%
Benjamin Verbič5%
Hisham Layous5%
Panagiotis Liagas4%
Guillermo Balzi4%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Joel Abu Hanna0%
Georgios Manthatis0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Marios Vichos0%
Panagiotis Symelidis0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Ognjen Ožegović0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Giannis Tsivelekidis0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Triantafyllos Tsapras0%
Lamarana Jallow0%
Konstantinos Goumas0%
Taxiarchis Filon0%
Georgios Katris0%
Christos Papadopoulos0%
Panathinaikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyriel Dessers100%
Adriano Jagušić50%
Levi García33%
Elmin Rastoder25%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Etienne Camara0%
Vicente Taborda0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Santino Andino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Katris67%
Santino Andino40%
Levi García33%
Andreas Tetteh33%
Elmin Rastoder25%
Sotiris Kontouris25%
Etienne Camara20%
Vicente Taborda20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vicente Taborda40%
Stefan de Vrij20%
Santino Andino20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Levi García0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Elmin Rastoder0%
Etienne Camara0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cyriel Dessers100%
Levi García67%
Anass Zaroury33%
Adriano Jagušić25%
Santino Andino20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Elmin Rastoder0%
Etienne Camara0%
Vicente Taborda0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
Levadiakos's squad is €93m less valuable than Panathinaikos's (€16m vs €109m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
Levadiakos's attack is €41m less valuable than Panathinaikos's (€5m vs €46m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
Levadiakos's midfield is €20m less valuable than Panathinaikos's (€5m vs €26m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
Levadiakos's defence is €33m less valuable than Panathinaikos's (€5m vs €38m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
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PAOK
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
OFI
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Kalamata
Asteras Tripolis