This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.13
2.33
0.93
1.40
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.75
1.21
2.18
1.09
1.38
1.31
vs Weaker (6)
2.33
0.83
2.75
0.50
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.5%
Under 2.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
1-0 ✓
7.9%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
Liège goals ↓
Deinze goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
9.6%
7.5%
3.4%
1.2%
1
7.9%
14%
8.7%
4.0%
1.4%
2
5.3%
7.3%
5.0%
2.3%
0.8%
3
2.1%
2.8%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liège goals (down), columns = Deinze goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Liège is 0.13 points worse than Deinze in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Liège is 0.01 goals worse than Deinze in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.65).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Liège is 0.16 goals worse than Deinze in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Liège is 4.4 percentage points worse than Deinze in terms of average possession (45% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liège
For 7.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Deinze
For 4.9 · Against 6.4 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.3 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
12.7
12.6
12.8
4.4
4.8
4.1
24.4
23.6
25.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
12.4
11.4
13.2
4.7
4.9
4.5
25.1
24.9
25.3
vs Weaker (4)
14.0
16.5
9.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
20.3
19.0
23.0
% over line
79%
78%
80%
67%
67%
67%
74%
78%
70%
% under line
21%
22%
20%
33%
33%
33%
26%
22%
30%
This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
12.3
10.4
1.9
1.6
2.2
26.8
27.8
25.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
11.3
11.6
11.0
2.3
1.8
2.7
27.6
28.6
26.7
vs Weaker (10)
11.5
18.0
5.0
0.5
0.6
0.4
20.0
21.0
19.0
% over line
63%
78%
50%
28%
25%
31%
63%
78%
50%
% under line
37%
22%
50%
72%
75%
69%
37%
22%
50%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
12.7
Standard Liège II
12.1
Beerschot VA
11.6
Seraing United
11.6
Deinze
11.3
K. Lierse S.K.
11.2
Francs Borains
11.1
SK Beveren
10.8
KRC Genk II
10.6
Zulte Waregem
10.4
RSC Anderlecht II
10.3
Lommel United
10.1
Club Brugge II
10.1
Oostende
9.4
Dender
9.3
Patro Eisden
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KRC Genk II
6.2
Liège
5.6
RSC Anderlecht II
5.6
Standard Liège II
5.4
Francs Borains
5.4
Beerschot VA
5.4
Seraing United
5.3
K. Lierse S.K.
5.3
Dender
5.3
Patro Eisden
5.2
Deinze
5.1
Lommel United
5.0
Oostende
4.6
SK Beveren
4.2
Club Brugge II
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dender
28.4
Francs Borains
27.3
KRC Genk II
26.9
Deinze
26.8
Seraing United
26.6
Patro Eisden
26.6
Standard Liège II
26.1
K. Lierse S.K.
25.6
Beerschot VA
25.5
RSC Anderlecht II
25.5
Oostende
24.8
Liège
24.4
SK Beveren
24.4
Club Brugge II
23.3
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Lommel United
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
70.1%
Under 9.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.9%
Under 3.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.5%
Under 21.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.58
0.46
0.58
0.42
0.58
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.55
0.60
0.50
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
58% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.23
1.07
0.20
0.40
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.21
1.09
0.18
0.38
0.23
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.25
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
77% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.96
0.67
1.00
0.83
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.95
0.60
1.00
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
46% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Deinze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deinze
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.90
1.27
0.73
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.04
1.00
1.09
0.91
1.00
1.08
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.50
1.75
0.25
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deinze over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adriano Bertaccini42%
Benoit Bruggeman22%
Benoit Nyssen21%
Abian Arslan17%
Yanick Loemba13%
Alessio Cascio12%
Damien Mouchamps11%
Zakaria Atteri10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Jordan Bustin9%
Ryan Merlen9%
Maxime Cavelier6%
Benjamin Lambot4%
Jonathan D'Ostilio4%
Kevin Debaty0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benoit Nyssen33%
Yanick Loemba30%
Zakaria Atteri30%
Reno Wilmots27%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Jordan Bustin22%
Benjamin Lambot17%
Adriano Bertaccini17%
Alessio Cascio16%
Ryan Merlen13%
Maxime Cavelier12%
Kevin Debaty12%
Jérémie Lioka10%
Abian Arslan8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Mohamed Mouhli4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benoit Nyssen21%
Maxime Cavelier19%
Ryan Merlen17%
Reno Wilmots9%
Benjamin Lambot9%
Yanick Loemba9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Abian Arslan8%
Alessio Cascio8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Benoit Bruggeman6%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Adriano Bertaccini0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adriano Bertaccini33%
Benoit Bruggeman28%
Zakaria Atteri25%
Alessio Cascio16%
Mohamed Mouhli13%
Benoit Nyssen8%
Abian Arslan8%
Jérémie Lioka5%
Reno Wilmots5%
Yanick Loemba4%
Ryan Merlen4%
Benjamin Lambot0%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
Deinze
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Laurent Lemoine33%
Jellert Van Landschoot24%
Souleymane Anne22%
Lennart Mertens22%
Emilio Kehrer21%
Teo Quintero21%
Nicolas Mercier17%
Gaetan Hendrickx16%
Mamadou Koné12%
Guillaume De Schryver5%
Kenneth Schuermans4%
Dylan de Belder0%
Jur Schryvers0%
Steve De Ridder0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Sven Braken0%
Víctor Álvarez0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Alessio Staelens0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Ayman Kassimi0%
Marselino Ferdinan0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Steve De Ridder45%
Laurent Lemoine33%
Teo Quintero33%
Denis Prychynenko32%
Christophe Janssens29%
Kenneth Schuermans29%
Víctor Álvarez25%
Jaime Sierra25%
Dylan de Belder20%
Gonzalo Almenara20%
Lennart Mertens17%
Nicolas Mercier17%
Guillaume De Schryver16%
Sven Braken15%
Alessio Staelens13%
Ayman Kassimi12%
Andreas Spegelaere12%
Jellert Van Landschoot8%
Nacho Miras8%
Souleymane Anne6%
Emilio Kehrer5%
Gaetan Hendrickx4%
Jur Schryvers0%
Mamadou Koné0%
Marselino Ferdinan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaetan Hendrickx36%
Emilio Kehrer16%
Alessio Staelens13%
Christophe Janssens12%
Jellert Van Landschoot8%
Sven Braken8%
Souleymane Anne6%
Denis Prychynenko5%
Gonzalo Almenara5%
Lennart Mertens4%
Teo Quintero4%
Dylan de Belder0%
Jur Schryvers0%
Steve De Ridder0%
Kenneth Schuermans0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Mamadou Koné0%
Víctor Álvarez0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Nacho Miras0%
Nicolas Mercier0%
Ayman Kassimi0%
Marselino Ferdinan0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lennart Mertens35%
Souleymane Anne28%
Emilio Kehrer21%
Teo Quintero21%
Laurent Lemoine17%
Mamadou Koné12%
Ayman Kassimi12%
Dylan de Belder10%
Jellert Van Landschoot8%
Sven Braken8%
Denis Prychynenko5%
Guillaume De Schryver5%
Alessio Staelens4%
Kenneth Schuermans4%
Gaetan Hendrickx0%
Jur Schryvers0%
Steve De Ridder0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Víctor Álvarez0%
Jaime Sierra0%
Gonzalo Almenara0%
Nacho Miras0%
Nicolas Mercier0%
Marselino Ferdinan0%
Andreas Spegelaere0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Lommel United
Beerschot VA
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II