This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.67
1.20
1.53
1.73
1.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
1.36
1.76
1.17
1.58
1.54
1.92
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
1.33
1.50
1.00
4.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.2%
Under 1.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.8%
Under 2.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.5%
Under 3.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.4%
No
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
Liège goals ↓
K. Lierse S.K. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
5.1%
4.4%
2.1%
0.7%
1
6.4%
12%
7.5%
3.6%
1.3%
2
6.4%
9.1%
6.5%
3.1%
1.1%
3
3.7%
5.2%
3.7%
1.8%
0.6%
4
1.6%
2.2%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liège goals (down), columns = K. Lierse S.K. goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Liège is 0.47 points better than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Liège is 0.17 goals better than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Liège is 0.60 goals better than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.97).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Liège is 3.8 percentage points worse than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of average possession (45% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liège
For 5.5 · Against 7.2 · Total 12.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 10.5 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
K. Lierse S.K.
For 6.0 · Against 7.5 · Total 13.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (11)
12.7
13.5
12.2
3.0
2.6
3.3
24.0
22.5
24.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
12.7
13.5
12.2
3.3
2.6
4.0
24.0
22.5
24.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
83%
100%
75%
45%
40%
50%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
17%
0%
25%
55%
60%
50%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
13.5
12.5
15.5
1.0
1.2
0.7
26.3
28.5
22.0
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
14.2
13.3
15.5
1.0
1.3
0.8
26.2
29.0
22.0
vs Weaker (5)
10.0
10.0
-
1.0
1.7
0.0
27.0
27.0
-
% over line
83%
75%
100%
12%
14%
10%
67%
75%
50%
% under line
17%
25%
0%
88%
86%
90%
33%
25%
50%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
K. Lierse S.K.
13.5
Liège
12.7
Club Brugge II
11.4
Beerschot VA
11.0
KRC Genk II
10.7
Deinze
10.6
SK Beveren
10.5
Oostende
10.1
Zulte Waregem
10.1
Lommel United
10.0
Standard Liège II
9.6
Seraing United
9.4
RSC Anderlecht II
9.4
Dender
9.3
Patro Eisden
9.0
Francs Borains
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
K. Lierse S.K.
6.8
RSC Anderlecht II
6.6
KRC Genk II
6.4
Seraing United
6.4
Dender
6.3
Patro Eisden
6.0
Standard Liège II
5.9
Francs Borains
5.6
Liège
5.5
Beerschot VA
5.0
Oostende
4.6
Lommel United
4.5
Deinze
4.3
Zulte Waregem
4.3
SK Beveren
4.2
Club Brugge II
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Patro Eisden
31.7
Dender
30.9
Seraing United
29.9
Deinze
29.1
RSC Anderlecht II
28.9
KRC Genk II
28.7
Francs Borains
27.9
Standard Liège II
27.6
K. Lierse S.K.
26.3
Beerschot VA
25.4
SK Beveren
25.1
Club Brugge II
24.9
Oostende
24.2
Liège
24.0
Lommel United
23.7
Zulte Waregem
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
73.1%
Under 9.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
84.0%
Under 3.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.3%
Under 21.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.36
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
64% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.53
0.67
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.84
0.58
0.75
0.69
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
0.50
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.82
0.91
0.80
0.60
0.83
1.17
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.60
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
45% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.90
0.67
0.87
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.92
0.58
0.83
0.85
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adriano Bertaccini42%
Benoit Bruggeman22%
Benoit Nyssen21%
Abian Arslan17%
Yanick Loemba13%
Alessio Cascio12%
Damien Mouchamps11%
Zakaria Atteri10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Jordan Bustin9%
Ryan Merlen9%
Maxime Cavelier6%
Benjamin Lambot4%
Jonathan D'Ostilio4%
Kevin Debaty0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benoit Nyssen33%
Yanick Loemba30%
Zakaria Atteri30%
Reno Wilmots27%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Jordan Bustin22%
Benjamin Lambot17%
Adriano Bertaccini17%
Alessio Cascio16%
Ryan Merlen13%
Maxime Cavelier12%
Kevin Debaty12%
Jérémie Lioka10%
Abian Arslan8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Mohamed Mouhli4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benoit Nyssen21%
Maxime Cavelier19%
Ryan Merlen17%
Reno Wilmots9%
Benjamin Lambot9%
Yanick Loemba9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Abian Arslan8%
Alessio Cascio8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Benoit Bruggeman6%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Adriano Bertaccini0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adriano Bertaccini33%
Benoit Bruggeman28%
Zakaria Atteri25%
Alessio Cascio16%
Mohamed Mouhli13%
Benoit Nyssen8%
Abian Arslan8%
Jérémie Lioka5%
Reno Wilmots5%
Yanick Loemba4%
Ryan Merlen4%
Benjamin Lambot0%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
K. Lierse S.K.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Obbi Oulare24%
Ousmane Sow23%
Eric Ocansey23%
Thibaut Van Acker21%
Maxim Kireev17%
Stan Van Dessel11%
Joeri Poelmans10%
Nils Schouterden9%
Viktor Boone8%
Luc Marijnissen7%
Alexandre De Bruyn6%
Jens Cools6%
Sebastiaan Brebels4%
Jens Teunckens0%
Aristote Nkaka0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Jarno Libert0%
Glenn Claes0%
Daan Vekemans0%
Mehdi Tarfi0%
Aske Sampers0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Samih El Touile0%
Senda Mukandila0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mickael Tirpan36%
Aristote Nkaka33%
Sebastiaan Brebels30%
Joeri Poelmans25%
Ousmane Sow23%
Nils Schouterden22%
Luc Marijnissen21%
Stan Van Dessel21%
Viktor Boone21%
Obbi Oulare18%
Jens Cools17%
Sam Vanderhallen14%
Thibaut Van Acker12%
Alexandre De Bruyn11%
Aske Sampers11%
Jarno Libert9%
Mehdi Tarfi9%
Jens Teunckens9%
Maxim Kireev6%
Eric Ocansey0%
Glenn Claes0%
Daan Vekemans0%
Samih El Touile0%
Senda Mukandila0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Obbi Oulare24%
Nils Schouterden22%
Jarno Libert18%
Sebastiaan Brebels17%
Ousmane Sow15%
Thibaut Van Acker12%
Samih El Touile12%
Alexandre De Bruyn6%
Stan Van Dessel5%
Eric Ocansey5%
Jens Teunckens0%
Aristote Nkaka0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Glenn Claes0%
Jens Cools0%
Joeri Poelmans0%
Daan Vekemans0%
Mehdi Tarfi0%
Viktor Boone0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Aske Sampers0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Maxim Kireev0%
Senda Mukandila0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Obbi Oulare41%
Ousmane Sow38%
Thibaut Van Acker21%
Stan Van Dessel5%
Nils Schouterden4%
Sebastiaan Brebels4%
Jens Teunckens0%
Alexandre De Bruyn0%
Eric Ocansey0%
Aristote Nkaka0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Jarno Libert0%
Glenn Claes0%
Jens Cools0%
Joeri Poelmans0%
Daan Vekemans0%
Mehdi Tarfi0%
Viktor Boone0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Aske Sampers0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Maxim Kireev0%
Samih El Touile0%
Senda Mukandila0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Lommel United
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II