This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KRC Genk II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
2.10
0.93
2.13
0.80
2.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.86
2.18
0.92
2.31
0.80
2.07
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.5%
Under 2.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
Liège goals ↓
KRC Genk II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
5.8%
3.7%
1.3%
0.4%
1
9.6%
13%
6.2%
2.2%
0.6%
2
9.0%
9.6%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
3
5.0%
5.3%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.1%
2.2%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liège goals (down), columns = KRC Genk II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SK Beveren
2.75
Kortrijk
2.06
Beerschot VA
2.00
Liège
1.66
Lommel United
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
RWDM
1.12
Francs Borains
1.09
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Club Brugge II
0.66
Olympic Charleroi
0.50
Liège is 0.69 points better than KRC Genk II in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.31
Lommel United
1.84
Kortrijk
1.81
Beerschot VA
1.62
RWDM
1.56
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Liège
1.38
Patro Eisden
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Francs Borains
1.03
Club Brugge II
1.03
Olympic Charleroi
0.81
Liège is 0.06 goals better than KRC Genk II in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Beveren
0.72
Beerschot VA
0.97
Kortrijk
1.06
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Lommel United
1.44
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RWDM
1.69
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Olympic Charleroi
2.12
Liège is 0.62 goals better than KRC Genk II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.84).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
SK Beveren
56%
Lommel United
55%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Kortrijk
53%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
Olympic Charleroi
48%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
RWDM
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Liège is 7.2 percentage points worse than KRC Genk II in terms of average possession (44% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liège
For 5.4 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KRC Genk II
For 4.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.4
10.6
4.2
3.9
4.5
25.2
27.1
23.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
10.8
10.9
10.8
4.2
4.0
4.5
25.1
27.0
23.3
vs Weaker (5)
12.0
15.5
8.5
4.2
3.7
5.0
26.5
27.5
25.5
% over line
57%
53%
62%
62%
60%
64%
78%
84%
71%
% under line
43%
47%
38%
38%
40%
36%
22%
16%
29%
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KRC Genk II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.0
9.6
3.8
3.5
4.2
26.1
25.5
26.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
10.1
10.8
9.4
3.8
3.4
4.2
26.0
25.8
26.1
vs Weaker (5)
12.2
13.0
11.5
4.2
4.0
4.5
26.8
22.0
31.5
% over line
55%
62%
48%
54%
44%
64%
80%
76%
83%
% under line
45%
38%
52%
46%
56%
36%
20%
24%
17%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Olympic Charleroi
12.0
Liège
11.3
Beerschot VA
10.9
Lokeren-Temse
10.8
Seraing United
10.8
RWDM
10.4
KRC Genk II
10.4
Kortrijk
10.2
Francs Borains
9.9
RSC Anderlecht II
9.8
Patro Eisden
9.8
SK Beveren
9.6
Club Brugge II
9.6
K. Lierse S.K.
9.3
AS Eupen
9.3
Lommel United
8.9
KAA Gent II
6.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
6.5
Francs Borains
6.1
Patro Eisden
5.7
K. Lierse S.K.
5.6
Liège
5.4
Seraing United
5.2
RSC Anderlecht II
5.0
SK Beveren
4.9
KRC Genk II
4.8
Lommel United
4.8
Kortrijk
4.7
AS Eupen
4.7
Club Brugge II
4.5
Beerschot VA
4.4
KAA Gent II
4.3
RWDM
4.2
Olympic Charleroi
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
KAA Gent II
33.3
Lokeren-Temse
28.1
Francs Borains
27.9
Patro Eisden
27.5
Olympic Charleroi
26.5
K. Lierse S.K.
26.4
KRC Genk II
26.2
Seraing United
25.9
RSC Anderlecht II
25.7
Liège
25.1
AS Eupen
25.0
SK Beveren
25.0
Club Brugge II
25.0
Lommel United
24.3
RWDM
23.5
Beerschot VA
22.7
Kortrijk
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.8%
Under 9.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.5%
Under 3.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
81.3%
Under 21.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.47
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.75
0.54
0.92
0.54
0.60
0.53
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KRC Genk II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.03
0.53
1.20
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.46
1.11
0.54
1.38
0.40
0.87
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.67
0.60
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.82
0.69
0.62
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KRC Genk II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.07
0.40
0.93
0.40
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.39
1.07
0.38
0.92
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frederic Soelle Soelle33%
Simon Paulet25%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Alexis Lefebvre14%
Alexis De Sart12%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Kevin Shkurti7%
Jonathan D'Ostilio6%
Abian Arslan6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Benoit Bruggeman5%
Reno Wilmots0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Bustin45%
Oumar Diouf30%
Reno Wilmots26%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Stephen Reynaerts25%
Kevin Shkurti21%
Alexis Lefebvre19%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Victor Corneillie14%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Martin Wasinski8%
Abian Arslan6%
Alexis De Sart6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Kylian Hazard0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Eric N'jo0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Wasinski21%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Eric N'jo14%
Jonathan D'Ostilio12%
Kylian Hazard11%
Oumar Diouf10%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Alexis De Sart6%
Reno Wilmots4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Abian Arslan0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Frederic Soelle Soelle22%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Alexis Lefebvre10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Simon Paulet8%
Alexis De Sart0%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Abian Arslan0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
KRC Genk II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aaron Bibout56%
Luca Oyen33%
Victory Beniangba29%
Adrian Palacios25%
Jonathan Coenen21%
Ayumu Yokoyama20%
Jelle Driessen11%
Kenan Haroun7%
Ali Camara7%
Djoully Nzoko6%
August De Wannemacker6%
Emmanuel Sarfo6%
Kayden Pierre0%
Kenshin Yasuda0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Wilson Da Costa0%
Christian Akpan0%
Min-woo Kang0%
Kim Myeong-jun0%
Yumeki Yoshinaga0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Manu Mocsnik0%
Alpha Barry0%
Elie Mbavu0%
Myung-jun Kim0%
Zion Henry0%
Wout Kapers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christian Akpan43%
Kayden Pierre35%
Zion Henry33%
Wout Kapers29%
Alpha Barry20%
Kenshin Yasuda18%
Manu Mocsnik14%
Kenan Haroun13%
Michiel Cauwel12%
Emmanuel Sarfo11%
Jelle Driessen11%
Brad Manguelle8%
Jonathan Coenen7%
Ali Camara7%
Lucca Brughmans6%
August De Wannemacker6%
Victory Beniangba6%
Luca Oyen0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Djoully Nzoko0%
Adrian Palacios0%
Wilson Da Costa0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Min-woo Kang0%
Kim Myeong-jun0%
Yumeki Yoshinaga0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Elie Mbavu0%
Myung-jun Kim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayumu Yokoyama40%
August De Wannemacker19%
Christian Akpan14%
Kenan Haroun13%
Kim Myeong-jun12%
Luca Oyen11%
Kenshin Yasuda9%
Elie Mbavu8%
Ali Camara7%
Djoully Nzoko6%
Victory Beniangba6%
Emmanuel Sarfo6%
Kayden Pierre5%
Adrian Palacios0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Wilson Da Costa0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Min-woo Kang0%
Yumeki Yoshinaga0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Manu Mocsnik0%
Alpha Barry0%
Myung-jun Kim0%
Jonathan Coenen0%
Jelle Driessen0%
Zion Henry0%
Wout Kapers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayumu Yokoyama60%
Aaron Bibout22%
Djoully Nzoko12%
Kim Myeong-jun12%
Kenshin Yasuda9%
Manu Mocsnik7%
Kenan Haroun7%
Ali Camara7%
Victory Beniangba6%
Luca Oyen0%
Kayden Pierre0%
Adrian Palacios0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Wilson Da Costa0%
Christian Akpan0%
Min-woo Kang0%
Yumeki Yoshinaga0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Alpha Barry0%
Elie Mbavu0%
August De Wannemacker0%
Emmanuel Sarfo0%
Myung-jun Kim0%
Jonathan Coenen0%
Jelle Driessen0%
Zion Henry0%
Wout Kapers0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SK Beveren
Kortrijk
Beerschot VA
Lommel United
Patro Eisden
AS Eupen
Lokeren-Temse
KAA Gent II
K. Lierse S.K.
RWDM
Seraing United
Francs Borains
RSC Anderlecht II
Club Brugge II
Olympic Charleroi