This opponent (Polessya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polessya
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.04
0.60
2.17
0.67
1.92
0.54
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
2.00
0.75
2.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
2.05
0.57
2.20
0.70
1.91
0.45
Clean sheet %
52% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
1-2 ✓
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
LNZ Cherkasy goals ↓
Polessya goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
9.2%
6.6%
2.8%
0.9%
1
8.9%
14%
8.1%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.3%
7.9%
5.0%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.6%
3.2%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = LNZ Cherkasy goals (down), columns = Polessya goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.30
Kryvbas KR
1.90
Dnipro-1
1.73
Polessya
1.67
Ruh Lviv
1.63
LNZ Cherkasy
1.37
Oleksandria
1.13
Vorskla Poltava
1.10
Kolos Kovalivka
1.07
Zorya Luhansk
1.07
Chornomorets
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.94
Minai
0.83
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.50
Livyi Bereh
0.50
LNZ Cherkasy is 0.30 points worse than Polessya in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.40
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.10
Kryvbas KR
1.70
Ruh Lviv
1.47
Dnipro-1
1.33
Polessya
1.30
Chornomorets
1.27
Veres Rivne
1.09
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Oleksandria
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.97
Minai
0.90
Kolos Kovalivka
0.73
Obolon'-Brovar
0.62
Livyi Bereh
0.50
LNZ Cherkasy is 0.27 goals worse than Polessya in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.30).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.80
Dnipro-1
0.90
Dynamo Kyiv
0.93
Polessya
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
1.03
Ruh Lviv
1.03
LNZ Cherkasy
1.13
Zorya Luhansk
1.23
Oleksandria
1.27
Obolon'-Brovar
1.31
Veres Rivne
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.53
Chornomorets
1.57
Minai
1.67
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.90
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.00
LNZ Cherkasy is 0.13 goals worse than Polessya in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
59%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
55%
Livyi Bereh
54%
Chornomorets
52%
Dnipro-1
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
LNZ Cherkasy
51%
Polessya
51%
Oleksandria
51%
Ruh Lviv
50%
Vorskla Poltava
50%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
49%
Zorya Luhansk
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Obolon'-Brovar
44%
Minai
44%
Veres Rivne
44%
LNZ Cherkasy is 0.1 percentage points better than Polessya in terms of average possession (51% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
LNZ Cherkasy
For 5.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Polessya
For 4.0 · Against 7.5 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 14.5 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
LNZ Cherkasy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
10.0
11.0
9.5
0.4
0.5
0.4
25.3
29.0
23.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
12.0
-
12.0
0.3
0.0
0.5
30.0
-
30.0
vs Weaker (20)
9.0
11.0
7.0
0.5
0.6
0.4
23.0
29.0
17.0
% over line
67%
100%
50%
7%
8%
7%
67%
100%
50%
% under line
33%
0%
50%
93%
92%
93%
33%
0%
50%
This opponent (Polessya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polessya
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
11.5
-
11.5
0.5
0.0
1.0
24.5
-
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (21)
11.5
-
11.5
0.6
0.0
1.2
24.5
-
24.5
% over line
50%
-
50%
8%
0%
15%
50%
-
50%
% under line
50%
-
50%
92%
100%
85%
50%
-
50%
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Polessya
11.5
Veres Rivne
10.7
Zorya Luhansk
10.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.5
Vorskla Poltava
10.1
Obolon'-Brovar
10.0
LNZ Cherkasy
10.0
Oleksandria
9.8
Kolos Kovalivka
9.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.7
Ruh Lviv
9.6
Minai
9.5
Dynamo Kyiv
9.5
Chornomorets
9.2
Dnipro-1
8.9
Kryvbas KR
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Obolon'-Brovar
7.5
Polessya
6.5
Ruh Lviv
5.9
Vorskla Poltava
5.3
Dynamo Kyiv
5.3
Kolos Kovalivka
5.0
Chornomorets
4.9
Veres Rivne
4.8
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.5
Zorya Luhansk
4.5
Oleksandria
4.5
Kryvbas KR
4.5
Minai
4.3
Dnipro-1
4.1
LNZ Cherkasy
4.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vorskla Poltava
27.1
Kolos Kovalivka
25.6
Dynamo Kyiv
25.4
LNZ Cherkasy
25.3
Ruh Lviv
25.1
Polessya
24.5
Obolon'-Brovar
24.0
Dnipro-1
23.8
Minai
23.4
Chornomorets
23.3
Kryvbas KR
22.8
Oleksandria
22.2
Zorya Luhansk
22.1
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.9
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.9
Veres Rivne
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.8%
Under 9.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.0%
Under 3.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
73.3%
Under 21.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
LNZ Cherkasy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.81
0.26
1.00
0.23
0.64
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.57
1.00
0.33
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (20)
0.90
0.15
1.00
0.20
0.80
0.10
Clean sheet %
78% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Polessya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polessya
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.24
0.16
1.42
0.25
1.08
0.08
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.25
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.24
0.19
1.40
0.30
1.09
0.09
Clean sheet %
84% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
LNZ Cherkasy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.74
0.48
0.85
0.46
0.64
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
0.57
1.33
0.67
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (20)
0.65
0.45
0.70
0.40
0.60
0.50
Clean sheet %
56% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Polessya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polessya
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.44
0.75
0.42
0.85
0.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.81
0.38
0.80
0.40
0.82
0.36
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
LNZ Cherkasy
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Arad Bar25%
Eynel Soares25%
Denys Oliynyk20%
Muharrem Jashari20%
Vladyslav Naumets17%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Serhiy Shestakov0%
Serhiy Rybalka0%
Olivier Thill0%
Oleksandr Nasonov0%
Hennadii Pasich0%
Herman Penkov0%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko0%
Maksym Priadun0%
Vitaliy Boyko0%
Petro Stasiuk0%
Nazarii Muravskyi0%
Hajdin Salihu0%
Guy Merlin Mollo Bessala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Serhiy Rybalka50%
Arad Bar50%
Oleksandr Nasonov33%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko25%
Eynel Soares25%
Denys Oliynyk20%
Hennadii Pasich20%
Muharrem Jashari20%
Vitaliy Boyko20%
Hajdin Salihu20%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Vladyslav Naumets0%
Serhiy Shestakov0%
Olivier Thill0%
Herman Penkov0%
Maksym Priadun0%
Petro Stasiuk0%
Nazarii Muravskyi0%
Guy Merlin Mollo Bessala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Muharrem Jashari20%
Hajdin Salihu20%
Vladyslav Naumets17%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Serhiy Shestakov0%
Serhiy Rybalka0%
Olivier Thill0%
Denys Oliynyk0%
Oleksandr Nasonov0%
Hennadii Pasich0%
Herman Penkov0%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko0%
Maksym Priadun0%
Vitaliy Boyko0%
Petro Stasiuk0%
Arad Bar0%
Nazarii Muravskyi0%
Eynel Soares0%
Guy Merlin Mollo Bessala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eynel Soares50%
Arad Bar25%
Oleksiy Khoblenko20%
Denys Oliynyk20%
Muharrem Jashari20%
Vladyslav Naumets17%
Serhiy Shestakov0%
Serhiy Rybalka0%
Olivier Thill0%
Oleksandr Nasonov0%
Hennadii Pasich0%
Herman Penkov0%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko0%
Maksym Priadun0%
Vitaliy Boyko0%
Petro Stasiuk0%
Nazarii Muravskyi0%
Hajdin Salihu0%
Guy Merlin Mollo Bessala0%
Polessya
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luifer Hernández67%
Oleksandr Nazarenko50%
Bohdan Kushnirenko33%
Denys Ndukve25%
Emil Mustafayev20%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Artem Shabanov0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Yassin Fortune0%
Vasyl Hrytsuk0%
Serhii Chobotenko0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Artem Kozak0%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi0%
Talles Costa0%
Artem Smoliakov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yassin Fortune67%
Artem Smoliakov50%
Ivan Petriak33%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi33%
Bohdan Kushnirenko33%
Talles Costa25%
Denys Ndukve25%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Artem Shabanov0%
Luifer Hernández0%
Vasyl Hrytsuk0%
Serhii Chobotenko0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Artem Kozak0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Emil Mustafayev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko25%
Talles Costa25%
Artem Smoliakov25%
Emil Mustafayev20%
Serhii Chobotenko17%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Artem Shabanov0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Yassin Fortune0%
Luifer Hernández0%
Vasyl Hrytsuk0%
Artem Kozak0%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Bohdan Kushnirenko0%
Denys Ndukve0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oleksandr Nazarenko50%
Emil Mustafayev40%
Yassin Fortune33%
Luifer Hernández33%
Denys Ndukve25%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Artem Shabanov0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Vasyl Hrytsuk0%
Serhii Chobotenko0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Artem Kozak0%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi0%
Bohdan Kushnirenko0%
Talles Costa0%
Artem Smoliakov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
POL (32)
€34m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
CHO (21)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
LNZ Cherkasy's squad is €13m less valuable than Polessya's (€20m vs €34m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
POL (9)
€12m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
OBO (9)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
LNZ Cherkasy's attack is €4m less valuable than Polessya's (€8m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
POL (9)
€8m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OBO (5)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
LNZ Cherkasy's midfield is €4m less valuable than Polessya's (€5m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
POL (14)
€14m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LNZ Cherkasy's defence is €6m less valuable than Polessya's (€7m vs €14m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →