This opponent (Ajaccio) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ajaccio
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.27
1.31
0.94
1.36
1.64
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
1.45
1.00
0.60
0.67
2.17
vs Similar (19)
1.63
1.16
1.45
1.09
1.88
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Lorient) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.1%
Under 2.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.6%
Lorient goals ↓
Ajaccio goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
3.6%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
1
12%
10%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
2
13%
9.6%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
8.9%
6.6%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
4
4.6%
3.4%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lorient goals (down), columns = Ajaccio goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Reims
2.32
Nimes
1.92
Le Havre
1.74
Stade Brestois 29
1.71
Clermont Foot
1.66
Lorient
1.63
Paris FC
1.61
Chateauroux
1.58
Ajaccio
1.43
Sochaux
1.39
Auxerre
1.24
Orleans
1.21
Valenciennes
1.18
Lens
1.13
Niort
1.11
Nancy
1.00
Bourg Peronnas
0.95
Rouen
0.87
Tours
0.61
Lorient is 0.20 points better than Ajaccio in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nimes
1.97
Reims
1.95
Lorient
1.61
Stade Brestois 29
1.53
Clermont Foot
1.42
Le Havre
1.39
Orleans
1.37
Auxerre
1.34
Sochaux
1.34
Bourg Peronnas
1.32
Valenciennes
1.32
Chateauroux
1.32
Ajaccio
1.28
Lens
1.26
Niort
1.24
Paris FC
1.21
Rouen
1.18
Nancy
1.03
Tours
0.89
Lorient is 0.33 goals better than Ajaccio in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.28).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Reims
0.63
Le Havre
0.89
Paris FC
0.95
Clermont Foot
0.95
Nimes
0.97
Stade Brestois 29
1.13
Lorient
1.21
Lens
1.29
Chateauroux
1.32
Ajaccio
1.36
Nancy
1.42
Auxerre
1.45
Niort
1.58
Orleans
1.61
Sochaux
1.63
Valenciennes
1.68
Rouen
1.74
Tours
1.79
Bourg Peronnas
2.29
Lorient is 0.14 goals better than Ajaccio in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lorient
For 6.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ajaccio
For 4.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Lorient
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.6
11.0
3.6
3.8
3.3
21.8
22.6
21.0
vs Stronger (7)
10.4
10.3
10.5
2.3
2.3
2.2
23.0
22.7
23.2
vs Similar (22)
10.4
9.5
11.1
3.5
3.8
3.3
21.4
22.5
20.2
vs Weaker (21)
10.1
9.5
11.0
4.0
4.2
3.8
21.5
22.8
20.2
% over line
52%
44%
60%
44%
52%
36%
58%
67%
50%
% under line
48%
56%
40%
56%
48%
64%
42%
33%
50%
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ajaccio
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
8.4
7.6
3.2
3.3
3.1
-
-
-
vs Stronger (19)
8.1
9.0
7.0
3.1
3.2
3.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
8.0
7.9
8.0
3.3
3.4
3.1
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
24%
32%
17%
52%
50%
54%
-
-
-
% under line
76%
68%
83%
48%
50%
46%
-
-
-
This opponent (Lorient) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Le Havre
11.8
Clermont Foot
11.1
Chateauroux
10.9
Stade Brestois 29
10.9
Rouen
10.6
Niort
10.3
Orleans
10.3
Sochaux
10.3
Lorient
10.3
Auxerre
10.2
Valenciennes
9.9
Reims
9.8
Tours
9.7
Nimes
9.6
Nancy
9.6
Bourg Peronnas
9.6
Paris FC
9.0
Lens
8.5
Ajaccio
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nimes
5.3
Niort
4.7
Orleans
4.5
Rouen
4.3
Stade Brestois 29
4.3
Reims
4.3
Sochaux
4.2
Lens
4.1
Tours
4.1
Ajaccio
4.1
Clermont Foot
4.0
Nancy
4.0
Paris FC
3.9
Valenciennes
3.9
Chateauroux
3.8
Bourg Peronnas
3.8
Le Havre
3.7
Auxerre
3.6
Lorient
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reims
27.9
Ajaccio
26.2
Nancy
25.5
Lorient
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
38.3%
Under 9.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.7%
Under 3.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.2%
Under 21.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lorient
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.80
0.31
0.62
0.29
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.90
0.75
0.75
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
0.18
0.65
0.20
0.40
0.14
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ajaccio
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.56
0.31
0.86
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.64
0.60
0.00
0.67
1.17
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.58
0.55
0.45
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lorient) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lorient over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lorient
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.47
1.38
0.38
1.21
0.57
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.00
1.00
1.50
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
1.30
0.60
2.25
0.50
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (17)
1.24
0.29
1.10
0.10
1.43
0.57
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajaccio) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ajaccio
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.75
0.62
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
0.82
0.40
0.60
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.58
0.91
0.64
0.88
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Lorient) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lorient over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajaccio over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lorient · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng44%
Pablo Pagis28%
Aiyegun Tosin18%
Noah Cadiou13%
Jean-Victor Makengo11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Sambou Soumano9%
Théo Le Bris6%
Karim Dermane6%
Arthur Avom Ebong6%
Arsène Kouassi6%
Panos Katseris6%
Igor Silva5%
Laurent Abergel3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Montassar Talbi0%
Darlin Yongwa0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Bamo Meïté0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoulaye Faye42%
Laurent Abergel27%
Bamo Meïté21%
Panos Katseris17%
Darlin Yongwa16%
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng16%
Mohamed Bamba16%
Arsène Kouassi15%
Bingourou Kamara14%
Montassar Talbi13%
Arthur Avom Ebong12%
Noah Cadiou6%
Sambou Soumano6%
Karim Dermane6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Igor Silva5%
Aiyegun Tosin4%
Pablo Pagis3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Théo Le Bris0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arsène Kouassi18%
Pablo Pagis12%
Panos Katseris11%
Igor Silva11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Bamo Meïté10%
Théo Le Bris9%
Sambou Soumano6%
Karim Dermane6%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Darlin Yongwa4%
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng4%
Noah Cadiou3%
Montassar Talbi3%
Arthur Avom Ebong3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Laurent Abergel0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Aiyegun Tosin0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng32%
Pablo Pagis25%
Aiyegun Tosin11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Arthur Avom Ebong6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Nathaniel Adjei6%
Noah Cadiou3%
Sambou Soumano3%
Igor Silva0%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Laurent Abergel0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Montassar Talbi0%
Darlin Yongwa0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Théo Le Bris0%
Bamo Meïté0%
Karim Dermane0%
Panos Katseris0%
Arsène Kouassi0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Ajaccio · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aboubakary Kanté25%
Ben Touré15%
Moussa Soumano15%
Yoann Touzghar11%
Christopher Ibayi11%
Axel Bamba10%
Everson Junior10%
Julien Anziani9%
Mickaël Barreto8%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli7%
Benjamin Santelli4%
Tony Strata4%
Valentin Jacob0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Clement Vidal0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stephen Quemper40%
Everson Junior29%
Thomas Mangani26%
Mickaël Barreto25%
Clement Vidal22%
Benjamin Santelli22%
Christopher Ibayi21%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli20%
Jesah Ayessa20%
Matthieu Huard18%
Ivane Chegra16%
Mohamed Youssouf15%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro14%
Axel Bamba13%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi13%
Julien Anziani12%
Ben Touré10%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz9%
Moussa Soumano7%
Tony Strata7%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Valentin Jacob0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mickaël Barreto17%
Valentin Jacob14%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi9%
Moussa Soumano7%
Tony Strata7%
Thomas Mangani5%
Christopher Ibayi5%
Matthieu Huard5%
Benjamin Santelli4%
Aboubakary Kanté4%
Julien Anziani3%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Axel Bamba0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Clement Vidal0%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ben Touré0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julien Anziani26%
Christopher Ibayi16%
Moussa Soumano11%
Aboubakary Kanté8%
Ben Touré5%
Yoann Touzghar0%
Axel Bamba0%
Valentin Jacob0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Francois-Joseph Sollacaro0%
Mohamed Youssouf0%
Thomas Mangani0%
Benjamin Santelli0%
Clement Vidal0%
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli0%
Stephen Quemper0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ghjuvanni Quilichini0%
Jesah Ayessa0%
Everson Junior0%
Mehdi Puch-Herrantz0%
Ivane Chegra0%
Tony Strata0%
Kan Guy Arsène Kouassi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Reims
Nimes
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Clermont Foot
Paris FC
Chateauroux
Sochaux
Auxerre
Orleans
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