This opponent (Paris FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paris FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.90
1.40
0.87
1.13
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.60
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.38
0.71
1.60
0.50
1.18
0.91
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lorient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.2%
Under 2.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.2%
Under 3.5
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-0 ✓
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.8%
Lorient goals ↓
Paris FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
4.8%
2.6%
0.7%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
4.6%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.8%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
6.9%
5.9%
2.6%
0.7%
0.2%
4
3.1%
2.7%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lorient goals (down), columns = Paris FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Reims
2.32
Nimes
1.92
Le Havre
1.74
Stade Brestois 29
1.71
Clermont Foot
1.66
Lorient
1.63
Paris FC
1.61
Chateauroux
1.58
Ajaccio
1.43
Sochaux
1.39
Auxerre
1.24
Orleans
1.21
Valenciennes
1.18
Lens
1.13
Niort
1.11
Nancy
1.00
Bourg Peronnas
0.95
Rouen
0.87
Tours
0.61
Lorient is 0.03 points better than Paris FC in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nimes
1.97
Reims
1.95
Lorient
1.61
Stade Brestois 29
1.53
Clermont Foot
1.42
Le Havre
1.39
Orleans
1.37
Auxerre
1.34
Sochaux
1.34
Bourg Peronnas
1.32
Valenciennes
1.32
Chateauroux
1.32
Ajaccio
1.28
Lens
1.26
Niort
1.24
Paris FC
1.21
Rouen
1.18
Nancy
1.03
Tours
0.89
Lorient is 0.39 goals better than Paris FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Reims
0.63
Le Havre
0.89
Paris FC
0.95
Clermont Foot
0.95
Nimes
0.97
Stade Brestois 29
1.13
Lorient
1.21
Lens
1.29
Chateauroux
1.32
Ajaccio
1.36
Nancy
1.42
Auxerre
1.45
Niort
1.58
Orleans
1.61
Sochaux
1.63
Valenciennes
1.68
Rouen
1.74
Tours
1.79
Bourg Peronnas
2.29
Lorient is 0.26 goals worse than Paris FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lorient
For 3.5 · Against 4.4 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Paris FC
For 4.0 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Lorient
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.9
10.1
3.6
3.7
3.5
22.4
21.8
23.0
vs Stronger (5)
10.2
12.5
8.7
2.8
3.0
2.7
23.2
20.5
25.0
vs Similar (18)
10.4
9.9
11.0
3.4
3.2
3.6
21.2
21.5
21.0
vs Weaker (27)
9.7
9.6
9.8
3.9
4.1
3.8
23.2
22.8
24.0
% over line
48%
46%
50%
48%
54%
42%
63%
60%
67%
% under line
52%
54%
50%
52%
46%
58%
37%
40%
33%
This opponent (Paris FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paris FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.2
8.7
2.7
2.4
3.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
9.7
8.6
11.0
2.0
1.9
2.1
-
-
-
vs Weaker (36)
8.7
9.5
7.9
3.0
2.6
3.4
-
-
-
% over line
39%
44%
33%
38%
32%
44%
-
-
-
% under line
61%
56%
67%
62%
68%
56%
-
-
-
This opponent (Lorient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Chateauroux
11.2
Le Havre
11.2
Rouen
10.9
Sochaux
10.5
Reims
10.4
Stade Brestois 29
10.4
Lorient
10.0
Auxerre
10.0
Clermont Foot
9.9
Niort
9.7
Orleans
9.7
Valenciennes
9.5
Nimes
9.5
Lens
9.5
Nancy
9.3
Tours
9.1
Paris FC
9.0
Bourg Peronnas
9.0
Ajaccio
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nimes
5.4
Orleans
4.6
Niort
4.5
Rouen
4.4
Paris FC
4.4
Ajaccio
4.3
Lens
4.2
Nancy
4.0
Valenciennes
4.0
Tours
4.0
Stade Brestois 29
4.0
Reims
3.9
Bourg Peronnas
3.9
Sochaux
3.8
Auxerre
3.8
Clermont Foot
3.7
Le Havre
3.6
Lorient
3.6
Chateauroux
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reims
28.5
Nancy
24.9
Lorient
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.9%
Under 9.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.2%
Under 3.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lorient
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.70
1.00
0.60
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
0.65
0.45
0.50
0.20
0.80
0.70
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paris FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.30
0.73
0.27
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.33
0.60
0.40
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (21)
0.67
0.29
0.80
0.20
0.55
0.36
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Lorient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lorient over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lorient
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.70
1.13
0.53
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.70
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (20)
1.05
0.70
1.30
0.40
0.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paris FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.67
0.60
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
1.00
0.40
1.20
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (21)
0.71
0.43
0.80
0.30
0.64
0.55
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Lorient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lorient over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lorient · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng44%
Pablo Pagis28%
Aiyegun Tosin18%
Noah Cadiou13%
Jean-Victor Makengo11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Sambou Soumano9%
Théo Le Bris6%
Karim Dermane6%
Arthur Avom Ebong6%
Arsène Kouassi6%
Panos Katseris6%
Igor Silva5%
Laurent Abergel3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Montassar Talbi0%
Darlin Yongwa0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Bamo Meïté0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoulaye Faye42%
Laurent Abergel27%
Bamo Meïté21%
Panos Katseris17%
Darlin Yongwa16%
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng16%
Mohamed Bamba16%
Arsène Kouassi15%
Bingourou Kamara14%
Montassar Talbi13%
Arthur Avom Ebong12%
Noah Cadiou6%
Sambou Soumano6%
Karim Dermane6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Igor Silva5%
Aiyegun Tosin4%
Pablo Pagis3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Théo Le Bris0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arsène Kouassi18%
Pablo Pagis12%
Panos Katseris11%
Igor Silva11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Bamo Meïté10%
Théo Le Bris9%
Sambou Soumano6%
Karim Dermane6%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Darlin Yongwa4%
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng4%
Noah Cadiou3%
Montassar Talbi3%
Arthur Avom Ebong3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Laurent Abergel0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Aiyegun Tosin0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng32%
Pablo Pagis25%
Aiyegun Tosin11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Arthur Avom Ebong6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Nathaniel Adjei6%
Noah Cadiou3%
Sambou Soumano3%
Igor Silva0%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Laurent Abergel0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Montassar Talbi0%
Darlin Yongwa0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Théo Le Bris0%
Bamo Meïté0%
Karim Dermane0%
Panos Katseris0%
Arsène Kouassi0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Paris FC · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilan Kebbal26%
Marshall Munetsi25%
Lohann Doucet20%
Willem Geubbels19%
Luca Koleosho17%
Alimami Gory16%
Ciro Immobile15%
Jonathan Ikoné15%
Nouha Dicko12%
Moses Simon10%
Rudy Matondo8%
Vincent Marchetti8%
Jean-Philippe Krasso8%
Samir Sophian Chergui7%
Pierre Lees Melou5%
Otávio4%
Adama Camara3%
Kevin Trapp0%
Maxime López0%
Hamari Traoré0%
Thibault De Smet0%
Julien López0%
Mathieu Cafaro0%
Timothée Kolodziejczak0%
Tuomas Ollila0%
Moustapha Mbow0%
Obed Nkambadio0%
Diego Coppola0%
Nhoa Sangui0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maxime López41%
Lohann Doucet40%
Thibault De Smet32%
Otávio29%
Pierre Lees Melou27%
Adama Camara25%
Ilan Kebbal23%
Hamari Traoré22%
Rudy Matondo17%
Ciro Immobile15%
Timothée Kolodziejczak15%
Moustapha Mbow15%
Alimami Gory12%
Jonathan Ikoné12%
Kevin Trapp9%
Mathieu Cafaro8%
Diego Coppola7%
Samir Sophian Chergui7%
Luca Koleosho6%
Vincent Marchetti4%
Willem Geubbels0%
Moses Simon0%
Marshall Munetsi0%
Nouha Dicko0%
Julien López0%
Jean-Philippe Krasso0%
Tuomas Ollila0%
Obed Nkambadio0%
Nhoa Sangui0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilan Kebbal16%
Ciro Immobile15%
Diego Coppola14%
Pierre Lees Melou14%
Nouha Dicko12%
Maxime López11%
Moses Simon10%
Jean-Philippe Krasso8%
Marshall Munetsi6%
Hamari Traoré6%
Luca Koleosho6%
Thibault De Smet5%
Alimami Gory4%
Vincent Marchetti4%
Jonathan Ikoné4%
Willem Geubbels4%
Moustapha Mbow3%
Kevin Trapp0%
Julien López0%
Samir Sophian Chergui0%
Mathieu Cafaro0%
Timothée Kolodziejczak0%
Tuomas Ollila0%
Adama Camara0%
Obed Nkambadio0%
Otávio0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Nhoa Sangui0%
Rudy Matondo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moses Simon14%
Ilan Kebbal13%
Marshall Munetsi12%
Jonathan Ikoné12%
Willem Geubbels11%
Mathieu Cafaro8%
Rudy Matondo8%
Ciro Immobile8%
Jean-Philippe Krasso8%
Pierre Lees Melou5%
Alimami Gory4%
Vincent Marchetti4%
Kevin Trapp0%
Maxime López0%
Hamari Traoré0%
Thibault De Smet0%
Nouha Dicko0%
Julien López0%
Samir Sophian Chergui0%
Timothée Kolodziejczak0%
Tuomas Ollila0%
Adama Camara0%
Moustapha Mbow0%
Obed Nkambadio0%
Otávio0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Diego Coppola0%
Luca Koleosho0%
Nhoa Sangui0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
REI (30)
€72m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
CF (21)
€15m
NAN (26)
€13m
SOC (20)
€7m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
ROU (14)
€3m
BP (8)
€1m
CHA (5)
€1m
Lorient's squad is €89m less valuable than Paris FC's (€87m vs €176m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
REI (12)
€38m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
LH (10)
€9m
NAN (9)
€5m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
BP (2)
€0m
CHA (1)
€0m
Lorient's attack is €40m less valuable than Paris FC's (€20m vs €59m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LOR (5)
€32m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
REI (6)
€13m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
CHA (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
BP (0)
€0m
Lorient's midfield is €22m less valuable than Paris FC's (€32m vs €54m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (14)
€112m
PF (17)
€62m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
REI (12)
€21m
SB2 (8)
€19m
CF (12)
€10m
NAN (11)
€6m
SOC (9)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
ROU (6)
€1m
BP (6)
€0m
CHA (2)
€0m
Lorient's defence is €28m less valuable than Paris FC's (€35m vs €62m).
France: Ligue 2 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Ajaccio
Reims
Nimes
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Clermont Foot
Chateauroux
Sochaux
Auxerre
Orleans
Valenciennes
Lens
Niort
Nancy
Bourg Peronnas
Rouen
Tours