Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Result & Analysis

The clash between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Hapoel Beer Sheva is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities are 36% for Maccabi, 30% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel, making the home side the most likely victor. The average number of goals is 2.5, with the most probable total being two goals at 27%. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 14.1% chance. Maccabi, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 2.33 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Hapoel, on the road, averages 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 87.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.8%, Under 25.5 fouls at 76.9%, Under 3.5 at 75.9%, Under 10.5 corners at 73.8%, Over 3.5 cards at 73.7%, Over 1.5 at 72.4% (missed) and Over 19.5 fouls at 70.3%. Both teams are coming off wins, with Maccabi’s last match a 3-1 victory over Maccabi Haifa and Hapoel’s a 2-1 win over Hapoel Ramat Gan.

Maccabi Tel Aviv’s win extends their recent run, finishing the match 1-0 to secure a home victory. The model’s pre-match favourite was a Home win at 36%, and it proved correct. The selection Over 2.5 cards hit at 87.7% probability, while Under 11.5 corners, Under 25.5 fouls, Under 3.5, Under 10.5 corners, Over 3.5 cards, and Over 19.5 fouls all performed as expected, each hitting at their stated probabilities of 82.8%, 76.9%, 75.9%, 73.8%, 73.7%, and 70.3%. The only miss was Over 1.5, which fell short of the 72.4% chance. Overall, the model’s predictions largely came through.