Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Result & Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv’s attacking output at home has been modest, averaging just 0.4 goals per match, while their defence has struggled, conceding 3.2. Hapoel Beer Sheva, on the road, has been more efficient, scoring 0.6 and conceding only 0.6 against similar opposition. The model therefore favours a home win, with a 39% chance, a draw at 26% and an away win at 35%. The expected total goals is 3.2, with the most likely total of three goals occurring 22% of the time. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with an 11.6% chance. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 96.4%, Over 21.5 fouls at 91.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 91.2%, Over 23.5 fouls at 83.5%, Over 1.5 at 83.4%, Over 3.5 cards at 80.0%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.3% and Over 25.5 fouls at 71.9%. Both sides have recently come off wins, with Maccabi Tel Aviv’s last match a 3-1 victory over Maccabi Haifa and Hapoel Beer Sheva’s last a 2-1 win over Hapoel Ramat Gan.

The upset came as Hapoel Beer Sheva snatched a 3-1 victory, extending their recent winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Maccabi Tel Aviv, had a 39% chance of triumph, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 96.4%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 91.6%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 91.2%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 83.5%, Over 1.5 hit at 83.4%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 80.0%, Under 11.5 corners missed at 76.3%, and Over 25.5 fouls hit at 71.9%. The final score of 1-3 confirmed the away win, leaving the model’s prediction off the mark.