The contest between Manisa F.K. and Bodrum FK is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are almost even: a 39% chance of a Manisa victory, 27% for a draw, and 33% that Bodrum will take the win. The average number of goals expected is 2.8, but the most likely total is 2, with a 25% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13% chance. Manisa, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened side, averages 2.36 goals scored and 0.79 conceded, while Bodrum, on the road, averages 1.33 scored and 1.08 conceded. Suggested picks from the model include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (97.5% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.1% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.4% with a 7% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.3% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.0% with a 5% edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (93.7% with a 3% edge). Both sides have recently drawn their last matches, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.
Results analysis
The 0-0 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Manisa F.K., who had been unbeaten in their last five games and were tipped to win with a 41% probability. The model’s call was wrong. The final score of 0-0 matched the actual result. The model’s selections performed impressively: Under 7.5 hit at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.4%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.3%, and Home under 3.5 goals hit at 93.1%. All eight selections were settled, each achieving a hit.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manisa F.K. win✗ Miss
40.7%
Avg Implied 40.4% · @ 2.25
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.35
William Hil
2.30
Dafabet
2.29
Unibet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Draw✓ Hit
27.2%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.28
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.55
Dafabet
3.35
Betano
3.35
Superbet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Bodrum FK win✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied 31.8% · @ 2.86
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Betano
2.92
Pinnacle
2.92
10Bet
2.90
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manisa F.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.33
2.20
0.80
1.20
1.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.76
1.34
2.36
0.79
1.20
1.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodrum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodrum FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.07
1.18
1.00
1.46
1.15
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.19
1.15
1.07
1.13
1.33
1.17
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.33
2.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.1%
@ 1.27+6.3%
Under 1.5
20.9%
@ 3.41-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.61
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.5%
@ 1.88+4.9%
Under 2.5
45.5%
@ 1.85-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
@ 3.15+2.8%
Under 3.5
67.8%
@ 1.31-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.29
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Under
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.9%
@ 1.69+4.3%
No
41.1%
@ 2.03-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
William Hil
1.70
No
Betfair
2.05
10Bet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Betano
2.05
BetVictor
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 5.93+5.4%
2-1
8.9%@ 8.34+3.6%
1-2
7.8%@ 9.60+3.2%
1-0
7.6%@ 7.58+1.8%
0-0 ✓
6.9%@ 9.18+2.1%
2-0
6.7%@ 10.54+2.5%
0-1
6.5%@ 8.67+1.4%
2-2
5.9%@ 12.03+2.3%
Manisa F.K. goals ↓
Bodrum FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
6.5%
5.1%
2.3%
0.8%
1
7.6%
13%
7.8%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.7%
8.9%
5.9%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.4%
4.5%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.7%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manisa F.K. goals (down), columns = Bodrum FK goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Manisa F.K. is 0.80 points better than Bodrum FK in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Manisa F.K. is 1.60 goals better than Bodrum FK in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Manisa F.K. is 0.80 goals worse than Bodrum FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 0.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Manisa F.K. is 8.8 percentage points better than Bodrum FK in terms of average possession (55% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manisa F.K.
For 3.7 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.7 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bodrum FK
For 4.9 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 12.7 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manisa F.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.5
8.7
4.8
5.0
4.6
23.7
24.0
23.3
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
8.0
8.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
25.3
31.0
22.5
vs Similar (47)
8.7
8.6
8.8
4.8
5.0
4.7
23.6
23.7
23.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
42%
42%
70%
80%
60%
62%
62%
62%
% under line
58%
58%
58%
30%
20%
40%
38%
38%
38%
This opponent (Bodrum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodrum FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
7.8
9.7
3.6
3.7
3.5
23.8
24.6
23.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
8.8
7.8
9.7
3.6
3.8
3.4
24.4
25.6
23.1
vs Weaker (7)
8.3
7.3
9.3
3.6
3.0
4.0
20.7
18.7
22.7
% over line
37%
23%
52%
48%
50%
46%
67%
73%
62%
% under line
63%
77%
48%
52%
50%
54%
33%
27%
38%
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.5
Bodrum FK
9.3
Antalyaspor
9.2
Bandırmaspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Iğdır FK
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.8
Mardin 1969
8.8
Manisa F.K.
8.6
Pendikspor
8.5
İstanbulspor
8.4
Keçiörengücü
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Boluspor
8.2
Batman Petrolspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.9
Muğlaspor
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
6.7
Batman Petrolspor
6.5
Antalyaspor
5.3
Vanspor FK
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Pendikspor
5.1
Boluspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Manisa F.K.
4.9
Iğdır FK
4.8
Bandırmaspor
4.6
İstanbulspor
4.6
Keçiörengücü
4.6
Kayserispor
4.5
Bursaspor
4.4
Fatih Karagümrük
4.3
Ümraniyespor
4.2
Bodrum FK
4.1
Mardin 1969
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
33.0
Bursaspor
29.1
Fatih Karagümrük
28.8
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.2
Pendikspor
26.8
Batman Petrolspor
25.8
Boluspor
25.7
Kayserispor
24.9
Bandırmaspor
24.1
Bodrum FK
24.0
Sarıyer
23.6
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Keçiörengücü
23.5
Iğdır FK
23.5
Sivasspor
23.4
İstanbulspor
23.3
Ümraniyespor
23.1
Mardin 1969
23.0
Esenler Erokspor
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.8%
@ 2.02-0.9%
Under 9.5
55.2%
@ 1.71+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.01
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Bet365
1.67
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.7%
Under 3.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
62.5%
Under 21.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Manisa F.K. or Draw✓ Hit
67.9%
Avg Implied 68.4% · @ 1.34
Edge
-0.5%
41%
27%
32%
covers Manisa F.K. + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Manisa F.K. or Bodrum FK✗ Miss
72.8%
Avg Implied 72.2% · @ 1.27
Edge
+0.6%
41%
27%
32%
covers Manisa F.K. + Bodrum FK
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Draw or Bodrum FK✓ Hit
59.3%
Avg Implied 59.4% · @ 1.55
Edge
-0.1%
41%
27%
32%
covers Draw + Bodrum FK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.3%
@ 1.24+3.6%
Under
21.7%
@ 3.65-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
3.81
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Superbet
3.60
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.1%
@ 2.19+2.8%
Under
54.9%
@ 1.61-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Betfair
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Under
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.8%
@ 4.82+0.6%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.15-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.75
Superbet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Manisa F.K. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 10.31-2.2%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.03+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
9.50
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bodrum FK over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.7%
@ 1.32+3.6%
Under
26.3%
@ 3.10-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.10
Betano
3.05
Bodrum FK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.6%
@ 2.57+2.6%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.44-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.69
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Under
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Betfair
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Bodrum FK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 5.97-0.4%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.09+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Bodrum FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 14.75-1.8%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.02+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Manisa F.K., so a minus line means Manisa F.K. give that many goals of a start and Bodrum FK receive them. At -1, Manisa F.K. must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Manisa F.K. win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Manisa F.K.)Actual: Bodrum FK
Manisa F.K. -2
8.2%
@ 9.63-1.2%
Draw -2
12.5%
@ 6.63-1.0%
Bodrum FK +2
79.3%
@ 1.17+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.90
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Away
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Handicap -1 (Manisa F.K.)Actual: Bodrum FK
Manisa F.K. -1
20.7%
@ 4.22+0.1%
Draw -1
20.0%
@ 3.77-3.0%
Bodrum FK +1
59.3%
@ 1.54+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.75
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.30
Away
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.51
Unibet
1.46
Handicap +1 (Manisa F.K.)Actual: Manisa F.K.
Manisa F.K. +1
67.9%
@ 1.36+4.3%
Draw +1
17.4%
@ 4.23-3.1%
Bodrum FK -1
14.7%
@ 5.44-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.65
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
5.65
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.60
Handicap +2 (Manisa F.K.)Actual: Manisa F.K.
Manisa F.K. +2
85.3%
@ 1.10+5.3%
Draw +2
9.6%
@ 7.12-2.8%
Bodrum FK -2
5.2%
@ 11.55-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
13.00
Marathonbet
6.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manisa F.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
0.93
0.53
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.83
0.66
1.00
0.50
0.67
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodrum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodrum FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.59
0.59
0.62
0.23
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.48
0.53
0.67
0.67
0.25
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.9%
@ 1.37+0.3%
Under 0.5
32.1%
@ 2.86-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.07
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
2.90
Superbet
2.82
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.5%
@ 2.71+3.4%
Under 1.5
62.5%
@ 1.40-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.86
Betano
2.80
William Hil
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 6.58-0.2%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.08+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Under
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.7%
@ 1.96+4.4%
Under
48.3%
@ 1.76-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.91
Under
1xBet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 5.97-1.0%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.09+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.00
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 10.50-5.6%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bodrum FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.6%
@ 2.18+1.3%
Under
56.4%
@ 1.60-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Bodrum FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 7.17-2.6%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.06+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.10
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Bodrum FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 11.25-6.0%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manisa F.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
1.27
0.27
0.53
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.93
0.69
1.36
0.29
0.53
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodrum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodrum FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.59
0.41
0.85
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.67
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
76.3%
@ 1.22+0.8%
Under 0.5
23.7%
@ 3.77-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.75
William Hil
3.75
Marathonbet
3.70
Superbet
3.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.9%
@ 2.08+0.2%
Under 1.5
55.1%
@ 1.68-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
William Hil
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.07
Under
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.8%
@ 4.32-4.6%
Under 2.5
83.2%
@ 1.17+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.3%
@ 1.67-0.8%
Under
45.7%
@ 2.06+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.8%
@ 4.16-2.3%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.18+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 8.50-6.3%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.04+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bodrum FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.6%
@ 1.84+0.4%
Under
49.4%
@ 1.85-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.82
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
Bodrum FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.4%
@ 5.03-1.9%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.13+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.15
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Bodrum FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 9.75-5.0%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.9%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.06
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.08
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.5%
1.09
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.3%
1.10
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
84.9%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Superbet
1.09
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.8%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.6%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.17
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.18
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.2%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
79.3%
1.17
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.1%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
+6.3%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
+3.6%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.6%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.3%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
+0.8%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
73.7%
1.32
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
+3.6%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.8%
1.27
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.28
+0.6%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manisa F.K.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julien Anziani67%
Yusuf Talum33%
Y. Benrahou0%
B. Touré0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
K. Yurdakul0%
C. Sylla0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Y. Benrahou33%
B. Touré33%
K. Yurdakul33%
Julien Anziani0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
Yusuf Talum0%
C. Sylla0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Y. Benrahou33%
C. Sylla33%
B. Touré0%
Julien Anziani0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
Yusuf Talum0%
K. Yurdakul0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julien Anziani67%
Y. Benrahou0%
B. Touré0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
Yusuf Talum0%
K. Yurdakul0%
C. Sylla0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
Bodrum FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ali Aytemur0%
Diogo Sousa0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Ege Bilsel0%
B. Yavuzay0%
Enes Koc0%
Yusuf Sertkaya0%
Ali Habeşoğlu0%
Ege Arslan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emre Kaplan33%
B. Yavuzay33%
Ali Aytemur0%
Diogo Sousa0%
Ege Bilsel0%
Enes Koc0%
Yusuf Sertkaya0%
Ali Habeşoğlu0%
Ege Arslan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ali Aytemur0%
Diogo Sousa0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Ege Bilsel0%
B. Yavuzay0%
Enes Koc0%
Yusuf Sertkaya0%
Ali Habeşoğlu0%
Ege Arslan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ege Bilsel33%
Ali Habeşoğlu33%
Ali Aytemur0%
Diogo Sousa0%
Emre Kaplan0%
B. Yavuzay0%
Enes Koc0%
Yusuf Sertkaya0%
Ege Arslan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Manisa F.K.'s squad is €4m less valuable than Bodrum FK's (€9m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Manisa F.K.'s attack is €3m less valuable than Bodrum FK's (€2m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Manisa F.K. and Bodrum FK have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Manisa F.K. and Bodrum FK have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Antalyaspor
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor