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Mantova vs Spezia Result & Analysis

Date: 23/11/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 4-1
Mantova
Mantova
Vs
24%
29%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spezia
Spezia
Italy: Serie B
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mantova win✓ Hit
24.1%
Avg Implied 34.0% · @ 2.71
Edge
-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.07
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spezia win✗ Miss
47.2%
Avg Implied 36.0% · @ 2.56
Edge
+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MantovaMantova

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L13L15L12L00D11D01L13L10W10WA·VIR14/09H·MOD20/09H·FRO27/09A·JUV30/09A·AVE04/10H·SUD18/10A·BAR26/10H·CAT29/10A·SAM02/11H·PAD08/11
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.601.271.531.001.67
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.231.541.361.431.081.67
vs Weaker (2)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Spezia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpeziaSpezia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D13L02L11D12L12L40W11D01L11DA·EMP14/09H·JUV20/09A·VEN27/09A·REG30/09H·PAL04/10H·CES18/10A·AVE25/10H·PAD29/10A·MON02/11H·BAR07/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.271.351.471.151.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.231.351.311.691.151.00
vs Weaker (4)1.500.751.500.75--
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.7%
@ 2.12+1.1%
Under 2.5
55.3%
@ 1.64-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.5%
Under 3.5
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
9.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.6%
Mantova goals ↓
Spezia goals →
01234
09.7%11%9.3%4.6%1.7%
17.2%14%9.2%4.5%1.7%
24.2%6.1%4.5%2.2%0.8%
31.4%2.0%1.5%0.7%0.3%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mantova goals (down), columns = Spezia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Venezia
2.16
Frosinone
2.13
Monza
1.98
Palermo
1.88
Catanzaro
1.58
Modena
1.41
Juve Stabia
1.34
Avellino
1.26
Cesena
1.21
Padova
1.21
Mantova
1.21
Sampdoria
1.16
Carrarese
1.16
Virtus Entella
1.11
Empoli
1.08
Sudtirol
1.07
Bari
1.05
Reggiana
0.97
Spezia
0.92
Pescara
0.92
Mantova is 0.29 points better than Spezia in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 0.92).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Venezia
2.03
Frosinone
2.00
Catanzaro
1.63
Monza
1.60
Palermo
1.57
Pescara
1.34
Modena
1.26
Carrarese
1.24
Empoli
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Mantova
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.17
Spezia
1.13
Avellino
1.10
Padova
1.03
Sudtirol
0.95
Bari
0.95
Virtus Entella
0.95
Reggiana
0.95
Sampdoria
0.92
Mantova is 0.05 goals better than Spezia in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Venezia
0.82
Monza
0.88
Frosinone
0.89
Palermo
0.90
Modena
0.95
Juve Stabia
1.20
Sudtirol
1.20
Sampdoria
1.26
Catanzaro
1.28
Padova
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.34
Carrarese
1.37
Empoli
1.42
Cesena
1.47
Reggiana
1.47
Avellino
1.49
Bari
1.50
Mantova
1.50
Spezia
1.55
Pescara
1.74
Mantova is 0.05 goals better than Spezia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.55).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Venezia
64%
Mantova
57%
Catanzaro
54%
Juve Stabia
53%
Monza
52%
Pescara
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Carrarese
51%
Modena
50%
Avellino
50%
Cesena
50%
Frosinone
50%
Palermo
49%
Spezia
48%
Empoli
48%
Padova
48%
Virtus Entella
46%
Bari
46%
Reggiana
41%
Sudtirol
41%
Mantova is 9.0 percentage points better than Spezia in terms of average possession (57% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MantovaMantova

For 5.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

17062611952352784464410478171457158101411H·PADA·SAMH·CATA·BARH·SUDA·AVEA·JUVH·FROH·MODA·VIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

702321252133232243335237455663H·PADA·SAMH·CATA·BARH·SUDA·AVEA·JUVH·FROH·MODA·VIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 17.6 · Total 31.2

⚠️ Fouls

400817121814181624257131316201622111652125303240322636382726H·PADA·SAMH·CATA·BARH·SUDA·AVEA·JUVH·FROH·MODA·VIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SpeziaSpezia

For 4.5 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

16041218336764555227637216961310107999H·BARA·MONH·PADA·AVEH·CESH·PALA·REGA·VENH·JUVA·EMP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

7052241613141325313237674547435H·BARA·MONH·PADA·AVEH·CESH·PALA·REGA·VENH·JUVA·EMP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 17.5 · Total 33.7

⚠️ Fouls

41015111818171618121920131791620191325202126363330393025393841H·BARA·MONH·PADA·AVEH·CESH·PALA·REGA·VENH·JUVA·EMP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MantovaMantova

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.08.69.55.35.45.234.435.633.2
vs Stronger (3)8.36.09.54.03.04.531.730.032.5
vs Similar (43)9.38.99.75.65.75.434.536.132.7
vs Weaker (4)6.76.57.04.04.04.035.532.538.5
% over line43%36%50%84%84%84%98%100%96%
% under line57%64%50%16%16%16%2%0%4%
This opponent (Spezia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpeziaSpezia

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.39.05.86.25.434.635.833.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (42)8.98.59.25.96.55.335.036.633.3
vs Weaker (8)10.812.67.75.44.86.332.932.433.7
% over line44%50%38%90%85%96%98%96%100%
% under line56%50%62%10%15%4%2%4%0%
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Virtus Entella
10.3
Palermo
10.3
Padova
10.2
Pescara
9.7
Carrarese
9.6
Avellino
9.6
Empoli
9.5
Venezia
9.5
Sudtirol
9.4
Frosinone
9.4
Bari
9.2
Spezia
9.2
Juve Stabia
9.1
Mantova
9.0
Sampdoria
9.0
Catanzaro
8.8
Modena
8.8
Reggiana
8.8
Monza
8.6
Cesena
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Spezia
5.8
Reggiana
5.5
Carrarese
5.4
Sampdoria
5.3
Mantova
5.3
Juve Stabia
5.3
Padova
5.2
Bari
5.1
Cesena
5.1
Modena
5.1
Catanzaro
5.0
Frosinone
4.9
Pescara
4.9
Palermo
4.7
Virtus Entella
4.7
Sudtirol
4.6
Avellino
4.5
Venezia
4.3
Empoli
4.2
Monza
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Spezia
34.6
Mantova
34.4
Juve Stabia
34.3
Avellino
32.5
Frosinone
31.8
Padova
31.1
Sampdoria
31.0
Reggiana
30.8
Virtus Entella
30.5
Sudtirol
30.4
Pescara
30.2
Bari
30.0
Palermo
29.7
Cesena
29.6
Catanzaro
29.6
Modena
28.7
Monza
28.6
Carrarese
28.5
Empoli
28.5
Venezia
27.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MantovaMantova

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L04L02L00D01L00D10W00D00DA·VIR14/09H·MOD20/09H·FRO27/09A·JUV30/09A·AVE04/10H·SUD18/10A·BAR26/10H·CAT29/10A·SAM02/11H·PAD08/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.830.470.730.400.93
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.460.810.500.710.420.92
vs Weaker (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Spezia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpeziaSpezia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L10W01L12L00D10W00D11DA·EMP14/09H·JUV20/09A·VEN27/09A·REG30/09H·PAL04/10H·CES18/10A·AVE25/10H·PAD29/10A·MON02/11H·BAR07/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.530.880.540.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.420.770.311.080.540.46
vs Weaker (4)1.250.251.250.25--
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mantova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MantovaMantova

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D10W00D10W01L03L10W10WA·VIR14/09H·MOD20/09H·FRO27/09A·JUV30/09A·AVE04/10H·SUD18/10A·BAR26/10H·CAT29/10A·SAM02/11H·PAD08/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.800.800.600.73
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.770.730.860.710.670.75
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Spezia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpeziaSpezia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D01L01L11D00D40W01L01L00DA·EMP14/09H·JUV20/09A·VEN27/09A·REG30/09H·PAL04/10H·CES18/10A·AVE25/10H·PAD29/10A·MON02/11H·BAR07/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.820.590.620.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.810.581.000.620.620.54
vs Weaker (4)0.250.500.250.50--
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mantova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Mantova
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Meroni25%
Francesco Ruocco23%
Leonardo Mancuso22%
Davide Bragantini22%
Tommaso Marras20%
Antonio Fiori18%
Davis Mensah10%
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia8%
Federico Artioli7%
Rachid Kouda7%
Nicolò Buso6%
Stefano Cella6%
David Wieser4%
Simone Trimboli3%
Marco Festa0%
Francesco Bardi0%
César Falletti0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Žan Majer0%
Francesco Galuppini0%
Cristiano Bani0%
Nicholas Bonfanti0%
Tommaso Maggioni0%
Tiago Gonçalves0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Ali Dembélé0%
Nicolò Radaelli0%
Maat Daniel Caprini0%
Alessio Castellini0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristiano Bani44%
Nicolò Radaelli43%
Rachid Kouda33%
Simone Trimboli32%
Ali Dembélé29%
Andrea Meroni25%
Žan Majer25%
Flavio Paoletti24%
Tiago Gonçalves22%
Stefano Cella17%
Alessio Castellini17%
Federico Zuccon17%
Francesco Ruocco15%
David Wieser15%
Federico Artioli14%
Davis Mensah13%
Valerio Mantovani12%
Maat Daniel Caprini12%
Francesco Galuppini11%
Antonio Fiori9%
Davide Bragantini9%
Nicholas Bonfanti8%
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia8%
Nicolò Buso6%
Francesco Bardi5%
César Falletti5%
Tommaso Marras3%
Leonardo Mancuso3%
Marco Festa0%
Tommaso Maggioni0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia15%
Nicolò Radaelli14%
Simone Trimboli14%
Nicolò Buso12%
César Falletti10%
Federico Artioli7%
Rachid Kouda7%
Alessio Castellini6%
Davide Bragantini4%
Francesco Ruocco4%
David Wieser4%
Tommaso Marras3%
Davis Mensah3%
Tommaso Maggioni3%
Andrea Meroni0%
Marco Festa0%
Francesco Bardi0%
Leonardo Mancuso0%
Stefano Cella0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Žan Majer0%
Francesco Galuppini0%
Cristiano Bani0%
Nicholas Bonfanti0%
Tiago Gonçalves0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Antonio Fiori0%
Ali Dembélé0%
Maat Daniel Caprini0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tommaso Marras23%
Leonardo Mancuso19%
Nicholas Bonfanti17%
Francesco Ruocco12%
Antonio Fiori9%
Davide Bragantini9%
Federico Artioli7%
Rachid Kouda7%
Maat Daniel Caprini6%
Nicolò Buso6%
Alessio Castellini6%
Simone Trimboli5%
Flavio Paoletti4%
Nicolò Radaelli4%
Andrea Meroni0%
Marco Festa0%
Francesco Bardi0%
César Falletti0%
Stefano Cella0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Žan Majer0%
Davis Mensah0%
Francesco Galuppini0%
Cristiano Bani0%
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia0%
Tommaso Maggioni0%
David Wieser0%
Tiago Gonçalves0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Ali Dembélé0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Spezia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico36%
Gianluca Lapadula32%
Mattia Valoti25%
Giuseppe Aurelio20%
Giuseppe Di Serio11%
Vanja Vlahović9%
Giovanni Bonfanti8%
Salvatore Esposito8%
Filippo Bandinelli6%
Pietro Beruatto6%
Rachid Kouda6%
Edoardo Soleri5%
Leonardo Sernicola5%
Luca Vignali3%
Ádám Nagy0%
Antonio Candela0%
Francesco Cassata0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Aleš Matějů0%
Petko Hristov0%
Boris Radunović0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Daniele Verde0%
Alessandro Bellemo0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Marco Ruggero0%
Emanuele Adamo0%
Laurs Skjellerup0%
Alessandro Romano0%
Pietro Candelari0%
Diego Mascardi0%
Christian Comotto0%
Fellipe Jack0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Francesco Cassata41%
Salvatore Esposito38%
Filippo Bandinelli38%
Fellipe Jack38%
Alessandro Bellemo27%
Giovanni Bonfanti25%
Aleš Matějů23%
Marco Ruggero22%
Alessandro Romano21%
Mattia Valoti19%
Emanuele Adamo19%
Petko Hristov17%
Luca Vignali17%
Laurs Skjellerup17%
Ádám Nagy15%
Giuseppe Di Serio15%
Pietro Beruatto15%
Pietro Candelari14%
Rachid Kouda12%
Andrea Cistana11%
Leonardo Sernicola10%
Przemysław Wiśniewski10%
Christian Comotto10%
Gabriele Artistico9%
Giuseppe Aurelio6%
Antonio Candela5%
Gianluca Lapadula5%
Edoardo Soleri5%
Boris Radunović0%
Daniele Verde0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Vanja Vlahović0%
Diego Mascardi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniele Verde17%
Giovanni Bonfanti17%
Salvatore Esposito15%
Mattia Valoti12%
Pietro Beruatto12%
Gianluca Lapadula11%
Leonardo Sernicola10%
Alessandro Bellemo9%
Vanja Vlahović9%
Giuseppe Aurelio9%
Ádám Nagy7%
Rachid Kouda6%
Antonio Candela5%
Alessandro Romano5%
Francesco Cassata5%
Giuseppe Di Serio4%
Luca Vignali3%
Aleš Matějů3%
Christian Comotto3%
Gabriele Artistico3%
Filippo Bandinelli0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Petko Hristov0%
Boris Radunović0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Edoardo Soleri0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Marco Ruggero0%
Emanuele Adamo0%
Laurs Skjellerup0%
Pietro Candelari0%
Diego Mascardi0%
Fellipe Jack0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giovanni Bonfanti17%
Mattia Valoti12%
Gianluca Lapadula11%
Edoardo Soleri11%
Salvatore Esposito8%
Vanja Vlahović4%
Aleš Matějů3%
Giuseppe Aurelio3%
Ádám Nagy0%
Leonardo Sernicola0%
Filippo Bandinelli0%
Antonio Candela0%
Luca Vignali0%
Francesco Cassata0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Petko Hristov0%
Boris Radunović0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Daniele Verde0%
Alessandro Bellemo0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Giuseppe Di Serio0%
Marco Ruggero0%
Emanuele Adamo0%
Laurs Skjellerup0%
Rachid Kouda0%
Alessandro Romano0%
Pietro Candelari0%
Diego Mascardi0%
Christian Comotto0%
Fellipe Jack0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
MON (29)
€70m
PAL (27)
€54m
SAM (27)
€37m
MOD (28)
€31m
CES (32)
€28m
AVE (27)
€26m
PAD (31)
€25m
MAN (32)
€24m
SUD (27)
€21m
CAT (30)
€21m
EMP (27)
€20m
CAR (22)
€15m
JS (33)
€13m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
REG (27)
€8m
BAR (22)
€8m
Mantova's squad is €13m more valuable than Spezia's (€24m vs €11m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
PAL (7)
€23m
SAM (7)
€14m
MAN (12)
€12m
CAT (15)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
CES (10)
€10m
MOD (9)
€7m
PAD (9)
€6m
AVE (10)
€6m
CAR (5)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
SUD (5)
€3m
JS (8)
€2m
BAR (6)
€2m
REG (6)
€1m
Mantova's attack is €9m more valuable than Spezia's (€12m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
PAL (7)
€12m
MOD (9)
€11m
SUD (10)
€11m
AVE (6)
€9m
SAM (6)
€7m
PAD (9)
€7m
MAN (10)
€6m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
JS (11)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BAR (6)
€3m
CAR (7)
€2m
REG (9)
€2m
CAT (2)
€2m
PES (6)
€1m
Mantova's midfield is €2m more valuable than Spezia's (€6m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
PAL (13)
€19m
SAM (14)
€17m
MOD (10)
€12m
CES (13)
€12m
PAD (13)
€12m
AVE (11)
€11m
CAT (13)
€8m
SUD (12)
€8m
CAR (10)
€8m
MAN (10)
€7m
JS (14)
€6m
REG (12)
€4m
EMP (9)
€4m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
BAR (10)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Mantova's defence is €3m more valuable than Spezia's (€7m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
MAN wins
2
Draws
0
SPE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mantova vs Spezia · H/A from MAN
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/25HMAN Vs Spezia2-2
26/12/24ASpezia Vs MAN1-1

MantovaMantova

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25HMAN Vs Padova1-0
02/11/25ASampdoria Vs MAN0-1
29/10/25HMAN Vs Catanzaro1-3
26/10/25ABari Vs MAN1-0
18/10/25HMAN Vs Sudtirol1-1
04/10/25AAvellino Vs MAN0-0
30/09/25AJuve Stabia Vs MAN2-1
27/09/25HMAN Vs Frosinone1-5
20/09/25HMAN Vs Modena1-3
14/09/25AVirtus Entella Vs MAN1-0

SpeziaSpezia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/25HSPE Vs Bari1-1
02/11/25AMonza Vs SPE1-0
29/10/25HSPE Vs Padova1-1
25/10/25AAvellino Vs SPE0-4
18/10/25HSPE Vs Cesena1-2
04/10/25HSPE Vs Palermo1-2
30/09/25AReggiana Vs SPE1-1
27/09/25AVenezia Vs SPE2-0
20/09/25HSPE Vs Juve Stabia1-3
14/09/25AEmpoli Vs SPE1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mantova
Mantova
Italy: Serie B
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW1.10
HomeLLDLW1.52
AwayLLDLW0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%40%12%
AVG goals2.602.522.68
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.121.241.00
Conceded1.481.281.68
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet22%36%8%
Corners9.048.569.54
Cards5.345.445.24
Spezia
Spezia
Italy: Serie B
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLD1.46
HomeLLLDD1.54
AwayDLDWL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%29%
AVG goals2.382.732.00
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %38%50%25%
Over 3.5 %24%31%17%
Scored1.401.581.21
Conceded0.981.150.79
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet38%31%46%
Corners9.169.279.04
Cards5.826.195.42

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MonzaMonza4283
57%
2.0
6737+30
2.5
74%
48%
21%
9.1
40%
4.5
63%
27.9
88%
70
2624201.60.9
52%
2VeneziaVenezia3882
63%
2.2
7731+46
2.8
89%
58%
32%
9.2
47%
4.4
71%
30.2
92%
117
3931472.00.8
64%
3FrosinoneFrosinone3881
61%
2.1
7634+42
2.9
84%
61%
37%
10.2
61%
4.9
76%
30.5
97%
84
3427242.00.9
50%
4PalermoPalermo4075
52%
1.9
6336+27
2.5
75%
45%
20%
9.5
50%
5.0
74%
28.3
90%
54
2312191.60.9
49%
5CatanzaroCatanzaro4368
42%
1.6
7055+15
2.9
84%
53%
37%
8.7
42%
4.9
65%
30.4
100%
21
12281.61.3
54%
6ModenaModena3955
38%
1.4
4937+12
2.2
74%
49%
10%
9.3
44%
4.6
66%
29.3
90%
31
711121.30.9
50%
7Juve StabiaJuve Stabia4155
29%
1.3
4849-1
2.4
73%
44%
24%
8.8
29%
5.0
74%
29.5
95%
13
2561.21.2
53%
8AvellinoAvellino3949
33%
1.3
4358-15
2.6
77%
46%
23%
9.3
51%
5.0
69%
30.8
97%
26
69111.11.5
50%
9PadovaPadova3846
32%
1.2
3949-10
2.3
61%
39%
21%
9.8
53%
4.8
74%
28.6
97%
25
67121.01.3
48%
10CesenaCesena3846
32%
1.2
4556-11
2.7
79%
53%
29%
9.4
47%
4.1
58%
25.4
82%
28
105121.21.5
50%
11MantovaMantova3846
34%
1.2
4557-12
2.7
71%
53%
26%
9.8
50%
5.3
82%
32.3
100%
24
12671.21.5
57%
12CarrareseCarrarese3844
26%
1.2
4752-5
2.6
74%
50%
29%
10.5
68%
5.1
71%
28.5
87%
15
5281.21.4
51%
13SampdoriaSampdoria3844
29%
1.2
3548-13
2.2
63%
39%
16%
9.2
39%
4.8
70%
32.2
92%
37
147170.91.3
51%
14SudtirolSudtirol4043
20%
1.1
3848-10
2.1
68%
38%
18%
8.2
30%
4.0
54%
30.8
95%
21
31180.91.2
41%
15Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella3842
26%
1.1
3651-15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.9
63%
4.4
62%
29.5
95%
11
3620.91.3
46%
16BariBari4042
25%
1.1
3860-22
2.5
78%
50%
20%
9.4
50%
4.7
65%
29.0
85%
8
2330.91.5
46%
17EmpoliEmpoli3841
24%
1.1
4754-7
2.7
76%
47%
32%
10.0
55%
4.5
76%
30.4
92%
20
11641.21.4
48%
18ReggianaReggiana3837
24%
1.0
3656-20
2.4
68%
47%
26%
9.4
42%
4.5
66%
29.4
92%
8
1240.91.5
41%
19PescaraPescara3835
18%
0.9
5166-15
3.1
89%
63%
39%
10.5
63%
5.1
76%
31.3
95%
8
4131.31.7
51%
20SpeziaSpezia3835
21%
0.9
4359-16
2.7
76%
45%
29%
9.9
53%
5.4
82%
31.5
100%
11
3441.11.6
48%
Italy: Serie B 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches