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Milsami Orhei vs Zimbru Result & Analysis

Date: 18/03/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 0-3
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Vs
30%
37%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milsami Orhei win✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zimbru win✓ Hit
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L11D10W12L11D01L11D02L12LH·ZIM04/09A·SHE11/09A·DIN16/09H·CSF01/10A·PET08/10H·DAC15/10A·SFÎ23/10A·ZIM27/10H·SHE09/11A·PET11/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.951.161.001.110.901.20
vs Stronger (4)0.752.500.503.001.002.00
vs Similar (9)1.001.001.500.750.601.20
vs Weaker (6)1.000.500.670.331.330.67
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L33D00D21W20W21W00D11D10W00DA·MIL04/09H·SFÎ11/09A·SHE18/09H·DIN01/10A·CSF09/10H·PET16/10A·DAC22/10H·MIL27/10A·SFÎ09/11H·SFÎ11/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.131.501.750.710.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.001.001.331.000.671.00
vs Weaker (9)1.221.221.602.200.750.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%22%29%20%029%127%214%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
50.7%
Under 1.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
23.2%
Under 2.5
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
8.7%
Under 3.5
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
33.0%
No
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
20.4%
0-1
15.0%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
14.0%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
Milsami Orhei goals ↓
Zimbru goals →
01234
020%15%7.0%2.0%0.4%
114%14%5.6%1.6%0.3%
26.1%5.2%2.2%0.6%0.1%
31.6%1.4%0.6%0.2%0.0%
40.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Milsami Orhei goals (down), columns = Zimbru goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.38
Floreşti
2.17
Petrocub
2.00
Speranis Nisporeni
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.75
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.33
Zimbru
1.29
Milsami Orhei
1.17
Dinamo-Auto
1.11
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
0.92
Făleşti
0.00
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Real Succes
0.00
Sucleia
0.00
Milsami Orhei is 0.12 points worse than Zimbru in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Speranis Nisporeni
3.00
Văsieni
3.00
Floreşti
2.33
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Spartanii Selemet
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.67
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.62
Petrocub
1.50
Dinamo-Auto
1.33
Zimbru
1.12
Făleşti
1.00
Real Succes
1.00
Sucleia
1.00
Milsami Orhei
0.92
Sfîntul Gheorghe
0.92
CSF Bălți
0.75
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Milsami Orhei is 0.21 goals worse than Zimbru in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.38
Petrocub
0.71
Dacia-Buiucani
0.71
Floreşti
0.92
Speranis Nisporeni
1.00
Zimbru
1.08
CSF Bălți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.25
Dinamo-Auto
1.41
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.46
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.92
Victoria Bardar
2.69
Speranța Drochia
4.00
Făleşti
4.91
Sucleia
6.00
Real Succes
7.00
Milsami Orhei is 0.17 goals worse than Zimbru in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.08).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L01L00D10W00D00D00D01L10WH·ZIM04/09A·SHE11/09A·DIN16/09H·CSF01/10A·PET08/10H·DAC15/10A·SFÎ23/10A·ZIM27/10H·SHE09/11A·PET11/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.260.670.330.400.20
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.501.000.000.50
vs Similar (9)0.780.111.250.250.400.00
vs Weaker (6)0.330.170.000.000.670.33
Clean sheet %74% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L00D21W00D11D00D00D10W00DA·MIL04/09H·SFÎ11/09A·SHE18/09H·DIN01/10A·CSF09/10H·PET16/10A·DAC22/10H·MIL27/10A·SFÎ09/11H·SFÎ11/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.470.380.750.290.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.330.330.330.330.330.33
vs Weaker (9)0.330.560.401.000.250.00
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W10W02L11D01L11D01L02LH·ZIM04/09A·SHE11/09A·DIN16/09H·CSF01/10A·PET08/10H·DAC15/10A·SFÎ23/10A·ZIM27/10H·SHE09/11A·PET11/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.890.330.780.501.00
vs Stronger (4)0.501.750.002.001.001.50
vs Similar (9)0.220.890.250.500.201.20
vs Weaker (6)0.670.330.670.330.670.33
Clean sheet %42% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W00D00D20W10W00D11D00D00DA·MIL04/09H·SFÎ11/09A·SHE18/09H·DIN01/10A·CSF09/10H·PET16/10A·DAC22/10H·MIL27/10A·SFÎ09/11H·SFÎ11/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.671.121.000.430.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.670.671.000.670.330.67
vs Weaker (9)0.890.671.201.200.500.00
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.591.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.576.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
Milsami Orhei and Zimbru have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
Milsami Orhei's attack is €1m less valuable than Zimbru's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
Milsami Orhei and Zimbru have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
Milsami Orhei and Zimbru have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
MO wins
1
Draws
0
ZIM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Milsami Orhei vs Zimbru · H/A from MO
DateH/AGameScore
27/10/22AZimbru Vs MO1-1
04/09/22HMO Vs Zimbru1-0

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23APetrocub Vs MO2-1
09/11/22HMO Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-2
27/10/22AZimbru Vs MO1-1
23/10/22ASfîntul Gheorghe Vs MO1-0
15/10/22HMO Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-1
08/10/22APetrocub Vs MO2-1
01/10/22HMO Vs CSF Bălți1-0
16/09/22ADinamo-Auto Vs MO1-1
11/09/22ASheriff Tiraspol Vs MO2-0
04/09/22HMO Vs Zimbru1-0

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23HZIM Vs Sfîntul Gheorghe0-0
09/11/22ASfîntul Gheorghe Vs ZIM0-1
27/10/22HZIM Vs Milsami Orhei1-1
22/10/22ADacia-Buiucani Vs ZIM0-0
16/10/22HZIM Vs Petrocub2-1
09/10/22ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM0-2
01/10/22HZIM Vs Dinamo-Auto2-1
18/09/22ASheriff Tiraspol Vs ZIM0-0
11/09/22HZIM Vs Sfîntul Gheorghe3-3
04/09/22AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.16
HomeLWWDL1.56
AwayDLLDL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%44%10%
AVG goals2.112.112.10
Over 1.5 %68%56%80%
Over 2.5 %26%22%30%
Over 3.5 %16%22%10%
Scored0.951.000.90
Conceded1.161.111.20
BTTS47%33%60%
Clean Sheet37%56%20%
Corners8.5011.006.00
Cards4.004.00-
Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWD1.33
HomeDWWDD1.25
AwayLDWDW1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%25%29%
AVG goals2.273.251.14
Over 1.5 %60%88%29%
Over 2.5 %40%62%14%
Over 3.5 %20%25%14%
Scored1.131.500.71
Conceded1.131.750.43
BTTS47%75%14%
Clean Sheet40%12%71%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2457
71%
2.4
399+30
2.0
71%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.60.4
-
2PetrocubPetrocub2448
58%
2.0
3617+19
2.2
62%
46%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.7
-
3Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2442
50%
1.8
4017+23
2.4
62%
33%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.70.7
-
4ZimbruZimbru2431
29%
1.3
2726+1
2.2
62%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
5Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto2730
30%
1.1
3638-2
2.7
74%
37%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2428
29%
1.2
2230-8
2.2
71%
33%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.2
-
7FloreştiFloreşti1226
67%
2.2
2811+17
3.2
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.9
-
8Sfîntul GheorgheSfîntul Gheorghe2426
29%
1.1
2235-13
2.4
75%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
9CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2422
21%
0.9
1826-8
1.8
54%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.1
-
10Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet1216
42%
1.3
2423+1
3.9
100%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.9
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1313
31%
1.0
2635-9
4.7
100%
92%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.7
-
12Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni24
50%
2.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.0
-
13VăsieniVăsieni23
50%
1.5
63+3
4.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.5
-
14Sheriff IISheriff II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia10
0%
0.0
04-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.0
-
16SucleiaSucleia10
0%
0.0
16-5
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.06.0
-
17Real SuccesReal Succes10
0%
0.0
17-6
8.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.07.0
-
18FăleştiFăleşti110
0%
0.0
1154-43
5.9
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
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0001.04.9
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Moldova: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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