This opponent (Sudtirol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sudtirol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.73
1.06
0.88
0.93
0.57
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
0.67
1.00
0.75
0.60
0.60
vs Similar (20)
1.15
0.80
1.08
0.92
1.25
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.5%
Under 1.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
22.3%
@ 2.17-21.2%
Under 2.5
77.7%
@ 1.67+21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
8.2%
Under 3.5
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
32.0%
No
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
21.0%
1-0
15.8%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
13.6%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
5.6%
2-1 ✓
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
Modena goals ↓
Sudtirol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
21%
14%
5.6%
1.4%
0.3%
1
16%
14%
4.9%
1.2%
0.2%
2
7.4%
5.6%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
3
2.2%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Modena goals (down), columns = Sudtirol goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Modena is 0.30 points worse than Sudtirol in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.56).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Modena is 0.26 goals better than Sudtirol in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 0.98).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Modena is 0.54 goals worse than Sudtirol in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 0.85).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Modena
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Sudtirol
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Modena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sudtirol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (12)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.6%
Under 9.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
79.1%
Under 3.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
95.6%
Under 21.5
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Modena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.71
0.50
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
0.25
2.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.68
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sudtirol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.30
0.50
0.38
0.57
0.21
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.22
0.50
0.25
0.20
0.20
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.35
0.50
0.42
0.88
0.25
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Modena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Modena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.57
0.36
0.69
1.25
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.91
0.40
0.40
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sudtirol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.43
0.56
0.50
0.36
0.36
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.44
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.45
0.58
0.50
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Modena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Modena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Davide Diaw34%
Luca Strizzolo24%
Nicholas Bonfanti23%
Diego Falcinelli18%
Luca Tremolada11%
Luca Magnino11%
Davide Marsura10%
Marco Armellino7%
Fabio Gerli6%
Romeo Giovannini5%
Antonio Pergreffi3%
Andrea Poli0%
Artur Ioniță0%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Tommaso Silvestri0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Francesco Renzetti0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Nicola Mosti0%
Paulo Azzi0%
Shady Oukhadda0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Simone Panada0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Fabio Ponsi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giorgio Cittadini56%
Simone Panada30%
Davide Diaw28%
Tommaso Silvestri24%
Sebastien De Maio20%
Davide Marsura20%
Andrea Poli18%
Mauro Coppolaro18%
Marco Armellino14%
Luca Magnino14%
Shady Oukhadda14%
Antonio Pergreffi13%
Diego Falcinelli12%
Fabio Ponsi12%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Nicola Mosti12%
Fabio Gerli11%
Francesco Renzetti11%
Artur Ioniță10%
Edoardo Duca10%
Luca Tremolada8%
Mario Gargiulo8%
Paulo Azzi7%
Riccardo Gagno5%
Romeo Giovannini5%
Nicholas Bonfanti3%
Thomas Battistella0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luca Tremolada19%
Diego Falcinelli12%
Davide Marsura10%
Simone Panada10%
Andrea Poli9%
Shady Oukhadda7%
Paulo Azzi7%
Luca Magnino6%
Romeo Giovannini5%
Fabio Ponsi4%
Marco Armellino4%
Davide Diaw3%
Nicholas Bonfanti3%
Antonio Pergreffi3%
Fabio Gerli3%
Artur Ioniță0%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Tommaso Silvestri0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Francesco Renzetti0%
Luca Strizzolo0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Nicola Mosti0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Davide Diaw28%
Nicholas Bonfanti27%
Luca Strizzolo18%
Mario Gargiulo17%
Diego Falcinelli15%
Sebastien De Maio10%
Antonio Pergreffi6%
Luca Tremolada6%
Andrea Poli0%
Artur Ioniță0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Tommaso Silvestri0%
Davide Marsura0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Marco Armellino0%
Francesco Renzetti0%
Luca Magnino0%
Nicola Mosti0%
Fabio Gerli0%
Paulo Azzi0%
Shady Oukhadda0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Simone Panada0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Fabio Ponsi0%
Romeo Giovannini0%
Sudtirol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Raphael Odogwu18%
Moustapha Cissé17%
Matteo Rover13%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia12%
Giovanni Zaro10%
Daniele Casiraghi9%
Simone Mazzocchi9%
Fabian Tait8%
Luca Belardinelli7%
Joaquín Larrivey6%
Marco Curto5%
Mirko Carretta5%
Filippo De Col3%
Andrea Masiello0%
Nicholas Siega0%
Michele Marconi0%
Giacomo Poluzzi0%
Kevin Vinetot0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Giovanni Crociata0%
Tommaso D'Orazio0%
Andrea Schiavone0%
Christian Capone0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Filippo Berra0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Simone Davì0%
Marco Pompetti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrea Masiello25%
Moustapha Cissé25%
Marco Pompetti24%
Luca Belardinelli23%
Luca Fiordilino21%
Filippo Berra21%
Nicholas Siega20%
Giovanni Crociata20%
Mirko Carretta20%
Alessandro Celli18%
Marco Curto16%
Giovanni Zaro15%
Daniele Casiraghi15%
Gabriel Lunetta14%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Fabian Tait14%
Michele Marconi12%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Kevin Vinetot11%
Matteo Rover10%
Simone Davì9%
Filippo De Col8%
Giacomo Poluzzi7%
Joaquín Larrivey6%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia6%
Raphael Odogwu5%
Andrea Schiavone0%
Christian Capone0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michele Marconi25%
Daniele Casiraghi21%
Matteo Rover13%
Raphael Odogwu8%
Nicholas Siega7%
Luca Fiordilino5%
Filippo De Col5%
Mirko Carretta5%
Luca Belardinelli3%
Andrea Masiello3%
Fabian Tait3%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
Giacomo Poluzzi0%
Marco Curto0%
Kevin Vinetot0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Simone Mazzocchi0%
Giovanni Crociata0%
Tommaso D'Orazio0%
Andrea Schiavone0%
Christian Capone0%
Filippo Berra0%
Giovanni Zaro0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Joaquín Larrivey0%
Simone Davì0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Moustapha Cissé0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matteo Rover13%
Michele Marconi12%
Raphael Odogwu12%
Simone Mazzocchi9%
Filippo Berra5%
Luca Belardinelli3%
Daniele Casiraghi3%
Giovanni Zaro3%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
Andrea Masiello0%
Nicholas Siega0%
Filippo De Col0%
Giacomo Poluzzi0%
Marco Curto0%
Fabian Tait0%
Kevin Vinetot0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Giovanni Crociata0%
Tommaso D'Orazio0%
Andrea Schiavone0%
Christian Capone0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Mirko Carretta0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Joaquín Larrivey0%
Simone Davì0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Moustapha Cissé0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (34)
€488m
GEN (32)
€182m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
PAL (27)
€54m
MOD (28)
€31m
SUD (27)
€21m
BEN (30)
€12m
ASC (29)
€11m
BAR (22)
€8m
Modena's squad is €9m more valuable than Sudtirol's (€31m vs €21m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
PAL (7)
€23m
MOD (9)
€7m
ASC (11)
€5m
BEN (8)
€4m
SUD (5)
€3m
BAR (6)
€2m
Modena's attack is €5m more valuable than Sudtirol's (€7m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
GEN (6)
€44m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
PAL (7)
€12m
MOD (9)
€11m
SUD (10)
€11m
BEN (9)
€3m
BAR (6)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
Modena and Sudtirol have a similar midfield value (both €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (14)
€144m
GEN (17)
€84m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
FRO (14)
€24m
PIS (14)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
MOD (10)
€12m
SUD (12)
€8m
BEN (13)
€5m
BAR (10)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
Modena's defence is €5m more valuable than Sudtirol's (€12m vs €8m).
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Frosinone
Genoa
Cagliari
Bari
Parma
Reggina
Venezia
Palermo
Pisa
Como
Ascoli
Cosenza
Cittadella
Ternana
Brescia
Perugia
Spal
Benevento