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Montrose vs Airdrie United Result & Analysis

Date: 07/12/2021
Time: 19:45
Final 2-1
Montrose
Montrose
Vs
35%
29%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Montrose win✓ Hit
35.0%
Avg Implied 39.8% · @ 2.31
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.35
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United win✗ Miss
35.6%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.81
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D02L22D11D50W41W00D00D22D10WA·COV11/09H·ALL18/09H·FAL25/09A·QUE03/10A·CLY16/10H·EAS23/10A·PET30/10H·COV06/11A·ALL13/11A·FAL20/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.071.671.131.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.351.131.601.101.151.15
vs Weaker (7)2.000.861.801.202.500.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W30W01L21W30W32W12L31W10W02LH·ALL14/09H·EAS18/09A·COV25/09H·CLY02/10A·FAL16/10H·DUM23/10A·ALL30/10H·PET06/11A·EAS13/11H·COV20/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.171.801.331.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.331.121.581.331.080.92
vs Weaker (6)2.501.332.671.332.331.33
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.6%
@ 1.81-5.0%
Under 2.5
53.4%
@ 1.93+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-1 ✓
8.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
Montrose goals ↓
Airdrie United goals →
01234
09.2%8.8%6.4%2.7%0.9%
18.7%14%8.1%3.5%1.1%
26.3%8.0%5.1%2.2%0.7%
32.7%3.4%2.2%0.9%0.3%
40.8%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Montrose goals (down), columns = Airdrie United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.19
Airdrie United
2.00
Montrose
1.64
Queens Park
1.42
Alloa
1.25
Falkirk
1.22
Peterhead
1.17
Clyde
1.08
Dumbarton
0.94
East Fife
0.64
Montrose is 0.36 points worse than Airdrie United in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 2.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.03
Airdrie United
1.89
Montrose
1.47
Queens Park
1.42
Falkirk
1.36
Alloa
1.36
Dumbarton
1.33
Peterhead
1.28
Clyde
1.08
East Fife
0.86
Montrose is 0.42 goals worse than Airdrie United in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.89).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.89
Montrose
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Airdrie United
1.03
Peterhead
1.42
Falkirk
1.53
Alloa
1.58
Clyde
1.72
East Fife
1.94
Dumbarton
1.97
Montrose is 0.03 goals better than Airdrie United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MontroseMontrose

For 6.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

1505696535410482354951751115891410813612A·FALA·ALLH·COVA·PETH·EASA·CLYA·QUEH·FALH·ALLA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60333323131411333306514516A·FALA·ALLH·COVA·PETH·EASA·CLYA·QUEH·FALH·ALLA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 9.0 · Total 21.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

28014615111110139981281051810111412920262122172015282521A·FALA·ALLH·COVA·PETH·EASA·CLYA·QUEH·FALH·ALLA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 6.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 10.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

14063817710411157112364329914141212133105H·COVA·EASH·PETA·ALLH·DUMA·FALH·CLYA·COVH·EASH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

902321141271221231135225933523H·COVA·EASH·PETA·ALLH·DUMA·FALH·CLYA·COVH·EASH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

3108661212101313111014106914179531214182226212415311415H·COVA·EASH·PETA·ALLH·DUMA·FALH·CLYA·COVH·EASH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.010.33.53.53.522.723.122.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (34)9.59.39.73.53.53.522.823.222.3
vs Weaker (16)10.08.411.63.43.43.522.622.822.4
% over line46%36%56%46%48%44%54%56%52%
% under line54%64%44%54%52%56%46%44%48%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.810.43.63.53.720.920.721.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (36)10.411.19.73.53.63.421.421.621.2
vs Weaker (14)11.310.412.53.73.24.319.618.620.8
% over line60%62%58%44%42%46%46%42%50%
% under line40%38%42%56%58%54%54%58%50%
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Airdrie United
10.6
Alloa
10.5
Falkirk
10.3
Clyde
10.2
Dumbarton
10.0
Peterhead
9.8
Queens Park
9.7
Montrose
9.7
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.0
Falkirk
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Cove Rangers
3.6
Airdrie United
3.6
Montrose
3.5
Dumbarton
3.4
East Fife
3.4
Clyde
3.2
Alloa
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.6
Falkirk
24.0
Alloa
23.8
Montrose
22.7
Cove Rangers
22.7
Dumbarton
22.5
East Fife
22.2
Airdrie United
20.9
Queens Park
20.7
Clyde
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.9%
Under 9.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.7%
Under 3.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.6%
Under 21.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L00D00D30W00D00D00D00D10WA·COV11/09H·ALL18/09H·FAL25/09A·QUE03/10A·CLY16/10H·EAS23/10A·PET30/10H·COV06/11A·ALL13/11A·FAL20/11
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.800.530.470.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.480.430.700.400.310.46
vs Weaker (7)1.140.571.000.801.500.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W00D11D10W11D01L10W10W00DH·ALL14/09H·EAS18/09A·COV25/09H·CLY02/10A·FAL16/10H·DUM23/10A·ALL30/10H·PET06/11A·EAS13/11H·COV20/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.430.600.530.470.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.380.380.500.420.250.33
vs Weaker (6)1.170.671.001.001.330.33
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D22D11D20W41W00D00D22D00DA·COV11/09H·ALL18/09H·FAL25/09A·QUE03/10A·CLY16/10H·EAS23/10A·PET30/10H·COV06/11A·ALL13/11A·FAL20/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.600.870.600.870.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.870.700.900.700.850.69
vs Weaker (7)0.860.290.800.401.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W01L10W20W21W11D21W00D02LH·ALL14/09H·EAS18/09A·COV25/09H·CLY02/10A·FAL16/10H·DUM23/10A·ALL30/10H·PET06/11A·EAS13/11H·COV20/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.731.200.800.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.960.751.080.920.830.58
vs Weaker (6)1.330.671.670.331.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
MON wins
1
Draws
2
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Montrose vs Airdrie United · H/A from MON
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/21AAirdrie United Vs MON0-3
27/04/21AAirdrie United Vs MON2-1
10/04/21HMON Vs Airdrie United2-2
12/12/20AAirdrie United Vs MON0-1
29/02/20HMON Vs Airdrie United1-0
19/10/19AAirdrie United Vs MON1-3
10/08/19HMON Vs Airdrie United0-1
20/04/19HMON Vs Airdrie United2-1

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/11/21AFalkirk Vs MON0-1
13/11/21AAlloa Vs MON2-2
06/11/21HMON Vs Cove Rangers0-0
30/10/21APeterhead Vs MON0-0
23/10/21HMON Vs East Fife4-1
16/10/21AClyde Vs MON0-5
03/10/21AQueens Park Vs MON1-1
25/09/21HMON Vs Falkirk2-2
18/09/21HMON Vs Alloa0-2
11/09/21ACove Rangers Vs MON1-1

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/11/21HAU Vs Cove Rangers0-2
13/11/21AEast Fife Vs AU0-1
06/11/21HAU Vs Peterhead3-1
30/10/21AAlloa Vs AU2-1
23/10/21HAU Vs Dumbarton3-2
16/10/21AFalkirk Vs AU0-3
02/10/21HAU Vs Clyde2-1
25/09/21ACove Rangers Vs AU1-0
18/09/21HAU Vs East Fife3-0
14/09/21HAU Vs Alloa2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDW1.70
HomeLLDWD1.80
AwayDWDDW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals2.983.122.84
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %42%52%32%
Scored1.721.881.56
Conceded1.261.241.28
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet36%36%36%
Corners9.669.0010.32
Cards3.503.483.52
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.66
HomeWWWWL1.96
AwayDLWLW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals2.482.622.33
Over 1.5 %70%81%58%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %24%19%29%
Scored1.421.621.21
Conceded1.061.001.12
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners10.6410.8510.42
Cards3.563.463.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers3679
64%
2.2
7332+41
2.9
78%
50%
31%
9.6
47%
3.8
58%
21.6
42%
0
0002.00.9
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3672
58%
2.0
6837+31
2.9
83%
58%
33%
10.0
61%
3.5
42%
20.0
44%
0
0001.91.0
-
3MontroseMontrose3659
42%
1.6
5336+17
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.0
50%
3.7
50%
22.2
58%
0
0001.51.0
-
4Queens ParkQueens Park3651
31%
1.4
5136+15
2.4
78%
36%
14%
9.6
47%
3.7
53%
18.9
17%
0
0001.41.0
-
5
A
Alloa
3645
33%
1.2
4957-8
2.9
89%
58%
28%
9.6
47%
3.1
36%
20.4
44%
0
0001.41.6
-
6FalkirkFalkirk3644
33%
1.2
4955-6
2.9
89%
58%
22%
10.2
56%
4.2
72%
21.5
47%
6
2131.41.5
-
7PeterheadPeterhead3642
31%
1.2
4651-5
2.7
67%
47%
28%
10.2
58%
4.2
58%
25.5
81%
0
0001.31.4
-
8ClydeClyde3639
25%
1.1
3962-23
2.8
83%
61%
31%
9.5
53%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
0
0001.11.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton3634
25%
0.9
4871-23
3.3
92%
69%
36%
10.9
69%
3.8
56%
21.8
46%
0
0001.32.0
-
10East FifeEast Fife3623
14%
0.6
3170-39
2.8
83%
47%
31%
9.1
50%
3.2
39%
20.7
34%
0
0000.91.9
-
Scotland: League One 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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