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Montrose vs Cove Rangers Result & Analysis

Date: 19/03/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Montrose
Montrose
Vs
33%
31%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Montrose win✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied 31.4% · @ 2.93
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.37
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers win✓ Hit
36.2%
Avg Implied 41.4% · @ 2.22
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W11D01L21W11D14L11D10W00D10WA·EAS02/01H·ALL08/01A·COV15/01H·FAL29/01H·DUM05/02A·AIR12/02H·CLY19/02A·QUE26/02H·EAS05/03A·PET12/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.901.441.061.640.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.380.831.500.921.250.75
vs Weaker (6)2.171.171.251.504.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W10W22D11D00D20W22D52W41WA·PET02/01A·CLY08/01H·MON15/01A·DUM29/01H·AIR05/02H·QUE12/02H·FAL19/02A·ALL26/02H·PET05/03H·CLY12/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.972.290.881.621.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.911.002.141.001.561.00
vs Weaker (7)2.290.863.000.331.751.25
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.3%
Under 1.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.5%
@ 1.84-10.2%
Under 2.5
59.5%
@ 1.89+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
1-2 ✓
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
Montrose goals ↓
Cove Rangers goals →
01234
011%11%7.0%2.8%0.8%
19.8%15%7.9%3.1%0.9%
26.2%7.4%4.4%1.7%0.5%
32.3%2.7%1.6%0.6%0.2%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Montrose goals (down), columns = Cove Rangers goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.19
Airdrie United
2.00
Montrose
1.64
Queens Park
1.42
Alloa
1.25
Falkirk
1.22
Peterhead
1.17
Clyde
1.08
Dumbarton
0.94
East Fife
0.64
Montrose is 0.56 points worse than Cove Rangers in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 2.19).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.03
Airdrie United
1.89
Montrose
1.47
Queens Park
1.42
Falkirk
1.36
Alloa
1.36
Dumbarton
1.33
Peterhead
1.28
Clyde
1.08
East Fife
0.86
Montrose is 0.56 goals worse than Cove Rangers in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 2.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.89
Montrose
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Airdrie United
1.03
Peterhead
1.42
Falkirk
1.53
Alloa
1.58
Clyde
1.72
East Fife
1.94
Dumbarton
1.97
Montrose is 0.11 goals worse than Cove Rangers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.89).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MontroseMontrose

For 5.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 7.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

110335162816725356110166896778711A·PETH·EASA·QUEH·CLYA·AIRH·DUMH·FALA·COVH·ALLA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

10052311644342332174110475321A·PETH·EASA·QUEH·CLYA·AIRH·DUMH·FALA·COVH·ALLA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

310229131491091481412108191510517101131271923222227252221A·PETH·EASA·QUEH·CLYA·AIRH·DUMH·FALA·COVH·ALLA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Cove RangersCove Rangers

For 5.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

150443516879277111536842887151114128146H·CLYH·PETA·ALLH·FALH·QUEH·AIRA·DUMH·MONA·CLYA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80151232323522323156355804356H·CLYH·PETA·ALLH·FALH·QUEH·AIRA·DUMH·MONA·CLYA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

300714168121112581091012710151112141621242317181919252330H·CLYH·PETA·ALLH·FALH·QUEH·AIRA·DUMH·MONA·CLYA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.19.83.53.83.222.422.622.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)9.39.39.43.43.43.422.422.322.6
vs Weaker (12)9.78.611.23.85.02.222.223.620.4
% over line42%36%48%44%52%36%54%60%48%
% under line58%64%52%56%48%64%46%40%52%
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.19.83.73.83.722.621.723.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (37)9.19.19.13.83.83.823.722.525.1
vs Weaker (13)10.59.311.43.53.73.419.319.019.6
% over line46%46%46%54%54%54%46%46%46%
% under line54%54%54%46%46%46%54%54%54%
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.5
Airdrie United
10.3
Falkirk
10.3
Peterhead
10.2
Clyde
10.1
Queens Park
9.9
Alloa
9.8
East Fife
9.8
Cove Rangers
9.4
Montrose
9.4

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.3
Falkirk
4.1
Queens Park
3.8
Cove Rangers
3.7
Clyde
3.7
Dumbarton
3.6
Montrose
3.5
Airdrie United
3.5
East Fife
3.4
Alloa
3.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.8
Alloa
22.7
Cove Rangers
22.6
Falkirk
22.5
Dumbarton
22.4
Montrose
22.4
East Fife
21.5
Clyde
20.9
Queens Park
20.1
Airdrie United
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.0%
Under 9.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.9%
Under 3.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
56.7%
Under 21.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L21W11D12L11D10W00D00DA·EAS02/01H·ALL08/01A·COV15/01H·FAL29/01H·DUM05/02A·AIR12/02H·CLY19/02A·QUE26/02H·EAS05/03A·PET12/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.500.690.710.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.460.420.500.580.420.25
vs Weaker (6)1.170.830.501.002.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W01L10W00D10W02L31W21WA·PET02/01A·CLY08/01H·MON15/01A·DUM29/01H·AIR05/02H·QUE12/02H·FAL19/02A·ALL26/02H·PET05/03H·CLY12/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.400.760.240.310.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.520.350.710.210.220.56
vs Weaker (7)0.710.571.000.330.500.75
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D00D00D02L00D00D00D10WA·EAS02/01H·ALL08/01A·COV15/01H·FAL29/01H·DUM05/02A·AIR12/02H·CLY19/02A·QUE26/02H·EAS05/03A·PET12/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.400.940.380.930.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.920.421.000.330.830.50
vs Weaker (6)1.000.330.750.501.500.00
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D21W01L00D10W20W21W20WA·PET02/01A·CLY08/01H·MON15/01A·DUM29/01H·AIR05/02H·QUE12/02H·FAL19/02A·ALL26/02H·PET05/03H·CLY12/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.571.530.651.310.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.390.651.430.791.330.44
vs Weaker (7)1.570.292.000.001.250.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls74.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls72.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Montrose and Cove Rangers have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Montrose and Cove Rangers have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
Montrose and Cove Rangers have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Montrose and Cove Rangers have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
MON wins
2
Draws
2
CR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Montrose vs Cove Rangers · H/A from MON
DateH/AGameScore
15/01/22ACove Rangers Vs MON1-0
06/11/21HMON Vs Cove Rangers0-0
11/09/21ACove Rangers Vs MON1-1
29/04/21HMON Vs Cove Rangers0-2
20/04/21HMON Vs Cove Rangers1-0
05/12/20ACove Rangers Vs MON1-2

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/22APeterhead Vs MON0-1
05/03/22HMON Vs East Fife0-0
26/02/22AQueens Park Vs MON0-1
19/02/22HMON Vs Clyde1-1
12/02/22AAirdrie United Vs MON4-1
05/02/22HMON Vs Dumbarton1-1
29/01/22HMON Vs Falkirk2-1
15/01/22ACove Rangers Vs MON1-0
08/01/22HMON Vs Alloa1-1
02/01/22AEast Fife Vs MON0-2

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/22HCR Vs Clyde4-1
05/03/22HCR Vs Peterhead5-2
26/02/22AAlloa Vs CR2-2
19/02/22HCR Vs Falkirk2-0
12/02/22HCR Vs Queens Park0-0
05/02/22HCR Vs Airdrie United1-1
29/01/22ADumbarton Vs CR2-2
15/01/22HCR Vs Montrose1-0
08/01/22AClyde Vs CR0-1
02/01/22APeterhead Vs CR0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDW1.68
HomeDWDDD1.64
AwayWLLWW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%40%48%
AVG goals2.602.562.64
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.501.521.48
Conceded1.101.041.16
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet36%32%40%
Corners9.429.089.76
Cards3.503.843.16
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.90
HomeDDWWW2.19
AwayWWWDD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%65%42%
AVG goals2.582.922.21
Over 1.5 %70%77%62%
Over 2.5 %40%46%33%
Over 3.5 %26%27%25%
Scored1.702.081.29
Conceded0.880.850.92
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet48%54%42%
Corners9.429.129.75
Cards3.723.773.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers3679
64%
2.2
7332+41
2.9
78%
50%
31%
9.6
47%
3.8
58%
21.6
42%
0
0002.00.9
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3672
58%
2.0
6837+31
2.9
83%
58%
33%
10.0
61%
3.5
42%
20.0
44%
0
0001.91.0
-
3MontroseMontrose3659
42%
1.6
5336+17
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.0
50%
3.7
50%
22.2
58%
0
0001.51.0
-
4Queens ParkQueens Park3651
31%
1.4
5136+15
2.4
78%
36%
14%
9.6
47%
3.7
53%
18.9
17%
0
0001.41.0
-
5
A
Alloa
3645
33%
1.2
4957-8
2.9
89%
58%
28%
9.6
47%
3.1
36%
20.4
44%
0
0001.41.6
-
6FalkirkFalkirk3644
33%
1.2
4955-6
2.9
89%
58%
22%
10.2
56%
4.2
72%
21.5
47%
6
2131.41.5
-
7PeterheadPeterhead3642
31%
1.2
4651-5
2.7
67%
47%
28%
10.2
58%
4.2
58%
25.5
81%
0
0001.31.4
-
8ClydeClyde3639
25%
1.1
3962-23
2.8
83%
61%
31%
9.5
53%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
0
0001.11.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton3634
25%
0.9
4871-23
3.3
92%
69%
36%
10.9
69%
3.8
56%
21.8
46%
0
0001.32.0
-
10East FifeEast Fife3623
14%
0.6
3170-39
2.8
83%
47%
31%
9.1
50%
3.2
39%
20.7
34%
0
0000.91.9
-
Scotland: League One 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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