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Montrose vs Peterhead Result & Analysis

Date: 14/08/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Montrose
Montrose
Vs
47%
26%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Montrose win✓ Hit
47.0%
Avg Implied 45.0% · @ 2.04
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.32
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Peterhead win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.36
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D22D05L10W12L02L21W32W30W22DA·DUM06/04H·AIR10/04A·PAR15/04H·COV20/04A·AIR27/04H·COV29/04A·FAL01/05H·PAR04/05A·AIR31/07H·CLY07/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.331.871.201.271.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.371.421.561.331.201.50
vs Weaker (11)1.911.182.331.001.401.40
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L12L10W30W31W12L23L20W12LA·FOR06/04H·PAR10/04A·EAS17/04H·FAL20/04H·CLY24/04A·EAS29/04H·FOR01/05A·DUM04/05H·ALL31/07A·FAL07/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.330.931.001.201.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.001.580.881.121.091.91
vs Weaker (11)1.180.911.000.861.501.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.9%
@ 1.83+7.7%
Under 2.5
41.1%
@ 1.92-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.2%
1-0 ✓
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
Montrose goals ↓
Peterhead goals →
01234
05.8%5.1%4.0%1.7%0.6%
17.2%12%7.0%3.0%1.0%
27.2%9.4%6.1%2.7%0.9%
34.2%5.5%3.6%1.6%0.5%
41.9%2.4%1.6%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Montrose goals (down), columns = Peterhead goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.19
Airdrie United
2.00
Montrose
1.64
Queens Park
1.42
Alloa
1.25
Falkirk
1.22
Peterhead
1.17
Clyde
1.08
Dumbarton
0.94
East Fife
0.64
Montrose is 0.47 points better than Peterhead in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.17).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.03
Airdrie United
1.89
Montrose
1.47
Queens Park
1.42
Falkirk
1.36
Alloa
1.36
Dumbarton
1.33
Peterhead
1.28
Clyde
1.08
East Fife
0.86
Montrose is 0.19 goals better than Peterhead in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.89
Montrose
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Airdrie United
1.03
Peterhead
1.42
Falkirk
1.53
Alloa
1.58
Clyde
1.72
East Fife
1.94
Dumbarton
1.97
Montrose is 0.42 goals better than Peterhead in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MontroseMontrose

For 4.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

2104445133531514263312165894846691521H·CLYA·AIRH·PARA·FALH·COVA·AIRH·COVA·PARH·AIRA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50121124111112213213225123351H·CLYA·AIRH·PARA·FALH·COVA·AIRH·COVA·PARH·AIRA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.3 · Total 21.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

2901415159141010981211101011912869929242419202121211418H·CLYA·AIRH·PARA·FALH·COVA·AIRH·COVA·PARH·AIRA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

For 4.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

15041072435443551312667514979756151212A·FALH·ALLA·DUMH·FORA·EASH·CLYH·FALA·EASH·PARA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8022121113231263311134324248624A·FALH·ALLA·DUMH·FORA·EASH·CLYH·FALA·EASH·PARA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 15.1 · Total 26.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

33088141912141516151115178171316101561816332631263225292524A·FALH·ALLA·DUMH·FORA·EASH·CLYH·FALA·EASH·PARA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.310.03.63.53.723.323.223.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)9.39.19.53.73.93.624.124.523.7
vs Weaker (19)10.29.511.03.32.83.922.121.322.9
% over line48%40%56%46%40%52%58%56%60%
% under line52%60%44%54%60%48%42%44%40%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.08.59.54.24.34.123.724.123.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (30)8.97.99.74.54.84.424.225.523.2
vs Weaker (20)9.29.29.13.73.83.522.922.623.2
% over line38%32%44%66%68%64%66%68%64%
% under line62%68%56%34%32%36%34%32%36%
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Alloa
11.2
Airdrie United
10.6
Falkirk
10.2
Clyde
10.0
Dumbarton
10.0
Queens Park
9.9
Montrose
9.7
East Fife
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Peterhead
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.2
Queens Park
3.7
Falkirk
3.7
Cove Rangers
3.6
Montrose
3.6
East Fife
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
Dumbarton
3.3
Clyde
3.3
Alloa
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Falkirk
24.6
Peterhead
23.7
Montrose
23.3
East Fife
22.8
Cove Rangers
22.7
Alloa
22.5
Queens Park
22.3
Dumbarton
21.9
Clyde
21.1
Airdrie United
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.3%
Under 9.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.0%
Under 3.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.2%
Under 21.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W02L10W01L01L11D21W10W00DA·DUM06/04H·AIR10/04A·PAR15/04H·COV20/04A·AIR27/04H·COV29/04A·FAL01/05H·PAR04/05A·AIR31/07H·CLY07/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.631.070.470.330.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.630.791.000.560.301.00
vs Weaker (11)0.820.361.170.330.400.40
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L10W00D00D11D00D11D10W01LA·FOR06/04H·PAR10/04A·EAS17/04H·FAL20/04H·CLY24/04A·EAS29/04H·FOR01/05A·DUM04/05H·ALL31/07A·FAL07/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.600.270.270.400.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.420.840.380.380.451.18
vs Weaker (11)0.180.180.140.140.250.25
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L03L00D11D01L10W11D20W22DA·DUM06/04H·AIR10/04A·PAR15/04H·COV20/04A·AIR27/04H·COV29/04A·FAL01/05H·PAR04/05A·AIR31/07H·CLY07/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.700.800.730.930.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.740.630.560.780.900.50
vs Weaker (11)1.090.821.170.671.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L02L10W30W20W12L12L10W11DA·FOR06/04H·PAR10/04A·EAS17/04H·FAL20/04H·CLY24/04A·EAS29/04H·FOR01/05A·DUM04/05H·ALL31/07A·FAL07/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.670.730.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.580.740.500.750.640.73
vs Weaker (11)1.000.730.860.711.250.75
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners81.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls78.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards72.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
MON wins
2
Draws
1
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Montrose vs Peterhead · H/A from MON
DateH/AGameScore
22/12/20APeterhead Vs MON1-1
07/11/20HMON Vs Peterhead3-2
01/02/20HMON Vs Peterhead4-3
16/11/19APeterhead Vs MON0-0
28/09/19HMON Vs Peterhead4-3
17/03/18HMON Vs Peterhead3-2
03/02/18APeterhead Vs MON0-1
30/12/17HMON Vs Peterhead2-6

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/21HMON Vs Clyde2-2
31/07/21AAirdrie United Vs MON0-3
04/05/21HMON Vs Partick3-2
01/05/21AFalkirk Vs MON1-2
29/04/21HMON Vs Cove Rangers0-2
27/04/21AAirdrie United Vs MON2-1
20/04/21HMON Vs Cove Rangers1-0
15/04/21APartick Vs MON5-0
10/04/21HMON Vs Airdrie United2-2
06/04/21ADumbarton Vs MON0-0

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/21AFalkirk Vs PET2-1
31/07/21HPET Vs Alloa2-0
04/05/21ADumbarton Vs PET3-2
01/05/21HPET Vs Forfar1-2
29/04/21AEast Fife Vs PET1-3
24/04/21HPET Vs Clyde3-0
20/04/21HPET Vs Falkirk1-0
17/04/21AEast Fife Vs PET2-1
10/04/21HPET Vs Partick0-3
06/04/21AForfar Vs PET1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.66
HomeDWLWD1.84
AwayDLLWW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals3.083.362.80
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %64%72%56%
Over 3.5 %40%52%28%
Scored1.682.001.36
Conceded1.401.361.44
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners9.669.2810.04
Cards3.583.483.68
Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.14
HomeLWWLW1.48
AwayDLWLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals2.602.163.04
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %50%36%64%
Over 3.5 %18%8%28%
Scored1.141.121.16
Conceded1.461.041.88
BTTS48%36%60%
Clean Sheet28%44%12%
Corners9.028.529.52
Cards4.204.324.08

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers3679
64%
2.2
7332+41
2.9
78%
50%
31%
9.6
47%
3.8
58%
21.6
42%
0
0002.00.9
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3672
58%
2.0
6837+31
2.9
83%
58%
33%
10.0
61%
3.5
42%
20.0
44%
0
0001.91.0
-
3MontroseMontrose3659
42%
1.6
5336+17
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.0
50%
3.7
50%
22.2
58%
0
0001.51.0
-
4Queens ParkQueens Park3651
31%
1.4
5136+15
2.4
78%
36%
14%
9.6
47%
3.7
53%
18.9
17%
0
0001.41.0
-
5
A
Alloa
3645
33%
1.2
4957-8
2.9
89%
58%
28%
9.6
47%
3.1
36%
20.4
44%
0
0001.41.6
-
6FalkirkFalkirk3644
33%
1.2
4955-6
2.9
89%
58%
22%
10.2
56%
4.2
72%
21.5
47%
6
2131.41.5
-
7PeterheadPeterhead3642
31%
1.2
4651-5
2.7
67%
47%
28%
10.2
58%
4.2
58%
25.5
81%
0
0001.31.4
-
8ClydeClyde3639
25%
1.1
3962-23
2.8
83%
61%
31%
9.5
53%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
0
0001.11.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton3634
25%
0.9
4871-23
3.3
92%
69%
36%
10.9
69%
3.8
56%
21.8
46%
0
0001.32.0
-
10East FifeEast Fife3623
14%
0.6
3170-39
2.8
83%
47%
31%
9.1
50%
3.2
39%
20.7
34%
0
0000.91.9
-
Scotland: League One 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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