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Montrose vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 12/12/2015
Time: 00:00
Final 1-3
Montrose
Montrose
Vs
40%
27%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Montrose win✗ Miss
40.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✓ Hit
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W01L21W14L10W13L41W13L16L13LH·ELG05/09A·STI12/09H·EAS19/09H·EAS26/09A·QUE03/10A·ARB17/10H·BER31/10A·CLY07/11H·QUE17/11A·EAS21/11
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.932.141.711.002.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.672.172.002.751.001.00
vs Weaker (8)1.501.752.330.331.002.60
Clean sheet %29% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L12L11D10W00D21W31W01L31WH·MON12/09A·ARB19/09H·QUE26/09A·EAS03/10A·CLY17/10H·EAS31/10A·BER07/11H·ARB14/11A·QUE21/11H·ELG05/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.131.291.141.001.12
vs Stronger (12)1.251.251.501.171.001.33
vs Similar (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.9%
Under 2.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
Montrose goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
06.3%6.1%5.0%2.4%0.8%
16.9%12%7.9%3.7%1.3%
26.3%8.8%6.2%2.9%1.0%
33.3%4.6%3.2%1.5%0.5%
41.3%1.8%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Montrose goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Fife
1.72
Elgin
1.64
Clyde
1.58
Queens Park
1.56
Annan Athletic
1.56
Berwick
1.36
Stirling
1.33
Montrose
1.19
Arbroath
1.08
East Stirling
0.89
Montrose is 0.14 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.33).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.92
East Fife
1.72
Elgin
1.64
Clyde
1.56
Montrose
1.39
Stirling
1.31
Queens Park
1.28
Berwick
1.25
Arbroath
1.17
East Stirling
1.14
Montrose is 0.08 goals better than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.89
East Fife
1.14
Clyde
1.25
Elgin
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Berwick
1.39
Arbroath
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.58
Montrose
1.94
East Stirling
2.19
Montrose is 0.67 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.94 vs 1.28).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MontroseMontrose

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

StirlingStirling

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (8)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (15)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (12)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D20W11D00D01L20W02L13L01LH·ELG05/09A·STI12/09H·EAS19/09H·EAS26/09A·QUE03/10A·ARB17/10H·BER31/10A·CLY07/11H·QUE17/11A·EAS21/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.791.290.570.141.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.000.831.251.000.500.50
vs Weaker (8)0.500.751.330.000.001.20
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D11D01L10W00D00D01L00D01LH·MON12/09A·ARB19/09H·QUE26/09A·EAS03/10A·CLY17/10H·EAS31/10A·BER07/11H·ARB14/11A·QUE21/11H·ELG05/12
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.530.140.710.380.38
vs Stronger (12)0.250.670.170.830.330.50
vs Similar (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L03L10W12L21W11D03L12LH·ELG05/09A·STI12/09H·EAS19/09H·EAS26/09A·QUE03/10A·ARB17/10H·BER31/10A·CLY07/11H·QUE17/11A·EAS21/11
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.861.140.861.140.861.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.671.330.751.750.500.50
vs Weaker (8)1.001.001.000.331.001.40
Clean sheet %29% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L01L10W00D00D21W30W01L30WH·MON12/09A·ARB19/09H·QUE26/09A·EAS03/10A·CLY17/10H·EAS31/10A·BER07/11H·ARB14/11A·QUE21/11H·ELG05/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.601.140.430.620.75
vs Stronger (12)1.000.581.330.330.670.83
vs Similar (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Montrose and Stirling have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Montrose and Stirling have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Montrose and Stirling have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Montrose and Stirling have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
MON wins
0
Draws
1
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Montrose vs Stirling · H/A from MON
DateH/AGameScore
12/09/15AStirling Vs MON1-0

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/15AEast Stirling Vs MON3-1
17/11/15HMON Vs Queens Park1-6
07/11/15AClyde Vs MON3-1
31/10/15HMON Vs Berwick4-1
17/10/15AArbroath Vs MON3-1
03/10/15AQueens Park Vs MON0-1
26/09/15HMON Vs East Fife1-4
19/09/15HMON Vs East Stirling2-1
12/09/15AStirling Vs MON1-0
05/09/15HMON Vs Elgin2-0

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/12/15HSTI Vs Elgin3-1
21/11/15AQueens Park Vs STI1-0
14/11/15HSTI Vs Arbroath3-1
07/11/15ABerwick Vs STI1-2
31/10/15HSTI Vs East Stirling0-0
17/10/15AClyde Vs STI0-1
03/10/15AEast Fife Vs STI1-1
26/09/15HSTI Vs Queens Park1-2
19/09/15AArbroath Vs STI2-0
12/09/15HSTI Vs Montrose1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.29
HomeWWLWL2.14
AwayLWLLL0.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%71%14%
AVG goals3.503.863.14
Over 1.5 %86%100%71%
Over 2.5 %71%71%71%
Over 3.5 %50%43%57%
Scored1.572.141.00
Conceded1.931.712.14
BTTS64%57%71%
Clean Sheet29%43%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.40
HomeWLDWW1.43
AwayLDWWL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%43%38%
AVG goals2.272.432.12
Over 1.5 %60%57%62%
Over 2.5 %40%57%25%
Over 3.5 %27%43%12%
Scored1.131.291.00
Conceded1.131.141.12
BTTS53%57%50%
Clean Sheet20%29%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East FifeEast Fife3662
50%
1.7
6241+21
2.9
78%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
2ElginElgin3659
47%
1.6
5946+13
2.9
81%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
3ClydeClyde3657
47%
1.6
5645+11
2.8
72%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
4Queens ParkQueens Park3656
42%
1.6
4632+14
2.2
64%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.9
-
5Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3656
44%
1.6
6957+12
3.5
81%
64%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6
B
Berwick
3649
39%
1.4
4550-5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
7StirlingStirling3648
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.6
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
8MontroseMontrose3643
31%
1.2
5070-20
3.3
86%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
9ArbroathArbroath3639
31%
1.1
4251-9
2.6
75%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.4
-
10
ES
East Stirling
3632
25%
0.9
4179-38
3.3
83%
75%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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