This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beerschot VA
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.4
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
2.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.53
2.27
2.88
1.88
2.14
2.71
vs Stronger (5)
2.20
2.20
3.50
1.50
1.33
2.67
vs Similar (9)
3.00
2.44
3.20
2.20
2.75
2.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.5%
Under 1.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.7%
@ 1.59+5.4%
Under 2.5
35.3%
@ 2.32-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.3%
No
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
3-1 ✓
5.5%
0-0
4.6%
Mouscron goals ↓
Beerschot VA goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
4.4%
4.1%
2.0%
0.8%
1
5.5%
11%
7.4%
3.7%
1.4%
2
5.9%
9.0%
6.8%
3.4%
1.3%
3
3.6%
5.5%
4.1%
2.1%
0.8%
4
1.6%
2.5%
1.9%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mouscron goals (down), columns = Beerschot VA goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.24
Antwerp
1.76
Anderlecht
1.71
Genk
1.65
Oostende
1.56
Standard Liege
1.47
Gent
1.44
KV Mechelen
1.41
Beerschot VA
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.35
OH Leuven
1.32
Eupen
1.26
Charleroi
1.24
Kortrijk
1.15
St. Truiden
1.12
Cercle Brugge
1.06
Mouscron
0.91
SK Beveren
0.91
Mouscron is 0.47 points worse than Beerschot VA in terms of average points per game (0.91 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.15
Genk
1.97
Beerschot VA
1.71
Antwerp
1.68
Gent
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
OH Leuven
1.59
Zulte Waregem
1.56
Standard Liege
1.53
Anderlecht
1.50
Oostende
1.44
Charleroi
1.35
Kortrijk
1.29
SK Beveren
1.29
Eupen
1.29
St. Truiden
1.21
Cercle Brugge
1.18
Mouscron
0.94
Mouscron is 0.76 goals worse than Beerschot VA in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.76
Anderlecht
1.00
Oostende
1.21
Standard Liege
1.21
Gent
1.24
Antwerp
1.41
Genk
1.41
Charleroi
1.44
Cercle Brugge
1.50
St. Truiden
1.53
Mouscron
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.59
Eupen
1.62
Kortrijk
1.68
OH Leuven
1.74
Beerschot VA
1.88
Zulte Waregem
2.03
SK Beveren
2.06
Mouscron is 0.29 goals better than Beerschot VA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
M
Mouscron
For 3.1 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 10.4 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beerschot VA
For 5.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 12.3 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
M
Mouscron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.6
8.8
3.9
4.1
3.8
25.8
26.3
25.2
vs Stronger (43)
9.2
9.3
9.0
4.1
4.2
4.0
26.1
26.7
25.5
vs Similar (7)
9.6
11.0
7.7
2.7
3.2
2.0
23.8
24.0
23.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
60%
44%
54%
60%
48%
80%
86%
73%
% under line
48%
40%
56%
46%
40%
52%
20%
14%
27%
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beerschot VA
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (15)
10.6
10.5
10.7
4.2
4.6
3.7
26.3
28.1
24.3
vs Stronger (5)
9.4
8.0
10.3
3.8
5.0
3.0
28.2
35.5
23.3
vs Similar (9)
10.4
10.0
11.0
4.3
4.4
4.2
25.7
26.2
25.0
vs Weaker (1)
18.0
18.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
23.0
23.0
-
% over line
53%
50%
57%
73%
88%
57%
87%
88%
86%
% under line
47%
50%
43%
27%
12%
43%
13%
12%
14%
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oostende
10.6
Beerschot VA
10.6
Charleroi
10.4
SK Beveren
10.3
St. Truiden
10.2
Eupen
10.1
Anderlecht
9.9
Antwerp
9.9
KV Mechelen
9.9
OH Leuven
9.9
Cercle Brugge
9.8
Kortrijk
9.8
Genk
9.8
Standard Liege
9.5
Club Brugge KV
9.3
Gent
9.3
Zulte Waregem
9.3
Mouscron
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
St. Truiden
4.7
OH Leuven
4.7
Eupen
4.4
Antwerp
4.3
Cercle Brugge
4.3
Standard Liege
4.2
Beerschot VA
4.2
Anderlecht
4.2
Charleroi
4.0
KV Mechelen
4.0
Mouscron
3.9
Gent
3.9
SK Beveren
3.9
Genk
3.9
Club Brugge KV
3.9
Kortrijk
3.8
Zulte Waregem
3.5
Oostende
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kortrijk
29.0
Anderlecht
28.4
Standard Liege
28.3
St. Truiden
28.0
Charleroi
27.7
Eupen
27.3
Genk
27.0
SK Beveren
26.9
OH Leuven
26.8
Cercle Brugge
26.8
Zulte Waregem
26.8
KV Mechelen
26.8
Antwerp
26.6
Oostende
26.5
Club Brugge KV
26.5
Beerschot VA
26.3
Gent
26.0
Mouscron
25.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.2%
Under 3.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.4%
Under 21.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
M
Mouscron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.50
0.33
0.60
0.20
0.40
vs Stronger (25)
0.28
0.48
0.38
0.62
0.17
0.33
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beerschot VA
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.13
1.38
0.88
0.71
1.43
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.20
1.00
0.50
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (9)
1.33
1.11
1.80
1.00
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
M
Mouscron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.10
0.67
0.73
0.67
1.47
vs Stronger (25)
0.60
1.04
0.54
0.69
0.67
1.42
vs Similar (5)
1.00
1.40
1.50
1.00
0.67
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beerschot VA
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.13
1.50
1.00
1.43
1.29
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.00
2.50
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.67
1.33
1.40
1.20
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beerschot VA · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D'Margio Wright-Phillips37%
Arnold Vula35%
Ensar Brahić25%
Rajiv Van La Parra17%
Genki Haraguchi15%
Ken Masui15%
Severin Sabri Guendouz12%
Bas Van den Eynden11%
Oscar Vargas10%
Loïc Mbe Soh8%
Brian Plat7%
Glenn Claes4%
Lukas Van Eenoo3%
Colin Dagba0%
Edisson Jordanov0%
Ryan Sanusi0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cyril Khetir50%
Ayouba Kosiah33%
Edisson Jordanov29%
Marco Weymans20%
Loïc Mbe Soh17%
Severin Sabri Guendouz17%
Siviwe Magidigidi17%
Bas Van den Eynden16%
Genki Haraguchi15%
Arnold Vula15%
Ken Masui15%
Lukas Van Eenoo14%
Dennis Gyamfi14%
Rajiv Van La Parra12%
Nick Shinton10%
Nilton Varela10%
Andres Labie9%
Glenn Claes9%
Brian Plat7%
Axl Van Himbeeck6%
Ryan Sanusi5%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips5%
Colin Dagba5%
Emre Uzun0%
Ensar Brahić0%
Oscar Vargas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D'Margio Wright-Phillips26%
Severin Sabri Guendouz17%
Arnold Vula15%
Colin Dagba15%
Lukas Van Eenoo14%
Edisson Jordanov12%
Oscar Vargas10%
Glenn Claes9%
Ryan Sanusi5%
Rajiv Van La Parra4%
Loïc Mbe Soh0%
Genki Haraguchi0%
Brian Plat0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Bas Van den Eynden0%
Ken Masui0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Ensar Brahić0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arnold Vula35%
Ken Masui31%
Rajiv Van La Parra25%
Glenn Claes13%
Bas Van den Eynden11%
Lukas Van Eenoo10%
Severin Sabri Guendouz8%
Genki Haraguchi8%
Ensar Brahić6%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips5%
Brian Plat4%
Colin Dagba0%
Loïc Mbe Soh0%
Edisson Jordanov0%
Ryan Sanusi0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
Oscar Vargas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Beerschot VA
Club Brugge KV
Antwerp
Anderlecht
Genk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Gent
KV Mechelen
Zulte Waregem
OH Leuven
Charleroi
Kortrijk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
SK Beveren