This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
0.63
1.93
0.53
1.53
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
1.00
1.00
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (15)
2.33
0.80
2.29
0.71
2.38
0.88
vs Weaker (8)
1.62
0.25
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.8%
Under 1.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.1%
@ 1.89-9.1%
Under 2.5
58.9%
@ 1.90+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.6%
Under 3.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.5%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
Mouscron goals ↓
Charleroi goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
10%
7.1%
2.9%
0.9%
1
9.6%
15%
8.0%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.1%
7.4%
4.5%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.3%
2.7%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mouscron goals (down), columns = Charleroi goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.24
Antwerp
1.76
Anderlecht
1.71
Genk
1.65
Oostende
1.56
Standard Liege
1.47
Gent
1.44
KV Mechelen
1.41
Beerschot VA
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.35
OH Leuven
1.32
Eupen
1.26
Charleroi
1.24
Kortrijk
1.15
St. Truiden
1.12
Cercle Brugge
1.06
Mouscron
0.91
SK Beveren
0.91
Mouscron is 0.32 points worse than Charleroi in terms of average points per game (0.91 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.15
Genk
1.97
Beerschot VA
1.71
Antwerp
1.68
Gent
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
OH Leuven
1.59
Zulte Waregem
1.56
Standard Liege
1.53
Anderlecht
1.50
Oostende
1.44
Charleroi
1.35
Kortrijk
1.29
SK Beveren
1.29
Eupen
1.29
St. Truiden
1.21
Cercle Brugge
1.18
Mouscron
0.94
Mouscron is 0.41 goals worse than Charleroi in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.35).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.76
Anderlecht
1.00
Oostende
1.21
Standard Liege
1.21
Gent
1.24
Antwerp
1.41
Genk
1.41
Charleroi
1.44
Cercle Brugge
1.50
St. Truiden
1.53
Mouscron
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.59
Eupen
1.62
Kortrijk
1.68
OH Leuven
1.74
Beerschot VA
1.88
Zulte Waregem
2.03
SK Beveren
2.06
Mouscron is 0.15 goals worse than Charleroi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
M
Mouscron
For 4.5 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Charleroi
For 5.6 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
M
Mouscron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.8
9.3
4.2
4.1
4.2
26.3
26.8
25.8
vs Stronger (43)
9.5
9.5
9.5
4.3
4.2
4.3
26.5
27.2
25.7
vs Similar (7)
9.6
11.2
7.3
3.4
3.5
3.3
25.5
24.0
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
64%
56%
58%
60%
56%
83%
89%
76%
% under line
40%
36%
44%
42%
40%
44%
17%
11%
24%
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.3
4.2
4.5
3.8
28.7
27.4
29.9
vs Stronger (10)
9.2
8.0
10.0
4.7
5.2
4.3
29.6
32.0
27.8
vs Similar (26)
10.1
9.4
10.7
4.4
5.0
3.9
28.5
26.6
30.3
vs Weaker (14)
10.3
10.9
9.5
3.4
3.5
3.2
28.2
26.0
31.0
% over line
54%
46%
62%
56%
62%
50%
91%
88%
94%
% under line
46%
54%
38%
44%
38%
50%
9%
12%
6%
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oostende
10.7
St. Truiden
10.3
SK Beveren
10.2
OH Leuven
10.1
Beerschot VA
10.1
Antwerp
10.0
Charleroi
10.0
Eupen
9.9
Genk
9.8
KV Mechelen
9.7
Anderlecht
9.7
Standard Liege
9.6
Kortrijk
9.6
Cercle Brugge
9.6
Mouscron
9.5
Club Brugge KV
9.5
Gent
9.5
Zulte Waregem
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Antwerp
4.8
St. Truiden
4.7
Standard Liege
4.7
OH Leuven
4.6
Cercle Brugge
4.4
Anderlecht
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Eupen
4.3
Gent
4.2
KV Mechelen
4.2
Mouscron
4.2
Charleroi
4.2
Kortrijk
4.0
SK Beveren
3.9
Genk
3.8
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Oostende
3.6
Beerschot VA
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kortrijk
29.7
Standard Liege
28.7
Charleroi
28.7
Anderlecht
28.3
Cercle Brugge
28.2
Eupen
28.0
Antwerp
28.0
SK Beveren
28.0
St. Truiden
27.8
KV Mechelen
27.8
Oostende
27.1
Zulte Waregem
27.0
Club Brugge KV
27.0
Genk
26.9
OH Leuven
26.6
Mouscron
26.3
Gent
26.2
Beerschot VA
25.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.6%
Under 9.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.7%
Under 3.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
84.7%
Under 21.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
M
Mouscron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.60
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (27)
0.33
0.56
0.36
0.64
0.31
0.46
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.33
0.73
0.13
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.43
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.93
0.33
0.71
0.14
1.12
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
0.50
0.25
0.60
0.00
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
M
Mouscron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
0.87
0.60
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (27)
0.70
0.85
0.71
0.64
0.69
1.08
vs Similar (3)
1.67
0.67
3.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charleroi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.30
1.20
0.40
0.87
0.20
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.29
0.00
0.67
0.25
0.00
vs Similar (15)
1.40
0.47
1.57
0.57
1.25
0.38
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.00
1.40
0.00
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Charleroi · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof50%
Aurélien Scheidler33%
Aiham Ousou33%
Cheick Keita33%
Antoine Colassin25%
Freddy Mbemba25%
Amine Boukamir25%
Patrick Pflücke0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aiham Ousou33%
Antoine Bernier25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Patrick Pflücke0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrick Pflücke25%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof25%
Antoine Colassin25%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Adama Bojang25%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Pflücke75%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof0%
Antoine Bernier0%
Mardochee Nzita0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Cheick Keita0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Freddy Mbemba0%
Massamba Sow0%
Adama Bojang0%
Yassine Khalifi0%
Amine Boukamir0%
Isaac Ismaël Cissé0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Club Brugge KV
Antwerp
Anderlecht
Genk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Gent
KV Mechelen
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
OH Leuven
Kortrijk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
SK Beveren