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Mouscron vs Eupen Result & Analysis

Date: 29/01/2017
Time: 00:00
Final 3-0
M
Mouscron
Vs
35%
27%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
E
Eupen
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mouscron win✓ Hit
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Eupen win✗ Miss
38.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

M
Mouscron

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-712L02L07L01L14L02L00D12L21W01LA·STA06/11H·GEN19/11A·AND27/11A·ST.03/12H·KV 10/12A·CHA17/12H·KVC20/12A·CLU26/12H·LOK21/01A·ZUL24/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.960.822.000.921.92
vs Stronger (19)0.632.050.702.100.562.00
vs Similar (4)2.001.502.001.002.001.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %9% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

E
Eupen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W02L33D01L22D04L14L31W01L22DH·ST.05/11A·GEN19/11H·KVC26/11A·KV 02/12H·CHA10/12A·AND18/12H·CLU21/12A·OOS26/12H·GEN21/01H·STA26/01
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.482.301.832.251.092.36
vs Stronger (19)1.372.371.892.220.902.50
vs Similar (4)2.002.001.672.333.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.5%
Under 2.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
Mouscron goals ↓
Eupen goals →
01234
06.1%6.5%5.9%3.0%1.1%
16.2%12%8.6%4.4%1.7%
25.4%8.2%6.3%3.2%1.2%
32.6%4.0%3.1%1.6%0.6%
41.0%1.5%1.1%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mouscron goals (down), columns = Eupen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Anderlecht
2.03
Club Brugge KV
1.97
Zulte Waregem
1.80
Oostende
1.67
Gent
1.67
Charleroi
1.63
Genk
1.60
KV Mechelen
1.60
Standard Liege
1.40
Kortrijk
1.03
Lokeren
1.03
St. Truiden
1.00
Eupen
1.00
SK Beveren
1.00
Mouscron
0.80
KVC Westerlo
0.77
Mouscron is 0.20 points worse than Eupen in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Anderlecht
2.23
Club Brugge KV
1.87
Oostende
1.73
Zulte Waregem
1.63
Standard Liege
1.57
Gent
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.37
Genk
1.33
Eupen
1.33
Kortrijk
1.27
St. Truiden
1.17
Charleroi
1.13
KVC Westerlo
1.10
Mouscron
0.97
SK Beveren
0.93
Lokeren
0.80
Mouscron is 0.37 goals worse than Eupen in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.80
Charleroi
0.97
Gent
0.97
Anderlecht
1.00
Lokeren
1.13
Genk
1.17
KV Mechelen
1.20
Oostende
1.23
Zulte Waregem
1.27
Standard Liege
1.27
SK Beveren
1.43
St. Truiden
1.60
Mouscron
1.77
Kortrijk
1.83
Eupen
2.13
KVC Westerlo
2.17
Mouscron is 0.37 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 2.13).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

M
Mouscron

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

E
Eupen

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

M
Mouscron

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (19)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

E
Eupen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (19)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

🟨 Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

M
Mouscron

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L04L00D12L01L00D10W01L00DA·STA06/11H·GEN19/11A·AND27/11A·ST.03/12H·KV 10/12A·CHA17/12H·KVC20/12A·CLU26/12H·LOK21/01A·ZUL24/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.740.450.820.500.67
vs Stronger (19)0.420.740.500.800.330.67
vs Similar (4)0.750.750.001.001.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

E
Eupen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L22D00D11D02L13L10W00D01LH·ST.05/11A·GEN19/11H·KVC26/11A·KV 02/12H·CHA10/12A·AND18/12H·CLU21/12A·OOS26/12H·GEN21/01H·STA26/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.481.090.581.170.361.00
vs Stronger (19)0.421.160.561.220.301.10
vs Similar (4)0.750.750.671.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %26% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

M
Mouscron

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L03L01L02L01L00D02L20W01LA·STA06/11H·GEN19/11A·AND27/11A·ST.03/12H·KV 10/12A·CHA17/12H·KVC20/12A·CLU26/12H·LOK21/01A·ZUL24/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.391.220.361.180.421.25
vs Stronger (19)0.211.320.201.300.221.33
vs Similar (4)1.250.752.000.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %26% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

E
Eupen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W00D11D01L11D02L01L21W01L21WH·ST.05/11A·GEN19/11H·KVC26/11A·KV 02/12H·CHA10/12A·AND18/12H·CLU21/12A·OOS26/12H·GEN21/01H·STA26/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.221.251.080.731.36
vs Stronger (19)0.951.211.331.000.601.40
vs Similar (4)1.251.251.001.332.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
KW (26)
€38m
CHA (21)
€31m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
MOU wins
0
Draws
0
EUP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mouscron vs Eupen · H/A from MOU
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/16AEupen Vs MOU1-4

M
Mouscron

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/01/17AZulte Waregem Vs MOU1-0
21/01/17HMOU Vs Lokeren2-1
26/12/16AClub Brugge KV Vs MOU2-1
20/12/16HMOU Vs KVC Westerlo0-0
17/12/16ACharleroi Vs MOU2-0
10/12/16HMOU Vs KV Mechelen1-4
03/12/16ASt. Truiden Vs MOU1-0
27/11/16AAnderlecht Vs MOU7-0
19/11/16HMOU Vs Gent0-2
06/11/16AStandard Liege Vs MOU2-1

E
Eupen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/01/17HEUP Vs Standard Liege2-2
21/01/17HEUP Vs Genk0-1
26/12/16AOostende Vs EUP1-3
21/12/16HEUP Vs Club Brugge KV1-4
18/12/16AAnderlecht Vs EUP4-0
10/12/16HEUP Vs Charleroi2-2
02/12/16AKV Mechelen Vs EUP1-0
26/11/16HEUP Vs KVC Westerlo3-3
19/11/16AGenk Vs EUP2-0
05/11/16HEUP Vs St. Truiden4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

M
Mouscron
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL0.65
HomeLLLDW0.73
AwayLLLLL0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%18%17%
AVG goals2.832.822.83
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %61%64%58%
Over 3.5 %26%27%25%
Scored0.870.820.92
Conceded1.962.001.92
BTTS52%55%50%
Clean Sheet9%9%8%
Corners---
Cards---
E
Eupen
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD0.91
HomeDDLLD1.17
AwayDLLLW0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%25%18%
AVG goals3.784.083.45
Over 1.5 %91%92%91%
Over 2.5 %78%83%73%
Over 3.5 %61%75%45%
Scored1.481.831.09
Conceded2.302.252.36
BTTS70%83%55%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AnderlechtAnderlecht3061
60%
2.0
6730+37
3.2
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
91
5018242.21.0
-
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV3059
60%
2.0
5624+32
2.7
67%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
196
9223811.90.8
-
3Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem3054
50%
1.8
4938+11
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
20
8491.61.3
-
4GentGent3050
47%
1.7
4529+16
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
58
1722191.51.0
-
5OostendeOostende3050
47%
1.7
5237+15
3.0
87%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.2
-
6CharleroiCharleroi3049
43%
1.6
3429+5
2.1
60%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
31
134141.11.0
-
7KV MechelenKV Mechelen3048
47%
1.6
4136+5
2.6
77%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
45
137251.41.2
-
8GenkGenk3048
47%
1.6
4035+5
2.5
73%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
113
3919551.31.2
-
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege3042
33%
1.4
4738+9
2.8
73%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
54
148311.61.3
-
10
L
Lokeren		3031
23%
1.0
2434-10
1.9
60%
47%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.1
-
11KortrijkKortrijk3031
27%
1.0
3855-17
3.1
87%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
9451.31.8
-
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden3030
27%
1.0
3548-13
2.8
70%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
30
114141.21.6
-
13SK BeverenSK Beveren3030
23%
1.0
2843-15
2.4
67%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4350.91.4
-
14
E
Eupen		3030
27%
1.0
4064-24
3.5
87%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
15
M
Mouscron		3024
23%
0.8
2953-24
2.7
73%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
16KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo3023
17%
0.8
3365-32
3.3
80%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
38
169121.12.2
-
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →

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