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Mouscron vs Eupen Result & Analysis

Date: 23/09/2017
Time: 00:00
Final 3-2
M
Mouscron
Vs
53%
23%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
E
Eupen
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mouscron win✓ Hit
52.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Eupen win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

M
Mouscron

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L10W20W10W25L20W32W11D21W12LA·GEN26/02H·STA04/03A·KOR12/03A·OOS30/07H·CHA05/08A·LOK12/08H·GEN20/08A·KOR25/08H·CLU09/09A·ZUL17/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.671.291.790.881.56
vs Stronger (24)0.791.921.092.000.541.85
vs Similar (6)2.170.672.001.002.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

E
Eupen

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W12L13L05L13L12L21W03L15L11DA·LOK25/02A·ST.04/03H·ZUL12/03H·ZUL29/07A·CLU06/08H·KOR12/08H·OOS19/08A·LOK26/08A·SK 09/09H·STA17/09
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.301.502.250.862.36
vs Stronger (23)1.132.351.462.230.702.50
vs Similar (7)1.432.141.672.331.252.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.3%
Under 1.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.9%
Under 2.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.4%
Under 3.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.0%
No
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
1-0
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
Mouscron goals ↓
Eupen goals →
01234
03.9%3.3%3.0%1.4%0.5%
15.4%9.8%6.2%2.9%1.0%
26.6%9.3%6.5%3.1%1.1%
34.6%6.5%4.6%2.1%0.7%
42.4%3.4%2.4%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mouscron goals (down), columns = Eupen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.23
Anderlecht
1.83
Charleroi
1.70
Gent
1.67
Genk
1.47
Standard Liege
1.47
Kortrijk
1.40
Antwerp
1.37
Zulte Waregem
1.23
St. Truiden
1.23
Oostende
1.20
SK Beveren
1.17
Lokeren
1.03
Mouscron
1.00
Eupen
0.90
KV Mechelen
0.90
Mouscron is 0.10 points better than Eupen in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.90).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.27
SK Beveren
1.67
Anderlecht
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.57
Charleroi
1.53
Gent
1.50
Genk
1.47
Standard Liege
1.43
Oostende
1.40
Kortrijk
1.40
Eupen
1.33
Mouscron
1.33
Antwerp
1.27
Lokeren
1.10
KV Mechelen
1.03
St. Truiden
0.97
Mouscron and Eupen are level in goals scored per game (both 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gent
0.90
Charleroi
1.00
Club Brugge KV
1.10
Genk
1.20
Kortrijk
1.30
Antwerp
1.33
Oostende
1.37
St. Truiden
1.37
Standard Liege
1.37
Anderlecht
1.40
Lokeren
1.63
KV Mechelen
1.63
SK Beveren
1.70
Zulte Waregem
1.73
Eupen
1.90
Mouscron
1.97
Mouscron is 0.07 goals worse than Eupen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 1.90).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

M
Mouscron

For 3.1 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

1302112103271324315131258576A·ZULH·CLUA·KORH·GENA·LOKH·CHAA·OOS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

7043222341541347427657A·ZULH·CLUA·KORH·GENA·LOKH·CHAA·OOS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

E
Eupen

For 4.0 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

1303744275810125271089131179H·STAA·SK A·LOKH·OOSH·KORA·CLUH·ZUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

8035113223441228144754H·STAA·SK A·LOKH·OOSH·KORA·CLUH·ZUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

M
Mouscron

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (37)8.09.07.21.00.91.2---
vs Stronger (29)9.09.09.00.91.10.6---
vs Similar (8)5.5-5.51.60.02.6---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line29%33%25%16%17%16%---
% under line71%67%75%84%83%84%---
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

E
Eupen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (37)9.610.88.00.91.20.6---
vs Stronger (29)9.010.07.50.91.30.4---
vs Similar (8)11.013.09.01.01.01.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line43%75%0%16%21%11%---
% under line57%25%100%84%79%89%---
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Anderlecht
13.7
Oostende
13.0
Lokeren
12.4
Kortrijk
12.4
Gent
11.9
Club Brugge KV
11.4
Antwerp
10.9
KV Mechelen
10.1
Zulte Waregem
9.7
SK Beveren
9.6
Eupen
9.6
St. Truiden
9.6
Genk
9.3
Standard Liege
8.6
Charleroi
8.6
Mouscron
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
6.0
St. Truiden
6.0
KV Mechelen
5.7
Mouscron
5.4
Gent
5.3
Lokeren
5.3
Zulte Waregem
4.7
Eupen
4.7
Club Brugge KV
4.6
Genk
4.6
Antwerp
4.5
Kortrijk
4.4
Anderlecht
4.3
Oostende
4.0
SK Beveren
3.7
Charleroi
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.6%
Under 9.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.4%
Under 3.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

M
Mouscron

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W10W00D13L10W02L01L21W10WA·GEN26/02H·STA04/03A·KOR12/03A·OOS30/07H·CHA05/08A·LOK12/08H·GEN20/08A·KOR25/08H·CLU09/09A·ZUL17/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.791.000.380.62
vs Stronger (24)0.460.880.731.090.230.69
vs Similar (6)1.000.501.000.671.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

E
Eupen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L00D01L11D01L11D00D03L11DA·LOK25/02A·ST.04/03H·ZUL12/03H·ZUL29/07A·CLU06/08H·KOR12/08H·OOS19/08A·LOK26/08A·SK 09/09H·STA17/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.100.501.120.211.07
vs Stronger (23)0.261.130.381.080.101.20
vs Similar (7)0.711.001.001.330.500.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

M
Mouscron

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W10W12L10W30W10W00D02LA·GEN26/02H·STA04/03A·KOR12/03A·OOS30/07H·CHA05/08A·LOK12/08H·GEN20/08A·KOR25/08H·CLU09/09A·ZUL17/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.870.500.790.500.94
vs Stronger (24)0.331.040.360.910.311.15
vs Similar (6)1.170.171.000.331.330.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

E
Eupen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D13L04L02L11D10W03L12L00DA·LOK25/02A·ST.04/03H·ZUL12/03H·ZUL29/07A·CLU06/08H·KOR12/08H·OOS19/08A·LOK26/08A·SK 09/09H·STA17/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.201.001.120.641.29
vs Stronger (23)0.871.221.081.150.601.30
vs Similar (7)0.711.140.671.000.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
MOU wins
0
Draws
0
EUP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mouscron vs Eupen · H/A from MOU
DateH/AGameScore
29/01/17HMOU Vs Eupen3-0
01/10/16AEupen Vs MOU1-4

M
Mouscron

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/17AZulte Waregem Vs MOU2-1
09/09/17HMOU Vs Club Brugge KV2-1
25/08/17AKortrijk Vs MOU1-1
20/08/17HMOU Vs Gent3-2
12/08/17ALokeren Vs MOU0-2
05/08/17HMOU Vs Charleroi2-5
30/07/17AOostende Vs MOU0-1
12/03/17AKortrijk Vs MOU0-2
04/03/17HMOU Vs Standard Liege1-0
26/02/17AGent Vs MOU3-1

E
Eupen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/17HEUP Vs Standard Liege1-1
09/09/17ASK Beveren Vs EUP5-1
26/08/17ALokeren Vs EUP3-0
19/08/17HEUP Vs Oostende2-1
12/08/17HEUP Vs Kortrijk1-2
06/08/17AClub Brugge KV Vs EUP3-1
29/07/17HEUP Vs Zulte Waregem0-5
12/03/17HEUP Vs Zulte Waregem1-3
04/03/17ASt. Truiden Vs EUP2-1
25/02/17ALokeren Vs EUP1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

M
Mouscron
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.00
HomeLWLWW1.11
AwayWWWDL0.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%26%
AVG goals2.843.112.58
Over 1.5 %76%78%74%
Over 2.5 %59%72%47%
Over 3.5 %24%28%21%
Scored1.111.221.00
Conceded1.731.891.58
BTTS54%61%47%
Clean Sheet19%17%21%
Corners8.009.007.25
Cards5.435.335.50
E
Eupen
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD0.92
HomeLLLWD1.11
AwayWLLLL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%26%22%
AVG goals3.513.633.39
Over 1.5 %89%89%89%
Over 2.5 %76%74%78%
Over 3.5 %49%58%39%
Scored1.241.471.00
Conceded2.272.162.39
BTTS65%74%56%
Clean Sheet5%5%6%
Corners9.5710.758.00
Cards4.715.753.33

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV3067
67%
2.2
6833+35
3.4
90%
73%
47%
10.3
50%
4.5
73%
-
0%
196
9223812.31.1
-
2AnderlechtAnderlecht3055
53%
1.8
4942+7
3.0
67%
57%
43%
10.7
63%
4.6
60%
-
0%
91
5018241.61.4
-
3CharleroiCharleroi3051
43%
1.7
4630+16
2.5
77%
37%
27%
8.4
37%
4.6
63%
-
0%
31
134141.51.0
-
4GentGent3050
47%
1.7
4527+18
2.4
73%
47%
17%
10.4
57%
5.7
83%
-
0%
58
1722191.50.9
-
5GenkGenk3044
37%
1.5
4436+8
2.7
70%
43%
27%
9.7
50%
4.8
80%
-
0%
113
3919551.51.2
-
6Standard LiegeStandard Liege3044
37%
1.5
4341+2
2.8
77%
53%
37%
9.7
50%
5.9
77%
-
0%
54
148311.41.4
-
7KortrijkKortrijk3042
40%
1.4
4239+3
2.7
80%
60%
27%
12.2
77%
4.6
70%
-
0%
18
9451.41.3
-
8AntwerpAntwerp3041
33%
1.4
3840-2
2.6
73%
53%
23%
10.0
53%
4.6
70%
-
0%
33
910141.31.3
-
9Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem3037
37%
1.2
4752-5
3.3
87%
67%
43%
10.2
67%
5.0
73%
-
0%
20
8491.61.7
-
10St. TruidenSt. Truiden3037
30%
1.2
2941-12
2.3
67%
30%
20%
9.4
50%
5.5
87%
-
0%
30
114141.01.4
-
11OostendeOostende3036
33%
1.2
4241+1
2.8
73%
50%
27%
10.9
67%
4.6
63%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
12SK BeverenSK Beveren3035
30%
1.2
5051-1
3.4
90%
70%
47%
10.6
57%
4.3
63%
-
0%
12
4351.71.7
-
13
L
Lokeren		3031
27%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
87%
57%
23%
10.6
60%
4.4
67%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
14
M
Mouscron		3030
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
83%
60%
40%
9.1
37%
4.9
77%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
15
E
Eupen		3027
20%
0.9
4057-17
3.2
73%
60%
47%
10.8
57%
5.1
77%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
16KV MechelenKV Mechelen3027
20%
0.9
3149-18
2.7
87%
37%
27%
9.6
37%
5.0
83%
-
0%
45
137251.01.6
-
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →

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