This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.57
1.07
1.36
1.06
1.75
vs Stronger (27)
0.96
1.63
1.00
1.50
0.93
1.73
vs Similar (3)
2.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
3.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.8%
Under 1.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.9%
@ 1.93-9.1%
Under 2.5
60.1%
@ 1.85+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.9%
No
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
0-2 ✓
5.1%
Mouscron goals ↓
Eupen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.9%
5.1%
1.7%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.5%
2.2%
0.5%
2
8.4%
8.4%
4.2%
1.4%
0.3%
3
3.6%
3.6%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mouscron goals (down), columns = Eupen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.24
Antwerp
1.76
Anderlecht
1.71
Genk
1.65
Oostende
1.56
Standard Liege
1.47
Gent
1.44
KV Mechelen
1.41
Beerschot VA
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.35
OH Leuven
1.32
Eupen
1.26
Charleroi
1.24
Kortrijk
1.15
St. Truiden
1.12
Cercle Brugge
1.06
Mouscron
0.91
SK Beveren
0.91
Mouscron is 0.35 points worse than Eupen in terms of average points per game (0.91 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.15
Genk
1.97
Beerschot VA
1.71
Antwerp
1.68
Gent
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
OH Leuven
1.59
Zulte Waregem
1.56
Standard Liege
1.53
Anderlecht
1.50
Oostende
1.44
Charleroi
1.35
Kortrijk
1.29
SK Beveren
1.29
Eupen
1.29
St. Truiden
1.21
Cercle Brugge
1.18
Mouscron
0.94
Mouscron is 0.35 goals worse than Eupen in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.76
Anderlecht
1.00
Oostende
1.21
Standard Liege
1.21
Gent
1.24
Antwerp
1.41
Genk
1.41
Charleroi
1.44
Cercle Brugge
1.50
St. Truiden
1.53
Mouscron
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.59
Eupen
1.62
Kortrijk
1.68
OH Leuven
1.74
Beerschot VA
1.88
Zulte Waregem
2.03
SK Beveren
2.06
Mouscron is 0.03 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
M
Mouscron
For 3.9 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
For 4.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 12.0 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
M
Mouscron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.7
9.2
4.0
4.0
4.0
25.7
26.1
25.3
vs Stronger (42)
9.5
9.4
9.7
4.2
4.1
4.2
26.0
26.3
25.7
vs Similar (8)
9.1
11.2
7.0
3.1
3.5
2.8
23.8
24.0
23.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
62%
54%
54%
58%
50%
78%
84%
72%
% under line
42%
38%
46%
46%
42%
50%
22%
16%
28%
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.0
9.8
4.4
3.8
5.0
28.0
28.7
27.3
vs Stronger (43)
9.7
10.0
9.5
4.5
4.0
4.9
28.1
28.9
27.3
vs Similar (7)
11.1
10.2
12.3
3.9
2.8
5.3
27.2
27.0
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
58%
54%
60%
42%
77%
86%
89%
84%
% under line
44%
42%
46%
40%
58%
23%
14%
11%
16%
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Oostende
10.5
Charleroi
10.2
SK Beveren
10.1
St. Truiden
10.1
Beerschot VA
10.0
Anderlecht
9.9
Eupen
9.9
Kortrijk
9.9
Antwerp
9.9
Genk
9.9
KV Mechelen
9.8
Club Brugge KV
9.7
Cercle Brugge
9.7
Standard Liege
9.7
Gent
9.5
Mouscron
9.5
Zulte Waregem
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Antwerp
4.7
St. Truiden
4.7
Standard Liege
4.7
Eupen
4.4
Anderlecht
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Cercle Brugge
4.3
KV Mechelen
4.2
Charleroi
4.2
OH Leuven
4.1
Gent
4.1
Mouscron
4.0
Kortrijk
4.0
SK Beveren
4.0
Genk
3.8
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Oostende
3.6
Beerschot VA
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kortrijk
29.5
Standard Liege
28.7
Anderlecht
28.5
Eupen
28.0
St. Truiden
28.0
Charleroi
28.0
SK Beveren
27.8
Antwerp
27.8
Cercle Brugge
27.7
KV Mechelen
27.4
Zulte Waregem
27.1
Club Brugge KV
27.0
Oostende
26.9
Genk
26.9
Beerschot VA
26.1
Gent
26.0
OH Leuven
25.8
Mouscron
25.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.2%
Under 9.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.0%
Under 3.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.4%
Under 21.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
M
Mouscron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.57
0.33
0.73
0.27
0.40
vs Stronger (26)
0.31
0.54
0.36
0.71
0.25
0.33
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.79
0.64
0.44
0.94
vs Stronger (27)
0.59
0.78
0.83
0.67
0.40
0.87
vs Similar (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
M
Mouscron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.93
0.80
0.60
0.67
1.27
vs Stronger (26)
0.65
0.88
0.64
0.64
0.67
1.17
vs Similar (4)
1.25
1.25
3.00
0.00
0.67
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.77
0.29
0.71
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (27)
0.37
0.85
0.17
0.83
0.53
0.87
vs Similar (3)
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Club Brugge KV
Antwerp
Anderlecht
Genk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Gent
KV Mechelen
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
OH Leuven
Charleroi
Kortrijk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
SK Beveren